5.6 Million Dollar Prize to Break Dimaggio's Streak on MLB.com

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  • yisman
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-01-08
    • 75682

    #36
    Originally posted by revnecro1273
    if you think it is that big of a long shot, then why only 20-1?
    You want to negotiate? The fair line would be higher, I think, but I went with whatever I thought would get action.

    If you post up the points, I'll offer you 30/1.
    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
    [/quote]

    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
    Comment
    • Bigmikesm
      SBR MVP
      • 06-17-09
      • 1616

      #37
      Too hard to pick 30 game hit streak. I'm out.
      Comment
      • revnecro1273
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-09
        • 1698

        #38
        Originally posted by yisman
        You want to negotiate? The fair line would be higher, I think, but I went with whatever I thought would get action.

        If you post up the points, I'll offer you 30/1.

        i doubt anyone will hit it either...was just saying since it is such a long shot, shouldn't it be something like 100-1+
        Comment
        • BettingWizard
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-28-09
          • 6522

          #39
          It's the same odds as a real baseball player hitting 56 in a row. It's free, and would you say it's even 5.6 million odds to hit this? Maybe a million to one
          Comment
          • rm18
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-20-05
            • 22291

            #40
            I got 14 in a row now getting hyped up
            Comment
            • clairvoyance
              Restricted User
              • 06-06-11
              • 115

              #41
              Originally posted by rm18
              I missed the first day

              this is unreal value it really is not that impossible
              you literally have a better chance of hitting the lottery than winning this contest
              Comment
              • clairvoyance
                Restricted User
                • 06-06-11
                • 115

                #42
                actually, you literally have a better chance of hitting the lottery in consecutive weeks than winning this contest
                Comment
                • BestPlay2day
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-25-08
                  • 5794

                  #43
                  Better chance of winning the lottery than hitting 57 in a row. My best this year is 12.
                  Comment
                  • rm18
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-20-05
                    • 22291

                    #44
                    no it is like hitting 57 straight foul shots can be done, preliminary pick for tomorrow Dee Gordon
                    Comment
                    • clairvoyance
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-06-11
                      • 115

                      #45
                      Originally posted by rm18
                      no it is like hitting 57 straight foul shots can be done, preliminary pick for tomorrow Dee Gordon
                      foul shots can be 90% to hit. there's no player in the majors right now thats more than a 50% to get a hit in a game, maybe if you include bad pitching matchups its 60%. the odds are of hitting a 60% chance 56 times in a row is over 1 in a trillion
                      Comment
                      • rm18
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-20-05
                        • 22291

                        #46
                        Originally posted by clairvoyance
                        foul shots can be 90% to hit. there's no player in the majors right now thats more than a 50% to get a hit in a game, maybe if you include bad pitching matchups its 60%. the odds are of hitting a 60% chance 56 times in a row is over 1 in a trillion
                        no player is 60% I will hit well over 80% this year. Ichiro in his prime got a hit over 85% of games
                        Comment
                        • rm18
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-20-05
                          • 22291

                          #47
                          I am 54/66 but some of those I did not really try if I did not have a streak built up
                          Comment
                          • ryanspeer2001
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-30-08
                            • 3149

                            #48
                            I would love to see someone nail this but even the guys who got to the low 40's still have a long road ahead of them.
                            Comment
                            • stikymess
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-19-10
                              • 3288

                              #49
                              The person with the longest streak for the year gets a payday, maybe that's something more reachable.
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #50
                                I'm at a 10 gamer right now.

                                And yeah, you probably have a better chance at the lottery than Joe D's streak.
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • rm18
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-20-05
                                  • 22291

                                  #51
                                  2 hits for my 50% shot, just got to take the guy with the best chance not the stars like a lot of guys.
                                  Comment
                                  • rm18
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-20-05
                                    • 22291

                                    #52
                                    Looks like Jose Reyes tomorrow to get me 16
                                    Comment
                                    • donnyguru
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-14-06
                                      • 231

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by rm18
                                      Looks like Jose Reyes tomorrow to get me 16
                                      Reyes and Jose Bautista took down 32% of entries yesterday. I am at 15 also, and took Asdrubal Cabrera. Good luck.
                                      Comment
                                      • rm18
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-20-05
                                        • 22291

                                        #54
                                        Reyes got a couple hits already, tomorrow back to Dee Gordon it looks like
                                        Comment
                                        • wiffle
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-07-10
                                          • 610

