[Smoke]

oh wow kvb

[KVB]

Smohhhhhhhhhhhhke!!!!!!

[Smoke]

Smohhhhhhhhhhhhke!!!!!!

What's good sir. May all your bets be winners

[KVB]

What's good sir. May all your bets be winners

Almost all today, just not the WNBA ones...

		Date	Play	1 Unit
				per bet
665		24-May	DAL +1.5 (-112)	-1
			NY +1.5 (-115) LIVE	0.87
652		25-May	CON/SEA UNDER 162.5 (-113)	-1
662		28-May	MIN/SEA UNDER 166.5 (-107)	0.93
612		20-Jun	LA -2.5 (-109)	-1
612			LA -150	-1
			Total	-2.2

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/DownrightCostlyAnglerfish' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1183'></iframe>

[KVB]

Here some numbers, again we're not too complex. Notice the stacking percentages forecast and the public gauge being just about flipped in the DAL/CON game.

Both the spread and Total opened close to the public gauge and both moved toward the stacking forecast.

There is heavy pressure on the little volume that there is on Chicago, cosnistent with the stacking percentages forecast. Both forecasts are low when comes to the Total.

I wouldn't be surprised if New York somehow kept it close here. The contrarian look in WNBA is shaky most of the season, there just isn't enough in the formula for adjustments to forecasts to be meaningful.

So even though I wouldn't be surprised if NY kept it close, the bet of Chicago spread and the UNDER are strong leans here.

For the WAS/SEA game. The line is toward the public gauge, the stacking forecast a little closer game, the action is on the favorite though. Again, I favor the stacking forecast here. We may generate a play here today.

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
22-Jun	DAL		80		77
	CON		76		82
	CHI		88		84
	NY		73		81
	WAS		77		77
	SEA		85		89

[asiagambler]

Here some numbers, again we're not too complex. Notice the stacking percentages forecast and the public gauge being just about flipped in the DAL/CON game.

Both the spread and Total opened close to the public gauge and both moved toward the stacking forecast.

There is heavy pressure on the little volume that there is on Chicago, cosnistent with the stacking percentages forecast. Both forecasts are low when comes to the Total.

I wouldn't be surprised if New York somehow kept it close here. The contrarian look in WNBA is shaky most of the season, there just isn't enough in the formula for adjustments to forecasts to be meaningful.

So even though I wouldn't be surprised if NY kept it close, the bet of Chicago spread and the UNDER are strong leans here.

For the WAS/SEA game. The line is toward the public gauge, the stacking forecast a little closer game, the action is on the favorite though. Again, I favor the stacking forecast here. We may generate a play here today.

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
22-Jun	DAL		80		77
	CON		76		82
	CHI		88		84
	NY		73		81
	WAS		77		77
	SEA		85		89

Your best guess who is winning Sun/Wings ?

Morino seems to think Sun are no good without Jonque Jones

[KVB]

Your best guess who is winning Sun/Wings ?

Morino seems to think Sun are no good without Jonque Jones

I favor the stacking forecast over the public gauge.

I like Dallas to win that game.

[KVB]

Make no mistake, Jones is very important to Connecticut she's one of the leagues best and personnel drops like that can be a big deal.

I am very likely passing on that game. I don't like that market at all right now.

[KVB]

error post here, I am sorry.

[thomorino]

The Sun have several injuries and players out in addition to Jones, but she is without question the second best player in the league after Stewart

[asiagambler]

I need Dallas. Hopefully they win

[KVB]

If Conn looks like they are matching up with NY, I might buy the LIVE.

I'm not the only bettor in that boat. Let's see if one of the teams gets out to a fast start.

lol, Conn isn't even playing New York.

I favor Dallas in the game and would not be buying Connecticut LIVE.

I was looking at the wrong things when I made that post.

[KVB]

I do know some sharp WNBA bettors and kind of like Connecticut here but I'm not buying into it.

[Smoke]

Gotta love beaver ball!! What a great time of the year!!!

[KVB]

Shit, I forgot to post these...

