Nash 2025 MLB Postseason

[stevenash]

Toronto goes back-to-back and belly-to-belly in the first inning.
First three pitches of the game, two solo shots.

(And we have yet another new World Series trivia question)
As that has never happened before in the history of MLB.

[stevenash]

Game 3
OVER 8.0 total runs.

I may toss in a prop or two I'm looking at, but the OVER is my pre-game play here.

*not for nothing*
The prop numbers and odds have been driving me nuts for the past hour.
An hour ago, the total number of outs Max will record was 14.5; now it's 10.5.
(Did somebody in a high place leak something to the press they shouldn't have?)

OVER 8.0 total runs.
2*

[stevenash]

good one nasher , had jays and over big big for game 1 , then dodgers -1.5 but also parlay seperate with over 7.5 and along with some hits, just needed the over to cash almost 2k, anyways on to next game

Thanks, glad to help.

On paper, from a strict analytical POV, tonight's game has 10+ runs written all over it.
Glasnow has had a stellar season, no denying that (albeit an abbreviated season), but Springer and Vlad have owned Glasnow when he pitched in the AL for Tampa Bay, and the little 2B Gimmenez has hit Glasnow in the past as well.

Even though BvP is not a go-to stat, it's more like an ancillary metric that should be looked at, as it gives you an indication as to what batter is comfortable facing a certain pitcher.

Max (who'll be in Cooperstown on the first ballot) is very hittable these days.
Mookie has lit up Max when he was in Boston, and the super utility man (Edman) is 6-15 lifetime v. Max with pop.

I'm looking at OVER 8.5 tonight, (both starters will be fiver and fly, and I'm counting on LAs 'pen to gag up some runs. I may fool around with an Edman/Mookie/Springer type pick six play, too.

'

[mackave]

good one nasher , had jays and over big big for game 1 , then dodgers -1.5 but also parlay seperate with over 7.5 and along with some hits, just needed the over to cash almost 2k, anyways on to next game

[stevenash]

value play on jays tonight anyone ?

Sorry, we went out last night. I just saw this.
I had no play, but yes, Jays were indeed the right side.

LA in game two, I'm not thrilled laying 35 cents though.

[mackave]

value play on jays tonight anyone ?

[stevenash]

I'm tailing. Sea +113

Thx, nashy. And GL!

That didn't end well for us.

Back in the saddle again tonight with the M's @+110
Monster Game Seven matchup.
There's nothing better in life than a Game Seven.
OK, maybe you're wedding day, or your wife giving birth to your first son, but that's about it.

Game Seven
George Kirby v. Shane Beiber
Great matchup.

Kirby's stuff is lethal when he's on, when he's not he'll give up a tater or two.
It's better to give up a solo HR than walk a power hitter, it's the three run bombs that'll kill ya.
Beiber is pretty much the same way.
If this is a bullpen game, (and I think it will be) the Mariners have the advantage.

I need to double check myself a little later, but I think I'm 12-9, a little over 4* give or take.

Game Seven
Mariners +110 (Kirby) Toronto.
1*

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Seattle +110
Game six

Back on the Mariners again tonight.

M's +110

Under 7.5 is in play as well.
(Yesavage can be nasty, too.)

I'm tailing. Sea +113

Thx, nashy. And GL!

[stevenash]

Seattle +110
Game six

Back on the Mariners again tonight.

M's +110

Under 7.5 is in play as well.
(Yesavage can be nasty, too.)

[stevenash]

Suarez with the stick!

[stevenash]

Seattle (Pick) Toronto
(Game 5)

[stevenash]

Brewers (Game 2) + 110 Dodgers

[stevenash]

The Athletic

In an abrupt announcement on Monday, manager Mike Shildt said he had retired from the San Diego Padres, close to two weeks after his team lost to the Chicago Cubs in three games in the National League Wild Card Series.

Shildt, the first Padres manager to oversee back-to-back 90-win campaigns, is the fifth full-time manager to depart under president of baseball operations A.J. Preller. His exit comes just four years after he was fired by the St. Louis Cardinals following a 90-win season and a one-game trip to the postseason. Shildt was under contract with the Padres through 2027.

Reached via text on Monday morning, Shildt wrote: “I’m very pleased with the decision. It just has taken a toll on me and didn’t have it in me to lead another team to a 90+ win season and World Series run!

“Looking forward to what’s next and just want to teach the game!”

Shildt, who informed the team of his decision over the weekend, did not immediately respond to a message seeking further comment. Preller is scheduled to address the media on Tuesday.

