Can the offshores compete in this market??

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  • winkyyy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-05-19
    • 578

    #1
    Can the offshores compete in this market??
    Getting all sorts of wild offers from Draft Kings, Pointsbet, Wm Hill, Twinspires, Golden Nugget

    and a 1/2 dozen more..

    Freeplays...boosts, specials.....


    Today was $100 Max +100 on ML Illinois NCaam
  • Mugsy777
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-26-20
    • 429

    #2
    You really need to quit gambling son , with all due respect , you are in way over your head . God bless and good luck
    Comment
    • winkyyy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-05-19
      • 578

      #3
      thanks Mugsy!!!

      Next time I need Gambling advice you will be the first I call...


      I was gambling while u were sucking your mothers teats.
      Comment
      • Crusherrr
        SBR MVP
        • 06-27-16
        • 3649

        #4
        Give it a few months. The offers stop everywhere. They are just throwing money away hoping to lock up customers and hope people stay at their site instead of the next. Offshore is still better in every single way
        Comment
        • winkyyy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-05-19
          • 578

          #5
          where have the offers stopped?

          In what states are there no offers at this point?
          Comment
          • d2bets
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-10-05
            • 39995

            #6
            Originally posted by Crusherrr
            Give it a few months. The offers stop everywhere. They are just throwing money away hoping to lock up customers and hope people stay at their site instead of the next. Offshore is still better in every single way
            Way more than a few months. Probably more like a few years. It's still in its infancy. Offshore has its merits also, but it's not better in every single way.
            Comment
            • pologq
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-07-12
              • 19899

              #7
              i see tons of offers for NJ residents on the NY sports networks. the offers are not stopping by any means.

              offshore should offer the can't lose bets like draftkings or fanduel does.
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39995

                #8
                Originally posted by pologq
                i see tons of offers for NJ residents on the NY sports networks. the offers are not stopping by any means.

                offshore should offer the can't lose bets like draftkings or fanduel does.
                Yeah, and new NJ is a more mature market now a couple years in. Others are just starting or starting later this year or next.

                The local market will still be in infancy for another 2-3 years. The offers should continue.
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39995

                  #9
                  Barstool has this crazy buzzer beaters promo that I'm trying to figure out the value.

                  You can be either O0.5-190 first round (I think doesn't include playin) or O1.5-180 full tourney buzzer beaters. That's defined as a game winning FG with subsequent clock stopped at 2.0 seconds less in regulation or OT. You then get a bonus multiplier if it's at least 1 full BB over the total. So if you bet the O0.5 and there are 2 BB, you get a 2x bonus from stake. 2 BB = 4x bonus; 3=6x bonus; 4=8x bonus. Max stake $10k.

                  Is this worth betting? If so, which is better? First 32 games at 0.5 or full tourney at 1.5? Need 2+ for bonus for the first round and 3+ for bonus for the full tourney.

                  I'm trying to figure out how often this happens each year, but have no clue how to figure that.
                  Comment
                  • LongBall52
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-14-20
                    • 1319

                    #10
                    Originally posted by winkyyy
                    In what states are there no offers at this point?
                    Far less than 1/2 the states have legal online sports wagering at this point in time.

                    I think in the next 5 years approximate 1/2 or more will have it legal.
                    Comment
                    • pologq
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-07-12
                      • 19899

                      #11
                      Originally posted by d2bets
                      Barstool has this crazy buzzer beaters promo that I'm trying to figure out the value.

                      You can be either O0.5-190 first round (I think doesn't include playin) or O1.5-180 full tourney buzzer beaters. That's defined as a game winning FG with subsequent clock stopped at 2.0 seconds less in regulation or OT. You then get a bonus multiplier if it's at least 1 full BB over the total. So if you bet the O0.5 and there are 2 BB, you get a 2x bonus from stake. 2 BB = 4x bonus; 3=6x bonus; 4=8x bonus. Max stake $10k.

                      Is this worth betting? If so, which is better? First 32 games at 0.5 or full tourney at 1.5? Need 2+ for bonus for the first round and 3+ for bonus for the full tourney.

                      I'm trying to figure out how often this happens each year, but have no clue how to figure that.
                      have to get at least 1 for sure.

                      might be worth betting both.
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39995

                        #12
                        Originally posted by pologq
                        have to get at least 1 for sure.

                        might be worth betting both.
                        Do you think it's worthwhile generally? I looked a little and I don't think I'll be able to find any stat on this. It's just so hard to evaluate.

                        And then not sure which one is better. I think the full tourney one is probably better. Because if you're playing for the bonus, you need two in just the first round to catch the 2x multiplier. And if you had that you'd only need 1 more for 2x in later rounds. And you have to almost throw out a bunch of first round games that almost certainly won't be close enough for a BB, whereas most any game in later rounds could be close. So I could see just 1 in the first round and then another 2 in the later rounds.
                        Comment
                        • winkyyy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-05-19
                          • 578

                          #13
                          been withdrawing Paypal VERY FAST

                          I just donot see the offshores competing with these 12 Books...


                          The offshore casinos suck but so do the US


                          IF the offshores dont do something quick they
                          Are History...


                          Spoke with over 5 players and all left Offshore for US Books with their OUTRAGEOUS Freeplays


                          No 5x 10x Roll 1x to withdraw your $$$$ FAST


                          and Bonuses coming in by the dozens CRAZY


                          it is what it is....and remember they operate under STRICT LAWS and RULES by the


                          STATE REGULATORS and Commissions


                          Offshore? They do what they Wish.....answer to no one.
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39995

                            #14
                            Originally posted by winkyyy
                            I just donot see the offshores competing with these 12 Books...


                            The offshore casinos suck but so do the US


                            IF the offshores dont do something quick they
                            Are History...


                            Spoke with over 5 players and all left Offshore for US Books with their OUTRAGEOUS Freeplays


                            No 5x 10x Roll 1x to withdraw your $$$$ FAST


                            and Bonuses coming in by the dozens CRAZY


                            it is what it is....and remember they operate under STRICT LAWS and RULES by the


                            STATE REGULATORS and Commissions


                            Offshore? They do what they Wish.....answer to no one.
                            But offshores also cater to people outside the US. But I agree, within a few years offshores could be mostly dead to US bettors. They might even decide it's not worth working with US bettors. They'll have to survive without the US market, and some of them can.
                            Comment
                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39995

                              #15
                              Originally posted by d2bets
                              Barstool has this crazy buzzer beaters promo that I'm trying to figure out the value.

                              You can be either O0.5-190 first round (I think doesn't include playin) or O1.5-180 full tourney buzzer beaters. That's defined as a game winning FG with subsequent clock stopped at 2.0 seconds less in regulation or OT. You then get a bonus multiplier if it's at least 1 full BB over the total. So if you bet the O0.5 and there are 2 BB, you get a 2x bonus from stake. 2 BB = 4x bonus; 3=6x bonus; 4=8x bonus. Max stake $10k.

                              Is this worth betting? If so, which is better? First 32 games at 0.5 or full tourney at 1.5? Need 2+ for bonus for the first round and 3+ for bonus for the full tourney.

                              I'm trying to figure out how often this happens each year, but have no clue how to figure that.
                              I found the stats on this: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb...r-beaters.html

                              Looks like a huge gift. Last 14 years, the O1.5 would have gone 10-4. And 3 happened 5 times (2x), 4 once (4x) and 6 once (8x in 2016). If this is accurate and predictive, this is massive value. I might put the $10k on it.
                              Comment
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