"Basically your numbers are from closing lines... so I should wait til closing lines to be safe?"
Yes, that's generally the best approach. An exception would be a HF line opens at -9, I would probably jump on it before it gets out of range at -9.5 or -10. It's always possible that it drops down to -8.5 or so, but the trend on those big favs is usually more public money.
Keep in mind, although I don't rely on handicapping, a good handicapper can do better than blindly betting the subset. What I mean is, if the data shows the RD+6 is a good bet, and it's ALSO a good handicappers pick independent of the data, it may call for a little bigger bet.
Yes, that's generally the best approach. An exception would be a HF line opens at -9, I would probably jump on it before it gets out of range at -9.5 or -10. It's always possible that it drops down to -8.5 or so, but the trend on those big favs is usually more public money.
Keep in mind, although I don't rely on handicapping, a good handicapper can do better than blindly betting the subset. What I mean is, if the data shows the RD+6 is a good bet, and it's ALSO a good handicappers pick independent of the data, it may call for a little bigger bet.
