1. #141
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    OMG - another bullshit PI call against Fresno State. The checks have been cashed. This is so foul.
    Same thing happened week one in eugene when fresno outplayed oregon. Go watch the tape.

  2. #142
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Michigan might be a lot better than I've thought of them. We'll have to wait for the Wisconsin game.

  3. #143
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Same thing happened week one in eugene when fresno outplayed oregon. Go watch the tape.
    Yep, I saw it. Horrible reffing this last quarter. All one sided.

    Haener is flat out balling. He's seriously hurt and throwing the ball like Brett Favre. He is on GOAT mode. Please win this game and screw the refs.

  4. #144
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Hell penetrating yeah. Fresno State takes the lead. UCLA fans are shocked. This kid went goat mode. One of the most incredible performances I've even seen. Unreal.

  5. #145
    homie1975
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    Fresno st has now beaten UCLA 4 straight times and 3 in a row at the rose bowl.

    Emotion matters a lot in cfb.

    This is why it's so hard to go undefeated. U are every school's super bowl when you're favored over them.

  6. #146
    Mac4Lyfe
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    I'm so glad they won. I hate when the refs are trying purposely to give the win to another team. They gifted UCLA 21 points in that 2nd half on unreal calls. That fumble was ridiculous. Kids forward progress was stopped and they just let UCLA rip the ball for a fumble. That whistle should have been blown a long time ago. Then they gave them 2 completions that were bobbles/drops. Love it when cheaters don't prosper.

  7. #147
    homie1975
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    because of Rattler and the offensive weapons and the way they ended last year, the public still LOVES oklahoma and it will not end until they get clipped in a Big 12 tilt and i suspect it will happen on the road and maybe even twice.

  8. #148
    Mac4Lyfe
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    A lot of chirping from OU fans about how poor Rattler is playing. I expect there will be a lot of noise to play the backup more.

  9. #149
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    A lot of chirping from OU fans about how poor Rattler is playing. I expect there will be a lot of noise to play the backup more.
    Not happening. Rattler is the team's thoroughbred and he's not getting pulled.

    When they lose at k state or tcu or v iowa state or at baylor whatever, it will be due to the defense struggling like they did vs tulane. Mark my words. Mark them right now.

  10. #150
    homie1975
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    Oklahoma remains above Oregon in Today's Coaches Poll.

    next up is AP

  11. #151
    homie1975
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    Oregon leapfrogs Oklahoma in AP. 3 and 4 respectively

  12. #152
    KVB
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    On K State +9 spread vs OK ST at the open already and will be probably be buying K State all week to fill the position.

    Probably see 7.5s and 8's trading across the market, at least early on.


  13. #153
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    On K State +9 spread vs OK ST at the open already and will be probably be buying K State all week to fill the position.

    Probably see 7.5s and 8's trading across the market, at least early on.

    KVer it's a very tough spot for K-State going to Stillwater without senior stud skylar thompson. the backup will howard is a player but not quite the arm talent skylar has so i smell potential DD victory for okie state

  14. #154
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    KVer it's a very tough spot for K-State going to Stillwater without senior stud skylar thompson. the backup will howard is a player but not quite the arm talent skylar has so i smell potential DD victory for okie state
    Nice Homie, good info and opinion there actually. I have little more of a technical look (as you might expect from me..lol)...

    My stacking percentages forecast has OK ST winning with 30 or 31 points to K State's 23 or 24 points. A couple of "spot" style adjustments make it a trigger for sure.

    The Fund (strategy) that triggered this play is one I consider to be the sharpest I post at SBR. I have years of posting records, comparing to the closer as well. It's not a market tracking Fund, it's just a sharp group of plays.

    From a technical standpoint I think the pros will take K State down to +7.5. Gimme some time and I'll call up the results of this Fund and we'll look closer, I need to pay attention to my screens for a minute here.

  15. #155
    BigDofBA
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    The Big 12 had its best week of the year but my opinion of the league hasnít changed.

    As an OU fan, I think the defense just looks better because the offenses in the league are worse. The offense definitely isnít as good.

    OU has hit on several QBs in a row but Iím starting to get concerned about Rattler. He hasnít progressed like I expected, seems to have a hard time reading defenses, and makes bad decisions with the football. This is kind of handcuffing Rileyís playcalling.

    People just assume OU is going to drop 45 every game but I donít think this is the same elite offense.

    When OU loses to someone they shouldnít like TCU or K-State, this will be why but fans will be baffled what happened.

    AnywayÖ

    1. SEC
    2. Big 10
    3. PAC-12
    4. Big 12
    5. ACC

    What are the Big 12ís best wins.

    Mountain West Nevada and Boise? A Boise team that doesnít have a winning record?

    Va. Tech? A team from the worst league?

    Itís possible I was wrong about Stanford. If I was, Iíll admit it. I just canít get over embarrassing losses to Maryland, Iowa, and Arkansas. Then barely beating Tulane, Missouri State, etc.
    Last edited by BigDofBA; 09-21-21 at 09:25 PM.
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  16. #156
    homie1975
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    The Pac 12 is hot trash. NO WAY they're a stronger league from top to bottom than the big 12. NO WAY

  17. #157
    svsooner
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    KVer it's a very tough spot for K-State going to Stillwater without senior stud skylar thompson. the backup will howard is a player but not quite the arm talent skylar has so i smell potential DD victory for okie state
    Okie St. is weird the last couple of years. They seem to have a decently stout defense and a pedestrian offense, almost complete opposite of the "typical" previous Poke squads that had offense to light it up with anybody and a weak defense...

