Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[JMon]

flowster...who you liking in SB. I'll prob be a messed drunk as my SB parties are something to forget =). Anyway, hate both teams, could care less who wins..hope for a good game I suppose. But the bet I will probably be on is the over...thought it would be in the 50's,

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[Fidel_CashFlow]

flowster...who you liking in SB. I'll prob be a messed drunk as my SB parties are something to forget =). Anyway, hate both teams, could care less who wins..hope for a good game I suppose. But the bet I will probably be on is the over...thought it would be in the 50's,

Going with the Patriots. Brady isnt Manning.
Team scores at a robotic level . Deflated footballs or not , this team beat the Colts by 700 points.
Look at all it took for the Seahawks to get here....intangible after intangible ....
that onside play was the worst attempt at catching a slowly moving football i have seen.
Hard to catch a 70 mph spiral from Dan Marino and all, but this wasnt that. It was a softly low trajectory kick
right in his muffin basket and he completely muffed it.
Then the 2 point conversion, that if did not score Packers win it with seconds left on the clock with that late field goal. How often does that 2 point play work
I would say 2 times out of 100 . Something about Seattle's mystique though. Kinda like some gamblers I have seen.
Dont matter how little of time is left, or if it looks like the wrong play was made, they pull something out their ass

New England Patriots - 28

Seattle Bostick's - 24

[JMon]

I see Pat winning too. So does everyone else.. I'm fading myself an will put small action on SEA, but I do like the over---and may fade myself there too.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

THE kiwekee Market is a vile mistress at times

[Da Manster!]

[Da Manster!]

[Da Manster!]

Remember this epic pic!...when the bullets had the tallest and shortest players in NBA History!..Manute Bol and Muggsy Bogues!

[innovation]

i remember shortie in the duNk contest,

[Da Manster!]

sup inno?...

In other news, Tom Brady says he didn't know anything about the deflated footballs!...

[innovation]

howZ u?

goin for the tri tonight

have
bulls ml
wash ml
asu ml

[Da Manster!]

howZ u?

goin for the tri tonight

have
bulls ml
wash ml
asu ml

good luck man!...straight up or parlayed?

[innovation]

SU

got hosed on bulls +180 by time i got in

what u on for SB?

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[innovation]

what's good flowzmeister?

[Fidel_CashFlow]

chillin @ the Telly.
Had to check in a mens and womens basketball team
a whole half hour that I actually had to work !!!!

[Fidel_CashFlow]

not sure if ur still here Inno-V
but what team do you feel is going to stop the other team more often in the Stuper Bowl ?
Seattle Bostick's or New England Decompressioners

[KVB]

This is how all post match women’s tennis interviews should go:

[Fidel_CashFlow]

KVB

Sunday, February 1, 2015

what happens ?

[innovation]

lol

i have Seahawks -3 on paper overall, so I feel there is absolutely no value in Pats where it opened.....which bothers me. i feel NE has the better grip here, it's away, no elements to worry about, seahawks defense is banged up, i feel Brady will pick them apart and then Blount will gash them.

if Seattle's D was 100% I'd feel better with them but pats are not a team you can expose a weakness to.


what I am liking is Pats 1st half then see what the books offer on Hawks 2cnd half,

[Fidel_CashFlow]

lol

i have Seahawks -3 on paper overall, so I feel there is absolutely no value in Pats where it opened.....which bothers me. i feel NE has the better grip here, it's away, no elements to worry about, seahawks defense is banged up, i feel Brady will pick them apart and then Blount will gash them.

if Seattle's D was 100% I'd feel better with them but pats are not a team you can expose a weakness to.


what I am liking is Pats 1st half then see what the books offer on Hawks 2cnd half,

Inno knows

[innovation]

shits funny man

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[KVB]

KVB's Superbowl Analyses

Ok Cashflow, since you asked nicely, but I got some conditions:

1. I have learned long ago in both sports and stocks not to get emotionally attached so understand that I am no fan of either team.

2. Some of my methods of handicapping involve processing information in relation to time. There is still much information to be had between now and the super bowl…there is much time. Since the line isn’t really going anywhere, I think it is best to process this information first. In other words, I feel a little uncomfortable predicting so soon.

3. Speaking of information, I have not reviewed the propositions for the big dance in depth, and those lines are sharpening as we speak, but I still have an early prediction.

4. I have constraints on the bets that don’t appear to be in danger with line movement.

5. My advice is subject to change.

That being said, I have early analysis and metrics that indicate this will be a well-organized game for both teams and while New England may actually score first, I think Seattle will essentially take the early command and lead and not let go.

Right now, worldwide, Seattle seems to be the underdog side of a pick ‘em, if that makes sense and in some places New England is a 1 point favorite. The total is 48.

I say buy Seattle up to -4 points and buy the under to 47.5.

For the total, it’s worth noting that 47 is too low. Also, it’s worth noting that the total opened as high as 49.5 and has dropped and has dropped worldwide to 48. The real value wasn’t eroded until it hit 48 though.

In other words, I see no big difference between 49.5 and 48.5, but a significant difference between 48.5 and 48.
Either way, I’m not surprised the line has been dropping.

Point spread line movement is trickier because the line seems to be a pick. The Wynn actually had Seattle -1 at the open, and some other places had the pick with Seattle priced a little higher. The line has moved slightly towards New England.

