Nash 2025 MLB Postseason

[stevenash]

Dog day afternoon

(All posted lines via DraftKings)

Boston Red Sox +115 Red Sox
Crochet is worth money as a dog; the lefty is electric with a cannon for an arm.
Red Sox crush LHP, especially Gonzalez (Gonzalez props are in play)
No doubt Judge is an all-time great, prolific HR hitter, but let's face facts, Judge has a habit of disappearing in the bright lights of October baseball.

Boston Red Sox +115 Red Sox

Boston v. LHP 2025
(Story has popping power, Gonzo is a beast vs. LHP)



Cincinnati +170 v LA Dodgers

I'm riding the Red wave in game one.
Hunter Green is a bona fide stud, I can't ignore +170
The Dodgers are flawed, sure, but Snell can be reached.
LA has regressed, and I believe +170 with the Reds is a solid value play.

Cincinnati +170 v LA Dodgers

No plays (yet)
I'm leaning SD +110 over the Cubs.
Skubal should get it done vs. the team FKA the Indians, but I don't lay -165.
Detroit might be a play on the run line, but nothing yet (for now)

Updates later.
Red Sox best bet 2*
1* value play on the Reds +170

[ChuckyTheGoat]

GL, Nash. May tail you for fun on some of these.

[mackave]

I was 30 seconds away from posting a thread for you nasher , glad to see you always chiming in , let’s fuggggin cash !!!

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I'd love to see both of those hit, nasher

[stevenash]

Thanks, fellas, appreciate the words.

A couple of early takes.

John-Rod is a liability in the outfied, no excuse for heeling that single and making it a double for all intents and purposes.

In October, you can't get away with silly mistakes like that, bend down, look that ball into the glove, throw the ball back into second base. Come on, these guys play for pay.

I like Gavin Williams, but he doesn't have a change/curve.
Tigers are first-ball swinging, like they're expecting straight balls (fastballs)
When that Tiger lineup faces Williams a second (or if there is a third turn) I believe Detroit will tag the kid.

Let's see.

Oh, Skubal is a mother freaking animal, he's Crochet in a Tiger uni.
And Sean McDonough is killing me already.

[stevenash]

HPU is very inconsistent.

That's the one thing that pissed me off as a catcher, pissed me off more than my pitcher giving up a leadoff walk.

It's one thing to call a strike a little out of the zone, high or low, as long as the HPU is consistent with the call; that's the ump telling both squads, "That's my zone, and that's the way I'll call it all game." I'm cool with that, at least I know where the HPU is at, but calling the same pitch a strike and the next time a ball, then I get cranky.

I've been tossed from a couple of games for telling the ump, "Come on, man, call it the same way, you're killing me back here."

Gavin Williams has impressed so far.

He has a three-pitch arsenal; he has a curveball, it's not even an ancillary pitch, the curve is an afterthought.

Williams threw two yakkers in the second inning, one in the third that made me sit up and go "Whoa, where did these come from"

Those three particular curves would have made Andy Messersmith and Mike Mussina proud.

[Headsterx]

Boston Red Sox 3^rd baseman Alex Bregman is batting .375 in his last 8 games versus the N.Y. Yankees with 16 total bases from hits over that span. Against Yankee starter Max Fried, Bregman has a career .556 average with 8 total bases from hits in 4 games. The odds on Bregman to get 2+ total bases from hits tonight are +136.

[Headsterx]

Let's get some RED SOX tonigh!!

[Headsterx]

That's the last time you'll see a damn Yank on the bases.

[stevenash]

That's the last time you'll see a damn Yank on the bases.

That 1970s porn mustache Grisham is rocking is hideous.
Does he not look in the mirror at all?
The dude needs to shave that thing; he looks like Johnny 'The Wad' Holmes.

[Headsterx]

Rex Sox take the lead 2-1!

[stevenash]

Rex Sox take the lead 2-1!

Every time Chapman comes in from the 'pen, I do this....

[Headsterx]

Ugh! Champan!

[mackave]

what a save by chapman , had bsox -1.5 , sorry nasher fading your last play on dodgers -1.5 decently big

[ChuckyTheGoat]

That 1970s porn mustache Grisham is rocking is hideous.
Does he not look in the mirror at all?
The dude needs to shave that thing; he looks like Johnny 'The Wad' Holmes.

Won Bost +120. Thanks to you, Nashy!

[stevenash]

Won Bost +120. Thanks to you, Nashy!

Glad to help, appreciate you.

[mackave]

nasher i’m on cleveland , cubs , yankees and dodgers , would love your input ! much love as always

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Padres with a pretty pathetic effort yesterday...do or die today and I have ZERO faith in Cease. The guy has to be in the top 5 underachievers in MLB when you factor in talent/stuff and results. I'd love to be proven wrong!!

[magpie878]

Just seeing this thread now, but as a longtime Yankees fan, I have no faith (and had none before last night) against Boston... I don't know the season series vs each other, but it felt like Boston won almost all of them. WS appearance and getting clocked aside, the Yankees don't change. It's generally all or nothing, don't have hitters for average that are ready for postseason pitching. It often feels like it's HR or K with them. And the pitching rarely holds up. My comment this weekend was "if they can't win with Fried, they're done".. so I'm not expecting much other than them going out with a whimper.. again.

[stevenash]

nasher i’m on cleveland , cubs , yankees and dodgers , would love your input ! much love as always

I'm up against the clock here, so I'll keep it short, just for now.

I do like Cleveland with Bibbee to rebound later against Detroit.
Slight nod to Bibbee over Mize.
Small play for me with Cleveland, these two starters are middle-of-the-rotation, pedestrian-like starters.
Cleveland does have a slight advantage IMO

1* Cleveland

I'll post my thoughts on the late pm games in an hour or two.