  18. #158
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by svsooner View Post
    Okie St. is weird the last couple of years. They seem to have a decently stout defense and a pedestrian offense, almost complete opposite of the "typical" previous Poke squads that had offense to light it up with anybody and a weak defense...
    maybe they are focused on getting good D players in stillwater since norman is getting all of the good Offensive playmakers in the state of oklahoma (and of course texas)

  19. #159
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    On K State +9 spread vs OK ST at the open already and will be probably be buying K State all week to fill the position.

    Probably see 7.5s and 8's trading across the market, at least early on...
    It stalled at 7.5 but now it's hitting 5.5.

    Bettors got aggressive.


  20. #160
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    It stalled at 7.5 but now it's hitting 5.5.

    Bettors got aggressive.

    If forced, the fave at -5.5 or lower might be worth a look for those who like to fade early to mid week steam
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  21. #161
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    If forced, the fave at -5.5 or lower might be worth a look for those who like to fade early to mid week steam
    Could very well be the bettors they are trying to suck in, they might need the action for some balance.


  22. #162
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...The Fund (strategy) that triggered this play is one I consider to be the sharpest I post at SBR. I have years of posting records, comparing to the closer as well. It's not a market tracking Fund, it's just a sharp group of plays.

    From a technical standpoint I think the pros will take K State down to +7.5. Gimme some time and I'll call up the results of this Fund and we'll look closer, I need to pay attention to my screens for a minute here.
    Homie here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund with links to every play. Last season was a COVID season and 10 triggers did not play...

    Putting it in the extra box so as to not clog the thread, hopefully you can see the charts...

    Links...

    Here is the 2018 Summary...52-30-1 ATS for +18.73 UNITS; 50-18-15 vs. the close beating it by .63 points.
    Here is the 2019 Summary...60-52-1 ATS for +3.41 UNITS; 65-31-17 vs. the close beating it by .54 points.
    Here is the 2020 Summary...33-24-2 ATS for +6.24 UNITS; 38-11-10 vs. the close beating it by 1.05 points.

    That's a clean and cool 57.769% ATS not counting the pushes and beating the close 60% of the time, counting the ties, but that's a crude clsoer comparison as I do not revealy my values for different half points, a true clv, but you can see beating it by more than half a point of 260 plays isn't too shabby.

    The charts since 2018, all posted, units and closing line comparison running average...






    Here is 2021 so far...

    1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
    Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
    153 3-Sep MICH ST +4.5 (-110) 0.91 3 Y 1.5
    173 4-Sep INDIANA +4 (-107) -1 3.5 Y 1
    119 18-Sep VTECH +3 (-110) -1 1.5 Y 1.5
    131 MINN +3 (-110) 0.91 2.5 Y 0.5
    179 SC +32 (-110) 0.91 31.5 Y 0.5
    305 24-Sep M TENN +3 (-110)
    361 25-Sep COLORADO +14 (-110)
    369 KANSAS ST +9 (-110)
    375 NAVY +20 (-104)
    415 CAL +7 (-110)
    Total 0.73 5-0-0 1


    So there's that to consider. Just a piece of the puzze but I said I would show you that part of the case for K State and there it is. That's only the 260 posted plays, I've been running that Fund for 15 years.

    I sing this song to this Fund every week...

    "If I stay with you, if my choice is wrong, I don't care at all.
    If I'm losing now, but I win later on, that's all I want..."





  23. #163
    BigDofBA
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    TCU, who some people said was supposed to be good, just gave up 40+ to SMU and lostÖ

  24. #164
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    TCU, who some people said was supposed to be good, just gave up 40+ to SMU and lost…
    Yes that one hurt. Patterson has lost his magic

  25. #165
    jtoler
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    sec is strong with normally lower teams now poking their heads through watch out for ole miss will give bama a run for their money. arkansas looking good too
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  26. #166
    Fred The Hammer
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    Iowa State sucks too. I don't know how they were favored over Iowa? Beat Northern Iowa by 6? I didn't even know NI played football? Not Div 1?

  27. #167
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    KVer it's a very tough spot for K-State going to Stillwater without senior stud skylar thompson. the backup will howard is a player but not quite the arm talent skylar has so i smell potential DD victory for okie state

  28. #168
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    Iowa State sucks too. I don't know how they were favored over Iowa? Beat Northern Iowa by 6? I didn't even know NI played football? Not Div 1?
    Freddy is that you in the pic?

  29. #169
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    Iowa State sucks too. I don't know how they were favored over Iowa? Beat Northern Iowa by 6? I didn't even know NI played football? Not Div 1?
    Freddy
    if that's you in the pic, you look like one heckuva nice guy.

    let me explain why Iowa State was favored by about 4 to 4.50 pts over iowa.

    1. it was in Ames Iowa, their home stadium
    2. Iowa state went 9-3 last year. two of their 3 losses were very close (by 3 at Okie St and by 6 in the B12 title gm v OU)
    3. they brought back 20 starters from that team
    4. it was extremely early in the season.

    they deserved to be favored at home over Iowa and if the line was wrong the market would have steamed it to Even but that's not what happened, because before that game, on paper, Iowa St looked like a very good team based on the things I said above namely numbers 2 and 3.


  30. #170
    homie1975
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    Big 12 is 4-2 in bowls, will be 5-2 after K State beats up on LSU.

    smashed miss state by 30
    Beat Oregon
    Beat highly ranked notre dame
    Beat highly ranked ole miss

    Much better conf than most here gave them credit for.

    Pac 12? Hasn't won a bowl game since 2019 !!

  31. #171
    homie1975
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    Make that 5-2.

    Obliterating the SEC.

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