📢🏈 Bucs @ Eagles MNF *IN-GAME DISCUSSION* 📢🏈
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d2betsBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 39994
#106Comment -
Str8Mush4LifeSBR MVP
- 11-25-13
- 1030
#107So what is the official rule on taunting?
Can't get in another player's face, but Antonio Brown can get up screaming after every catch?Comment -
carolinakidSBR Posting Legend
- 01-12-11
- 19106
#108one thing for sure Dallas is the class of the east and nobody even closeComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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KiDBaZkiTSBR Posting Legend
- 10-20-09
- 14962
#111Somebody post the Rob Ryan Fukk yea!! Gif!!!!!!!!Comment -
ArunShSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-07
- 6801
#112Eagles +6.5, never in doubt!Comment -
mtneer1212SBR MVP
- 06-22-08
- 4993
#114I'd feel violated if I had the Bucs -6.5. I have Philly teased to +13, but man this is a bad loss for Buc backers.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#115Comment -
carolinakidSBR Posting Legend
- 01-12-11
- 19106
#116like i said before game, this was a very sharp line toniteComment -
AribaAribaSBR MVP
- 04-03-09
- 2922
#117For eagle backers this is a heavens gift. Down 21 and covering +7. Fuk ya!! Any guys im an sbr pro now *cheers.Comment -
ThaTopMoronBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-30-10
- 27020
#118there is no manipulation in NFL games
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AribaAribaSBR MVP
- 04-03-09
- 2922
#120Commentator were mentioning Bout segenerates worrying Bout the spread. They knownthe pt matters.Comment -
pickle_texasSBR Wise Guy
- 10-26-16
- 750
#123WTFComment -
ArunShSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-07
- 6801
#124As lucky as it was to win Eagles +6.5 would have felt pretty bad losing at end if Bucs scored near the end there due perhaps in large part to that "taunting" penalty.Comment -
Seattle SlewSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-02-06
- 7373
#126If Brate gets the first down on the 2nd down pass, Philly calls the last TO at 2:25, then 3 runs by Tampa around the 2-minute warning would have left about 20 seconds for the field goal or TD if they ran it in.
Comment -
JayDr3amSBR Posting Legend
- 05-06-14
- 18260
#127its disgusting how sharp the books are this year. wtfComment -
Cardsfan55SBR Sharp
- 07-01-20
- 498
#128Feel very lucky to get the win thereComment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
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d2betsBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 39994
#132+7 doesn't win. 6.5 was the prevailing and closing line. I think that's what they had in mind as the line for the game and absolutely that's why they went for 2.Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#133Many coaches go for 2 now in that spot. They have been for about 3 years now. Not all but the younger coaches do.Comment -
KermitBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-27-10
- 32555
#135
You conspiracy guys are nuts.Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#136Nah. Nothing to do with the line there. You see it a lot these days with the younger coaches because they use numbers that tell them it’s the best play math wise to go for 2 there. I knew once they got down there he would do that in 4th quarterComment -
xViperxXSBR Rookie
- 06-08-21
- 3
#137So how is LaLa Land these days?Comment -
dhristov211SBR MVP
- 12-18-15
- 2535
#138going for 2 is what everyone will do in 50 years
and what Staley the COTY does already todayComment -
AribaAribaSBR MVP
- 04-03-09
- 2922
#139Ok guys, from my sharp observation. Going for 2 from the coachs view, they are 4 for 4 in the season for the 2 pt convert. So the likeness of going to get it is pretty hight. Also, i think they are playing to win on that game and not got.ot is what i think the coach were thingking. Winning a close game against the GOAT is a prrtty hard task. In the end, the nfl.parity is kicking in and the close drama game is what Nfl wantd as drama drive in tv ratings. Urs trully, sharp. ThanksComment -
semibluffSBR MVP
- 04-12-16
- 1515
#140The Eagles were correct to go for 2 on their last TD. The math on the 2 point conversion goes something like this - You're down 14 points with not long left in the 4th quarter. You need to score 2 TDs and have the other team not score. If that doesn't happen it doesn't matter what you do. If it does happen it comes down to math & game theory.
Q) If the average chance of kicking the XP is 100% and the average change of converting the 2 point conversion is 38.2% which action gives you the best chance of winning?
Kicking XPs will give you a 0% chance of winning in regulation, a 0% chance of losing in regulation and a 100% chance of going to OT.
The alternative strategy is to go for 2 points on the 1st attempt and if you make it kick the 2nd XP. If you fail the 1st attempt you attempt it again on the 2nd TD. This strategy will result in you winning by 1 point in regulation 38.2% of the time, you will lose by 2 points in regulation 38.2% of the time, and you will got to OT 23.6% of the time.
Teams are less than 100% on XPs and they are generally better than 38.2% on 2 point conversions. Thus they are better off going for 2 points in this specific situation. Essentially they are gambling away the chance to lose by 1 point for extra for additional chances to win. Over the long run the team would score fewer total points by going for 2 if they have a conversion rate of between 38.2% and 50% but they would have a higher winning %.Comment
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