Wnba 2021

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  • Smoke
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-09-09
    • 48111

    #1086
    oh wow kvb
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #1087
      Smohhhhhhhhhhhhke!!!!!!

      Comment
      • Smoke
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-09-09
        • 48111

        #1088
        Originally posted by KVB
        Smohhhhhhhhhhhhke!!!!!!

        What's good sir. May all your bets be winners
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #1089
          Originally posted by Smoke
          What's good sir. May all your bets be winners
          Almost all today, just not the WNBA ones...

          Date Play 1 Unit
          per bet
          665 24-May DAL +1.5 (-112) -1
          NY +1.5 (-115) LIVE 0.87
          652 25-May CON/SEA UNDER 162.5 (-113) -1
          662 28-May MIN/SEA UNDER 166.5 (-107) 0.93
          612 20-Jun LA -2.5 (-109) -1
          612 LA -150 -1
          Total -2.2
          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/DownrightCostlyAnglerfish' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1183'></iframe>
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #1090
            Here some numbers, again we're not too complex. Notice the stacking percentages forecast and the public gauge being just about flipped in the DAL/CON game.

            Both the spread and Total opened close to the public gauge and both moved toward the stacking forecast.

            There is heavy pressure on the little volume that there is on Chicago, cosnistent with the stacking percentages forecast. Both forecasts are low when comes to the Total.

            I wouldn't be surprised if New York somehow kept it close here. The contrarian look in WNBA is shaky most of the season, there just isn't enough in the formula for adjustments to forecasts to be meaningful.

            So even though I wouldn't be surprised if NY kept it close, the bet of Chicago spread and the UNDER are strong leans here.

            For the WAS/SEA game. The line is toward the public gauge, the stacking forecast a little closer game, the action is on the favorite though. Again, I favor the stacking forecast here. We may generate a play here today.

            Stacking Public
            Percentages Guage
            22-Jun DAL 80 77
            CON 76 82
            CHI 88 84
            NY 73 81
            WAS 77 77
            SEA 85 89
            Comment
            • asiagambler
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-23-17
              • 6831

              #1091
              Originally posted by KVB
              Here some numbers, again we're not too complex. Notice the stacking percentages forecast and the public gauge being just about flipped in the DAL/CON game.

              Both the spread and Total opened close to the public gauge and both moved toward the stacking forecast.

              There is heavy pressure on the little volume that there is on Chicago, cosnistent with the stacking percentages forecast. Both forecasts are low when comes to the Total.

              I wouldn't be surprised if New York somehow kept it close here. The contrarian look in WNBA is shaky most of the season, there just isn't enough in the formula for adjustments to forecasts to be meaningful.

              So even though I wouldn't be surprised if NY kept it close, the bet of Chicago spread and the UNDER are strong leans here.

              For the WAS/SEA game. The line is toward the public gauge, the stacking forecast a little closer game, the action is on the favorite though. Again, I favor the stacking forecast here. We may generate a play here today.

              Stacking Public
              Percentages Guage
              22-Jun DAL 80 77
              CON 76 82
              CHI 88 84
              NY 73 81
              WAS 77 77
              SEA 85 89
              Your best guess who is winning Sun/Wings ?

              Morino seems to think Sun are no good without Jonque Jones
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #1092
                Originally posted by asiagambler
                Your best guess who is winning Sun/Wings ?

                Morino seems to think Sun are no good without Jonque Jones
                I favor the stacking forecast over the public gauge.

                I like Dallas to win that game.

                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #1093
                  Make no mistake, Jones is very important to Connecticut she's one of the leagues best and personnel drops like that can be a big deal.

                  I am very likely passing on that game. I don't like that market at all right now.
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #1094
                    error post here, I am sorry.
                    Last edited by KVB; 06-22-21, 04:40 PM.
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #1095
                      The Sun have several injuries and players out in addition to Jones, but she is without question the second best player in the league after Stewart
                      Comment
                      • asiagambler
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-23-17
                        • 6831

                        #1096
                        I need Dallas. Hopefully they win
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #1097
                          Originally posted by KVB
                          If Conn looks like they are matching up with NY, I might buy the LIVE.

                          I'm not the only bettor in that boat. Let's see if one of the teams gets out to a fast start.

                          lol, Conn isn't even playing New York.

                          I favor Dallas in the game and would not be buying Connecticut LIVE.

                          I was looking at the wrong things when I made that post.
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #1098
                            I do know some sharp WNBA bettors and kind of like Connecticut here but I'm not buying into it.
                            Comment
                            • Smoke
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-09-09
                              • 48111

                              #1099
                              Gotta love beaver ball!! What a great time of the year!!!

                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #1100
                                Shit, I forgot to post these...

                                Stacking Public
                                Percentages Guage
                                23-Jun MIN 83 85
                                ATL 81 84
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #1101
                                  I let the games start again, I keep forgetting about these for this thread once I generate them....

