Bad runs...

[Justin7]

3 day spell: 26-46-1, -23.39 units.

What do you guys do when you hit a run like this? (This is a serious question, and there is a "right" answer I am looking for).

[Masu485]

I'd rather go 26-46 than 0-20.

[jwbama23]

drink a lot of alcohol

[ACoochy]

Dont overthink it Justin. Put simply this is the reason why we call it gambling. Its all about the numbers and when regression happens it happens, no matter who you are (paul the octopus excluded)...If the grind is beginning to take effect then take a couple of days off and relax then come back and hit it hard (personal strategy)....GL

[Masu485]

Dont overthink it Justin. Put simply this is the reason why we call it gambling. Its all about the numbers and when regression happens it happens, no matter who you are (paul the octopus excluded)...If the grind is beginning to take effect then take a couple of days off and relax then come back and hit it hard (personal strategy)....GL

Even Paul the Octopus couldn't handle the stress of being a winner.

[iifold]

Or...

You could go Tout and win every single day...

Whenever you're ready Justin, Let the King know, I'll be your agent...

[lemart5]

Stop being sharp

[Pete0]

Do not vary your stake size, its just variance

[doublej95]

I go over my notes to see if i'm missing something. if you are confident in your capping just play it out.

[Brp27345]

Raise ur next 50 bets slightly... should be a market correction in your future...

[iceminers26]

IMO, lower units, when running bad I feel you should lalways ower your units until you regain your confidence. Every player will go through ruts like this from time to time and if you can manage the overall damage during these rough patches, it will increase your annual profits.

[Extra Innings]

Just be happy you have something to fall back on.

[opie1988]

Nothing.

I just carry on......probably because I've been 26-46 many,many times.

[mikejamm]

I feel ya Justin man! I can't get shit to hit lately!

[No coincidences]

I'm in a very similar rut. Trying to just take a break, but it's hard. I definitely have the itch; 24 hours feels like 24 days. Plus, all of my leans have hit today.

[No coincidences]

I think the fact that you've played 73 games in three days has something to do with it.

For me, the higher-traffic days always hurt because I play too many games. And I don't care how good of a capper you are: the more games you play in bunches, the closer to .500 (or worse) you get.

[VegasInsider]

73 plays in 3 days? Seems like A LOT of action for three days.

I tend to play a lot on Saturday's and Sunday's (due to soccer and hoops)...but 25 plays per day is a whole hell of a lot.

I guess my suggestion is to tone it down a bit?

[Art Vandelay]

Got burned on GTech +20. Down 20 with 30 secs to go, they had a 2 on 1 fast break. The guy throws it away - Duke goes the other way for an easy slam dunk. GT misses a jumper and then of course they rim out a 3 pointer at the buzzer - lose by 22. UnF'nbelievable!

[robzilla]

Dont overthink it Justin. Put simply this is the reason why we call it gambling. Its all about the numbers and when regression happens it happens, no matter who you are (paul the octopus excluded)...If the grind is beginning to take effect then take a couple of days off and relax then come back and hit it hard (personal strategy)....GL

I completely agree. Sometimes you can go over the number over and over again, and it doesnt make a dif. I dont think number crunching can replace reading the previews or watching the games to determine an edge. Take a break and determine what you need to add or take away from ur analysis.

[Flexin]

If I had a bad run like that I would stop betting so many games in such a short period of time. I used to get carried away at times. Its a bit easier to find the best game of the day and stick with that. I used to make way to many bets. Some days were great. Others not so good. But what I like to do now is find the games I like, pick the best and bet that one. Then I take all or most of the ones I like and toss on a parlay that is smaller then what my single bet is. If my single wins I can make a profit for the day. If they both win it can be a good day.

James

[Buried_PIRATE]

yeah... that was a ton of plays. do you really think you had an edge over the books 73 times in 3 days?

flip a coin long enough and you can come across some interesting streaks, meaningless as long as u dont fuk ur bankroll

[minet123]

1)Steam is for the sauna-next years Bob or Ed is right around the corner, PLAY YOUR OWN PLAYS
2)No more than 2% of the bankroll per game and no more than 10% for the day-73 plays over 3 days,what are you nuts

[pokernut9999]

I went 0-8 so far today , thank goodness for poker.

[FourLengthsClear]

On this basis that I use a slightly modified version of Kelly and my stakes are being, by default, lowered, I don't change anything. If the losses are being piled up in one sport/league I will review trends and/or models to see if anything in breaking down that might indicate that the streak is not just variance.

[DrStale]

lol at SBR posters giving Justin betting advice

[opie1988]

lol at SBR posters giving Justin betting advice

100% agree.

Justin's as sharp as they come.........

[Gee]

I don't think you can look over that many games in a day. Variance just hurt you - you are still hitting over 53%

We also all know that college totals can be a complete crapshoot, which accounted for 6 of those losses.

Take a break and play less games for a bit. Look at each game you selected and see if its one you really should have played...

[Stallion]

Bet on less games??

[ApricotSinner32]

1)Steam is for the sauna-next years Bob or Ed is right around the corner, PLAY YOUR OWN PLAYS
2)No more than 2% of the bankroll per game and no more than 10% for the day-73 plays over 3 days,what are you nuts

So casinos taking thousands of bets per hour is nuts? Minet this post is a major fail.

[crustyme]

pay for picks.

[The Seer]

Do like jj says and bet both sides of a game or fade the rubberband plays.

[gafl]

Like the advice above, take a break. Gambling can become a grind, a couple of days away is good. Also check if it is usual for you to play that many games a day. When you come back, ease into it until you feel comfortable again.

[obamaismyuncle]

fade yourself, seriously fade your own leans

[lakerboy]

Just keep making bets the waya you have always done. Nothing fazes me. The emotional part is gone for me a long time ago. If you believe in your own style and if it has worked before it will work again.

[d2bets]

Don't change a thing.