unloading on brewers ml +127 today

trytrytry · 10-13-11, 08:07 AM

gutzy call...hard to play this team on the road unless it like +150....best of luck on your huge wager tonight.

tanner40 · 10-13-11, 08:09 AM

Good luck lb. I am leaning brew crew but will probably play them small.

Bbr · 10-13-11, 08:22 AM

Leaning brewers as well

BIGDAY · 10-13-11, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Mil pitcher Wolf gets the job done tonight and mil evens it up

Mil +127 (10x)

Let's slam this fukker!!!!

No coincidences · 10-13-11, 08:41 AM

Really don't like that this opened at +105 at 5dimes LB.

Goat Milk · 10-13-11, 08:43 AM

good luck laker. i'm going to take tigers. if i win, i will follow you on this one

wtt0315 · 10-13-11, 08:48 AM

Gl though I went cardinals rl I don't think this game will be close

Ice House · 10-13-11, 08:50 AM

LB you think Rangers have a shot tonight too?

lakerboy · 10-13-11, 09:17 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Really don't like that this opened at +105 at 5dimes LB.

I don't care what it opened at. Mil will win today.

lakerboy · 10-13-11, 09:18 AM

I wouldn't take the rangers icer but u never know.

paco · 10-13-11, 09:21 AM

GL.

jjgold · 10-13-11, 09:22 AM

All over Brewers myself
This one will be over early

neverstoppers23 · 10-13-11, 09:34 AM

Prince Fielder, and Braun, this is your time to shine, if not now when. Braun had an off game, for game of the playoffs. Hopefully he gets back to roaring today. I have a good feeling about this game for some reason. Just has that feeling that brewers will fight it out.

james4512 · 10-13-11, 09:35 AM

if you like the brewers might as well parlay with the over because the cardinals can hit and wolf will give up a few

lakerboy · 10-13-11, 09:43 AM

Wolf will pitch a good game tonight. This park is made for him.

jjgold · 10-13-11, 10:13 AM

Brewers
Sharps in them

GimpedMaster · 10-13-11, 10:17 AM

Ouch, 'turrible' move!

Cards win tonight easy...

Lohse is due for a gem and Wolf has been atrocious.

benjy · 10-13-11, 10:19 AM

Why do you think Wolf steps up? He's been crap. I'm no fan of Lohse either. Over 8.5 looks like the tasty play.

Love The Action · 10-13-11, 10:23 AM

I dont really see an edge for either team with this pitching matchup, but would probably give a slight advantage to Lohse based on his superior WAR rating and situational splits.

I think today's game is more of a coinflip than a game to go big. What are you seeing to make you go big? Wolf has a solid history against the cards, but I dont think that's enough to "unload." Just curious as to what you see in this one to warrant such a big play?

As always, I wish you luck and hope you cash that ticket.

vyomguy · 10-13-11, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Brewers
Sharps in them

God...when this idiot jjgold keeps bumping the thread up on a team...its usally a loss. LB you are doomed by jjgold.

JMobile · 10-13-11, 10:25 AM

Lets do it, LB.

Holtgetsback · 10-13-11, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by benjy

Why do you think Wolf steps up? He's been crap. I'm no fan of Lohse either. Over 8.5 looks like the tasty play.

agree with benjy

BigDofBA · 10-13-11, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Brewers
Sharps in them

Lol. What "sharps" are on the Brewers?

Do you know sharps? Who is sharp? I'm just curious.

GoBlue23 · 10-13-11, 10:44 AM

Brewers -1.5 +190 looks mighty tasty

wtt0315 · 10-13-11, 10:53 AM

wolf is 6-7 on the road this season. I cant bet that small line on someone with a losing record on the road. I really dont think you should bet against the cardinals right now. Momentem is everything and they have it. Finishing the season the way they did and then beating the phillies. Lohse is 2-0 with a 1.50 era in his last 3 starts and 6-1 with a 3.23 era in his last 10. This line would need to be +160 or better for me to take mlk. The rl is the way to go. I see this game being a 6-2 type of game. Don't get wrapped up in the brewers has a better record etc etc. This game is about momentum and the cardinals have it.

rb3b3 · 10-13-11, 10:57 AM

well lb im gonna roll with you tonight... the bad news is everytime i roll with you i get blasted... im not saying anything bad about your capping skills, im just saying i can never hit when i tail you... hoping tonight will be different!!! lets cash!! brew ml for 500 brew alt run line -1.5 for 250!! risking 750 to win 1100! lets get it!

benjy · 10-13-11, 11:00 AM

Playing well, I might buy into. Maybe. Momentum? Not a chance.

If one's just looking at recent examples momentum didn't work out too well for the Rays.

pokerplayer22 · 10-13-11, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Mil pitcher Wolf gets the job done tonight and mil evens it up

Mil +127 (10x)

Actually, I completely agree...Im all over the Brewers tonights as well. Best of luck!!

wtt0315 · 10-13-11, 11:07 AM

i think sometimes people get to caught up in finding a dog to play instead of looking at the actual facts of the game. I know we all need action and their are only 2 games to pick from but this should be a cardinals play or a no play. I wish everyone luck that plays as i am not one of these people that want you to lose, i would rather the books lose, but i just cant bet the brewers tonight. Momentum does play a big part of these series. Tampa was just overpowered by a much better team. The cardinals are not that overpowered by the brewers. Don't get me wrong the brewers are a good team and can win this game, but i just dont think this line warrents a large bet in their favor.

cowboyfan08 · 10-13-11, 11:13 AM

Unloading with u!!!!!also riding them damn no hitting tigers too!brew crew will even things up tonite!damn tigers piss me off,series also should be tied.

raidersfan · 10-13-11, 11:16 AM

I'll be taling today, lets roll with the brew crew.

Goat Milk · 10-13-11, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by wtt0315

wolf is 6-7 on the road this season. I cant bet that small line on someone with a losing record on the road. I really dont think you should bet against the cardinals right now. Momentem is everything and they have it. Finishing the season the way they did and then beating the phillies. Lohse is 2-0 with a 1.50 era in his last 3 starts and 6-1 with a 3.23 era in his last 10. This line would need to be +160 or better for me to take mlk. The rl is the way to go. I see this game being a 6-2 type of game. Don't get wrapped up in the brewers has a better record etc etc. This game is about momentum and the cardinals have it.

wo. those are not good stats for the brewers. the part about momentum is true but laker is not going to change his bet. he will never change his bet by reading these paragraphs of stats

rb3b3 · 10-13-11, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by wtt0315

i think sometimes people get to caught up in finding a dog to play instead of looking at the actual facts of the game. I know we all need action and their are only 2 games to pick from but this should be a cardinals play or a no play. I wish everyone luck that plays as i am not one of these people that want you to lose, i would rather the books lose, but i just cant bet the brewers tonight. Momentum does play a big part of these series. Tampa was just overpowered by a much better team. The cardinals are not that overpowered by the brewers. Don't get me wrong the brewers are a good team and can win this game, but i just dont think this line warrents a large bet in their favor.

do you see any value in the alt run line brew - 1.5 +190?

toddorts · 10-13-11, 11:21 AM

I never pay any attention to momentum in baseball betting. Momentum matters in hockey and football, but baseball is all about the stats regressing towards the mean. The Brewers have the slightly better hitting stats here, and the pitching is evenly matched. I agree with LTA above that this is pretty much a coin flip game. With a coin flip, I'm taking the dog when it's +125. It's all about value.

As far as "unloading," this is baseball, people. Never "unload" or go "all in" on any single play in baseball. Hell, don't do it on any sport, really, but especially baseball.