                                  Stacking Public
                                  Percentages Guage
                                  24-Jun DAL 83 86
                                  IND 76 78
                                  CHI 94 86
                                  NY 71 81
                                  WAS 81 79
                                  LA 76 78
                                  Comment
                                  • pablo222
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-03-19
                                    • 8858

                                    #1102
                                    Good work on the winning thread Thom.
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #1103
                                      Originally posted by pablo222
                                      Good work on the winning thread Thom.
                                      Burying the Faders!

                                      Comment
                                      • pablo222
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-03-19
                                        • 8858

                                        #1104
                                        You and Thom are a good team in this thread. Great job guys
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #1105
                                          Originally posted by pablo222
                                          Good work on the winning thread Thom.
                                          WNBA is enjoyable to bet although sometimes injury reports aren’t fully reliable.
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #1106
                                            Forgot about this thread, lol.

                                            Had the WNBA upset yesterday and forgot to post and buy it, I wasn't in the office much.



                                            Today's basic numbers...

                                            Stacking Public
                                            Percentages Guage
                                            26-Jun WAS 80 81
                                            DAL 82 87
                                            NY 77 82
                                            ATL 87 89
                                            Comment
                                            • thomorino
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-01-17
                                              • 45842

                                              #1107
                                              Nhl and NBA will be over soon and I will focus more on WNBA then, right now there are many players out and injured too.
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #1108
                                                Yeah, injuries an issue across all sports anymore but they will really affect the WNBA.

                                                Teams just aren't that deep.
                                                Comment
                                                • asiagambler
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                  • 6831

                                                  #1109
                                                  Early lines from MarathonBet

                                                  Chicago Sky (-1) @ Connecticut Sun
                                                  Seattle Storm (+1.5) @ Las Vegas Aces
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #1110
                                                    Storm-aces over 43 1q -115
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #1111
                                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                                      Storm-aces over 43 1q -115
                                                      lol I responded here but forgot to submit.

                                                      Legit line here, bad number and bad price comparitively but we've come to get used to that from this now verified air bettor.

                                                      Faders will get UNDER 43 1q (-109) even though it turns out they are not fading actual bets.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #1112
                                                        Games underway, forgot all about this thread this morning.

                                                        Here are the basic raw numbers...

                                                        Stacking Public
                                                        Percentages Guage
                                                        27-Jun CHI 85 75
                                                        CON 72 80
                                                        SEA 81 84
                                                        LV 83 87
                                                        LA 77 75
                                                        PHO 82 80
                                                        Once again we have split forecasts in the first two games giving us an opportunity to follow the money for a market read on the third game.

                                                        Let's see what develops.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388189

                                                          #1113
                                                          Corky loves the 1st qtr plays
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #1114
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            Corky loves the 1st qtr plays
                                                            Gold he's down so many units across some sports and claims to be a pro which would mean his unit size is likely less than the minumums at books.

                                                            It's air, it's basically mathematically proven, especially given the multiple unit bets going off at once, like they say in the NBA summaries they post. If those summaries are even half right, it has to be air.

                                                            That would make sense, given his claim of being experienced yet the bets and prices, "to win" mulitple units, he keeps posting tell a completely different story.

                                                            We'll see Gold, I'll only give consideration to the plays posted, and the Fades being tracked. Everything else is just him trolling, some need for attention no doubt.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #1115
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              ...Once again we have split forecasts in the first two games giving us an opportunity to follow the money for a market read on the third game.

                                                              Let's see what develops...
                                                              We're looking at an overtime, extended ref reviews, multiple timeouts.

                                                              It's almost like they know we're looking for an answer with just 3 minutes until the next game.

                                                              Vegas with a final chance to win, and cover depending on the line you have.

                                                              I think we're looking at OT here, as we likely won't get an answer and when we do it will be too late.

                                                              This market is split and if it does go to OT, I think Las Vegas wins and covers the -2.5.

                                                              I lean Phoenix in the next game but see this market setting up for the upset. Not enough for a bet for me here.

                                                              Maybe we go LIVE and bet into the deception.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #1116
                                                                I tried to get Vegas LIVE at +186, but couldn't get in.



                                                                I did get...

                                                                Las Vegas Aces +145 LIVE.

                                                                That is a play for this thread and wil be tracked. I might close this trade with SEA as a dog.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  Locked out of trading because of the game situation.

                                                                  Laimbeer needs to draw one up.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    Locked out of trading because of the game situation.

                                                                    Laimbeer needs to draw one up.

                                                                    Boooooooooooooooom!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                                      ...This market is split and if it does go to OT, I think Las Vegas wins and covers the -2.5...
                                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                                      I tried to get Vegas LIVE at +186, but couldn't get in...
                                                                      And two free throws give Las Vegas the 3 point win 95-92.

                                                                      27-Jun LV +145 LIVE 1.45
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thomorino
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 06-01-17
                                                                        • 45842

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                                                        Storm-aces over 43 1q -115
                                                                        Loss

                                                                        -1.6 units
                                                                        Comment
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