It's not racism it's realism: NFL and NCAAF betting strategy

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  • billyloco
    SBR MVP
    • 04-07-06
    • 1411

    #71
    dlowilly...interesting stat for sure.

    I'm definitely testing this for the next 2 weeks.
    Comment
    • danshan11
      SBR MVP
      • 07-08-17
      • 4101

      #72
      wonder what the line would be on 3 asian kids and 3 black kids in a math contest?
      Comment
      • StackinGreen
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-09-10
        • 12140

        #73
        Originally posted by danshan11
        wonder what the line would be on 3 asian kids and 3 black kids in a math contest?
        Not offered.
        Comment
        • dlowilly
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-09-16
          • 13862

          #74
          So far 2019 NCAAF/NFL for this system:

          1-0 (8/24 Sumlin/Tate Arizona -10.5 L 38-45)
          Comment
          • dlowilly
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-09-16
            • 13862

            #75
            Looks like there will be 5 teams to watch in this system for 2019:

            Maryland (Mike Locksley/Josh Jackson)
            FSU (Willie Taggart/James Blackman)
            UTSA (Frank Wilson/Frank Harris)
            Arizona (Kevin Sumlin/Khalil Tate)
            Arizona St. (Herm Edwards/Jayden Daniels)
            Last edited by dlowilly; 08-27-19, 10:04 AM.
            Comment
            • thechaoz
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-09
              • 12154

              #76
              Originally posted by StackinGreen
              You have to have real, definable terms and yes, any system is hard to beat a 10% vig, wikkid, you are correct.

              "Black" QBs:
              Cam Newton
              DeShaun Watson
              Jameis Winston
              Russell Wilson

              Mahomes and Prescott do not qualify
              The NFL is def figuring it out, the list grows smaller.

              The Black QB in college does not apply to my betting. Any shitty passing running qb wins games. Kyler Murray is the #1 fade this year.
              Comment
              • dlowilly
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-09-16
                • 13862

                #77
                Originally posted by dlowilly
                So far 2019 NCAAF/NFL for this system:

                1-0 (8/24 Sumlin/Tate Arizona -10.5 L 38-45)
                2-0 (8/29 Edwards/Daniels -24.5 W 30-7)
                Comment
                • dlowilly
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-09-16
                  • 13862

                  #78
                  3-0 (8/31 FSU Taggart/Blackman -6.5 L 31-36)

                  ​Maryland vs. Howard no action: All black head coaches and starting QBs
                  Comment
                  • Salam
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-26-13
                    • 394

                    #79
                    This is a million dollar system for sure
                    Comment
                    • StackinGreen
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-09-10
                      • 12140

                      #80
                      Originally posted by thechaoz
                      The NFL is def figuring it out, the list grows smaller.

                      The Black QB in college does not apply to my betting. Any shitty passing running qb wins games. Kyler Murray is the #1 fade this year.
                      Comment
                      • StackinGreen
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 12140

                        #81
                        Willy, state when you are playing them, this will be funny.
                        Comment
                        • dlowilly
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-09-16
                          • 13862

                          #82
                          SBRodds are screwing up today but

                          Next up is Incarnate Word +9.5 (I have seen it +10 -110 and +7.5 at + odds, 5dimes has 9.5 -110)

                          vs. UTSA (Frank Wilson/Frank Harris)
                          Comment
                          • StackinGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-09-10
                            • 12140

                            #83
                            Hehe, tuning in
                            Comment
                            • dlowilly
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-09-16
                              • 13862

                              #84
                              3-1 ​(8/31 UTSA Wilson/Harris -9.5 W 35-7)
                              Comment
                              • cincinnatikid513
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-23-17
                                • 45360

                                #85
                                why is this in the saloon
                                Comment
                                • dlowilly
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-09-16
                                  • 13862

                                  #86
                                  I never finished compiling the record for 2018 for some reason

                                  System went 32-24-1 in 2018

                                  Edit: 2018 record was 29.5-19.5-1 (I forgot to multiply ASU record by .5 and in one of UTSA's games they covered the spread a white QB started)

                                  Real pain in the ass to research this stuff too. Once again I am trying my best to be accurate but would love for someone to double check. You have to check each game to see what QB is starting and make sure the coach was still coaching (sometimes they get fired mid season) and see how they did ATS

                                  You're welcome
                                  Last edited by dlowilly; 09-01-19, 12:35 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-23-17
                                    • 45360

                                    #87
                                    so ur fading fsu all year
                                    Comment
                                    • dlowilly
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-09-16
                                      • 13862

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                      so ur fading fsu all year
                                      Oh are we buddies now?

