Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #135241
    The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    536 5-Nov DET +10 (-109)
    540 MIL -3.5 (-108)
    545 NO +9 (-107)

    BM with some generous lines today.

    Happy Friday bitches.

    Comment
    • Fidel_CashFlow
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-03-12
      • 53970

      #135242
      Hhhhmmmmm
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65379

        #135243
        Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
        Hhhhmmmmm
        Uh huh.
        Comment
        • Fidel_CashFlow
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-03-12
          • 53970

          #135244
          Somethings going on Nash ........ weird vibes
          Comment
          • Fidel_CashFlow
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-03-12
            • 53970

            #135245
            Most I can do is



            and hope that same Lord watches over us SBR brethren .
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65379

              #135246
              Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
              Somethings going on Nash ........ weird vibes
              Done
              Comment
              • Fidel_CashFlow
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-03-12
                • 53970

                #135247
                Think I might watch this flick again , been years

                Comment
                • veriableodds
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-17
                  • 5093

                  #135248
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #135249
                    The KVB NCAAF Contarian Fund has picked up...

                    374 6-Nov NEBRASKA +14.5 (-109)
                    378 MEMPHIS +3.5 (-110)


                    Going to be in and out today.

                    Today's pending...

                    UPSET Basket...

                    307 3-Nov N ILLINOIS +155 -1
                    319 6-Nov ARMY +144
                    339 6-Nov WAKE +111
                    381 6-Nov S ALABAMA +138
                    383 6-Nov RICE +152
                    387 6-Nov TENN +152
                    389 6-Nov UL MONROE +142
                    411 6-Nov UNLV +110
                    Haymaker...

                    301 2-Nov E MICH +285 2.85
                    307 3-Nov N ILLINOIS +172 -1
                    309 3-Nov C MICH +299 2.99
                    313 4-Nov GA ST +360 -1
                    325 6-Nov G TECH +266
                    331 LA TECH +410
                    343 TULANE +390
                    365 USC +250
                    375 MISS ST +180
                    391 TEXAS +194
                    395 AUBURN +170
                    409 BOISE ST +180
                    417 SJSU +320
                    Visiting Dog Fund...



                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #135250
                      The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

                      375 6-Nov MISS ST +166
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #135251
                        The KVB NCAAF Contrarian Fund has added...

                        358 6-Nov TCU +8.5 (-110)
                        360 MD +10 (-106)
                        394 PURDUE +2.5 (-102)
                        Comment
                        • veriableodds
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-22-17
                          • 5093

                          #135252
                          KVB putting in work today
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #135253
                            Originally posted by veriableodds
                            KVB putting in work today
                            Scanning, but letting the market come to me.

                            Dangerous play here...

                            The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

                            427 6-Nov RI +115
                            I also got +110 and +109. I have RI winning this game outright.

                            Dangerous because this pick em line is moving the wrong way.

                            I thought it might, but that still doesn't make it any better.

                            <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AbandonedUnlinedBorer' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='530'></iframe>
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65379

                              #135254
                              Originally posted by veriableodds
                              KVB putting in work today

                              He does a good job.
                              Comment
                              • wolfmanmeadows
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-29-20
                                • 915

                                #135255
                                Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                Think I might watch this flick again , been years

                                watched it recently again, it was great, good cast and a good story.

                                I read on wikipedia that the guy is full of shit and he is not this amazing con man like the movie portrays who lived this lavish life. His greatest con of all was conning people into believing he was a great con man which ultimately lead to all his wealth, not ripping off banks.

                                Comment
                                • wolfmanmeadows
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-29-20
                                  • 915

                                  #135256
                                  tiger saw a man

                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #135257
                                    The KVB NCAAF Contrarian Fund has added...

                                    400 6-Nov WASH +7 (-105)
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #135258
                                      The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                      555 6-Nov PHI +4.5 (-108)
                                      <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/LazyHealthyArmadillo' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='795'></iframe>
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #135259
                                        Originally posted by wolfmanmeadows
                                        ...


                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #135260
                                          Will watch.

                                          Comment
                                          • veriableodds
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-17
                                            • 5093

                                            #135261
                                            [QUOTE=KVB;30633271]Scanning, but letting the market come to me.

