2 Main Reasons Why Gamblers Go Bust

[polskboy]

do you think if i made my own #'s.. that i would actually think that that my line will be more accurate than 200 linesmakers who sit there with computers and have 534,242 different things they look at that i dont? how can i even compete with that? what will make me believe that my # will be right and all of these guys are wrong?? these guys do this for a living. do you have any idea how much research is put into making these lines. i have an easier way and less time consuming.. why not just sit there and let them do all the hard work, and then i will just sit down with my hot chocolate, watch the screen and just bet anything that is off that. now isn't that much easier, and much more certain i am doing it right.

you right

[Jrod124]

online casinos have to be No. 3

[obamaismyuncle]

Its a learning experience

I've seen a bunch of kids (18-25yo) over the years come on the various forums who were going to become rich betting sports.

99% ended up as a sad sob story

Correct. I know ten times more about sports betting now than I did when I placed my first bet around two years ago. Get rich quick thing it is not, that's forsure.

[Karayilan9]

No.1 reason most go bust is emotions, they think they are legendary cappers when winning a few game but feel like the world caves in after a few losses. Being emotionally unstable is a curse of the wannabe capper.

[polskboy]

so nicky you dont follow sharp move?

[obamaismyuncle]

They also go bust betting games like tonight. Going all in on the Giants ML -200 cause they see no way the Giants will start the year 1-3. That type of thinking is disasterous.

[Sam Odom]

Correct. I know ten times more about sports betting now than I did when I placed my first bet around two years ago. Get rich quick thing it is not, that's forsure.

I've quoted this for years (I forget where/who said it) "Gambling isnt about you against the casino/"man" it is about you against yourself"

We are our own worst enemy!

[obamaismyuncle]

How many SBR posters laid a bunch of cash out on Indy? I'm sure alot of them did and lost a huge load. What was the Indy ML? Like -300 or more..

[polskboy]

http://video.sbrforum.com/video-1360-Nicky-Corbin-Bookmaker-Phone-Call-Part-3.html

[obamaismyuncle]

I've quoted this for years (I forget where/who said it) "Gambling isnt about you against the casino/"man" it is about you against yourself"

We are our own worst enemy!

true.

[Nicky Santoro]

so nicky you dont follow sharp move?

i do it all.. i play steam, i play weak #'s.. i do anything i can to get an edge.
any edge you can get, TAKE IT.


in order to have a chance to make money in this business, you need to grab every edge you can get.. without this, you have NO CHANCE.. and by that, i mean to end up with the best line possible when that game starts.

if you're not beating the closer consistently, then can i give you all advice..... QUIT GAMBLING NOW... before it's too late.. or at least give your money to charity, at least it will go to a good cause because it certainly won't end up in your pockets at the end.. now that i can assure you.

[ronald]

i do it all.. i play steam, i play weak #'s.. i do anything i can to get an edge.
any edge you can get, TAKE IT.


in order to have a chance to make money in this business, you need to grab every edge you can get.. without this, you have NO CHANCE.. and by that, i mean to end up with the best line possible when that game starts.

if you're not beating the closer consistently, then can i give you all advice..... QUIT GAMBLING NOW... before it's too late.. or at least give your money to charity, at least it will go to a good cause because it certainly won't end up in your pockets at the end.. now that i can assure you.

Dindon.

Grossomodo.

[Sam Odom]

How many SBR posters laid a bunch of cash out on Indy?

[pavyracer]

do you think if i made my own #'s.. that i would actually think that that my line will be more accurate than 200 linesmakers who sit there with computers and have 534,242 different things they look at that i dont? how can i even compete with that?

what will make me believe that my # will be right and all of these guys are wrong?? these guys do this for a living. do you have any idea how much research is put into making these lines.


i have an easier way and less time consuming.. why not just sit there and let them do all the hard work, and then i will just sit down with my hot chocolate, watch the screen and just bet anything that is off that. now isn't that much easier, and much more certain i am doing it right.

I'm not saying play every game on the board. Make numbers for all the games you like. Then compare to book's numbers. If the book's number is off play it.

For example today I made a number for jets -13. The book had a -5.5. I bet the Jets and they won by 20+ plus. Book makes a mistake you have to capitalize.

[Nicky Santoro]

this is a very true statement here regarding stats and handicapping...

"The more you know, the less successful you will be"


every single sports expert, whether it's those ESPN radio guys, OR columnists, or even the 9 guys i know in life who can name you every stat humanly possible, every player in every sport and what college they went to, etc... are all broke or are doing so bad in gambling..

and the 8 most successful guys i have met in my life here that gamble, could not name you 60 players in total in american sports. they are just math guys..

do you boys still think you can handicap this shit?? oh yeah, that's right, you guys know that team A is 9-2 in night games and 6-0 vs teams in their division.. yeah, that really helps alot..