                                      Originally posted by dlowilly
                                      Looks like there will be 5 teams to watch in this system for 2019:

                                      Maryland (Mike Locksley/Josh Jackson)
                                      FSU (Willie Taggart/James Blackman)
                                      UTSA (Frank Wilson/Frank Harris)
                                      Arizona (Kevin Sumlin/Khalil Tate)
                                      Arizona St. (Herm Edwards/Jayden Daniels)
                                      Or any team that happens to have a black head coach and starting black QB that game...

                                      Once again, this system is very hard to back test. Would love it if some other posters double checked my numbers
                                      Last edited by dlowilly; 09-01-19, 12:46 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Bostongambler
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-01-08
                                        • 35581

                                        #89
                                        You saying it’s hard to back test, or black test?
                                        Comment
                                        • mikejamm
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-24-09
                                          • 11044

                                          #90
                                          Another piece of shit from this racist asshole. Only a racist white supremacist would handicap a team by the color of the coach and quarterback’s skin.

                                          You’re everything that’s wrong with the country today. Go back to suck’in trump’s dick and leave the handicapping to real bettors who actually know what the fuk they’re doing.
                                          Comment
                                          • StackinGreen
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-09-10
                                            • 12140

                                            #91
                                            Is 32-24 racist? It's just another angle. If it didn't work, maybe he would be, but it seems the onus is on you now Mike, to explain why he's a winner doing this.

                                            Oh, and by the way, only a clown would mention the president in this, and then make all manner of lewd associations. It shows that you can't think for yourself, ultimately. Pretty sad.
                                            Comment
                                            • StackinGreen
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-09-10
                                              • 12140

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                              You saying it’s hard to back test, or black test?
                                              Just giving suggestions, I wouldn't necessarily play it in every game (what kind of system just fades a team all year?) though you could argue that it changes yearly, so yes it is possible. A better way would be to develop an angle using the larger angle against particular opponents: conferences, big time games, spread differentials, home/away, etc.
                                              Comment
                                              • Shutup
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-15-17
                                                • 2435

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by mikejamm
                                                Another piece of shit from this racist asshole. Only a racist white supremacist would handicap a team by the color of the coach and quarterback’s skin.

                                                You’re everything that’s wrong with the country today. Go back to suck’in trump’s dick and leave the handicapping to real bettors who actually know what the fuk they’re doing.
                                                Why aren't you boycotting the racist NBA? We are all the same lol And diversity is a strength. Bwahahaha. Makes sense. How does 13% of the population make up 75% of the NBA if we are all the same.

                                                By the way thanks for your post. I am glad to know you are morally superior
                                                Comment
                                                • dlowilly
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-09-16
                                                  • 13862

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by mikejamm
                                                  Another piece of shit from this racist asshole. Only a racist white supremacist would handicap a team by the color of the coach and quarterback’s skin.

                                                  You’re everything that’s wrong with the country today. Go back to suck’in trump’s dick and leave the handicapping to real bettors who actually know what the fuk they’re doing.
                                                  Wow this post blew my mind. Is mikejamm a handicapper and real bettor, and all this time I thought he was just a psychotic troll with tourette syndrome? I decided to look up his last 5 Beat the prick contest records, the biggest contest on SBR and where a capper would undoubtedly try to do their best:

                                                  Beat the prick X:
                                                  420 mikejamm 35-39-1 47.30 % L 1 -58.5 -12.38
                                                  Beat the prick 11:
                                                  336 mikejamm 42-37-1 53.16 % W 1 -27.0 -1.99
                                                  Beat the Prick 12:
                                                  454 mikejamm 39-44-2 46.99 % W 1 0.0 -6.20
                                                  Beat the Prick 13:
                                                  322 mikejamm 45-37-3 54.88 % L 1 0.0 -2.67
                                                  Beat the Prick 14:
                                                  468 mikejamm 40-45-0 47.06 % W 2 84.5 -17.38

                                                  That's a record of 201-202-7 for -40.62 units...literally a monkey flipping a coin would beat mikejamm the "handicapper and real bettor"...

