Nash 2025 MLB Postseason

[Headsterx]

Phillies vs Dodgers is underway! Took u7.5. Should be a thriller.

[stevenash]

There's something you don't see every day.
A safety squeeze bunt.

[actiondan]

brewers getting bet. in stevenash we trust

[stevenash]

10/8
1 Play

Brewers -106 (pick) Cubs

Tears in beers on Michigan Ave as the Cubbies go down in defeat.
I believe the two best teams standing are the Mariners and the Brewers, both of which pass more than just the eye test.

That's just my opinion.

Brewers -106 (pick) Cubs
1*

[stevenash]

Totally feel you on that. As a Yankees fan, it’s frustrating watching the same issues repeat — power or bust hitting and shaky postseason pitching. Boston always seems to have their number when it matters most. Unless something changes with their approach and consistency, it’s hard to stay optimistic come playoff time.

^
Yes, the Earl Weaver three-run bomb or bust philosophy is not a winning formula for playoff success.
Weaver had McNally, Cuella, and Jim Palmer, though. His pitching staff had three 20-game winners.

The Red 'Nasty Boys' shut down the most prolific dynamic duo of that generation, Big Mac and Canseco. Oakland was a huge -280 favorite too.

Do the Braves make the playoffs for a decade (1995-2005) without Smoltz, Glavine, and Greg Maddux...
You would think, though, in ten consecutive years of reaching the playoffs, they would have won more than one 'chip.

1995 Greg Maddux (Cy Young winner) had an incredible 9.7 VORP, meaning Maddux was worth ten wins more than any replacement starter.

Do the Giants win the 2014 WS without Bumgarner?
Do the (my all-time favorite team) 2015 KC Royals beat the Mets without (I may be biased here) without the best bullpen in this generation?

The Dodgers won with Koufax and Drysdale, with some of the weakest lineups of that generation.
I can go on...

With a few exceptions, pitching wins in October always have, and always will

[ProSportsEdge]

Just seeing this thread now, but as a longtime Yankees fan, I have no faith (and had none before last night) against Boston... I don't know the season series vs each other, but it felt like Boston won almost all of them. WS appearance and getting clocked aside, the Yankees don't change. It's generally all or nothing, don't have hitters for average that are ready for postseason pitching. It often feels like it's HR or K with them. And the pitching rarely holds up. My comment this weekend was "if they can't win with Fried, they're done".. so I'm not expecting much other than them going out with a whimper.. again.

Totally feel you on that. As a Yankees fan, it’s frustrating watching the same issues repeat — power or bust hitting and shaky postseason pitching. Boston always seems to have their number when it matters most. Unless something changes with their approach and consistency, it’s hard to stay optimistic come playoff time.

[stevenash]

Spank my ass and call me Father Christmas, both plays cashed.

[Headsterx]

4pm PST in FS2

[stevenash]

Still at work but went to check the score and it showed a delay, is it due to rain?

Yeah, rain.
The Great Lakes region gets flooded this time of year.

[Headsterx]

10/7
2 Plays

Mariners -137 (Gilbert) Tigers
Gilbert OVER 6.5 strikeouts.

Still at work but went to check the score and it showed a delay, is it due to rain?

[stevenash]

10/7
2 Plays

Mariners -137 (Gilbert) Tigers
Gilbert OVER 6.5 strikeouts.

[stevenash]

NO HITTER ALERT!!!

Snell shutdowns Phillies w/o no-no for the first 3 innings.

That's why I say "Lefty pitchers (especially the best ones) are evil."

It's like I'm watching Andy Pettitte against Randy Johnson in the 2001 WS redux.
Pettitte was brilliant that game; he was matching The Unit pitch for pitch.
Brilliant as Pettitte was, Randy Johnson was better.

My two favorite teams (2014-2015) are the Royals.
In the close-out game in the 2014 series, Madison Bumgarner pitched for the SF Giants, one of the most clutch games I've ever seen.

I'm starting to see a pattern and a trend here...
Lefties are evil, and pitching wins in October, with some exceptions, always has, and always will.

[Headsterx]

NO HITTER ALERT!!!

Snell shutdowns Phillies w/o no-no for the first 3 innings.

[stevenash]

Tyler Glasnow in relief.

This is how much Dave Roberts thinks of his bullpen. The last time Glasnow came out of the pen was eight years ago, pitching for the Pirates.

[stevenash]

Good ole haircut fuked you hard

I was about to post "That was short-lived."
And yeah, fvcked in the two hole without prison lube.

I still have confidence that the Hollywood Dodger bullpen chokes this lead, and if I can get the right in-game, live price that Philly still wins this game, then I'll put my money where my mouth is.