[stevenash]

Leaning towards San Diego in game two, but not playing it.

I have a little more faith in Dylan Cease than my pal Peavy does, but I don't have enough faith to plunk down cash.
Cease was unhittable just a few years ago, pitching in the American League; now he's the epitome of inconsistency.

I do like OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
Boston hits LHP very well; they should be able to touch up Rondon for some.
And conversely, the Yankees should be able to get to Bello.

OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
1*

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Random comment: Was looking at tonite's Bos/NYY matchup:

*Remember how the Yankees always had some strong LH-bats to take advantage of the short RF-porch?
...Guys like Mattingly and Paul O'Neill and Jason Giambi.

Don't really see that on this team. More of a RH batting order. Don't really see an edge in Game 2.

[brock]

The Chicago Cubs offense saw a significant decline in several key batting statistics after the 2025 All-Star break compared to before it.
Here's a comparison of some key Cubs team batting statistics from before and after the 2025 All-Star Break:

Runs per game	5.33	3.78
Batting Average (AVG)	.271 (with RISP)	.211 (with RISP)
On-base Plus Slugging (OPS)	.771	.688

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Leaning towards San Diego in game two, but not playing it.

I have a little more faith in Dylan Cease than my pal Peavy does, but I don't have enough faith to plunk down cash.
Cease was unhittable just a few years ago, pitching in the American League; now he's the epitome of inconsistency.

I do like OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
Boston hits LHP very well; they should be able to touch up Rondon for some.
And conversely, the Yankees should be able to get to Bello.

OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
1*

nasher, the guy had one really outstanding season and has been living off that ever since.

Why would I have any faith in him? He got shelled last year in the playoffs and every once in awhile has a great start but most of the time his pitch count balloons early and his control is off.

Shildt pulled him before he shit himself...need 12 outs to get game 3 tomorrow.

[stevenash]

The Chicago Cubs offense saw a significant decline in several key batting statistics after the 2025 All-Star break compared to before it.

From the get-go, the Cubs opened the season scoring runs at an alarming rate.
Record-setting rates.

I need to fact-check myself, but I believe the Cubs were the first team to have three players with 50+ RBI by game 50.

These run totals are not sustainable; they are comparable to the 1927 NYY run totals.
(OK, that may be a tad hyperbolic, but you get the point. )
A regression was inevitable.

No team can score double-digit runs 25% of the time, and that's what they did from the start, scored double-digit runs 12 times in their first 49 games.

I'm still trying to figure out how they held on to first place for 93 consecutive days, considering the pitching staff blew 32 leads into losses.

Date	Opp	W/L	R	RA
Thursday, Mar 27	ARI	W	10	6
Friday, Mar 28	ARI	L	1	8
Saturday, Mar 29	ARI	W	4	3
Sunday, Mar 30	ARI	L	6	10
Monday, Mar 31	ATH	W	18	3
Tuesday, Apr 1	ATH	W	7	4
Wednesday, Apr 2	ATH	W	10	2
Friday, Apr 4	SDP	W	3	1
Saturday, Apr 5	SDP	W	7	1
Sunday, Apr 6	SDP	L	7	8
Monday, Apr 7	TEX	W	7	0
Tuesday, Apr 8	TEX	W	10	6
Wednesday, Apr 9	TEX	L	2	6
Friday, Apr 11	LAD	L	0	3
Saturday, Apr 12	LAD	W	16	0
Sunday, Apr 13	LAD	W	4	2
Monday, Apr 14	SDP	L	4	10
Tuesday, Apr 15	SDP	W	2	1
Wednesday, Apr 16	SDP	L	2	4
Friday, Apr 18	ARI	W	13	11
Saturday, Apr 19	ARI	W	6	2
Sunday, Apr 20	ARI	L	2	3
Tuesday, Apr 22	LAD	W	11	10
Wednesday, Apr 23	LAD	W	7	6
Friday, Apr 25	PHI	W	4	0
Saturday, Apr 26	PHI	L	4	10
Sunday, Apr 27	PHI	L	1	3
Tuesday, Apr 29	PIT	W	9	0
Wednesday, Apr 30	PIT	L	3	4
Thursday, May 1	PIT	W	8	3
Friday, May 2	MIL	W	10	0
Saturday, May 3	MIL	W	6	2
Sunday, May 4	MIL	L	0	4
Monday, May 5	SFG	W	9	2
Tuesday, May 6	SFG	L	5	14
Wednesday, May 7	SFG	L	1	3
Friday, May 9	NYM	L	2	7
Saturday, May 10	NYM	W	6	5
Sunday, May 11	NYM	L	2	6
Monday, May 12	MIA	W	5	2
Tuesday, May 13	MIA	W	5	4
Wednesday, May 14	MIA	L	1	3
Friday, May 16	CHW	W	13	3
Saturday, May 17	CHW	W	7	3
Sunday, May 18	CHW	W	6	2
Monday, May 19	MIA	L-	7	8
Tuesday, May 20	MIA	W	14	1
Wednesday, May 21	MIA	W	2	1
Friday, May 23	CIN	W	13	6
Saturday, May 24	CIN	L	4	6
Sunday, May 25	CIN	W	11	8
			317	220

[Headsterx]

Oh yeah! Red Sox ties it up 3-3

[stevenash]

Oh yeah! Red Sox ties it up 3-3

[Headsterx]

Ugh! I thought that was going to be a tying home run. Sox messed up when they couldn’t score with bases loaded. Be prepared to be shock tonight when Reds upset Dodgers.

[brock]

When they showed all the CHC batting average at the all star break and now
everyone had a huge drop off. Just surprised me how that could happen.

[mackave]

not sure who i love in this first game , leaning tigers