Brutus "The Barber" Beefcake's Barbershop of Tennis Talk

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

YTD 22-9

Going with this cross sport parlay. Great value on Sabathia and hard to believe the Yankees just roll over and lose 4-0. Really like Jerzy Janowicz in this spot as well. We won on Carlos Berlocq the other day but it's quite obvious that his game is not made for this surface. Janowicz is going to be a much tougher matchup for him than what he had with Kuznetsov.

10/17/12 6:35pm	$845.75	$1,608.09		Pending	2 Team Parlay
					Pending	10/17/12 8:05pm MLB Baseball 913 New York Yankees -111* vs Detroit Tigers (C Sabathia - L must Start M Scherzer - R - Action)
					Pending	10/18/12 5:00am ATP Tennis 113 Jerzy Janowicz -190* vs Carlos Berlocq

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

There will be a couple other plays too posted around 11 PM EST. Still researching.

[PuckIt]

I'm worried about the yankees tonight.

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

The Yankees got rained out anyway. So our parlay converts to a single play.

Jerzy Janowicz -190

[PuckIt]

damn, its -205 now

[tmgissy]

well the yanks game was BS!

[tmgissy]

How confident are you on the Jerzy play?

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

damn, its -205 now

Play the -3. Should be a straight set win. I only played the moneyline because I'm more conservative on my parlays.

[PuckIt]

Play the -3. Should be a straight set win. I only played the moneyline because I'm more conservative on my parlays.

which would suggest U22 @ +100 would be a play also?

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Thomaz Bellucci -155 Neither he nor Flavio Cipolla like the surface. Cipolla is the better returner but I think Bellucci's weapons are more suitable for the faster surface. Should be close but confident enough to call it a medium sized play say 8 units.

Over 23 Ivo Karlovic vs. Alex Bogomolov Jr I pretty much know Karlovic will win this but I'm looking for the better return on a -120 line instead of the -175 Karlovic is sitting at now. Same analysis as I always use on Karlovic matches, he's not going to get broken by ABJ and he has no return game so we're going to see tiebreaks. 2 tiebreaks and we'll hit hit this over in 2 sets. Who knows maybe ABJ can swing a tiebreak and it will go 3 too. I'm liking this as a huge play. Will depend on how my day is going with the earlier matches but this is looking like probably 15 units or more.

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

which would suggest U22 @ +100 would be a play also?

I'm thinking a 6-4, 6-4 like match. If you want to be more conservative, just parlay JJ with Vasek Pospisil. Should pay a little better than even money if my math is right.

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Last play ahead of time and the rest will be decided tomorrow as things are heating up.

Parlay Vasek Pospisil -275 and Ivo Karlovic -175. I gave the Karlovic analysis above and as for Vasek Pospisil there is no way Paolo Lorenzi can hang with that serve. Give me 2 big servers against 2 average returners and I'll take those odds every day of the week.

[tmgissy]

tailing you on this, cant wait to see what else you got....you sir, are the man!

[tmgissy]

went ahead and took your parlay and O23 Lets cash Brutus!!!!

[tmgissy]

like before....I googled how to keep track of tennis matches. still dont get it when im looking at the "live box score" so need you to just stay up and let me know if we are doing good. Haha, just penetrating with you, but seriously, tell me.....

[tmgissy]

penetrating auto correct! kidding, not penetrating.

[tmgissy]

oh i get it, they are not letting you say the F word

[tr4sh]

bol and thanks for the picks.

Oops, looks like I parlayed Pospisil with Jerzy Janowicz instead of Karlovic... I hope this doesn't come back to bite me in the butt.

[PuckIt]

Oops, looks like I parlayed Pospisil with Jerzy Janowicz instead of Karlovic... I hope this doesn't come back to bite me in the butt.

His official play is JJ/Karlovic, but he also recommended JJ/Posposil - you should be fine hopefully!

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Jerzy gets us the easy win and he covered the -3 too if you played it that way. Can't ask for a better start to the day than that.

YTD 23-9

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Call me crazy but I'm throwing out a small play 4 units on Donald Young at -105. I think he's playing desperate now. He needs the points or he's playing Challenger level next year.

[nosaij]

23-9. NICE man especially for tennis !

[tmgissy]

alright, im awake again. whats our newest plays?

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Cash Bellucci for the easy win. 2-0 to start the day. Shitt-y Donald Young still pending. I really must have been crazy to take this clown.

2 more plays yet to begin as posted above.

YTD 24-9

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Donald Young deserves what he gets next year, hacking it on the Challenger circuit. Complete and total garbage. YTD 24-10

[PuckIt]

Congrats brutus, killing it again so far!

[PuckIt]

Karlovic went from -175 last night to -150 today - any thoughts?

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

Karlovic went from -175 last night to -150 today - any thoughts?

No line movement doesn't mean anything in tennis. Just public perception of seeing ABJ "beating" Davydenko. Now if this was football I'd be worried about the line movement.

[tmgissy]

Congrats brutus, killing it again so far!

Serious dude, been following you for not even 48 hours and in my book you are a tennis legend! keep up the work!

[tmgissy]

pospisil looking good thus far!

[UpsetSpecial09]

pospisil looking good thus far!

pospisil lost the first set, not sure how thats looking good. really hope he can turn it around and win the 2nd and 3rd set. Never a good start when you lose the first set.

[tmgissy]

well damn.....guess i read that wrong. still learning how to read tennis box scores. oh well, off to work to win guaranteed money.

[Trigger7672]

Pospisil is done. Way to show up

[Cappinpicks]

don't bet tennis if you can't read the score, lol popisil big loss as a large fav

[PuckIt]

Pospisil giving up