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                          foul shots can be 90% to hit. there's no player in the majors right now thats more than a 50% to get a hit in a game, maybe if you include bad pitching matchups its 60%. the odds are of hitting a 60% chance 56 times in a row is over 1 in a trillion

                                          lololololololol 50%

                                          some players are 75%+

                                          unlikely anyone gets it, but some people have gotten into the high 40s before
                                          Comment
                                          • rm18
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-20-05
                                            • 22291

                                            #56
                                            Unreal 0-6 at Coors unreal Gordon you quick little jigaboo

                                            should of took Jamey arging Carroll
                                            Comment
                                            • yisman
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-01-08
                                              • 75682

                                              #57
                                              I don't get why you're taking a guy with no track record, anyway.

                                              I take established proven guys. You don't know what you're going to get from a guy who made his major league debut this month.
                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                              [/quote]

                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                              Comment
                                              • ThaWoj
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-09-10
                                                • 6766

                                                #58
                                                jon jay burned me today. i wanted to take a lefty and every single lefty on the cards got a hit except for him. lol. oh well time to start a new streak.
                                                Comment
                                                • yisman
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                  • 75682

                                                  #59
                                                  Carlos Gonzalez got me to 12 on Monday night.

                                                  Amazingly, he was not on the list of most selected players.
                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                  [/quote]

                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jrod124
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-31-09
                                                    • 5622

                                                    #60
                                                    My bro just got to 20 tonight. Its exciting and fun but like yisman said very difficult to do
                                                    Comment
                                                    • yisman
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                      • 75682

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by revnecro1273
                                                      i doubt anyone will hit it either...was just saying since it is such a long shot, shouldn't it be something like 100-1+

                                                      No.


                                                      Anyway, top active right now is 28.
                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                      [/quote]

                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rm18
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-20-05
                                                        • 22291

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by yisman
                                                        Carlos Gonzalez got me to 12 on Monday night.

                                                        Amazingly, he was not on the list of most selected players.
                                                        I do not pick home player or guys goung against the Padres because of their bullpen, had Headley but dont matter I messed up
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ThaWoj
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-09-10
                                                          • 6766

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by yisman
                                                          Carlos Gonzalez got me to 12 on Monday night.

                                                          Amazingly, he was not on the list of most selected players.
                                                          gonzo was my selection as well for monday night!

                                                          saw he had nothin in the first 2 AB's but didnt check the rest of the game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ThaWoj
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 6766

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by rm18
                                                            I do not pick home player or guys goung against the Padres because of their bullpen, had Headley but dont matter I messed up
                                                            i chose him b/c the pads had some no-name pitcher startin and i didnt like any of the other matchups. why do u not pick home players?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • rm18
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-20-05
                                                              • 22291

                                                              #65
                                                              home players get less ABS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • yisman
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-01-08
                                                                • 75682

                                                                #66
                                                                They may get less ABs in certain games, yes, but I am willing to take home players. If they don't bat in the 9th, it's because they're winning, and if they're winning, they probably had more plate appearances than the road team anyway.

                                                                My criteria is pretty simple:

                                                                1)Hittable starting pitcher.
                                                                2)Reliable hitter who doesn't take too many walks and bats in the top 3 of his lineup.
                                                                3)Higher total, although this can be waived for Ichiro.
                                                                4)Hitter who has not had many hitless days recently.

                                                                I don't factor in the bullpens or home/away
                                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                [/quote]

                                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Galante118
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-26-11
                                                                  • 220

                                                                  #67
                                                                  im def gonna start this. cant hurt to try for 5.6 million! guys complaing about the odds are forgetting something, your not betting a dollar to win 5.6 million at odds of 1 to however hard this is to complete, your bettin absolutly nothing and it takes 5 minutes out of your day
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kfranz31
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-09-10
                                                                    • 1186

                                                                    #68
                                                                    its free and you have as good of chance of winning the lottery and how many people put cash in the lottery
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LGHT
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 04-18-11
                                                                      • 513

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I think the whole thing is a waste of time and a distraction if your betting trying to make money. Stay focused and spend that time and effort betting mlb.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DevilCheese
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 07-18-09
                                                                        • 485

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I figure you should be able to find a batter with a 70% chance of getting a hit each day, then .7^57 = 0.00000000148 or about 1 in 750 million, then 6/750 = 0.008 which puts the EV at less than a penny per day. I think there are more profitable and less frustrating ways to spend your time
                                                                        Comment
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