                                            Dangerous play here...

                                            The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

                                            427 6-Nov RI +115
                                            I also got +110 and +109. I have RI winning this game outright.

                                            Dangerous because this pick em line is moving the wrong way.

                                            I thought it might, but that still doesn't make it any better.


                                            Hey brother you mentioned ''Scanning, but letting the market come to me'' are you speaking in terms of better payout?? like waiting to get +110 instead of +105 that's understandable. On the other end however if a line(spread) moves 1-3 points, I wouldn't touch it even if it brings value(EX; team a-vs-b a's value is 1 line moves 2 close to game start giving a 3 points of value now, when it originally was only 1. That to me is to close almost looking at it as a falling negative. The exception only would be when the spread crosses the deviation score 3,6,7,9 ect ect in favor of course. Anyway thanks keep up the great contribution
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #135262
                                              You basically hit it.

                                              Scanning for things to move into value, for that Fund, but also feeling a little off because to move into value meant to move against us line wise.

                                              But without the move, we don't get the number we want.

                                              When I say letting the market come to me, it really is just being patient and getting that value and not forcing the play.

                                              Had RI to win, has it unposeted at -103, but it didn't get into the UPSET Basket until the line started moving.

                                              Co main even time in the UFC.

                                              Comment
                                              • Bostongambler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-01-08
                                                • 35581

                                                #135263
                                                Good luck going forward KFC
                                                Comment
                                                • wolfmanmeadows
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-29-20
                                                  • 915

                                                  #135264
                                                  if you're looking at statistics, which quarter is most predictive and least predictive? 3 is most and 4 is least?

                                                  Last edited by wolfmanmeadows; 11-07-21, 01:21 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #135265
                                                    Originally posted by wolfmanmeadows
                                                    if you're looking at statistics, which quarter is most predictive and least predictive? 3 is most and 4 is least?...
                                                    What do yo mean predictivie? What are you trying to predict?

                                                    The KVB NFL Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                    453 7-Nov DEN +10 (-113)
                                                    461 CLE +2 (-105)


                                                    <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AltruisticBackDugong' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='412'></iframe>
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #135266
                                                      When did the FlyMe contest end?

                                                      I see no record of it ever existing.

                                                      Did anyone get paid?

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #135267
                                                        Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                                        Somethings going on Nash ........ weird vibes
                                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                                        Done
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wolfmanmeadows
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-29-20
                                                          • 915

                                                          #135268
                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          What do yo mean predictivie? What are you trying to predict?

                                                          The KVB NFL Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                          453 7-Nov DEN +10 (-113)
                                                          461 CLE +2 (-105)


                                                          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AltruisticBackDugong' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='412'></iframe>
                                                          Predicting margin of victory. On average, if you take 2 stats and compare the 3rd and 4th quarter versions of them, all the scenarios of running out the clock, playing with a lead, putting in bench players could reduce the predictive power of certain 4th quarter statistics on average you'd have to think. Maybe by looking at certain situational stats in the 4th could be more valuable than 4th quarter alone for certain stats.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wolfmanmeadows
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-29-20
                                                            • 915

                                                            #135269
                                                            travis scott weed

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #135270
                                                              Indeed.

                                                              When going full game that can become noise.

                                                              But what you're talking about is important. It allows you take advantage of correlations the book can't protect against and it allows you to sort of soften, or almost sometimes hedge when making bets on major sports, to give a book that kind of business.

                                                              It's part of that relationship building I mentioned in that video.

                                                              I think I brought this up a bit in the video as well. If you have a blowout predicted, then you can more precisely predict the 4th quarter and what you predict is more likley to come into play.

                                                              This can help with props, second half bets, etc. Teams have tendencies in different situations, so taking that into account is a big deal.

                                                              Very smart to take a couple of variables and apply them to just a quarter.

                                                              MLB can be exposed a bit here too, with both first five bets and spread bets that can be correlated with the total. The only reason sharon isn't going to take that last sentence out is that much of thos edges are eroding but it's fair to say there are still some Totals and spreads in MLB that can be exploited.

