Fauci: US can expect more than 100,000 COVID-19 deaths, millions of cases

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  • PAULYPOKER
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-06-08
    • 36581

    #1
    Fauci: US can expect more than 100,000 COVID-19 deaths, millions of cases
    The leading U.S. authority on the COVID-19 pandemic made some grim predictions about the course of the novel coronavirus as it rages through communities within the United States.

    Dr. Anthony Fauci, the longtime director for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and emerging face of American leadership in the fight against the virus, estimated that the U.S. may see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths from COVID-19, the deadly disease caused by the novel coronavirus. A deeply-respected authority on viral diseases, Fauci assisted in guiding the federal response to SARS, MERS, Ebola and now the novel coronavirus.

    Fauci cautioned that these estimates are based on models and a model is only as accurate as the assumptions that go into building it. An extreme worst-case situation in which the coronavirus causes millions of American deaths remains “not impossible but very, very unlikely.”

    “Whenever the models come in, they give a worst-case scenario and a best-case scenario,” Fauci told CNN’s Jake Tapper. “Generally, the reality is somewhere in the middle. I’ve never seen a model of the diseases that I’ve dealt with where the worst case actually came out. They always overshoot.”

    Fauci believes that the U.S. is likely going to have “millions of cases” but broadly cautioned against relying on modeling estimates while still stressing the extreme risk the virus poses.



    “I just don’t think that we really need to make a projection when it’s such a moving target that we could so easily be wrong and mislead people,” Fauci said. He added that outbreaks in New York, New Orleans and other areas with “serious problems” remain worrisome, indicating that the data at hand is plenty of cause for concern.

    As of Sunday morning, 2,197 people in the U.S. have lost their lives fighting the virus, with 125,313 confirmed cases in the country to date according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The number of actual cases of the virus on the ground is likely substantially higher, as testing challenges continue to trouble some parts of the country and many mild or asymptomatic cases go untested.

    https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/29/fa...n-us-estimate/

    That's right Johns Hopkins University.........

    To all the lunatics here who made fun of me for using Johns Hopkins University
    (the most trusted number one source for covid 19 data)

    You all know who you are so it's time for you to eat a boatload of CROW......

    I have plenty of unused tinfoil to wrap it in as well from all the tinfoil you all
    kindly sent me so I'm returning the favor.......

    I hope you're hungry!
  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27960

    #2
    Fear mongering
    Comment
    • PAULYPOKER
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-06-08
      • 36581

      #3
      So you're accusing Trump's right hand COVID 19 expert of fear mongering?
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27960

        #4
        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
        So you're accusing Trump's right hand COVID 19 expert of fear mongering?
        Ya I am
        Comment
        • PAULYPOKER
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-06-08
          • 36581

          #5
          Lol.....

          Think about it for a minute or two then get back to me........
          Comment
          • The General
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-10-05
            • 13279

            #6
            I'm so depressed watching the stories unfold showing the infliction this is having on people. Sure, ppl die all the time...But their familes are usually able to gather, say goodbye and mourn as a family. That's a special time which folks aren't getting now. Ppl dying is normal. Ppl dying lonely and scared by the 1000s. That's not normal.
            Comment
            • Bluehorseshoe
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-13-06
              • 15054

              #7
              8 killed in a nursing home in NJ.

              What a nightmare.
              Comment
              • RudyRuetigger
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-24-10
                • 65107

                #8
                i hope you have your bunker built pauly
                Comment
                • PAULYPOKER
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-06-08
                  • 36581

                  #9
                  Live updates:
                  Trump extends social distancing
                  guidelines after experts warn the coronavirus

                  could kill 200,000 in the U.S.


                  8 minutes ago!
                  Washington Post


                  ​With the coronavirus death toll soaring in the United States and health experts warning that “no state, no metro area will be spared” by the outbreak, President Trump steeled the nation for an extended shutdown, dashing hopes of a quick resumption of normal life.

                  The announcement came hours after Trump was presented with a model showing that the novel coronavirus could lead to 100,000 to 200,000 U.S. deaths, even with the current guidelines in place.Here are some significant developments:

                  • The number of infections in Spain exceeded China’s official figures Monday, after Spanish authorities confirmed more than 6,000 new cases within 24 hours. Among those testing positive: Fernando Simon, who is leading Spain’s coronavirus task force.





                  • The Food and Drug Administration has given emergency approval to a Trump administration plan to distribute millions of doses of anti-malarial drugs to hospitals across the United States, saying it is worth the risk of trying unproven treatments to slow the disease in seriously ill coronavirus patients.





                  • Officials in South Korea, widely praised for its handling of the outbreak, warned that they were seeing a sustained increase in infections in and around Seoul.





                  • Trump said Sunday that federal guidance urging social distancing measures will stay in place through April 30. The president backed off his hope that the United States will be “opened up” by Easter, saying that U.S. deaths due to the coronavirus will probably peak in two weeks.