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

Its def. Better to vary your bet size....


Esp. If you have two bets.

That way you win or lose, because breaking even sux

[Sam Odom]

Nicky , you go on one of these rants about 4x year

STFU already

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

Good point nickay....

I´m a part time math teacher... And i do pretty good.

Re read basic algebra... Probability and expected value.

Then apply it to each bet you make.

[obamaismyuncle]

Nicky , you go on one of these rants about 4x year

STFU already

[Nicky Santoro]

Good point nickay....

I´m a part time math teacher... And i do pretty good.

Re read basic algebra... Probability and expected value.

Then apply it to each bet you make.

finally a guy that understands that gambling has nothing to do with picking winners.

and to the poster above this guy who said i say this 4x a year.. i say this to help the kids here. there might be 8 guys on this board that know me now. everyone is a new face here to me now and no one knows anything about my past here.. so i am only trying to help the kids by educating them before they lose all their money..

[obamaismyuncle]

I'm not saying play every game on the board. Make numbers for all the games you like. Then compare to book's numbers. If the book's number is off play it.

For example today I made a number for jets -13. The book had a -5.5. I bet the Jets and they won by 20+ plus. Book makes a mistake you have to capitalize.

alot of shit that comes from this pavyracer dude is definately worth paying attention too..people can learn alot from him.

[Sam Odom]

and to the poster above this guy who said i say this 4x a year.. i say this to help the kids here.

you're wasting your breath

[shari91]

If I was actually a decent tennis capper, I'd take Nicky up on his 10k challenge. Come beat the closing number in tennis and let me know how that works out for you. Actually I'll save you the time and money since I've documented it a hundred times over in my thread - beating the closing number in tennis means jack shit. In fact, more times than not you will lose if the price is moving in your favour thanks to all the squares who bet 'name' players and based on ranking, ignoring everything else.

Considering the person who started this thread purports to bet $100 a game on his spreadsheet but also wants us to believe he's using a beard in Vegas to place $3k bets - which most people with half a brain cell would realize was utter bullshit anyway - why should anyone pay attention to his theories on why people go bust? So much for flat betting, huh Gold?

Silly thread although I do think people should pay attention to what Pavy's trying to say in here.

[obamaismyuncle]

finally a guy that understands that gambling has nothing to do with picking winners.

and to the poster above this guy who said i say this 4x a year.. i say this to help the kids here. there might be 8 guys on this board that know me now. everyone is a new face here to me now and no one knows anything about my past here.. so i am only trying to help the kids by educating them before they lose all their money..

Not to be a dick but you come off like Fishhead, you're not gonna help any kids, you will just confuse the fukk out of them just like Fishhead.

[TodaysAction]

Bet more than they should
Do not bet same amount per game all the time

One needs to pick/select/wager more action/games correct against the line they took.

In certain situations it's better to flat bet, just like to weigh it.

Know your strengths as well as your weaknesses and take advantage of them.

[statnerds]

JJ is awesome at generating traffic. I have yet to read through this, but any time I see Nicky post multiple times in a thread, I am gonna read that bitch.

and if no one said so yet, the main reason guys go bust is because the House has a infinite BR and you do not. Variance is mudderfukker...

[constrictor]

this thread is useful

[byronbb]

When you add up their loses it is greater than their income.

[jjgold]

Well if you tell me betting lets say $50 on 2 games and then betting maybe $80 on another and the the next night you bet one game for $300 is a good thing I swear you need to stop gambling now

There is no such thing as a team having a better shot to win a game vs other plays.

[TodaysAction]

People will back stronger opinions with more money - right or wrong isn't the question, this is fact.

[polskboy]

Well if you tell me betting lets say $50 on 2 games and then betting maybe $80 on another and the the next night you bet one game for $300 is a good thing I swear you need to stop gambling now There is no such thing as a team having a better shot to win a game vs other plays.

true statement jj.

[donjuan]

Nicky,

Who do you think moves lines if no one wins at handicapping? God?

[Nicky Santoro]

Nicky,

Who do you think moves lines if no one wins at handicapping? God?

donny, welcome back, i thought you were dead. i haven't seen you in yrs.. donny, you know damn right what i mean... i am talking about the kids here and your everyday gambler that handicaps games and lays -110 and never shop.. not those computer groups, syndicates, and pros out there...

there's only a handful of them worldwide and there are certainly none at SBR..

[frostno98]

alot of you might not like to hear this, but its FACT..

gambling has NOTHING to do with being able to pick winners. that's right.. NOTHING..

Then would you kindly explain Playboys 15-0 winning streak

[TexansFan]

If you don't know the math then you should be flat betting.