Not really sure how to play the Djokovic/Berdych match. I don't think there will be much fatigue from Djokovic and the history between these two players really favors Djokovic. I see a ton of people on Berdych +6 but I wouldn't be surprised in the least to see Djokovic roll in 3 sets. I decided to pass on the match altogether and just enjoy watching it.
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Nothing wrong with the bet mate, I think Masha was extra motivated however as it seems Makarova is the closest thing to a challenger to her crown as Russian tennis queen. Dementieva gone, Safina gone, Myskina gone, Kuzy on her way and Kirilenko is good but I doubt she'll progress much further than she has. Makarova is the closest thing to a challenger that Masha has.Comment -
Murray -2.5 sets -195 1u
I really don't foresee Chardy taking a set off of Murray and while I never like paying that much juice, I think it's worth playing.Comment -
Any thoughts on Chardy +8?Comment -
I dont see him taking a set so unless he can hang 6-4 6-3 6-4, there isnt much wiggle room to hit the +8, unless of course he can swipe a set.Comment -
Ok thanks for the advice!Comment -
yep it is. I placed this bet much earlier today so perhaps the line moved some?Comment -
Tsonga +2.5 sets -150 1u
Tsonga has looked great and usually battles Federer at least somewhat. The way JWF is serving, I think he can take a set off Roger.Comment -
Murray and Chardy going exactly how I had hoped. Just have to think Murray wants to put him away as quickly as possible without any further wear and tear on his legs for the upcoming battles between Federer/Tsonga and Djokjovic.Comment -
Federer -5.5 looks like a good bet to me, what do you think Sharp snake??Comment -
I'm taking Tsonga to win a set. I think Tsonga can take a set here and personally I was deciding between Tsonga +5.5 and the +2.5 sets and opted for the set bet instead.
One of the easiest cashes thus far as Chardy didn't threaten Murray once.
Murray -2.5 sets -195 1u W
YTD 21-11 +15.42uComment -
My book doesn't offer set bets but thanks for the advice! GL to you!Comment -
Just one or two points away from this bet cashing in the first. Tsonga just played too many points far too loose. But he's in this match and Federer doesn't look super sharp. Lets get em back Jo.Comment -
Big points by Jo this set.....close it out for us JoJo.Comment -
I'm on the over 3.5 serve it away here Jo!Comment -
Tsonga +2.5 sets -150 1u W
YTD 22-11 +16.42u
Very very pleased with how Tsonga is playing tonight. He has every opportunity to win this match.
Also very pleased with my record thus far. I guess my goal should be 20u for the tournament? Not many plays left so we'll see but a great start to the season.Comment -
Very sharp plays this week SS .....very nice job.Comment -
Ferrer +7 games EVEN 1u
I was really torn about playing this, sets +3.5 or Ferrer +2.5 sets. The last 2 are pretty much the same bet except I don't think Ferrer can beat Djokovic in straight. With the +7, this gives us a little bit of wiggle room. Ferrer could steal a set and win the bet or he could lose in straights but keep the scorelines tight with maybe a tie break or some 6-4s or 7-5s sprinkled in.Comment -
Hey there Snake
I am completely clueless about tennis, make my cash on NBA and college hoops, but
decided to tail this pick from You.
Needless to say, Your record speaks volumes. Keep it up.
You rock
Daily two points to You also.Comment -
Ahh, thanks man. Not looking too good now. We pretty much need Ferrer to take a set now.Comment -
Wow really surprised Ferrer got handled so easily. Djoker looking like the clear favoriteComment -
Ferrer +7 games even 1u L
YTD 22-12 +15.42u
Over 3.5 sets Murray/Federer -250 2u
I like Murray to win this match, but I didn't feel there was much value at all with the current line. I was messing with some other ideas and may still have a play somewhere but this is about as sure a thing that you can get. The thought that one of these guys gets straight setted seems highly unlikely to me. Of course, I always advise not playing things this juicy, but I like this bet too much to let it go, thus the 2 units on it.
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Murray -150 2u
Was really hoping this line would drop into the 130s with seemingly all the casual public money coming in on Federer but to no avail. I really liked Murray to win this match but was trying to figure out how to play it. I decided to take the safe route and not mess with the 2.5 games spread. The reason this is a 2u bet is because of how many people are just assuming that Federer + money is automatic. The line is the line for a reason and I feel like it's just begging the general public to bet Federer. Thus, the 2u bet on Murray.Comment -
With the roof remaining open with really windy conditions and only a small chance of rain, this really helps Murray. Tempted to go even bigger here...Comment -
I'm with you buddy, took Murray money line for 1 unit.Comment -
What did Fed go to at your books? hes at +115 now at mine with Murray at -150Comment -
Total Service Breaks Federer/Murray o7.5 -135 .75u
Love EP's logic and basically a tail here.
A clean sweep tonight will put us over 20 units for the tournament. A big number.
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ya thats what i thought something fishy is going on at my book right before close. It went from -155/+120 to -150/+115. Does that mean they are pushing hard for more late money on Murray to even out Fed money or does it mean someone placed a big bet on Fed last minute...? I dont think ive ever seen line movement like that.Comment -
It's a pretty small movement, especially for an event of this magnitude but the odds you're given aren't that great. They're taking 32.5 cent juice.Comment -
ya it is small movement, but have you ever seen a line drop on both sides?Comment -
No, it appears to be a mistake.Comment -
Its an online book. I have no idea how online books work exactly but i thought line movement on online books was somewhat automated to money coming in. Like its set up as a program with money criteria. Once that criteria is met the line moves automatically. Rather than a guy looking at whats coming in and then adjusting the lines manually. So i dont see it as a mistake. I see it as strange late money coming in. I just cant figure out what would make it do that tho.Comment
