Lock the Pack in early you know this line will move. Chargers most overrated team in football almost every year. Chargers with 6 days rest while the Pack coming off a bye.
brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#2
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
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DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#3
Originally posted by brahmabull117
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
Looked like it worked out pretty well for the Eagles
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
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seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#4
Chargers must be at home. I would take the over, the chargers are cursed or too spooky to put my money on right now.
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Sunde91
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
8325
#5
where
that isnt up at BetOnline unlike what it says on sbrodds
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#6
Originally posted by brahmabull117
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
Yeah teams coming off a bye were 5-1 this week.
Plus the Pack is not a normal team.
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Avenger
SBR MVP
03-15-11
2119
#7
line is fishy as tuna.
Waaaay better games on next week's board.
I'm through playing road favs.
after tonight, Charger's fan are looking for blood. With Rivers, Turner and Co., it'll still be a sh*tfest, but I'm staying away.
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#8
The first 12 teams that had byes are currently a collective 20 games below .500. I don't read to much into that but thanks Brahma.
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jazzyj7
SBR Wise Guy
03-02-09
859
#9
I like the chargers +3.5. Chargers will bring the A game, need the win more. It'll be a close game, but I think it'll come down to 3 points.
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InTheDrink
SBR Posting Legend
11-23-09
23983
#10
Originally posted by brahmabull117
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
Of all the reasons not to play GB, this is the worst of them all.
Nice work brahman!
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10033
#11
Originally posted by brahmabull117
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
This is where I fade you.
Joe Flacco and the Ravens has not lost out of the bye week. WIN
Andy Reid has not lost out of the bye week SU. WIN
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brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#12
Originally posted by InTheDrink
Of all the reasons not to play GB, this is the worst of them all. Nice work brahman!
I didn't say people shouldn't play GB - I just said that people need to stop using the reasoning that a team off a bye week has some sort of an advantage - so far the numbers this year point the other way
I don't think it will matter too much in this case, Green bay plays so much smarter on both sides of the ball that they should be able to win by 7-10 points
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floridagolfer
SBR MVP
12-19-08
2762
#13
Originally posted by Keelo
The first 12 teams that had byes are currently a collective 20 games below .500. I don't read to much into that but thanks Brahma.
What does having an off week have to do with a team's season record?
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coop
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-11
616
#14
Originally posted by floridagolfer
What does having an off week have to do with a team's season record?
He's saying if the first 12 teams that have had bye weeks have overall losing records (inferior teams), the stat that teams coming off their bye weeks are doing awful and losing is greatly misleading and not worth noting.
For example: off of their week 5 bye weeks, these were the teams: Baltimore (won), Cleveland, Dallas (lost), Miami, St Louis, Washington (Baltimore and Dalls being quality teams.)
Off of their week 6 bye weeks, these were the teams: Arizona, Denver, KC (won), San Diego (lost), Seattle, Tennessee. (with KC and SD being considered quality)
Off of their week 7 byes: Buffalo (won), Cincinatti (won), New England (loss), NYG (won), Philadelphia (won), San Fran (won). These higher quality team coming off their byes had a lot more success, while the first 12 were pretty much shit.
So basically, teams that would be considered good are 7-3 off their bye (and thats including Dallas and SD who are trainwrecks), with a large remaining number of quality teams such as ATL, GB, NYJ, CHI, TB, OAK, DET, HOU, NO, and PITT still not having come off their bye week yet.
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Ricki Roma
SBR Wise Guy
09-03-10
737
#15
Hate to say it but packers look good here, I was thinking the line would be 7 or higher.
I would take the packers and the over no doubt. Probably tease both for insurance. There just too good. And chargers know,how to troll it up so well its,insane.
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obamaismyuncle
SBR Posting Legend
12-31-08
17801
#16
You never know which Chargers team will show up...only safe bet with San Diego is betting on them not to cover when they're on the road.
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Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#17
Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
You never know which Chargers team will show up...only safe bet with San Diego is betting on them not to cover when they're on the road.
I disagree...I've seen the same SD team all year! They roll up 450 yards and about 17-20 points while leaving atleast 14 points on the field because of penalties and unforced turnovers. GB doesn't have a lockdown D by any means though so it will probably be close like the Pack/Vikings game.
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crustyme
SBR Posting Legend
09-29-10
16896
#18
chargers ml.
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letitride87
SBR Hustler
11-06-09
55
#19
I don't think vegas is factoring in what is wrong with rivers. It's clear as day there's something wrong with him and if I had to guess I'd say he's having elbow issues. His throws are really off and against rodgers and co. you better be razor sharp to keep up. Chargers will get blasted if rivers doesn't get his arm back.
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no1here
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
5914
#20
not a true statement especially against team on short rest
Originally posted by brahmabull117
teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18130
#21
The line will be more like -5.5, the 3.5 was an early line.
Either way won't be surprised to see the Chargers cover and win SU here.
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crustyme
SBR Posting Legend
09-29-10
16896
#22
Originally posted by k13
The line will be more like -5.5, the 3.5 was an early line.
Either way won't be surprised to see the Chargers cover and win SU here.
chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.
but you think the line will be -5.5?
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nato3713
SBR Rookie
09-27-11
46
#23
-6 (-110) at 5dimes just now
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#24
Originally posted by crustyme
chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.
but you think the line will be -5.5?
Wow the Chargers are undefeated at home against who? Chiefs, dolphins, Vikings. Those are some stellar teams.
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Full Time Hobo
SBR MVP
05-16-10
2778
#25
Does SD have a healthy RB?
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DJ Dana
SBR Sharp
10-11-11
342
#26
Originally posted by crustyme
chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.
but you think the line will be -5.5?
I wouldn't call those home wins by San Diego encouraging for that team. They held off a lousy Minn team that was being led by a worn out McNabb, barely held off a KC team that was still dinged up AND also narrowly beat Miami. SD is just not the same this year.
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PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#27
With the theatrics of the NFL,San-Diego along with Rivers debacle on national TV, this opens the door for an epic upset over the Packers this weekend................
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18130
#28
Originally posted by crustyme
chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.
but you think the line will be -5.5?
Am I wrong? Check the lines now....
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#29
Looks like the line is -6 or -7
I would still take it. Anything under 7
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veeds1690
SBR High Roller
10-06-11
178
#30
Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
Does SD have a healthy RB?
Matthews groin injury, Brinkley with concussion. I'm sure as the week goes on we find out who'll be in there.
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Full Time Hobo
SBR MVP
05-16-10
2778
#31
Originally posted by veeds1690
Matthews groin injury, Brinkley with concussion. I'm sure as the week goes on we find out who'll be in there.
+ Tolbert with Hamstring and Hand injury
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bigsmitty
SBR MVP
04-12-10
3026
#32
Originally posted by letitride87
I don't think vegas is factoring in what is wrong with rivers. It's clear as day there's something wrong with him and if I had to guess I'd say he's having elbow issues. His throws are really off and against rodgers and co. you better be razor sharp to keep up. Chargers will get blasted if rivers doesn't get his arm back.
Agreed. Haven't had time to scope anything out for details but GB -6 would have my vote. Ciao
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marcojuiceman
SBR MVP
05-25-11
2870
#33
I will take the Chargers for the Money Line they just lost and its time for the Pack to Loss Using the 360> rule
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18130
#34
Unless this line hits -7 at sharp shops, take the Chargers with a sprinkle on the ML.
Line is way inflated.
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tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#35
be glad anyone who got it at -3.5, i see it at -6 and -7 some places already.