Usually, by now, SuperBowl lines are actually settled, even this early as big money has spoken, but when we are dealing with a pick and price fluctuation, not so much.

While I believe the total will consistently move down towards 47, it is my belief that the side has edged toward New England in hopes of a public reaction, allowing major money to get the best it can before it moves possibly to Seattle -1. Look for that movement.

So in a nutshell, my early prediction is a Seattle win 27-17. In the current situation, that would indicate a buy on Seattle up to -4 points and a position on the UNDER down to 47.5 points.

An indication for both the side and total does worry me a bit, it’s never THAT easy, but it’s looking pretty good for Seattle to repeat as SuperBowl Champs.

Now…give us twirl and tell us about your outfit.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Ok Cashflow, since you asked nicely, but I got some conditions:

1. I have learned long ago in both sports and stocks not to get emotionally attached so understand that I am no fan of either team.

2. Some of my methods of handicapping involve processing information in relation to time. There is still much information to be had between now and the super bowl…there is much time. Since the line isn’t really going anywhere, I think it is best to process this information first. In other words, I feel a little uncomfortable predicting so soon.

3. Speaking of information, I have not reviewed the propositions for the big dance in depth, and those lines are sharpening as we speak, but I still have an early prediction.

4. I have constraints on the bets that don’t appear to be in danger with line movement.

5. My advice is subject to change.

That being said, I have early analysis and metrics that indicate this will be a well-organized game for both teams and while New England may actually score first, I think Seattle will essentially take the early command and lead and not let go.

Right now, worldwide, Seattle seems to be the underdog side of a pick ‘em, if that makes sense and in some places New England is a 1 point favorite. The total is 48.

I say buy Seattle up to -4 points and buy the under to 47.5.

For the total, it’s worth noting that 47 is too low. Also, it’s worth noting that the total opened as high as 49.5 and has dropped and has dropped worldwide to 48. The real value wasn’t eroded until it hit 48 though.

In other words, I see no big difference between 49.5 and 48.5, but a significant difference between 48.5 and 48.
Either way, I’m not surprised the line has been dropping.

Point spread line movement is trickier because the line seems to be a pick. The Wynn actually had Seattle -1 at the open, and some other places had the pick with Seattle priced a little higher. The line has moved slightly towards New England.

Usually, by now, SuperBowl lines are actually settled, even this early as big money has spoken, but when we are dealing with a pick and price fluctuation, not so much.

While I believe the total will consistently move down towards 47, it is my belief that the side has edged toward New England in hopes of a public reaction, allowing major money to get the best it can before it moves possibly to Seattle -1. Look for that movement.

So in a nutshell, my early prediction is a Seattle win 27-17. In the current situation, that would indicate a buy on Seattle up to -4 points and a position on the UNDER down to 47.5 points.

An indication for both the side and total does worry me a bit, it’s never THAT easy, but it’s looking pretty good for Seattle to repeat as SuperBowl Champs.

Now…give us twirl and tell us about your outfit.

im sorry this is all I got for right now

[innovation]

worried about SuNsHiNe

4 days MIA

not nice,

[PerfectGrape]

damn Grapes. Was spose to go to a BONE and TLC concert here before long with the ole lady
They really that bad. Nelly going to be there as well,
but if he brings his posse(St Lunatics) they sound like shit on stage

they played the vocals from the studio album as well as the live vocals. you didn't even hear them that well live, it just sounded like you were listening to the album. they are just a bunch of thugs from ohio looking to get paid, not to put on a good show. bizzy wasn't even there. wish i would've sold my ticket, people were begging for tix while i was waiting in line.

[PerfectGrape]

This is how all post match women’s tennis interviews should go:

you bet the ladies? been picking some winners, htown would be proud. pumped for keys kvitova

[KVB]

im sorry this is all I got for right now

No need to apologize Cashflow....that's all you need!!!!
Classic.

[Da Manster!]

SU

got hosed on bulls +180 by time i got in

what u on for SB?

I'm kind of leaning Seattle right now...nothing concrete or definite...I'm still waiting to see how this deflate gate controversy plays out.

[KVB]

This is how all post match women’s tennis interviews should go:

Fughdat, Hell nooo, nobody removes the twirl:

[KVB]

you bet the ladies? been picking some winners, htown would be proud. pumped for keys kvitova

I’ve looked at tennis in the past and, while it shouldn’t, those prices always put me off. I can still see the money flow and am always looking for more markets. It’s tough work, but with these “spreads” and totals I think there is opportunity.

And the ladies are nice, especially the chicks that grunt when they hit the ball.

Seems like one of those wait for the upset strategies could be applied here, I’m not sure.

You pumped for the Kvitova vs. Keys cuz the ladies, or have you an angle? Are laying favorites and hitting, or finding the dogs. Are you betting the spreads, winners, or even any totals? How are you looking at these matches? So many questions…hehehe

It’s all a interesting.

I see the books charging a little more for the -4.5 over the +4.5 but I don’t know what to make of it. I just don’t have a grasp of the overall marketplace…yet

And where is HTown, did I miss an update?

[KVB]

lol, the 2010's look like an incomplete, messy 70's:

[KVB]

Here's part 1: