Lock of the Year #2 Steelers -1

[Patrick McIrish]

LOCK CITY! I have this one 35-0 Steelers. Tampa shouldn't even be on the same field as this Pitt team......

[ManBearPig]

The under is a better play here IMO and I would give that stronger consideration than Pitt on the side. Their offense is non-existent and their defense isn't scoring 35 pts alone, I see a 17-14 type game here with TB playing getting the W. The public is all over Pitt and the line has dropped (RLM)...I wouldn't bet on that fact alone but I would watch and see how it plays out. Each to their own though...good luck!

[fedtpels]

who does the steelers have as back up qb? leftwich was released right and dixon got injured?

[Reno Paul]

who does the steelers have as back up qb? leftwich was released right and dixon got injured?

Charlie Batch

[TheCommish]

Love the Steelers this week. THe D can win game alone.. and Batch is better than Dixon.

[floridagolfer]

When I saw this line earlier in the week, I told a friend of mine, "Please stop me from going all-in on the Steelers." This game does look too easy. But you never know when someone gets a fluke TD for a back-door cover or even an outright upset. And as much as I think the Steelers win if they manage to score 14 points, I don't know if they can even do that. When you get seven turnovers like they did last week, the last thing you should be doing is worrying about batting down a Hail Mary pass in the final minute. Pittsburgh's QB situation is such a mess, the offense truly should worry anyone backing this team.

How many first downs did Pittsburgh manage with Batch at QB last week? I think it was one, but regardless . . .

I want to unload on Steelers, but I think going a bit more conservative might be the way to go.

Good luck to all.

[Smoke]

who does the steelers have as back up qb? leftwich was released right and dixon got injured?

Leftwich was released but then re-signed just the other day. I expect they would start Batch and because he is a better QB in my opinion and Leftwich would be the backup.. It doesn't matter who the steelers start start though. They will pound the football and play defense and stick it to the bucs.

[sweetjones55]

seems to easy....

How does this seem too easy? Pittsburgh is on the road, playing an undefeated team, and are starting their 3rd string quarterback.

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

i love when everyone hops on a team like pitt in this situation- so once the closing line is +3 or 3.5 I jump on for the kill

[CHAZ]

As much as I like the Steelers and feel like its an easy win, I'll bet on the Bucs.

WHEN I SEE A VEGAS LINE AND THINK WTF!?! THEY ARE ALWAYS RIGHT ON....

Vegas doesn't give gifts

[Smoke]

Some of you are missing the point. I keep hearing "tampa bay 2-0".. Again, tell me who in the fukk the bucs beat. That's right they beat the cleveland clowns who are gonna end up starting 0-10 before they even get a win (look at their schedule) and the carolina panthers who are starting rookie jimmy clausen. On the other side you have the steelers who with the same qb situation(minus dixon now) beat the falcons(who scored 40+ in week 2 after losing to pitt) and the titans(7 turnovers) both playoff teams. Both weeks the steelers seemed "too easy". Steelers were 3 point and 6 point dogs. For those expecting Tampa Bay to go 3-0 go to your doctor and get ur head checked.

[Smoke]

As much as I like the Steelers and feel like its an easy win, I'll bet on the Bucs.

WHEN I SEE A VEGAS LINE AND THINK WTF!?! THEY ARE ALWAYS RIGHT ON....

Vegas doesn't give gifts

That's what vegas want you to think that way you second guess yourself. It's happened to me before where a line looked too easy and i thought it was a trap so i bet the other side and lost. Been there done that. Just use common sense.

What vegas does has NO EFFECT on the how the players on the field perform..

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

all i know is I thought the same thing last year when pitt played oakland- with big ben, and pitt trying to make the playoffs and what happened???

[k13]

You got lucky with Houston, which was no lock. You were probably shitting your pants watching your lock and wishing for your money back.

NE -1 was a lock last week too.

If the line goes up to 4 then at least you have a decent line/play but no such things as lock on the road in the NFL.

[k13]

Lets review Las Vegas locks so far

Indy -1 vs Houston Loss
Sf -1 vs Seattle Loss
GB -1 vs Philly Win
NE -1 vs NYJ Loss

[CHAZ]

That's what vegas want you to think that way you second guess yourself. It's happened to me before where a line looked too easy and i thought it was a trap so i bet the other side and lost. Been there done that. Just use common sense. What vegas does has NO EFFECT on the how the players on the field perform..

"Thats what Vegas whats you to think" lol Are you people serious that say that? Do you really believe Vegas is more concerned about trying to throw people off then coming out with the closes line possible. They are giving no one a lock or free money, that I guarantee. Steelers could easily win here, but obviously Vegas thinks the Bucs have a good chance as well. LOCKS don't exist in gambling.

[thebestthereis]

definitely no locks only game of the year or game of the century depending on what century you are currently in

[Smoke]

all i know is I thought the same thing last year when pitt played oakland- with big ben, and pitt trying to make the playoffs and what happened???

I think polamalu was injured and not playing. Polamalu means everything to this steelers team. Their defense is lost and struggles to win games without him.

[TiTlist]

i think the under is the best play here. 33.5 , vegas knows freeman wont do much and pitts will be all about running and field to win a low scoring game 13-10

[Smoke]

You got lucky with Houston, which was no lock. You were probably shitting your pants watching your lock and wishing for your money back.

NE -1 was a lock last week too.

If the line goes up to 4 then at least you have a decent line/play but no such things as lock on the road in the NFL.

All that matters is the win, it doesn't matter how you get there. Houston was the better team and the better team won even though it took icing the kicker to get it done. NE-1 was not a lock, the jet's were not gonna go 0-2 with both games being at their brand new stadium. The ravens defense is light years ahead the patriots defense and the jets only lost to the ravens by one. I wouldn've had jets if i had to take that game. Sanchez is a decent QB but he ran into the wall that was ray lewis and the ravens. He got it right in week 2

[Smoke]

"Thats what Vegas whats you to think" lol Are you people serious that say that? Do you really believe Vegas is more concerned about trying to throw people off then coming out with the closes line possible. They are giving no one a lock or free money, that I guarantee. Steelers could easily win here, but obviously Vegas thinks the Bucs have a good chance as well. LOCKS don't exist in gambling.

No matter what, it does throw people off and get them to second guess themselves. All over this thread i keep hearing "Steelers seems too easy, i'll take the bucs." That's a direct result of the the line that vegas put out. As far as the word "lock" i do agree that there is no suck thing as a lock, it's just a flashy word that we use for the fukk of it. To me the word "Lock" means "best chance of winning" or "win of the week". I just use the word for the fukk of it.

[Smoke]

i think the under is the best play here. 33.5 , vegas knows freeman wont do much and pitts will be all about running and field to win a low scoring game 13-10

Sounds good but i don't touch totals anymore. I stick with sides. If i had to take the total in this game i would agree with you on this one, gl

[CHAZ]

No matter what, it does throw people off and get them to second guess themselves. All over this thread i keep hearing "Steelers seems too easy, i'll take the bucs." That's a direct result of the the line that vegas put out. As far as the word "lock" i do agree that there is no suck thing as a lock, it's just a flashy word that we use for the fukk of it. To me the word "Lock" means "best chance of winning" or "win of the week". I just use the word for the fukk of it.

Goodluck to you this week sir. I'm passing on the game anyways.


I was thinking of betting the UNDER before the number came out but 33 is to low of a number for me.

[Smoke]

Goodluck to you this week sir. I'm passing on the game anyways.


I was thinking of betting the UNDER before the number came out but 33 is to low of a number for me.

Thanks chaz and good luck to you on ur plays as well.

[Plu$Money]

85% of the public on the steelers and dropped from -3 to -1.. I'll take the bucs at home

[$Burm$]

Remember last year when the Bucs started off the year 0-7 and then they hosted the Packers at home and beat them 38-28. Well that was an 0-7 Buccs team facing a team that had a QB and also a defense, now this team is 2-0 and have a young QB who is gaining confidence facing a team that has no offense to bring to the table. I dont think this line is off at all. I would actually be very surprised if the line moves in the Steelers favor, I say it'll be at a pick'em by game time.

[Smoke]

85% of the public on the steelers and dropped from -3 to -1.. I'll take the bucs at home

Not sure where you got that 85% number at. It's more like 69%.. Also the line dropped due to sharps pounding the steelers because batch or leftwich will be starting, not dixon. As I said before, it doesn't matter who is the QB for the steelers this week, the steelers will win this game on defense. However, the steelers will still put up points on offense. They are a run the ball play hard nosed defense team.

[KACK]

If the line looks to good to true than maybe it might be.... Do you really think Vegas makes line mistakes like this one.... I smell a sucker bet.... but GL

[Smoke]

If the line looks to good to true than maybe it might be.... Do you really think Vegas makes line mistakes like this one.... I smell a sucker bet.... but GL

The line isn't a mistake. Big Ben and Dixon are out, leaving Batch and Leftwich which forced the oddsmakers to adjust. I think if dixon was starting the line would still be the same but if Big Ben was playing this line would be more like 6 or 7

[kempf]

my problem with this is that we know points will be at a huge premium in this one and while yes i agree tb really hasnt played anyone im pretty convinced there d will keep pit in check and i am a big time Freeman believer, he isnt always pretty but the kid makes plays and in a game like this it gonna be one or two plays that wins this game. It could be pits D that makes them or the kid could get roughed up all day and still burn them with a play or two..honestly i doubt i play this game but i will be taking tb in all my pools as this the kind of game that keeps me winning them.......gl to everyone

[kempf]

Freeman=Big Ben minus the roofies

[uanl]

No matter what, it does throw people off and get them to second guess themselves. All over this thread i keep hearing "Steelers seems too easy, i'll take the bucs." That's a direct result of the the line that vegas put out. As far as the word "lock" i do agree that there is no suck thing as a lock, it's just a flashy word that we use for the fukk of it. To me the word "Lock" means "best chance of winning" or "win of the week". I just use the word for the fukk of it.

your theory about vegas wanting to throw people off is just not right...vegas doesn't play games like that, the percentages right now according to http://www.twominutewarning.com/bettracker.htm are at 85% for the steelers thus far... who's second guessing themselves? the recreational bettor doesnt look at things like public % and RLM or anything like that, they just see a line and they bet it if they like it...vegas is definitely not trying to make people "second guess" themselves...

[Smoke]

your theory about vegas wanting to throw people off is just not right...vegas doesn't play games like that, the percentages right now according to http://www.twominutewarning.com/bettracker.htm are at 85% for the steelers thus far... who's second guessing themselves? the recreational bettor doesnt look at things like public % and RLM or anything like that, they just see a line and they bet it if they like it...vegas is definitely not trying to make people "second guess" themselves...

The question is are people second guessing themselves?? The answer is yes. "Steelers look too easy, bad line, bucs for me." So many times i have seen a line that was considered to be too easy and it ends up covering. To be truthfull unless you was once and oddmaker or have been around one or know one you really don't know what things they do to come up with a line. Your probably right about the oddsmakers but they do put on weird lines that do have people second guessing themself.. I'm one that likes to look at percentages and bet on sharp plays with RLM, but certain situations call for common sense. In my opinion this is one of them.

[Chugs]

UNDER! ... Neither of these teams score more then 17 points.

[Smoke]

UNDER! ... Neither of these teams score more then 17 points.

Sounds like a winner, although it is possible that pitt scores 17 but don't worry i doubt tampa bay get's more than 6 points... goodluck