Sharp Snake Selections

JNic · 01-13-13, 03:05 AM

That Gasquet bet is a banker, play it.

I like the Authom pick but Berlocq is an absolute ? in my mind, I'm sorta afraid of Berlocq but it's true he may not be fully healthy atm

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:05 AM

Another future....

	72229	GILLES SIMON	-110X
	72230	SAN QUERREY	-110

Both have showdowns looming vs Djokovic and Murray in the same round, so that's some added protection down the line. Wawrinka has a better shot at knocking out Querrey in the 3rd round than the survivor of the Monfils/Dolgopolov match knocking out Simon.

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:06 AM

Originally posted by JNic

That Gasquet bet is a banker, play it.

I like the Authom pick but Berlocq is an absolute ? in my mind, I'm sorta afraid of Berlocq but it's true he may not be fully healthy atm

I think Berlocq may be my least favorite player on tour. I never hesitate to find a spot to play against him and I think this could be it.

JNic · 01-13-13, 03:06 AM

Actually Falla, and Haas are very very tough opponents, I would probably pass but I think Dolgo is going to beat Monfils but if he doesn't Lu is as tough as Falla. It's tough

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by JNic

Actually Falla, and Haas are very very tough opponents, I would probably pass but I think Dolgo is going to beat Monfils but if he doesn't Lu is as tough as Falla. It's tough

I agree Haas could give Gasquet trouble but I figure, if Monfils gets by Dolgopolov, which I don't think will happen, I can easily hedge out as Monfils should be a considerable favorite against Lu or Ramirez, no? as long as he's > +310, it's essentially free money unless Gasquet loses as a 40:1 favorite in round 1.

JNic · 01-13-13, 03:10 AM

Why are you going against Bautista Agut here? Experience factor is huge, Bautista Agut never won a grand slam match and Fognini is a big time match player, especially after everyone saw him take out Monfils in that epic at the French a while back. Actually the Fognini play is good, what do you think about Fognini's form right now though

JNic · 01-13-13, 03:14 AM

Originally posted by Sharp Snake

I agree Haas could give Gasquet trouble but I figure, if Monfils gets by Dolgopolov, which I don't think will happen, I can easily hedge out as Monfils should be a considerable favorite against Lu or Ramirez, no? as long as he's > +310, it's essentially free money unless Gasquet loses as a 40:1 favorite in round 1.

Yea the Gasquet bet is good, I fear Falla a lot but Gasquet will definitely win. Even if Gasquet struggles, like goes down 0-2, I have this new belief in him that he can grind any match out. Dolgo is going to beat Monfils, I think Dolgo matches up perfectly with Monfils, the only thing is if unforced error Dolgo shows up and Monfils is serving out of his mind he could win but best of 5? I think Monfils is going to have many many letdowns, people expect too much of him after coming back from his injury (Haas and Kohlschreiber sort of just gave up those wins earlier this year while credit to Monfils for serving huge)

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:15 AM

Experience is one factor, but I'm mostly fading Bautista Agut here. Fresh off retiring in Sydney in the first round, who knows what form he's in. I'll take the small line here even though he did make a good run in Chennai beating an uninterested Berdych.

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:16 AM

Going to try and tighten up some of the leans and probably only half. I'm also trying to find a legitimate reason not to take Serena at even money to win the women's.

JNic · 01-13-13, 03:20 AM

Originally posted by Sharp Snake

Experience is one factor, but I'm mostly fading Bautista Agut here. Fresh off retiring in Sydney in the first round, who knows what form he's in. I'll take the small line here even though he did make a good run in Chennai beating an uninterested Berdych.

Berdych was far from uninterested, Bautista Agut actually brought some serious game to that match mixed with Berdych missing every forehand long. Fognini looks good but -125 is a little steep, no?

What you think about that Verdasco/Goffin match?

I also have a feeling Malisse is way too much of a favorite here, he showed good form last week but it's Malisse you know, Andujar has been weak but can stay very consistent and has tons of hardcourt matches under his belt now. I just feel like it could go 5 or something

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by JNic

What you think about that Verdasco/Goffin match?

I also have a feeling Malisse is way too much of a favorite here, he showed good form last week but it's Malisse you know, Andujar has been weak but can stay very consistent and has tons of hardcourt matches under his belt now. I just feel like it could go 5 or something

1. I looked long and hard at the Goffin and Verdasco match. I feel like everyone is going to be on Goffin (rightfully so perhaps) but have a feeling Verdasco will win. Decided it's a no play for me.

2. Felt the same exact way about Malisse who looks absolutely great at times, mostly on grass though, then shits the bed. Definitely too much juice for a player like him.

3. Davydenko is on my fade list as well. I know he played great last week but I really don't think he can repeat it nor do I think he should be -700 given his history to tank

Optional · 01-13-13, 03:26 AM

I'd be very wary of betting Stepanek first round. He retired with an intercostal muscle strain in Sydney. Did a search of medical advice sites and seems to be 2-3 weeks for a very minor strain.

It can hurt like playing with a broken rib if it isn't healed or goes again on court.

