is "trump doesn't run in 2020" a good bet?

[gojetsgomoxies]

i see predictit.org at 91%.

i'm thinking this CV gets bad enough, trump might just decide not to run for re-election.

i'm curious as to this subject, not what you think of trump.

thx in advance .......... i will have to check wording as to how late trump could drop out and you'd win the bet.

[gojetsgomoxies]

it's "win the nomination" so 91% is probably a reasonable number........

the bet is graded with R convention in august (i havne't checked but they are usually in august)

[cincinnatikid513]

trump is 100 pct win nomination has no competition, will he win the election, getting tougher each day with the economy tanking

[gojetsgomoxies]

trump is 100 pct win nomination has no competition, will he win the election, getting tougher each day with the economy tanking

my thesis though is he might not want the nomination....... if he drops out, when? earlier dropout is better for everyone, including trump. that's assuming he drops out. he probably won't

[Auto Donk]

best cure on the planet for corona virus would be for trump to announce he's not running.....

then, we'd hear only about a "mildly increased flu season with a potential new strain" in a five second david muir speil on the 5 pm news, instead of CNN screaming the world as we know it is coming to an end.........

[gojetsgomoxies]

best cure on the planet for corona virus would be for trump to announce he's not running.....

then, we'd hear only about a "mildly increased flu season with a potential new strain" in a five second david muir speil on the 5 pm news, instead of CNN screaming the world as we know it is coming to an end.........

what about japan? what about italy? they don't have american CNN.

[Auto Donk]

what about japan? what about italy? they don't have american CNN.

what about em? us media doesn't go ape shit over it, we'd never have heard a word about either country, other than a possible "flu season is a tad bit stronger than usual in europe and asia, as well, this year, with the same new strain seen here, for which a vaccination should be available before next year's flu season"

[vitterd]

He should resign.

[slewfan]

He will run. Win. and KEEP AMERICA GREAT.

Bet on it. !

[JohnGalt2341]

I think the only way he doesn't run is if he gets the Coronavirus and dies. Think of the scenario below... I don't think it's entirely too far fetched... what if... the Coronavirus starts spreading at such a rapid pace in the coming months that an extremely high percentage of the population will just have to accept that they are going to get it and hope their body will fight it off.... and most should be able to do just that. But for those over the age of 70... what if... Trump, Bernie, and Biden all got it and died?

What would the 2020 election look like then?

[JohnGalt2341]

Below are odds from Bovada:

US Presidential Election 2020 - Republican Candidate

3/10/202:30 PM

Republican Candidate

• [*=center]
  Donald Trump
  -5000
  [*=center]
  Mike Pence
  +4000
  [*=center]
  Nikki Haley
  +5000
  [*=center]
  William (Bill) Weld
  +8000
  [*=center]
  John Kasich
  +10000
  [*=center]
  Mitt Romney
  +10000
  [*=center]
  Ben Sasse
  +15000
  [*=center]
  Paul Ryan
  +20000

[Cuse0323]

I think the only way he doesn't run is if he gets the Coronavirus and dies. Think of the scenario below... I don't think it's entirely too far fetched... what if... the Coronavirus starts spreading at such a rapid pace in the coming months that an extremely high percentage of the population will just have to accept that they are going to get it and hope their body will fight it off.... and most should be able to do just that. But for those over the age of 70... what if... Trump, Bernie, and Biden all got it and died?

What would the 2020 election look like then?

I’d guess it would be Pence versus Buttigieg.

No chance Trump doesn’t run. The guy isn’t gonna just hang it up, and say meh, one term was enough for me. Especially now that the market is shitting the bed. He will want to be there when it rises again. Though, it may do that before the election anyway. Only chance he doesn’t run is a health issue, or death. So, maybe a 5% chance.

[BrickJames]

Trump easily wins in 2020, the two idiots the Democrats are running have no chance.

[pologq]

dont see trump's pride allowing him to not run.

if things get bad enough with public backlash on the virus, economy and other things and there is talk he would lose maybe he bows out before losing cause the losing would kill his ego even more.

[POISON]

Trump easily wins in 2020, the two idiots the Democrats are running have no chance.

Obvious

[pimike]

You guys need to find more things to do in life than to talk about something that’s absolutely not gonna happen.

[gojetsgomoxies]

lyndon johnson didn't run in 1968

you realize you get 15 to 1 odds on this......... it's not whether it's likely or unlikely

[pimike]

lyndon johnson didn't run in 1968

you realize you get 15 to 1 odds on this......... it's not whether it's likely or unlikely

I’ll take your bet. Bet points I’ll give you same odds.

[gojetsgomoxies]

down to 87% now........ and dropping fast........ as mentioned, i thought originally it was trump not being candidate election day.

political odds are interesting.......... movements seem to lag obvious ideas.......... trump re-election odds were still at high 50's not that long ago. now at 44% and again dropping fast........ not judging trump but the markets. predictit.org i think has a fan boy elements but really betting sites shouldn't have that (real betting sites are more stable than predictit.org)

[Carseller4]

Trump wins easily against a Democrat candidate that hasn't been named yet.

Hint: It will not be Joe Biden or Crazy Bernie.

Mark my words.

[vitterd]

Trump can’t possibly win. That address last night from the Oval Office was a total debacle. He should quit now. He’s gonna end up being responsible for so many deaths.

[DwightShrute]

is "trump doesn't run in 2020" a good bet?



For the bookies its fantastic

[PharaohUB]

if he doesn’t do this cv thing right someone who loses a family member might John Wilkes booth him.

[JohnGalt2341]

Trump wins easily against a Democrat candidate that hasn't been named yet.

Hint: It will not be Joe Biden or Crazy Bernie.

Mark my words.

What's going to happen to Biden? Corona? Who's your dark horse for the dems?

Current line from Bovada:
US Presidential Election 2020 - Winning Party

3/15/206:57 PM

Winning Party

• [*=center]
  Democratic Party
  -115
  [*=center]
  Republican Party
  -115

I'd be surprised if this line doesn't move at least 50 cents by election day.