                                                              I want to post less, write less, maybe video more.

                                                              I need the time.

                                                              Are we saying that this bikini top "fits" her???...


                                                              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/CautiousJampackedHypsilophodon' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #135271
                                                                Cleveland scored first, as a contrarian Fund play.

                                                                But I missed picking up Cinci before they scored, that was my bad.

                                                                Still looking to LIVE trade the battle for Ohio.

                                                                Maybe even get both teams as dog moneylines.

                                                                <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/DishonestFittingAmericancrow' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #135272
                                                                  Denver, the other Contrarian Fund play, also scoring first.



                                                                  That gives us two to pay attention to...

                                                                  <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/SpottedWelloffAyeaye' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #135273
                                                                    Time to pay attention to some openers. They are coming.

                                                                    Here are last week's results...

                                                                    UPSET Basket...-.79 units...

                                                                    307 3-Nov N ILLINOIS +155 -1
                                                                    319 6-Nov ARMY +144 1.44
                                                                    339 WAKE +111 -1
                                                                    375 MISS ST +166 -1
                                                                    381 S ALABAMA +138 -1
                                                                    383 RICE +152 -1
                                                                    387 TENN +152 1.52
                                                                    389 UL MONROE +142 -1
                                                                    411 UNLV +110 1.1
                                                                    427 RI +115 1.15
                                                                    -0.79


                                                                    Visiting Dog ML Fund...-2.36 units...

                                                                    301 2-Nov E MICH +285 2.85
                                                                    307 3-Nov N ILLINOIS +172 -1
                                                                    309 3-Nov C MICH +299 2.99
                                                                    313 4-Nov GA ST +360 -1
                                                                    325 6-Nov G TECH +266 -1
                                                                    331 LA TECH +410 -1
                                                                    343 TULANE +390 -1
                                                                    365 USC +250 -1
                                                                    375 MISS ST +180 -1
                                                                    391 TEXAS +194 -1
                                                                    395 AUBURN +170 -1
                                                                    409 BOISE ST +180 1.8
                                                                    417 SJSU +320 -1
                                                                    -2.36


                                                                    Visiting Dog Fund...-1.09 units, but healthy on the closing line comparison...

                                                                    345 6-Nov ILLINOIS +15 (-110) 0.91
                                                                    381 6-Nov S ALABAMA +4 (-105) -1
                                                                    389 UL MONROE +4.5 (-110) -1
                                                                    Total -1.09


                                                                    Contrarian Fund...+1.72 units...

                                                                    358 6-Nov TCU +8.5 (-110) 0.91
                                                                    360 MD +10 (-106) -1
                                                                    374 6-Nov NEBRASKA +14.5 (-109) 0.92
                                                                    378 MEMPHIS +3.5 (-110) 0.91
                                                                    394 PURDUE +2.5 (-102) 0.98
                                                                    400 6-Nov WASH +7 (-105) -1
                                                                    1.72


                                                                    Add it all up and we are down only -2.52 UNITS over 32 plays.

                                                                    This week...

                                                                    KVB Family of Funds 1 Unit Number
                                                                    Per Bet of Plays
                                                                    Contrarian 1.72 6
                                                                    UPSET Basket -0.79 10
                                                                    Visiting Dog ML -2.36 13
                                                                    Visiting Dog -1.09 3
                                                                    Total -2.52 32
                                                                    Season to date...+22.28 UNITS over 292 plays...

                                                                    KVB Family of Funds 1 Unit Number
                                                                    Per Bet of Plays
                                                                    Contrarian 5.72 60
                                                                    UPSET Basket 9.28 105
                                                                    Visiting Dog ML 5.39 78
                                                                    Visiting Dog 1.89 49
                                                                    Total 22.28 292
                                                                    <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/SolidContentEasternnewt' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1180'></iframe>
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #135274
                                                                      Not gonna lie, it just isn't the same without the and ass...

                                                                      <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AncientSlushyAcornbarnacle' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #135275
                                                                        The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up...

                                                                        119 13-Nov WYOMING +15.5 (-110)
                                                                        121 13-Nov WV +6 (-110)
                                                                        Comment
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