NBA Playoffs Betting Hub

[SBR Andy]

Get NBA betting insights from SBR's analysts, along with the best sportsbook promos/odds boosts all postseason long.


NBA Finals Odds
By: Jon Metler

Team	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
Bucks	+265	+240	+275	+275	+275
Celtics	+310	+350	+350	+325	+350
Suns	+425	+480	+425	+425	+400
76ers	+1000	+1000	+900	+950	+1000
Nuggets	+1100	+1000	+1100	+1000	+900
Warriors	+950	+850	+850	+800	+900
Grizzlies	+2000	+1800	+1800	+2000	+1600
Lakers	+1600	+2100	+1400	+1400	+1400
Clippers	+5000	+5000	+4000	+5000	+4000
Cavaliers	+4500	+4600	+4000	+3000	+4000
Kings	+8000	+5000	+5000	+3500	+5000
Knicks	+12000	+10000	+10000	+8000	+10000
Hawks	+25000	+18000	+17500	+15000	+15000
Heat	+30000	+24000	+25000	+25000	+20000
Timberwolves	+40000	+37000	+25000	+30000	+20000
Nets	+60000	+37000	+50000	+40000	+25000

Contender: Suns (+480 via FanDuel)

"Sportsbooks agree that the Suns should be the favorites to emerge from the Western Conference, despite being locked in as the No. 4 seed. That could give us an NBA Finals matchup between the Suns and Bucks for the second time in the last three years.

This time around, Phoenix boasts a star who can go toe-to-toe with Giannis. Kevin Durant has only played eight games with the Suns since landing with them at the trade deadline. But he's averaging 26 points per game to go along with 6.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

With a trio of Devin Booker, Chris Paul, and Durant leading the way, Phoenix might actually be undervalued at +480 through FanDuel."


Long Shot: Kings (+8000 via DraftKings)

"Nobody seems to believe in the Sacramento Kings, who are playoff bound for the first time since 2006. In fact, the Golden State Warriors might have attempted to deliberately draw the No. 6 seed against the Kings during the opening round.

But the disrespect has gone too far. At +8000, you could do a lot worse than holding a flier on a talented young team that's been exceeding expectations all year. Sacramento is much better than this price implies, and the Kings have come a long way since opening at +50000 in this market.

Light the Beam."


Fade: Lakers (+2100 via FanDuel)

"Sure, the Lakers boast LeBron James and Anthony Davis. They've also been one of the best teams in the league since making a bunch of moves prior to the trade deadline. But this is a steep price tag for a team staring down the No. 2 seeded Memphis Grizzlies in the first round.

FanDuel's +2100 listing is closer to a fair price, but the Lakers are being valued in the +1400 to +1600 range at most books. Considering the Lakers are a +116 underdog on FanDuel in an opening-round series against the Grizzlies, the +1400 price point seems excessive."


NBA Finals MVP Odds
By: Jon Metler

Player	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM	PointsBet
Giannis	+270	+285	+275	+300
Tatum	+500	+450	+500	+500
Durant	+700	+600	+650	+700
Embiid	+1100	+1000	+1000	+900
Curry	+1100	+1100	+1100	+1100
Brown	+1300	+1500	+1500	+1600
Jokic	+1300	+1200	+1300	+1000
Booker	+2000	+1600	+1800	+1400
Morant	+2300	+2500	+2500	+2500
James	+3300	+2500	+3000	+2200
Murray	+4400	+15000	+8000	+15000
Davis	+5000	+5000	+5000	+4000
Leonard	+5000	+5000	+5000	+5000
Mitchell	+5000	+5000	+5000	+4000

Contender: Jayson Tatum, Celtics (+500 via FanDuel)

"Unlike Antetokounmpo, whose price is approximately in line with Bucks' futures to win the NBA Finals, Jayson Tatum's price is slightly longer than the Boston Celtics' odds to win the NBA Finals. You can thank Jaylen Brown for this as Tatum will face stiff competition from his own teammate for this award if the Celtics win the NBA Finals.

Tatum averaged 30.1 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game during the regular season. During the NBA Finals last season, Tatum averaged 21.5 points per game, which was second on the team to Brown, who averaged 23.5 points per game."


Long Shot: Chris Paul, Suns (+13000 via FanDuel)

"FanDuel has the Phoenix Suns trading at +460 to win the NBA Finals, yet veteran point guard Chris Paul is at +13000 to win NBA Finals MVP. Considering the fact that Durant already has two NBA Finals MVP awards in his trophy case, some voters would be eager to award this honor to Devin Booker or Paul if the Suns win the NBA Finals.

In my opinion, Paul has the most compelling narrative for the NBA Finals MVP as a long shot because of what he has achieved in the NBA throughout his career. Paul also plays for a team that has a legitimate chance of winning the NBA Finals, and the betting favorite among Suns players (Durant) may experience voter fatigue."


