CanuckG and No Coincidences plays thread

[dynamite140]

Truth is No Coincidences doesn't know a thing about gambling and pretends he does.

All he does is look at line movement and if he sees RLM, he plays it. Either that or some play looks too easy and its a trap and he goes the other side. He has no numbers to back it up besides hey the ugly dog is +7 and now +6 and everyone is pounding the favorite so I'm taking the team no one likes +6. He doesn't even know the EV of a bet and probably doesn't even know how to calculate that either.

But of course if you ask him why he likes that team, he will say he feels they should cover and not the line movement which he always denies.



It will go something like this.

I can see the Jazz covering 6 against the Lakers and possibly win SU.

IMHO

[Speedy88]

Truth is No Coincidences doesn't know a thing about gambling and pretends he does. All he does is look at line movement and if he sees RLM, he plays it. Either that or some play looks too easy and its a trap and he goes the other side. He has no numbers to back it up besides hey the ugly dog is +7 and now +6 and everyone is pounding the favorite so I'm taking the team no one likes +6. He doesn't even know the EV of a bet and probably doesn't even know how to calculate that either. But of course if you ask him why he likes that team, he will say he feels they should cover and not the line movement which he always denies. It will go something like this. I can see the Jazz covering 6 against the Lakers and possibly win SU. IMHO

What is wrong with betting RLM blindly? I've pretty much played every game with RLM and made big bucks off it this year. I don't have a record for RLM, but I'm sure it's hitting above 60% easily.

[spankie]

betting RLM blindly is for retards Speedy88.

you are not hitting above 60% "easily"



who the fuk are you kidding???

[dynamite140]

I don't even need to comment on your last statement.

[Speedy88]

betting RLM blindly is for retards Speedy88. you are not hitting above 60% "easily" who the fuk are you kidding???

You were probably one of the guys on Portland -2.5 last week against PHX. Ok, may be not blindly. But if RLM presents itself, and the situation seems "right" then I take it. I don't have a percentage on me because I'm not a nerd who keeps a record on RLM, but I can assure you if you bet 1 unit on each game that had RLM, you would be very happy with yourself.<input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><!--Session data--><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">

[The Kraken]

Dynamite pal, you should go tout! You seem to know a lot about sports betting

[hawley]

Dynamite pal, you should go tout! You seem to know a lot about sports betting

Dynamite will call out other posters but never post a play on here

[hydrosmak]

No coin a few of us have become privy to the fact that you pretend to know a lot about sports betting, but all you do is just chase steam. please go bury your head in a water-filled bucket of piranhas. thank you

So with No Coin's plays that he posted last night for today's games, how is that betting on steam?

[No coincidences]

Georgia Tech +2 (2U)
Ohio State -13 (2U)

Will play Pack later -- just trying to decide for how much. A lot depends on this first game, which I've lost a lot of confidence in since I locked those numbers in. We'll see.

[No coincidences]

Sunday (1-15):

Ravens -7.5 (3U)
Texans TT under 14.5 (2U)
Ravens/Texans under 37 (1U)

Canceling these bets.

[No coincidences]

****

[jihadvillager]

what happneed NC?

[ApricotSinner32]

Canceling these bets.

Canceling those bets would require losing money unless you're air betting.

[No coincidences]

what happneed NC?

I've been digging deeper on this Ravens/Texans matchup all morning, and I just don't like what I see as much as I did yesterday. Nothing change numbers-wise -- just don't have the same feel for it that I thought I had before. I'm just sticking with my two college hoops plays and the Packers later.

[hawley]

Patty ya bastard I'm on my phone why is he canceling? What did the line do?

[No coincidences]

Canceling those bets would require losing money unless you're air betting.

No shit? Really?

[No coincidences]

Patty ya bastard I'm on my phone why is he canceling? What did the line do?

It hasn't done anything. The numbers are exactly the same as the ones I locked in last night.

[jihadvillager]

too many people on ravens anyways. i need them to win for a tease but worried about flacco laying an egg despite all the things going for the ravens angle-

[hawley]

It hasn't done anything. The numbers are exactly the same as the ones I locked in last night.

Oh right. HOpefully you don't go 3-0 on those plays then

[No coincidences]

Oh right. HOpefully you don't go 3-0 on those plays then

If those plays go 3-0, I promise I won't say a word Hawley.

[Dexter]

It hasn't done anything. The numbers are exactly the same as the ones I locked in last night.

the line dropped from 9 to 7.5 at Pinnacle this morning and the total has been trending up from 36/36.5 to 37 this morning.

[No coincidences]

the line dropped from 9 to 7.5 at Pinnacle this morning and the total has been trending up from 36/36.5 to 37 this morning.

I had -7.5 and under 37 at -110 last night, thank you very much.

The line "dropped" from Pinnacle only in theory (BAL -9 was in the +110 to +115 range). No real difference between that and the number it moved to. Plus, even though the total moved upward slightly, it still closed below its 38 open.

[Dexter]

I had -7.5 and under 37 at -110 last night, thank you very much.

The line "dropped" from Pinnacle only in theory (BAL -9 was in the +110 to +115 range). No real difference between that and the number it moved to. Plus, even though the total moved upward slightly, it still closed below its 38 open.

chill out nocoin - not sure what the attitude is for. the line moved from 9 to 7.5 at the sharpest online book. i was not happy to see that.

