10000000 million will die from coranavirus.

Big Bear · 03-22-20, 07:20 AM

Chi_archie · 03-22-20, 08:07 AM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

Fairlay now has a market that pays 5-1 on your money if you think the regular Flu will kill more people that COVID-19 in year 2020.

wait, so if bet on on Flu you can get 500 back if you wager 100 and Flu has more deaths from 1-1-20 to 12-31-20?

is this US deaths or worldwide?

I ran some numbers yesterday and I believe I figured out if #'s were reliable that Corona is killing more on avg per day now than Flu in a pretty bad season does. (we don't know how bad the next season starting in Sept/Oct for 2020-2021 will be. )

so its basically just a bet to see if Coronavirus can catch up during the spring and summer months in the western hemisphere and if be more deadly than next Fall's flu strains

TheLock · 03-22-20, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Actually 100 million sorry

This post isn’t going to age well.

Fear mongering at its worst right here.

KVB · 03-22-20, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by TheLock

This post isn’t going to age well.

Fear mongering at its worst right here.

Perhaps it’s time Lakeshow take a timeout from thread starts, quarantine not treating him well.

Perhaps.

Big Bear · 03-22-20, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Perhaps it’s time Lakeshow take a timeout from thread starts, quarantine not treating him well.

Perhaps.

he is all over this virus

PharaohUB · 03-22-20, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

wait, so if bet on on Flu you can get 500 back if you wager 100 and Flu has more deaths from 1-1-20 to 12-31-20?

is this US deaths or worldwide?

I ran some numbers yesterday and I believe I figured out if #'s were reliable that Corona is killing more on avg per day now than Flu in a pretty bad season does. (we don't know how bad the next season starting in Sept/Oct for 2020-2021 will be. )

so its basically just a bet to see if Coronavirus can catch up during the spring and summer months in the western hemisphere and if be more deadly than next Fall's flu strains

Yes that's correct. I'm not sure who's funding the market but now there is a huge spread now +100/-700. When I posted +400 was available.

Auto Donk · 03-22-20, 02:53 PM

gotta have something to bet on, I guess......

sbr probably regretting giving my innovative, first on the scene "coronavirus death pool" thread the deep six......

Auto Donk · 03-22-20, 02:54 PM

good to see big bear still posting.... he's our f'n canary in a coal mine.....

if the virus hasn't taken his dainty lil' flaky ass out yet, no way it is a concern to the rest of us here....

stevenash · 03-22-20, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by Mackballs

As long as no dogs die from it I don't give a fukk

This

KVB · 03-23-20, 12:32 PM

There have been about 15,500 deaths worldwide.

If we get 15,500 deaths everyday for 6,451 days, or about 17 and a half years, then maybe...lol.

But we won't get nearly that rate of deaths. I don't think we see 100 million deaths in our lifetime.

With only about 350,000 cases worldwide, there likely won't even be 100 million infected before the Kung Flu is an afterthought and not reported at all.

konck · 03-23-20, 01:18 PM

Idiots with fake number just shut your useless pie holes and go buy toilet paper but shove some of it in your other ass.
Worse attempt at attention whoring for gayboy....lakerboy

TheLock · 03-25-20, 07:58 AM

Is 100,000,000 still the official estimate?

cyclingbettor · 03-26-20, 03:05 AM

Originally posted by KVB

There have been about 15,500 deaths worldwide.

If we get 15,500 deaths everyday for 6,451 days, or about 17 and a half years, then maybe...lol.

But we won't get nearly that rate of deaths. I don't think we see 100 million deaths in our lifetime.

With only about 350,000 cases worldwide, there likely won't even be 100 million infected before the Kung Flu is an afterthought and not reported at all.

I don't know about 100 million, but you do understand how exponential growth works, right?

TheLock · 03-26-20, 05:37 AM

Originally posted by cyclingbettor

I don't know about 100 million, but you do understand how exponential growth works, right?

Yes, since COVID-19 broke out, every person on the Internet is an expert on exponential growth.

But KVB and I are responding to the ridiculous claim that 100,000,000 people will die from COVID-19.

juicername · 03-26-20, 07:37 AM

Well, 100m is reasonable since technically it has the potential to kill an infinite amount of people. It's never going away but will be part of our lives, just like the flu is.

cyclingbettor · 03-26-20, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by TheLock

Yes, since COVID-19 broke out, every person on the Internet is an expert on exponential growth.

But KVB and I are responding to the ridiculous claim that 100,000,000 people will die from COVID-19.

In the absence of doing anything to stop it, what do you suppose a realistic estimate would have been? Not trying to have a gigantic argument about it, just legitimately curious. Sorry if this has all been discussed in another thread already. There's, uh, a few threads on this subject. Feel free to point me towards another post.

nyplayer33 · 03-26-20, 10:54 AM

Issue is people are sick.....miss work..ecomomy blows. That being said, one dr in NY has had huge success in treatment.

nyplayer33 · 03-26-20, 10:55 AM

Cant have a number to die..too much unknown..treatments etc. How can u predict amount dead if you dont know if Plasma treatment will work..too many variables

nyplayer33 · 03-26-20, 10:58 AM

I expect treatment will work within 30 to 60 days

TheLock · 03-26-20, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by juicername

Well, 100m is reasonable since technically it has the potential to kill an infinite amount of people. It's never going away but will be part of our lives, just like the flu is.