The problem is that most of the time, you're not getting true value with those live wagers.

[unde0087]

Good ole haircut fuked you hard

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I'll post the data that supports what we thought all along, a little later.

There were 12 games across three days (Tuesday to Thursday); I watched 10.5 out of those 12 games.
34 hours of baseball is too much, even for a hardball junkie like myself.

I had to step away from everything and took yesterday off; my family and my extended family were considering suing me for non-support. lol Even my #1 fan, Tessie Dog, looked at me this morning like I was a stranger.

Phiilies +105 Dodgers NLDS

5-2 +(3.2*) post-season to date
I need to double-check all the plays, but I believe 5-2 is accurate.

(I'll get back to MLB later. I need to clean the rest of the shit left on my table first.)

Phiilies +105 Dodgers NLDS

GL on the play

[stevenash]

So, u betting against the Chefs this week?

I have a couple of NFL leans tomorrow, nothing definite though.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Re: Ohtani, think about that dude's Net Worth. Whoa.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I'm loving it.

Three of the most overexposed personalities alive today.

1) Taylor Swift and her boy toy.
2) Patrick Mahomes
3) Ohtani

So, u betting against the Chefs this week?

[stevenash]

Ohtani getting pelted. You could actually hear the moment all the commentators all put away their lotion.

I'm loving it.

Three of the most overexposed personalities alive today.

1) Taylor Swift and her boy toy.
2) Patrick Mahomes
3) Ohtani

[unde0087]

Ohtani getting pelted. You could actually hear the moment all the commentators all put away their lotion.

[stevenash]

Another random comment. I studied Wade Boggs' career:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=boggswa01&year=Career&t=b

Very talented hitter. But his splits at Fenway were particularly good:
*Fenway's dimensions are so unique. People tried to figure out if it was favorable to RH- or LH-batters.
...May sound counter-intuitive. I think the Green Monster was perfect for Boggs.
...Spray-hitter, could hit to all fields. They used to say Boggs played pepper w/ the Green Monster.
...How many Doubles did Boggs hit off the Monster? Boggs' BA/OPS were much higher fenway.

I'll post the data that supports what we thought all along, a little later.

There were 12 games across three days (Tuesday to Thursday); I watched 10.5 out of those 12 games.
34 hours of baseball is too much, even for a hardball junkie like myself.

I had to step away from everything and took yesterday off; my family and my extended family were considering suing me for non-support. lol Even my #1 fan, Tessie Dog, looked at me this morning like I was a stranger.

Phiilies +105 Dodgers NLDS

5-2 +(3.2*) post-season to date
I need to double-check all the plays, but I believe 5-2 is accurate.

(I'll get back to MLB later. I need to clean the rest of the shit left on my table first.)

Phiilies +105 Dodgers NLDS

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Another random comment. I studied Wade Boggs' career:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=boggswa01&year=Career&t=b

Very talented hitter. But his splits at Fenway were particularly good:
*Fenway's dimensions are so unique. People tried to figure out if it was favorable to RH- or LH-batters.
...May sound counter-intuitive. I think the Green Monster was perfect for Boggs.
...Spray-hitter, could hit to all fields. They used to say Boggs played pepper w/ the Green Monster.
...How many Doubles did Boggs hit off the Monster? Boggs' BA/OPS were much higher fenway.

[stevenash]

L.A. will lose 2 more games. If that

#LetsGoDodgers

The Dodger bullpen is not to be trusted; they may win a few 8-6 type games, but if the Dodgers fail to reach the WS, I'll make book that it will be due to shaky relief.

In game one, the Dodgers almost turned a boat race in the ninth inning into a devastating defeat.
The Dodgers have no power shortages on offense, but pitching wins post-series games.
With that staff, and the usual inflated juice, I have to lay if I wanted to bet LA (and I would rather not bet them) because that bullpen makes me nervous, like Chapman in game one of the Sox game.

[Irainier]

L.A. will lose 2 more games. If that

#LetsGoDodgers

[mackave]

not sure who i love in this first game , leaning tigers

[brock]

When they showed all the CHC batting average at the all star break and now
everyone had a huge drop off. Just surprised me how that could happen.

[Headsterx]

Ugh! I thought that was going to be a tying home run. Sox messed up when they couldn’t score with bases loaded. Be prepared to be shock tonight when Reds upset Dodgers.

[stevenash]

Oh yeah! Red Sox ties it up 3-3

[Headsterx]

Oh yeah! Red Sox ties it up 3-3

[stevenash]

The Chicago Cubs offense saw a significant decline in several key batting statistics after the 2025 All-Star break compared to before it.