Originally posted by JNic

Why are you going against Bautista Agut here? Experience factor is huge, Bautista Agut never won a grand slam match and Fognini is a big time match player, especially after everyone saw him take out Monfils in that epic at the French a while back. Actually the Fognini play is good, what do you think about Fognini's form right now though

He gave Raonic what for in the Kooyong exhibition.

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 03:28 AM

Originally posted by Optional

I'd be very wary of betting Stepanek first round. He retired with an intercostal muscle strain in Sydney. Did a search of medical advice sites and seems to be 2-3 weeks for a very minor strain.

It can hurt like playing with a broken rib if it isn't healed or goes again on court.

Wow didn't know that. Last I heard, he said he was alright. Thanks for the heads-up.

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 06:32 PM

YTD 0-0 0u

Go Further Gasquet over Monfils -310

Go Further Simon over Querrey -110

Go Further Radwanska over Stosur -270

Stepanek +160

Kamke -325

Verdasco -150

Fognini -130

Authom -145

Benneteau +150

Lacko -175

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 09:05 PM

Gotta love the dog cashing in straight sets over the boy wonder.

Benneteau +150
Authom -145
Verdasco -150
Kamke -325

YTD 3-1 +2.05u

Sharp Snake · 01-13-13, 10:16 PM

So frustrating to see Authom take the first set 6-1 then lose 2 tie breakers and now seemingly is done.

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 12:19 AM

Great fight shown by Verdasco to rally back down 2 sets to 1. Not a bad start for SSS.

Optional · 01-14-13, 12:21 AM

We've each gone 1-1 on the opposite sides of the last 2. Let's both go ahead on Foggy now ;-)

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 12:23 AM

HA, sounds good to me Brotha.

smoovethug · 01-14-13, 02:10 AM

Nice hit on Bennetau, solid start SS keep it up.

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 02:48 AM

Adding Tipsarevic -140

Too many people on Hewitt..I'm not buying in. Tipsarevic rested up for this tournament and if he's near 100 %, he'll take out Rusty.

sgregory30 · 01-14-13, 03:32 AM

Had Juan Monaco - what a massive disappointment!!
Got John Millman (in trouble too) and Keys & Watson on the womens side... God do i hate tennis sometimes!

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 03:57 AM

I know it's tempting, but you really have to try to stay away from the big lines early in the tournament, ESPECIALLY this one. A lot of guys have had weeks of layoffs and it takes some to get motivated for the start of the season. Tough break...keep following here and I'll try to help you get some of it back.

sgregory30 · 01-14-13, 04:00 AM

That would be nice! I'll keep following and tail your bets.

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 04:29 AM

Benneteau +150 W 1.5u
Authom -145 L 1.45u
Verdasco -150 W 1u
Kamke -325 W 1u
Lacko -175 W 1u

YTD 4-1 +3.05u

Optional · 01-14-13, 05:31 AM

Nice day

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 05:34 AM

Thanks man...Still with Tipsarevic, Stepanek, and Fognini (looks like a loss soon) pending...not too bad for Day 1.

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 06:33 AM

Awesome ending of the night for me with Tipsarevic handling Hewitt like I thought he would and Stepanek coming back from a 2 set hole early on and seemingly getting broken every other serve. The Fognini match went back and forth throughout and I ended up on the wrong end but no complaints here. A great start for Day 1 and I'm looking forward to Day 2.

Benneteau +150 W 1.5u
Authom -145 L 1.45u
Verdasco -150 W 1u
Kamke -325 W 1u
Lacko -175 W 1u
Tipsarevic -140 1u
Stepanek +160 1.6u
Fognini -130 1.3u

YTD 6-2 +4.35u

Dmoneytx · 01-14-13, 11:03 AM

Nice day yest Snake!!! I should of been right around the same. I can't believe that old fuk Berlocq won that match!!!! Crazy!!
Also, great hit on Verdasco coming back from 2 sets down AND on Stepanek too!!! Good for you man

I hope you have a good day and night with the wagers. Best of luck, as always!!!

JNic · 01-14-13, 11:44 AM

great start, keep it up

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 05:14 PM

Is it just me or are there not that many appealing line tonight? Just did a once over and nothing stood out on the surface per sec. Going to dig a little deeper and see what I can muster up.

Dmoneytx · 01-14-13, 05:41 PM

I hate to disagree, but I saw several lines that I loved!!! Gonna hit a few big parlays tonight I think, my plays will go up in about 30 mins. BOL this evening!!!

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 05:49 PM

I'll be sure to check them out then.

Granollers is another guy who I feel's line is getting shrunk here. If it drops around -130 I may have to throw a play on it.

Sharp Snake · 01-14-13, 06:28 PM

Duckworth -160
Falla -300

EP shared most of my thoughts about Duckworth over in his thread and I looked at a lot of different scenarios and I just can't see Falla losing here. I hate paying the juice but It seems too safe to me. Still holding out to see if I can get Granollers at -130. Will probably have some more plays for the later matches

	72225	GAEL MONFILS	+250
	72226	RICHARD GASQUET	-310