[No coincidences]

chill out nocoin - not sure what the attitude is for. the line moved from 9 to 7.5 at the sharpest online book. i was not happy to see that.

Because you immediately assumed I dropped the plays because of line movement.

I already told you -- the mover from BAL -9 (+119) to -7.5 (-105) is barely significant. Virtual dead numbers being juiced different ways.

[Dexter]

Because you immediately assumed I dropped the plays because of line movement.

I already told you -- the mover from BAL -9 (+119) to -7.5 (-105) is barely significant. Virtual dead numbers being juiced different ways.

i have been gambling for 20 years - that move mattered.

its interesting that Lakerboy (who is arguably the best guy on this board at reading lines) thinks the packers move from 7.5 to 9 at pinny this morning is a big deal, but you think its barely significant.

[No coincidences]

i have been gambling for 20 years - that move mattered.

its interesting that Lakerboy (who is arguably the best guy on this board at reading lines) thinks the packers move from 7.5 to 9 at pinny this morning is a big deal, but you think its barely significant.

How did it matter? Those are dead numbers. The ML barely moved, and when it did drop, it crept right back up. There is virtually no difference between a -9 at +110 or +115 and a -7.5 at -110.

Why is that "interesting"? I've tried to tell you a million times that I don't agree with LB on everything. You pretend I am his puppet, but I'm not.

I'm really getting sick of your passive-aggressive bullshit comments Dexter. Wouldn't be the first time.

[ApricotSinner32]

LAKERBOY THE BEST AT READING LINES EVEN THOUGH HES WAS LOSING AFTER 1800 PLAYS ON HIS SPREADSHEET BEFORE MAKING A CHASER ON THE BRONCOS? THAT GUY DEXTER?

Where's dynamite when you need him?

[Dexter]

How did it matter? Those are dead numbers. The ML barely moved, and when it did drop, it crept right back up.

Why is that "interesting"? I've tried to tell you a million times that I don't agree with LB on everything. You pretend I am his puppet, but I'm not.

I'm really getting sick of your passive-aggressive bullshit comments Dexter. Wouldn't be the first time.

you know what man, i have also had enough of this pointless conversing with you. you wonder why you have so many people come after you on this site.

a simple explanation of why you cancelled your bet other then "I've been digging deeper on this Ravens/Texans matchup all morning, and I just don't like what I see as much as I did yesterday."

sorry - but when 90% of the posts from you discuss movement, sharps/squares etc - people will assume you cancelled b/c of a 1.5pt move at a book you follow.

take care man...

[bbhcf]

How did it matter? Those are dead numbers. The ML barely moved, and when it did drop, it crept right back up. There is virtually no difference between a -9 at +110 or +115 and a -7.5 at -110.

Why is that "interesting"? I've tried to tell you a million times that I don't agree with LB on everything. You pretend I am his puppet, but I'm not.

I'm really getting sick of your passive-aggressive bullshit comments Dexter. Wouldn't be the first time.

[dynamite140]

Because you immediately assumed I dropped the plays because of line movement.

I already told you -- the mover from BAL -9 (+119) to -7.5 (-105) is barely significant. Virtual dead numbers being juiced different ways.

So this assumption is going to be wrong the majority of the time?

[dynamite140]

you know what man, i have also had enough of this pointless conversing with you. you wonder why you have so many people come after you on this site.

a simple explanation of why you cancelled your bet other then "I've been digging deeper on this Ravens/Texans matchup all morning, and I just don't like what I see as much as I did yesterday."

sorry - but when 90% of the posts from you discuss movement, sharps/squares etc - people will assume you cancelled b/c of a 1.5pt move at a book you follow.

take care man...

90% that, 10% threads on whining about why a team he bet on sucks and denying that the thread has anything to do with his bet and he just was merely making an observation

[CanuckG]

Georgia Tech +2 (-110) (1U)

[CanuckG]

Well G Tech is down to +1 now so we'll see how that works out for us.

[No coincidences]

you know what man, i have also had enough of this pointless conversing with you. you wonder why you have so many people come after you on this site.

a simple explanation of why you cancelled your bet other then "I've been digging deeper on this Ravens/Texans matchup all morning, and I just don't like what I see as much as I did yesterday."

sorry - but when 90% of the posts from you discuss movement, sharps/squares etc - people will assume you cancelled b/c of a 1.5pt move at a book you follow.

take care man...

Once again, there is very little, if any, difference between -9 at +110 or +115 and -7.5 at -105. You are the one agreeing with LB here that it's a big deal, not me. To be honest, I didn't even notice the move until after you posting something about it.

It's funny: this board is full of useless bullshit, mindless locks, ghosts, reverse jinx threads and plays, etc. -- yet for some reason, I'm supposed to write a thesis about a play or a change of heart. I re-watched the Texans' wild-card game and then started thinking about Flacco and the Ravens coming off a bye and just didn't think the bet was worth the risk. There wasn't an advantage to any of the numbers; I was just forcing a play. I didn't like it so I bought out. The end.

[No coincidences]

Well G Tech is down to +1 now so we'll see how that works out for us.

I love the play personally. Want to go more.