Matty's Soccer Tips 2012

[MatI]

The race finished about 40mins ago. Lorenzo finished 2nd.

1. Casey Stoner Honda 45m33.897s
2. Jorge Lorenzo Yamaha + 0.947s
3. Daniel Pedrosa Honda + 2.063s
4. Cal Crutchlow Tech 3 Yamaha + 2.465s
5. Andrea Dovizioso Tech 3 Yamaha + 18.100s
6. Alvaro Bautista Gresini Honda + 21.395s
7. Stefan Bradl LCR Honda + 28.637s
8. Nicky Hayden Ducati + 28.869s
9. Valentino Rossi Ducati + 34.852s
10. Hector Barbera Pramac Ducati + 35.103s

[PhillyUnionCC]

Oh ok awesome. Mine hasn't been graded yet and I just woke up. That's why I asked.

[MatI]

No worries mate. It was perfect result, Lorenzo wins the bet and Stoner wins the race!

[Punter101]

No worries mate. It was perfect result, Lorenzo wins the bet and Stoner wins the race!

Yeah haven't followed him for awhile, I still remember the days when Rossi was virtually untouchable Unless I'm missing something Valenciennes should either win outright or draw their game at worst, yet why are we getting them to win at even

[MatI]

Yeah haven't followed him for awhile, I still remember the days when Rossi was virtually untouchable Unless I'm missing something Valenciennes should either win outright or draw their game at worst, yet why are we getting them to win at even

Yep, Rossi is really struggling at the moment. He hasn't been the same since his injuries the last 2 years and the Ducati requires such a unique riding style, it just hasnt come together for him lately. Kind of sad to say, but he is still a legend. I just hope he can get another win or 3 before he decides to hang the helmet up.

No value in Valenciennes at even money, neither team are in any solid form, both hot and cold. Personally, i couldnt pick a result with much confidence in that game.

[MatI]

OK, going to Spain for another play later today...

La Liga, Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona
Barcelona -1.5 @ 1.90 - 1u

[MatI]

It's not often I like my Cubbies, but i do today!

CHI Cubs(M Garza) @ PHI Phillies(K Kendrick)
CHICAGO CUBS ML @ 1.95 - 1u

[Optional]

Nice one on MotoGp Matt!

I went to follow you but 5D had Lorenzo at -160 by time I looked. Wish I had taken some of the +425 on Stoner though! Hadn't been following the sessions and figured that price meant Casey was looking terrible.

Still great to see him win though

[BigTimeWinner]

It's not often I like my Cubbies, but i do today!

CHI Cubs(M Garza) @ PHI Phillies(K Kendrick)
CHICAGO CUBS ML @ 1.95 - 1u

[MatI]

Nice one on MotoGp Matt!

I went to follow you but 5D had Lorenzo at -160 by time I looked. Wish I had taken some of the +425 on Stoner though! Hadn't been following the sessions and figured that price meant Casey was looking terrible.

Still great to see him win though

Thanks Opti. Yeah, nearly all books had it at -160 to -190, but centrebet still had it at -125. They hare quite slow to move on some sports.

I was really tempted to take Stoner for podium, but it was really chalky, and I didn't trust him after his 'arm pump' issues last race, but he came back real strong. The title will be between Stoner & Lorenzo again for sure.

[MatI]

LIVE BET - ADELAIDE vs PORT ADELAIDE - 2nd Half Over 89.5 @ 1.88 - 1u - WIN

Serie A, Bologna v Genoa, Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 - 1u - WIN

MOTOGP Spanish GP - Race H2H, LORENZO @ 1.80 over Pedrosa - risking 1u - WIN

Dutch Eredivisie, Twente v Ajax
Ajax - DNB @ 1.95 - 1u- WIN

La Liga, Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona
Barcelona -1.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - WIN

CHI Cubs(M Garza) @ PHI Phillies(K Kendrick)
CHICAGO CUBS ML @ 1.95 - 1u - WIN

It seems the gambling gods were smiling on me the last 24 hours, 6-0 on the day for 5.8u. I'll take it.


Thread Total YTD-
90-90-8
-2.97 units

[Optional]

[ultrasouth]

Well done matt stick with it

[MatI]

Thanks fellas, hopefully it's a good week as well.

MLB, PITTSBURGH(McDonald,J) @ ATLANTA(Minor,M), Under (7.5) @ 1.82 - risking 1u

[BigTimeWinner]

Matt what's up for the AFC tonight ? How on earth Ccm lost 5-0 last match vs pohang

[MatI]

CCM were not interested in that game after losing to Perth on penalties only a couple of days before. I was planning on fading them again, but CCM players and staff have been talking up their chances for 3 points the last couple of days, but im not convinced their heart is in the game right now. Also, Graham Arnold is in the middle of a bidding war for his services between CCM & Sydney, which may play a part. I'm not sure how much that is distracting him.

I will most likely have a play for the game, but nothing locked in yet.

[Optional]

Got a suggestion for an action bet on the Redsox game on TV here Matt?

[MatI]

Opti, tough game to predict. I'd fade Bosox. Maybe take Oakland 1st 5 innings..

Sorry for delayed response mate, not sure if reply was in time.

[Optional]

Thanks, but missed it.

[MatI]

Sorry Opti!

[Optional]

Sorry Opti!

Thankyou

[MatI]

Did I say Oakland? I meant over!! Good one to miss Opti, GL with your tennis plays too mate.