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
23-Jun	MIN		83		85
	ATL		81		84

[KVB]

I let the games start again, I keep forgetting about these for this thread once I generate them....

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
24-Jun	DAL		83		86
	IND		76		78
	CHI		94		86
	NY		71		81
	WAS		81		79
	LA		76		78

[pablo222]

Good work on the winning thread Thom.

[KVB]

Good work on the winning thread Thom.

Burying the Faders!

[pablo222]

You and Thom are a good team in this thread. Great job guys

[thomorino]

Good work on the winning thread Thom.

WNBA is enjoyable to bet although sometimes injury reports aren’t fully reliable.

[KVB]

Forgot about this thread, lol.

Had the WNBA upset yesterday and forgot to post and buy it, I wasn't in the office much.



Today's basic numbers...

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
26-Jun	WAS		80		81
	DAL		82		87
	NY		77		82
	ATL		87		89

[thomorino]

Nhl and NBA will be over soon and I will focus more on WNBA then, right now there are many players out and injured too.

[KVB]

Yeah, injuries an issue across all sports anymore but they will really affect the WNBA.

Teams just aren't that deep.

[asiagambler]

Early lines from MarathonBet

Chicago Sky (-1) @ Connecticut Sun
Seattle Storm (+1.5) @ Las Vegas Aces

[thomorino]

Storm-aces over 43 1q -115

[KVB]

Storm-aces over 43 1q -115

lol I responded here but forgot to submit.

Legit line here, bad number and bad price comparitively but we've come to get used to that from this now verified air bettor.

Faders will get UNDER 43 1q (-109) even though it turns out they are not fading actual bets.

[KVB]

Games underway, forgot all about this thread this morning.

Here are the basic raw numbers...

			Stacking		Public
			Percentages		Guage
27-Jun	CHI		85		75
	CON		72		80
	SEA		81		84
	LV		83		87
	LA		77		75
	PHO		82		80

Once again we have split forecasts in the first two games giving us an opportunity to follow the money for a market read on the third game.

Let's see what develops.

[jjgold]

Corky loves the 1st qtr plays

[KVB]

Corky loves the 1st qtr plays

Gold he's down so many units across some sports and claims to be a pro which would mean his unit size is likely less than the minumums at books.

It's air, it's basically mathematically proven, especially given the multiple unit bets going off at once, like they say in the NBA summaries they post. If those summaries are even half right, it has to be air.

That would make sense, given his claim of being experienced yet the bets and prices, "to win" mulitple units, he keeps posting tell a completely different story.

We'll see Gold, I'll only give consideration to the plays posted, and the Fades being tracked. Everything else is just him trolling, some need for attention no doubt.

[KVB]

...Once again we have split forecasts in the first two games giving us an opportunity to follow the money for a market read on the third game.

Let's see what develops...

We're looking at an overtime, extended ref reviews, multiple timeouts.

It's almost like they know we're looking for an answer with just 3 minutes until the next game.

Vegas with a final chance to win, and cover depending on the line you have.

I think we're looking at OT here, as we likely won't get an answer and when we do it will be too late.

This market is split and if it does go to OT, I think Las Vegas wins and covers the -2.5.

I lean Phoenix in the next game but see this market setting up for the upset. Not enough for a bet for me here.

Maybe we go LIVE and bet into the deception.

[KVB]

I tried to get Vegas LIVE at +186, but couldn't get in.



I did get...

Las Vegas Aces +145 LIVE.

That is a play for this thread and wil be tracked. I might close this trade with SEA as a dog.

[KVB]

Locked out of trading because of the game situation.

Laimbeer needs to draw one up.

[KVB]

Locked out of trading because of the game situation.

Laimbeer needs to draw one up.

Boooooooooooooooom!!

[KVB]

...This market is split and if it does go to OT, I think Las Vegas wins and covers the -2.5...

I tried to get Vegas LIVE at +186, but couldn't get in...

And two free throws give Las Vegas the 3 point win 95-92.

27-Jun

LV +145 LIVE

1.45

[thomorino]

Storm-aces over 43 1q -115

Loss

-1.6 units