From the get-go, the Cubs opened the season scoring runs at an alarming rate.
Record-setting rates.

I need to fact-check myself, but I believe the Cubs were the first team to have three players with 50+ RBI by game 50.

These run totals are not sustainable; they are comparable to the 1927 NYY run totals.
(OK, that may be a tad hyperbolic, but you get the point. )
A regression was inevitable.

No team can score double-digit runs 25% of the time, and that's what they did from the start, scored double-digit runs 12 times in their first 49 games.

I'm still trying to figure out how they held on to first place for 93 consecutive days, considering the pitching staff blew 32 leads into losses.

Date	Opp	W/L	R	RA
Thursday, Mar 27	ARI	W	10	6
Friday, Mar 28	ARI	L	1	8
Saturday, Mar 29	ARI	W	4	3
Sunday, Mar 30	ARI	L	6	10
Monday, Mar 31	ATH	W	18	3
Tuesday, Apr 1	ATH	W	7	4
Wednesday, Apr 2	ATH	W	10	2
Friday, Apr 4	SDP	W	3	1
Saturday, Apr 5	SDP	W	7	1
Sunday, Apr 6	SDP	L	7	8
Monday, Apr 7	TEX	W	7	0
Tuesday, Apr 8	TEX	W	10	6
Wednesday, Apr 9	TEX	L	2	6
Friday, Apr 11	LAD	L	0	3
Saturday, Apr 12	LAD	W	16	0
Sunday, Apr 13	LAD	W	4	2
Monday, Apr 14	SDP	L	4	10
Tuesday, Apr 15	SDP	W	2	1
Wednesday, Apr 16	SDP	L	2	4
Friday, Apr 18	ARI	W	13	11
Saturday, Apr 19	ARI	W	6	2
Sunday, Apr 20	ARI	L	2	3
Tuesday, Apr 22	LAD	W	11	10
Wednesday, Apr 23	LAD	W	7	6
Friday, Apr 25	PHI	W	4	0
Saturday, Apr 26	PHI	L	4	10
Sunday, Apr 27	PHI	L	1	3
Tuesday, Apr 29	PIT	W	9	0
Wednesday, Apr 30	PIT	L	3	4
Thursday, May 1	PIT	W	8	3
Friday, May 2	MIL	W	10	0
Saturday, May 3	MIL	W	6	2
Sunday, May 4	MIL	L	0	4
Monday, May 5	SFG	W	9	2
Tuesday, May 6	SFG	L	5	14
Wednesday, May 7	SFG	L	1	3
Friday, May 9	NYM	L	2	7
Saturday, May 10	NYM	W	6	5
Sunday, May 11	NYM	L	2	6
Monday, May 12	MIA	W	5	2
Tuesday, May 13	MIA	W	5	4
Wednesday, May 14	MIA	L	1	3
Friday, May 16	CHW	W	13	3
Saturday, May 17	CHW	W	7	3
Sunday, May 18	CHW	W	6	2
Monday, May 19	MIA	L-	7	8
Tuesday, May 20	MIA	W	14	1
Wednesday, May 21	MIA	W	2	1
Friday, May 23	CIN	W	13	6
Saturday, May 24	CIN	L	4	6
Sunday, May 25	CIN	W	11	8
			317	220

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Leaning towards San Diego in game two, but not playing it.

I have a little more faith in Dylan Cease than my pal Peavy does, but I don't have enough faith to plunk down cash.
Cease was unhittable just a few years ago, pitching in the American League; now he's the epitome of inconsistency.

I do like OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
Boston hits LHP very well; they should be able to touch up Rondon for some.
And conversely, the Yankees should be able to get to Bello.

OVER 7.5 Boston/NYY
1*

nasher, the guy had one really outstanding season and has been living off that ever since.

Why would I have any faith in him? He got shelled last year in the playoffs and every once in awhile has a great start but most of the time his pitch count balloons early and his control is off.

Shildt pulled him before he shit himself...need 12 outs to get game 3 tomorrow.

[brock]

The Chicago Cubs offense saw a significant decline in several key batting statistics after the 2025 All-Star break compared to before it.
Here's a comparison of some key Cubs team batting statistics from before and after the 2025 All-Star Break:

Runs per game	5.33	3.78
Batting Average (AVG)	.271 (with RISP)	.211 (with RISP)
On-base Plus Slugging (OPS)	.771	.688

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Random comment: Was looking at tonite's Bos/NYY matchup:

*Remember how the Yankees always had some strong LH-bats to take advantage of the short RF-porch?
...Guys like Mattingly and Paul O'Neill and Jason Giambi.

Don't really see that on this team. More of a RH batting order. Don't really see an edge in Game 2.