Technically, my aunt would be my uncle if she had b a l l s.

juicername · 03-26-20, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by nyplayer33

I expect treatment will work within 30 to 60 days

Yeah ... probably not.

Even if they do find a vaccine that might work, it'll take quite some time before released to the public and then you have to actually produce the vaccine in enough quantities as well.

"Taking a vaccine candidate all the way to regulatory approval typically takes a decade or more, and why President Trump sowed confusion when, at a meeting at the White House on 2 March, he pressed for a vaccine to be ready by the US elections in November – an impossible deadline. “Like most vaccinologists, I don’t think this vaccine will be ready before 18 months,” says Annelies Wilder-Smith, professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. That’s already extremely fast, and it assumes there will be no hitches."

juicername · 03-26-20, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

Technically, my aunt would be my uncle if she had b a l l s.

You think the virus will just magically disappear?

TheLock · 03-26-20, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by juicername

You think the virus will just magically disappear?

No, sir, I do not.

Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.

juicername · 03-26-20, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

No, sir, I do not.

Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.

No idea sir. But we'll get there, which was my smart-ass point

cyclingbettor · 03-26-20, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

No, sir, I do not.

Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.

In about 6-8 months, given how fast things are spreading right now. I'm not saying that's what will happen, seeing as we're shutting down half the world to prevent that. But I thought the point of shutting down half the world was to avoid that possibility?

TheLock · 03-27-20, 01:14 PM

Why 'Death Rates' From Coronavirus Can Be Deceiving

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/27/821958435/why-death-rates-from-coronavirus-can-be-deceiving

"Case fatality rates have been very confusing," says Dr. Steven Lawrence, an infectious disease expert. Here's why.

cyclingbettor · 03-27-20, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsan...n-be-deceiving

Fair enough to say that pinpointing the death rate is not an easy thing to do at this stage. Would it be better to state the problem in terms of number of infected people? Because I feel that 200 million infected people in the US over the next 4 months is a major problem anyway, regardless of exactly how many of them die. And my concern goes beyond just the number of deaths - people who need to be intubated or put on ventilators is still a problem, even if they don't die. And, of course, there's the overcrowding issue. So I'm not nearly as obsessed with the death rate calculation that most people seem to be.

As for the death rate itself, I haven't seen a reason to dismiss the current 1-1.5% estimate anyway. I mean, where is this 0.5% death rate in Germany coming from? If I take today's numbers, there are 351 deaths / 50,871 cases = 0.69%. But that's not how the death rate is being estimated is it? I mean, c'mon. I may not be a medical expert, but I'm pretty sure the death rate from those cases will be quite a bit higher than 0.69%. And in other countries, the death rate is a lot higher than Germany. So when the 1-1.5% number is being estimated, it's not like they're forgetting to account for the number of cases that weren't detected.

I suppose what I really hope is that we're beyond the "this is stupid, there's no way the numbers could possibly get that large" stage. At this point all we're doing is waiting for the numbers to level off so that things can start getting back to normal.

TheLock · 03-27-20, 09:27 PM

My prediction is that when all is said and done, the death rate from COVID-19 will be 0.5%

And yes, the death rate matters.

Being alive >>>>>>> Being dead.

packerd_00 · 03-28-20, 04:06 PM

Chinese need to pay big when this is all said and done.

TheLock · 03-28-20, 05:12 PM

Only 99,968,000 more people have to die from COVID-19 for the 100 million prediction to be correct.

cyclingbettor · 03-28-20, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

Only 99,968,000 more people have to die from COVID-19 for the 100 million prediction to be correct.

Lol, well, if enough people are listening to stuff like that, maybe we will take a run at that number. Hopefully most people are taking the lockdown seriously and it can end soon.

cyclingbettor · 03-28-20, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by cyclingbettor

I'm not saying that's what will happen, seeing as we're shutting down half the world to prevent that.

In case you're not clear about my position on the subject.

Chi_archie · 04-07-20, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by Hman

LB forget the flu

Look at the deaths so far for Corona

On pace for less than 15,000 in 1 full year.

Would be tough to even reach 1 million

People are irresponsibly inflating the numbers helping contribution to panic

Originally posted by Hman

Arch, China already has it under control and shutting down much of their facilities to battle it (allegedly)

You don't think us and other countries are capable of the same?

less than a month ago

TheLock · 04-08-20, 08:11 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Actually 100 million sorry

Thread title “100,000,000 will die from coronavirus”

Fear mongering at its best.

cincinnatikid513 · 04-08-20, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by unde0087

Meanwhile Influenza continues to kill 1000X the people across the world yet no one is out cleaning out TP for that.

Oh no corona killed 6 people? Lets close the US border and all events while it kills 9 people in the next 3 months. Make sure you buy shit that is marked up 200Xs to save yourself from the bullshit virus that is killing no one but old ass people that already had medical issues.

actually young healthy people are dying too