                                                  Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                  Is 32-24 racist? It's just another angle. If it didn't work, maybe he would be, but it seems the onus is on you now Mike, to explain why he's a winner doing this.

                                                  Oh, and by the way, only a clown would mention the president in this, and then make all manner of lewd associations. It shows that you can't think for yourself, ultimately. Pretty sad.


                                                  Originally posted by Shutup
                                                  Why aren't you boycotting the racist NBA? We are all the same lol And diversity is a strength. Bwahahaha. Makes sense. How does 13% of the population make up 75% of the NBA if we are all the same.

                                                  By the way thanks for your post. I am glad to know you are morally superior
                                                  Let's not be too harsh on ole mikey. At least he isn't running around anymore viciously lying about me claiming I am a pedophile and he has evidence. The fact he has stopped doing this, although he would never come right out and say it, is a pretty strong indicator he realizes he was being a disgusting POS and is sorry for doing it. Thanks Mikey!
                                                  Last edited by dlowilly; 09-01-19, 10:09 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jtoler
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-17-13
                                                    • 30967

                                                    #95
                                                    "black" coaches went 8-4 ats this weekend might be a better angle to make money for u willy
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dlowilly
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-09-16
                                                      • 13862

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by jtoler
                                                      "black" coaches went 8-4 ats this weekend might be a better angle to make money for u willy
                                                      That’s a very small sample size, what is the record for black head coaches against non black coaches over the last few seasons?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jtoler
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-17-13
                                                        • 30967

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                        That’s a very small sample size, what is the record for black head coaches against non black coaches over the last few seasons?
                                                        dont know dlo
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dlowilly
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-09-16
                                                          • 13862

                                                          #98
                                                          Games for this week so far:

                                                          Maryland@Temple
                                                          FSU vs. UL Monroe
                                                          UTSA@Baylor
                                                          Arizona vs. Northern Arizona
                                                          Arizona St. vs. Sacramento State

                                                          Teams to keep an eye on with black head football coaches but currently no black starting QB which could change:

                                                          Syracuse (Babers)
                                                          Northern Ill (Hammock)
                                                          Penn St. (Franklin)
                                                          Vanderbilt(Mason)
                                                          Stanford(Shaw)
                                                          Illinois(Smith)
                                                          USF(Strong)
                                                          Colorado(Tucker)


                                                          Of course we also need to keep an eye on NFL teams but currently none qualify.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • StackinGreen
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-09-10
                                                            • 12140

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by jtoler
                                                            "black" coaches went 8-4 ats this weekend might be a better angle to make money for u willy
                                                            Maybe you can try it since you never make any picks. Go ahead, tell me how that works out for ya.

                                                            You're still reeling from that Oregon blown cover, are you and Lang still on suicide watch after that 100 dime loser play?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • StackinGreen
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-09-10
                                                              • 12140

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                              Wow this post blew my mind. Is mikejamm a handicapper and real bettor, and all this time I thought he was just a psychotic troll with tourette syndrome? I decided to look up his last 5 Beat the prick contest records, the biggest contest on SBR and where a capper would undoubtedly try to do their best:

                                                              That's a record of 201-202-7 for -40.62 units...literally a monkey flipping a coin would beat mikejamm the "handicapper and real bettor"...
                                                              Savage.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • StackinGreen
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 12140

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                                That’s a very small sample size, what is the record for black head coaches against non black coaches over the last few seasons?
                                                                Don't feed the troll(er)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Auto Donk
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-03-13
                                                                  • 43558

                                                                  #102
                                                                  when in doubt...........


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-14-07
                                                                    • 28672

                                                                    #103
                                                                    How in the hell did I miss this thread?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cincinnatikid513
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-23-17
                                                                      • 45360

                                                                      #104
                                                                      not many black,head coaches nfl

                                                                      <a href="https://ibb.co/MRWCZKV"><img src="https://i.ibb.co/Jz0sm87/D2i-TVX1-U8-AAs-Ha-D.jpg" alt="D2i-TVX1-U8-AAs-Ha-D" border="0"></a><br /><a target='_blank' href='https://aluminumsulfate.net/uses-of-aluminum-sulfate'>aluminum sulfate in food</a><br />
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 11-23-17
                                                                        • 45360

                                                                        #105
                                                                        sad the team from boise idaho white coach,white qb better prepared

                                                                        Willie Taggart doesn't know if FSU players were sufficiently hydrated for Boise State game
                                                                        Comment
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