“We would like to congratulate Mike on a successful career and thank him for his significant contributions to the Padres and the San Diego community over the last four years, including consecutive 90-win seasons and two postseason appearances as manager,” Preller said in a statement. “His dedication and passion for the game of baseball will leave an impact on our organization, and we wish him the best in his next chapter. The search for a new manager of the Padres will begin immediately with the goal of winning a World Series championship in 2026.”

Shildt, 57, went 183-141 with San Diego and 252-199 since first becoming the Cardinals’ manager in 2018. In October 2021, following a 91-win season, the Cardinals dismissed Shildt, citing “philosophical differences” as the reason. Shildt subsequently joined the Padres as a player development consultant ahead of the 2023 season.

The list of candidates to replace Shildt in San Diego is expected to include Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla, who has previously expressed interest in becoming a big-league manager, and special assistant and former Mariners manager Scott Servais.

This story will be updated.

[stevenash]

OT MLB news here but Padres manager Mike Shildt suddenly retired...

That is a real gut punch he was a very good manager.

*There's no such thing as an OT in baseball*

I don't know what's going on there.
The baseball media up here hasn't really covered that story yet.
Reading Preller's words. It doesn't sound like a forced retirement. I hope it's not a health scare and just a burnout situation where he just doesn't have it in him to do that grind any longer.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

OT MLB news here but Padres manager Mike Shildt suddenly retired...

That is a real gut punch he was a very good manager.

[Headsterx]

I'm back on the M's again tonight.
I'm standing firm on what I said a month ago, that the M's will be a difficult out come October.

The wrong team was favored going in, and the wrong team was favored last night.
Toronto out-thumped the Yankees. I don't think they can hit the M's staff.
Gilbert as an October dog? Yes please.

Seattle (Gilbert)
+115

Let’s run it back!

[stevenash]

I'm back on the M's again tonight.
I'm standing firm on what I said a month ago, that the M's will be a difficult out come October.

The wrong team was favored going in, and the wrong team was favored last night.
Toronto out-thumped the Yankees. I don't think they can hit the M's staff.
Gilbert as an October dog? Yes please.

Seattle (Gilbert)
+115

[Headsterx]

Mariners +140

[stevenash]

Seattle Mariners +110 Toronto Blue Jays
(Series)
2*

Vlad Guerrero Jr. OVER 2.5 bat flips

My play
Seattle Mariners +110 Toronto Blue Jays
(Series)
2*

[Headsterx]

Here's the real-time radar.
That massive green blob in the Atlantic is going to smack us in about two hours.
This thing is a heavy rainmaker, like two inches (potentially) of liquid sunshine. that's a shit ton of rain.

New Haven, CT Weather Radar Map | MSN Weather

I love classic nor'easters

A strong nor’easter is unleashing damaging winds as it moves up the East Coast. Its most severe conditions are on the way

Our pals in Toronto will be spared; looks like it'll just be cloudy for Game 1.

I like the dog Mariners in Game 1
Who let the dogs out?

I ask you, Header? Who gives you rainstorm updates, game selections, and an amusing dog gif? All in one post?

Nasher, you’re the man. Thanks!

Home teams seem to be the theme this playoffs, except for Phillies. Liking the under and Jays for today.

[stevenash]

Here's the real-time radar.
That massive green blob in the Atlantic is going to smack us in about two hours.
This thing is a heavy rainmaker, like two inches (potentially) of liquid sunshine. that's a shit ton of rain.

New Haven, CT Weather Radar Map | MSN Weather

I love classic nor'easters

A strong nor’easter is unleashing damaging winds as it moves up the East Coast. Its most severe conditions are on the way

Our pals in Toronto will be spared; looks like it'll just be cloudy for Game 1.

I like the dog Mariners in Game 1
Who let the dogs out?

I ask you, Header? Who gives you rainstorm updates, game selections, and an amusing dog gif? All in one post?

[Headsterx]

You guys out there in the Bay Area have the runaway fires, the landslides, the quakes, all the biblical fire and brimstone stuff.
Up here in Bumfuck New England, especially here in the Nutmeg state, we don't get the fires and quakes.

We have blizzards sometimes, one event can dump two feet of snow,

In 18 hours, we're going to have a real nice nor'easter.
Fairfield, CT Weather Forecast | MSN Weather

New Jersey is already underwater; that turf/grass has been saturated since Labor Day.
They can't take on any more rain.

Classic nor'easter.


What
For Coastal Flood Statements, up to 1/2 foot of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. For the Coastal Flood Watch, 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline for the Sunday afternoon, Sunday Night and Monday afternoon high tide cycles.

