BLOODY HELL I AM ON A COLD streak *THE WORST IN 10 YEARS

pologq · 08-16-20, 09:10 AM

keep betting as long aa you can afford to. adjust your bets if needed based on funds you are using now.

worst you can do is stop or bet scared. just bet like normal.

veriableodds · 08-16-20, 09:23 AM

its all money management
Usually you want to set evaluation lines. In other words if you go up 20% your stake is adjusted, same with the down afterall its all about the bottom line.
Its the same as over exposer to a single sport the more wagers with multiple type bets the lower your risk should be.

Its clear this pandemic bs is the cause. No full seasons, no fans, limited play and major players out. That alone tells you this mabye next 1.5yrs to reduce dramatically according to what your seeing

Ian · 08-16-20, 09:49 AM

I'm with you aston. I thought I had an angle for mlb totals, but I'm 0 for my last 8 in the pointbook and 2-8 for actual cash. The huge fluctuations in runs scored from the first couple of weeks to the last couple of weeks did me in.

I'm going to take a step back and re-evaluate my capping before betting again. The worst thing to do is chase losses. GL

juicername · 08-16-20, 12:15 PM

Please share your plays with us so we can fade them. Thanks.

KVB · 08-16-20, 12:37 PM

It does all come down to money management. It seems like we've seen this same thread at least once over the last few weeks.

A losing streak is no reason to get scared or change a strategy.

If you have the same edge as always, then losses in this crazy sports environment are completely acceptable and understood. That said there are some things to look for.

Don't force bets and don't let the emotion of a losing steak short circuit your normal, rational thinking process.

I would worry more if you are looking at the markets each day and simply not finding the discrepencies you hope for. Having a dwindling number of triggers against the market is a worse sign, in my opinion, than a losing streak in that same market as having less plays could indicate that the market is catching up to you and edges are getting stamped out.

Another thing to look for is to keep an eye, and go back and research this if necessary on how you are doing against the closing line. I would rather be beating the closing line and losing bets as opposed to the market running away from you during that same losing streak.

Last year I had one of the worst couple of weeks losing streak in the MLB Contrarian Fund that I had had in perhaps all MLB betting, forever, across all strategies. Must have been the juiced ball but either way the market made it's adjustments post shakeout and we came out ahead after playoffs.

This is that Fund tracked last year with all the post plays. There were a couple of mistakes that were posted about when made that netted many more units in real life, but that's not how it was posted. I'm always hardest on myself when posting as I try to put the most available line at the time I post. That can change between betting and posting.

Regardless, the pattern is still the same as the only difference is that final dip before the rise was a few units higher than it shows, making the uptrend on the chart a prettier with higher lows (lol)...

There are other strategies too, like cutting back the number of bets or even using two pick parlays to minimize your risk.

Unless I reached a lower plateau in betting, I would absolutely not lower my bet size and would try hardest not to miss betting legitimate triggers.

If you are on a natural variance style losing streak, then you will likely get a winnig streak, or a few of them. It would be bummer to be betting less than when you had the losing streak as you won't get paid what you deserve for the winners.

It's never an easy test when you are at this point, but I caution jumping out of the boat just because the sharks appear to circling.

We're gamblers, and in the spirit of that it's best to reach down and punch the fukker in the nose.

Good Luck.

aston · 08-16-20, 01:11 PM

thank you

aston · 08-16-20, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by KVB

It does all come down to money management. It seems like we've seen this same thread at least once over the last few weeks.

A losing streak is no reason to get scared or change a strategy.

If you have the same edge as always, then losses in this crazy sports environment are completely acceptable and understood. That said there are some things to look for.

Don't force bets and don't let the emotion of a losing steak short circuit your normal, rational thinking process.

I would worry more if you are looking at the markets each day and simply not finding the discrepencies you hope for. Having a dwindling number of triggers against the market is a worse sign, in my opinion, than a losing streak in that same market as having less plays could indicate that the market is catching up to you and edges are getting stamped out.

Another thing to look for is to keep an eye, and go back and research this if necessary on how you are doing against the closing line. I would rather be beating the closing line and losing bets as opposed to the market running away from you during that same losing streak.

Last year I had one of the worst couple of weeks losing streak in the MLB Contrarian Fund that I had had in perhaps all MLB betting, forever, across all strategies. Must have been the juiced ball but either way the market made it's adjustments post shakeout and we came out ahead after playoffs.

This is that Fund tracked last year with all the post plays. There were a couple of mistakes that were posted about when made that netted many more units in real life, but that's not how it was posted. I'm always hardest on myself when posting as I try to put the most available line at the time I post. That can change between betting and posting.

Regardless, the pattern is still the same as the only difference is that final dip before the rise was a few units higher than it shows, making the uptrend on the chart a prettier with higher lows (lol)...

There are other strategies too, like cutting back the number of bets or even using two pick parlays to minimize your risk.

Unless I reached a lower plateau in betting, I would absolutely not lower my bet size and would try hardest not to miss betting legitimate triggers.

If you are on a natural variance style losing streak, then you will likely get a winnig streak, or a few of them. It would be bummer to be betting less than when you had the losing streak as you won't get paid what you deserve for the winners.

It's never an easy test when you are at this point, but I caution jumping out of the boat just because the sharks appear to circling.

We're gamblers, and in the spirit of that it's best to reach down and punch the fukker in the nose.

Good Luck.

thank you KVB

jjgold · 08-16-20, 04:11 PM

Kvb!!!

Ureal post

ttwarrior1 · 08-16-20, 04:13 PM

take ok city thunder, no way houston wins with westbrook out.

I think thunder might even sweep

Checkerboard · 08-16-20, 04:20 PM

Sometimes the issue has become forcing plays, in which case one should consider waiting until clearly good wagers come along. This may in turn mean less bet frequency.

Checkerboard · 08-16-20, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by ttwarrior1

take ok city thunder, no way houston wins with westbrook out.

I think thunder might even sweep

I like this series play too tt.

aston · 08-16-20, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by ttwarrior1

take ok city thunder, no way houston wins with westbrook out.

I think thunder might even sweep

thank you

Machba · 08-16-20, 05:14 PM

Take Blackhawks +170 tonight . great odds for your money on a team that will give their all and WIN . YW

aston · 08-16-20, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by Machba

Take Blackhawks +170 tonight . great odds for your money on a team that will give their all and WIN . YW

thank you Machba

mjsuax13 · 08-16-20, 10:35 PM

Started real strong in baseball this year. Down about $8300 right now. Have about a $25k bankroll so looking to play my way back to positive. Tough part for me is I usually don’t play bases until I have about 40 games of days so basically 25% of the season. Came out do the gate aggressive this year for obvious reasons so here we are... good luck.

Zlaniner · 08-16-20, 10:37 PM

Aug 17	NBA [756] BOSTON -5½-111
Aug 17	NBA [757] TOTAL o229½-110 (DALLAS vrs L.A. CLIPPERS)
Aug 17	MLB [953] TOTAL o10-115 (BOS vrs NYY) [Action]
Aug 17	MLB [967] TOTAL o9-125 (COL vrs HOU) [Action]
Aug 17	MLB [969] TOTAL o9EV (OAK vrs ARI) [Action]
Aug 17	MLB [973] TOTAL o9-125 (SEA vrs LAD) [Action]
Risking 5 SBR To Win 214.82 SBR Ticket#: 4496086

mjsuax13 · 08-16-20, 10:37 PM

Picking my spots better would help. Have won 7 in a row in the NBA and playing strong there. It’s in the NBA sub forum. MLB awful though. Oh well.