                  • Hours before Trump’s announcement, the *nation’s top infectious diseases *expert, Anthony S. Fauci, and the White House’s coronavirus response coordinator, Deborah Birx, told the president that the United States could record up to 200,000 deaths as a result of the pandemic.


                  https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...s-latest-news/



                  Sign up for our coronavirus newsletter
                  | Mapping the spread of the coronavirus | What you need to know about the virus | Post Reports: Your questions about coronavirus, answered | How has the coronavirus outbreak disrupted your life? Share your experience with The Post



                  Comment
                  • no1here
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 5914

                    #10
                    We're at 2500 deaths currently, think about how bad this is going to get as we go over 100k
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15289

                      #11
                      331MM ppl in USA
                      if 25% get it that is 82.75MM
                      even if the death rate drops to just .2%, it means 165,000 ppl will die

                      but it's just a HOAX right? the flu is worse right?
                      Comment
                      • Bluehorseshoe
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-13-06
                        • 15054

                        #12
                        Originally posted by homie1975
                        331MM ppl in USA
                        if 25% get it that is 82.75MM
                        even if the death rate drops to just .2%, it means 165,000 ppl will die

                        but it's just a HOAX right? the flu is worse right?
                        My friend is a stat guy and is using Italy to base numbers off of. Should be 759,000 infected by April 15th.
                        Comment
                        • RudyRuetigger
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 65107

                          #13
                          Originally posted by homie1975
                          331MM ppl in USA
                          if 25% get it that is 82.75MM
                          even if the death rate drops to just .2%, it means 165,000 ppl will die

                          but it's just a HOAX right? the flu is worse right?
                          nobody said it was a hoax


                          trump was referring to the democrats about this


                          watch the fukkin speech
                          Comment
                          • BOA12
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-19-12
                            • 20437

                            #14
                            Originally posted by homie1975
                            331MM ppl in USA
                            if 25% get it that is 82.75MM
                            even if the death rate drops to just .2%, it means 165,000 ppl will die

                            but it's just a HOAX right? the flu is worse right?
                            don't take it to the bank.
                            Comment
                            • Hushie
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-02-19
                              • 747

                              #15
                              "may see" and " can expect" are not the same. This is all based on modeling. Models are often wrong.
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65107

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Hushie
                                "may see" and " can expect" are not the same. This is all based on modeling. Models are often wrong.
                                especially if you watch the fukkin hurricane trackers


                                which have much less variables
                                Comment
                                • BOA12
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-19-12
                                  • 20437

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Hushie
                                  "may see" and " can expect" are not the same. This is all based on modeling. Models are often wrong.
                                  worse case scenario, hope it's not.
                                  Comment
                                  • homie1975
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-24-13
                                    • 15289

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                    nobody said it was a hoax


                                    trump was referring to the democrats about this


                                    watch the fukkin speech
                                    i watched it. i am referring to RED ppl i know including some on here who are calling it a HOAX

                                    we'll see what happens when their loved ones die...........alone.

                                    one of my buddies is a nurse practitioner and he called The Flu "way worse" than CV however he is complaining that he has to go into work and face it while guys like me stay home and work.

                                    i say why complain if it "The Flu is way worse than CV" ??
                                    Comment
                                    • Booya711
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-20-11
                                      • 27364

                                      #19
                                      100,000 is nothing compared to other diseases....clown show in here
                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65107

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by homie1975
                                        i watched it. i am referring to RED ppl i know including some on here who are calling it a HOAX

                                        we'll see what happens when their loved ones die...........alone.

                                        one of my buddies is a nurse practitioner and he called The Flu "way worse" than CV however he is complaining that he has to go into work and face it while guys like me stay home and work.

                                        i say why complain if it "The Flu is way worse than CV" ??
                                        ask him that question, not me

                                        ive had quite a few deaths in my family recently including this month

                                        it changes my perspective on everything, not in a good way where im more appreciative of life
                                        Comment
                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-06-08
                                          • 36581

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Hushie
                                          "may see" and " can expect" are not the same. This is all based on modeling. Models are often wrong.
                                          Hope is all we got at this point....
                                          Comment
                                          • Bcatswin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-21-10
                                            • 13931

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                            The leading U.S. authority on the COVID-19 pandemic made some grim predictions about the course of the novel coronavirus as it rages through communities within the United States.

                                            Dr. Anthony Fauci, the longtime director for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and emerging face of American leadership in the fight against the virus, estimated that the U.S. may see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths from COVID-19, the deadly disease caused by the novel coronavirus. A deeply-respected authority on viral diseases, Fauci assisted in guiding the federal response to SARS, MERS, Ebola and now the novel coronavirus.

                                            Fauci cautioned that these estimates are based on models and a model is only as accurate as the assumptions that go into building it. An extreme worst-case situation in which the coronavirus causes millions of American deaths remains “not impossible but very, very unlikely.”

                                            “Whenever the models come in, they give a worst-case scenario and a best-case scenario,” Fauci told CNN’s Jake Tapper. “Generally, the reality is somewhere in the middle. I’ve never seen a model of the diseases that I’ve dealt with where the worst case actually came out. They always overshoot.”