Where
Southern Fairfield County.
My condo is smack-dab in the middle of this storm

When
For the first Coastal Flood Statement, until 4 PM EDT this afternoon. For the second Coastal Flood Statement, Saturday afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday afternoon through Monday evening tidal cycles.
Impacts
Moderate coastal flooding possible, which would result in 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. This would result in several road closures and flooding of several low lying properties including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays.
Summary
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.

Issued By
NWS Upton NY

Is this weather pattern going to effect Blue Jays/Mariners game? Any football games today getting rain? Love watching football in terrible weather.

[stevenash]

This Tiger game is truly the game from hell.
Easily the best game of the year, but it's endless.
The game from hell, I tell you what.

[mackave]

looking at the under and mariners ML, but i can’t win a fucking game last 4-5 days , also a somewhat mariners homer

[stevenash]

Who got the current weather for Game 5!? I’m looking at the over/under 5.5 but won’t bet it if there’s gonna be a rain delay. Plus, I don’t want to go to the bar drinking up pitchers of beer w/o the game.

You guys out there in the Bay Area have the runaway fires, the landslides, the quakes, all the biblical fire and brimstone stuff.
Up here in Bumfuck New England, especially here in the Nutmeg state, we don't get the fires and quakes.

We have blizzards sometimes, one event can dump two feet of snow,

In 18 hours, we're going to have a real nice nor'easter.
Fairfield, CT Weather Forecast | MSN Weather

New Jersey is already underwater; that turf/grass has been saturated since Labor Day.
They can't take on any more rain.

Classic nor'easter.


What
For Coastal Flood Statements, up to 1/2 foot of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. For the Coastal Flood Watch, 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline for the Sunday afternoon, Sunday Night and Monday afternoon high tide cycles.

Where
Southern Fairfield County.
My condo is smack-dab in the middle of this storm

When
For the first Coastal Flood Statement, until 4 PM EDT this afternoon. For the second Coastal Flood Statement, Saturday afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday afternoon through Monday evening tidal cycles.
Impacts
Moderate coastal flooding possible, which would result in 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. This would result in several road closures and flooding of several low lying properties including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays.
Summary
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.

Issued By
NWS Upton NY

[Headsterx]

Who got the current weather for Game 5!? I’m looking at the over/under 5.5 but won’t bet it if there’s gonna be a rain delay. Plus, I don’t want to go to the bar drinking up pitchers of beer w/o the game.

[stevenash]

any insight on the games nasher ? i’m liking phils as a dog with sanchez on the mound

I was in and out all day, I missed this post.
I'm on the Brews later, I like the Phils myself, but laid off.

BoL Mack

[mackave]

any insight on the games nasher ? i’m liking phils as a dog with sanchez on the mound

[brock]

Today Phillies and CHC

[magpie878]

When you let up 10, 13, 6, and 5 runs (especially in a best of five) you deserve to go home humiliated. Terrible showing. Again.

[ProSportsEdge]

Just seeing this thread now, but as a longtime Yankees fan, I have no faith (and had none before last night) against Boston... I don't know the season series vs each other, but it felt like Boston won almost all of them. WS appearance and getting clocked aside, the Yankees don't change. It's generally all or nothing, don't have hitters for average that are ready for postseason pitching. It often feels like it's HR or K with them. And the pitching rarely holds up. My comment this weekend was "if they can't win with Fried, they're done".. so I'm not expecting much other than them going out with a whimper.. again.

Yeah, totally get where you’re coming from. As a Yankees fan, it’s been the same story for years — boom or bust. When the bats go cold, there’s just no plan B. Boston seems to have their number lately too. Hard not to expect another early exit the way things have gone.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Weaver had McNally, Cuella, and Jim Palmer, though. His pitching staff had three 20-game winners.

...Nashy, I agree. But I'd tweak that statement a little. As a student of MLB pitching:
*I believe that the Orioles of the early 70s were the best DEFENSIVE team ever.
...I also believe they were possibly the most balanced team I've ever seen: *Good starting pitching, great defense.
...Good relief pitching (both LHP and RHP) that was helped by the defense.
...Lineup was pretty good. And good bench players that had flexibility.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BAL/1970.shtml

...Brooks Robinson put on a show in the 1970 WS. Reds couldn't hit anything past him.
...1970 Orioles were a very hard team to beat. The defense helped every pitcher on the staff.

[stevenash]

Kershaw is getting hit like a rented mule.

[stevenash]

Brewers -106 (pick) Cubs

That didn't turn out well.
Sometimes you kick, and sometimes you get kicked.

[stevenash]

Phillies vs Dodgers is underway! Took u7.5. Should be a thriller.

Nola is an October beast, hr'll probably be five and fly tonight though.