[BigTimeWinner]

CCM were not interested in that game after losing to Perth on penalties only a couple of days before. I was planning on fading them again, but CCM players and staff have been talking up their chances for 3 points the last couple of days, but im not convinced their heart is in the game right now. Also, Graham Arnold is in the middle of a bidding war for his services between CCM & Sydney, which may play a part. I'm not sure how much that is distracting him.

I will most likely have a play for the game, but nothing locked in yet.

All right buddy, will be waiting for your input on this game and the other ones on AFC.
Seems like you are running away from soccer with all your other sports tips, where's the old "soccer matty"




edit: So I took a look at the CCM - tianjin game, both teams have to win if they want to keep their hopes alive to qualify for the next round. I guess over 2.5 does not look that bad after all, I know both teams can't score many goals, but they both need the win, it would be stupid if they at least don't try to create chances to score goals.

o2½ is priced at 2.040 currently. BOL

[MatI]

ACL, Central Coast Mariners v Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda +0.5 @ 2.20 - 1u

Both teams have played 4 games in ACL and both have 3 draws and a loss to their name. These two also met in China about 3 weeks ago and played out an 0-0 draw. With both teams needing a win to stand any chance of progressing to the next round, this could easily be an over game, but I could also just as easily see this being a tight affair with only 1 or 2 goals, so I will play the Tianjin +0.5 which seems good value IMO. There is no way CCM should be such heavy favourites considering they haven't come close to winning an ACL game yet.

In three previous meeting, Tianjin have never lost to CCM and CCM have also not won a game across any competitions in 5 games. While they may be well rested for this game, I question their motivation after such a disastrous end to their A-League campaign and I question Arnold's planning since being in cotract discussion with Sydney & CCM. Tianjin Teda had are not the most reliable team at the moment, but have come prepared with a healthy squad and have been in Australia since Saturday preparing. I much prefer to rely on their previous history and for them to take a hard fought win.

[MatI]

All right buddy, will be waiting for your input on this game and the other ones on AFC.
Seems like you are running away from soccer with all your other sports tips, where's the old "soccer matty"

edit: So I took a look at the CCM - tianjin game, both teams have to win if they want to keep their hopes alive to qualify for the next round. I guess over 2.5 does not look that bad after all, I know both teams can't score many goals, but they both need the win, it would be stupid if they at least don't try to create chances to score goals.

o2½ is priced at 2.040 currently. BOL

Definitely not running away from soccer, I had 3 soccer plays on Sunday! But this time of the season in Europe can be quite tricky & A-League season is over. I am not going to force a play unless I like something. No way I was going to chuck money on the Manchester Derby when it just seemed like a complete toss up on the result, certainly no way to predict what was going to happen there, and glad I stayed off. I'd rather make a play in another sport if I think it is good value.

Good luck with over if you have taken it! My concern with it is CCM have scored a total of 2 goals out of 4 matches, and Tianjin have scored 1 goal in 4 matches.

[MatI]

Other ACL play is already down the drain, no time for write up, but playing the next game as well. I really like watching Buriram, great squad IMO.

ACL, Kashiwa Reysol v Buriram United
Buriram United +1.5 @ 1.775 - 1u

[BigTimeWinner]

arghhh can't believe I did not take the over in the CCM game, 3-0 already

[MatI]

4-1 now. Unreal.

[BigTimeWinner]

Persepolis - al ahli, had the over 2, 2.5 , I SWEAR TO GOD, these people are the most fuked up humans in the World. Both teams total, had at LEAST 6-7 one one situations with the goalie, they tried to go past him EVERY SINGLE TIME and missed. I am not even talking about the other chances that they missed, those were only one - on one with the GK. Fuking SICK.

[showtiime]

Mati did 365 go down for you too? Couldn't play any of these later games because 'site was under maintenance' for hours, was almost tearing my hair out!

[MatI]

CHI Cubs (J Samardzija) @ CIN Reds (B Arroyo)
Reds ML @ 1.63 - risking 1u

[MatI]

Mati did 365 go down for you too? Couldn't play any of these later games because 'site was under maintenance' for hours, was almost tearing my hair out!

I was getting a 404 at B365 around 730pm last night while i was trying to get the Kashiwa bet on. Site ended up working for me just a few minutes before 8pm, and seemed fine for the rest of the evening, but I wasn't up too late last night.

[MatI]

Persepolis - al ahli, had the over 2, 2.5 , I SWEAR TO GOD, these people are the most fuked up humans in the World. Both teams total, had at LEAST 6-7 one one situations with the goalie, they tried to go past him EVERY SINGLE TIME and missed. I am not even talking about the other chances that they missed, those were only one - on one with the GK. Fuking SICK.

Bad beat BTW, more games tonight to get it back.

[BigTimeWinner]

Bad beat BTW, more games tonight to get it back.

Yup I like the over in the Brisbane match on first look, will have to check preview + line ups though

[MatI]

ACL, Adelaide United v Bunyodkor, Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 - 1u

Both teams will be keen for the win here. A win for Adelaide will secure their progress into the 2nd round of ACL and Bunyodkor need a result to help their progress as they currently sit equal second in the group. Adelaide are at home and fresh, and are justifiable favourites for this game having beat the opposition on their home ground 1-2 in early March and have have 3 wins and only a single loss in their 4 ACL matches to date. Bunyodkor cannot be discounted though as they are in good form in their local league, and have scored in every match they have competed in in 2012. Neither side will accept a loss tonight and I expect end to end football once either team scores. The only downside for the visitors is their late arrival into Australia, arriving only on Monday, but despite this, I still think they should find the net. Both teams to score seems the obvious bet IMO.