                                            Fauci believes that the U.S. is likely going to have “millions of cases” but broadly cautioned against relying on modeling estimates while still stressing the extreme risk the virus poses.



                                            “I just don’t think that we really need to make a projection when it’s such a moving target that we could so easily be wrong and mislead people,” Fauci said. He added that outbreaks in New York, New Orleans and other areas with “serious problems” remain worrisome, indicating that the data at hand is plenty of cause for concern.

                                            As of Sunday morning, 2,197 people in the U.S. have lost their lives fighting the virus, with 125,313 confirmed cases in the country to date according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The number of actual cases of the virus on the ground is likely substantially higher, as testing challenges continue to trouble some parts of the country and many mild or asymptomatic cases go untested.

                                            https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/29/fa...n-us-estimate/

                                            That's right Johns Hopkins University.........

                                            To all the lunatics here who made fun of me for using Johns Hopkins University
                                            (the most trusted number one source for covid 19 data)

                                            You all know who you are so it's time for you to eat a boatload of CROW......

                                            I have plenty of unused tinfoil to wrap it in as well from all the tinfoil you all
                                            kindly sent me so I'm returning the favor.......

                                            I hope you're hungry!
                                            Shits getting bigger day by day.
                                            I saw him say this yesterday as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • GzaTheGenius
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-12-13
                                              • 4181

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Booya711
                                              100,000 is nothing compared to other diseases....clown show in here
                                              It's not a disease , it's a virus
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83476

                                                #24
                                                Bunch of fortune tellers in this thread. Grim reepers.. Just chill and isolate and it will all be over soon..
                                                Comment
                                                • Black Coffee
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-04-19
                                                  • 1187

                                                  #25
                                                  If you think people are freaking out now, imagine how people will react if/when they see 5M+ cases and 200,000+ deaths due to this virus.

                                                  Hopefully we can create a vaccine or something before then.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                    • 36581

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Booya711
                                                    100,000 is nothing compared to other diseases....clown show in here
                                                    100,000 deaths at the least compared to the rest of the world makes 100%
                                                    of our Leader's loyalists, healthy and unhealthy total dumbasses bowing
                                                    to the almighty dollar over LIFE itself......

                                                    Now that's a clown fukkin show!

                                                    Hmmm, Isn't it Ironic that the POTUS loyalists healthy and unhealthy
                                                    dumbasses proves Like Leader,Like Followers especially when said
                                                    leader is unhealthy to boot?

                                                    Now that's unhealthy purebred double trouble in it's simplest form......



                                                    OK?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • asiagambler
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-23-17
                                                      • 6827

                                                      #27
                                                      All said and done, if there are "only" 100k deaths this year, I'd say USA did a pretty good job
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                        • 9125

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                        Fear mongering
                                                        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                        So you're accusing Trump's right hand COVID 19 expert of fear mongering?
                                                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

                                                        Ya I am
                                                        Prediction... one month from now... by the end of April... 100,000 will seem like an EXTREMELY optimistic number.

                                                        Amazing that you know better than all of the experts.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Heltah Skeltah
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-05-17
                                                          • 3499

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                          Bunch of fortune tellers in this thread. Grim reepers.. Just chill and isolate and it will all be over soon..
                                                          When is soon to you?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • maggiethebestdog
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-21-13
                                                            • 6700

                                                            #30
                                                            Crazy idea
                                                            When dealing with a subject that is impossible to predict, stop making predictions

                                                            Even the so called "experts" admit that they are guessing

                                                            This is an unprecedented event
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Heltah Skeltah
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-05-17
                                                              • 3499

                                                              #31
                                                              486 deaths today in the U.S and it really hasn't even hit us that hard in many states yet. This is only gonna get worseas time goes by and more states are looking like NY.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pologq
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-07-12
                                                                • 19899

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by The General
                                                                I'm so depressed watching the stories unfold showing the infliction this is having on people. Sure, ppl die all the time...But their familes are usually able to gather, say goodbye and mourn as a family. That's a special time which folks aren't getting now. Ppl dying is normal. Ppl dying lonely and scared by the 1000s. That's not normal.
                                                                so true. freaks me out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388208

                                                                  #33
                                                                  It looks more and more like they’ll be no school or no college or no sports until 2021
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pologq
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-07-12
                                                                    • 19899

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Heltah Skeltah
                                                                    486 deaths today in the U.S and it really hasn't even hit us that hard in many states yet. This is only gonna get worseas time goes by and more states are looking like NY.
                                                                    sadly you are right

                                                                    ny just the first
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Heltah Skeltah
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-05-17
                                                                      • 3499

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      It looks more and more like they’ll be no school or no college or no sports until 2021
                                                                      Yup the only hope is nfl and even that is probably not gonna happen. Sports really is the last thing people care about right now . Sadly as gamblers we care but not many others do besides the owners of teams and players
                                                                      Comment
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