Fade: Jamal Murray, Nuggets (+4400 via FanDuel)

"I'm fading the player and this price for Murray. If the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Finals, Nikola Jokic gets this award, not Murray. There's no way Jokic doesn't win the NBA Finals MVP because his stats are too impactful.

Secondly, we're fading this specific price at FanDuel, which is significantly worse than what's available on the market. At FanDuel, Murray is trading at +4400, which is awful, considering that Murray is available for +15000 at DraftKings and PointsBet."


NBA Playoffs Promos

DraftKings: 'Early Win' promo is back. If your team goes up by 10 at any point, your bet cashes. Must opt-in, max bet $25. See thread tracking bets HERE.

Caesars: 4/14 to 4/21 - Opt in and get (1) 33% Same Game Parlay boost token to use on any NBA game. Minimum odds +400, max wager $50.

BetMGM: One Game Parlay Insurance - Minimum 4 legs & +400 odds. If one leg misses, get your stake back in bonus bets up to $25.


What futures picks are you locking in for the playoffs? Comment below!

[budwiser]

Great stuff thanks. I agree with a lot of it, but playing devil's advocate.

Suns, sure they are loaded with Durant and Booker. A very good center in Ayton when he shows up. Paul is ok, 38 years old. Is Paul or Durant going to get injured-Durant slated for 40+ minutes. BUT-their achilles heel is the rest of the guys past the big 4-Craiug and the bench is not going to win them any playoff games. Paul and Durant are gonna need to win series early, and get rest, KD is already 34 and Paul hitting old man at 38.

Kings too green. Lakers-you got LeBron and Brow, some good role players in Schroder and Reaves.

Agree there's no way Murray is getting the MVP, it's Jokic or the Nuggets are going nowhere. Chris Paul, if the voters have a heart-huuge longshot-but at +130 you never know if these people will cry for State Farm guy. I doubt it. They are not winning a title off the back of Chris Paul, period. Jayson Tatum, price is pretty much the same as Celtics title, and they're most probably not giving him the MVP without the title-though they talked about it last year.

For me I have the following,unfortunately:
Nets Eastern Conference + Nets title
Clippers conference + title

Didn't wait until the end of the season-bad luck and bad picks.

So, I figured I'm not doing any more title picks, since I already have 2.

So, I'm going series for now, until my bad title picks officially end. I have:
Atlanta +650 over the Celtics: Coaches, Brown, Value. Atlanta has been about .500 under new coach Quin Snyder, but there's no denying has solid experience as head coach of the Jazz, and the team seems to be turning around, as the players are starting to buy into the new system. Reports were the team, including Trae Young, dismissed McMillan-true or not who knows. Everyone knows the Hawks have the talent to compete, and imo the talent to compete with the Cetics-they just for whatever reason have yet to put it together-but under the new coach maybe they will find a groove. We're talking 2 teams that are scoring machines-the Celtics are not going to be able to just runaway, shoot a couple 3s, and the Hawks will give up, as is often the case in the Garden. Celtics coach Mazzulla has 0 experience as a head coach in the playoffs. Jaylen Brown has been trade meat this season, and he's heading to free agency. Bottom line-of course the Celtics should be favored, of course I'd pick the Celtics-BUT-at +650?? Give me the Hawks and a shot in the dark.

Nets +600 over 6ers. Doc Rivers, Nets deep, Embiid. Doc Rivers has been fade material in the playoffs. Sure he rode the Celtics to glory-but that was with Paul Pierce, a great clutch shooter who can finish a game no matter who the coach is. He's had disastrous series, one after another. Why can't it happen again. He opened up his mouth just a few days ago-and blamed the CLIPPERS if you can believe it for his disastrous postseason coaching history there. The Nets are a deep team. Their best player though is Bridges, which is saying something-they don't have a true superstar. And their achilles heel is finishing games, and holding leads. But, raw talent-wise, despite losing Durant and Irving, by gaining DFS Dinwiddie Bridges and Cam Johnson, they can compete. Embiid-what are the chances this guy gets injured again? He's been healthy pretty much all season-but that could change fast. Nets would have issues with centers like the Bux Yannis, or the Celtics Williams-strong guys, because Claxton is a shot blocker but he is not a strong guy-and their backup Sharpe is way too green for anything. Embiid may have blew his load scoring 50 against the Celtics and getting the MVP. Harden is a good player but simply not the dominating guy he used to be. Bottom line-SAME reason taking Hawks-value. Do I believe the 6ers most likely win the series? Of course. But at +600? Give me the shot in the dark.

So not a whole lot of risk with the 2 series plays, but not a good chance of return either. But if it does hit-nice return.

People could say-why don't you just play it game-by-game, you'd make more. Maybe could be good point. But.... I don't have time for game-by-game in the football season. And I only do brick and mortar.

[budwiser]

Well....i tried lol. Nets and atlanta flat out not competitive today. Mercy are they bad

So I'll try again for round 2. Reflect what i did wrong. Go back to game by game, which i don't want cause it takes up time...

Carry on fellas!

[IBetYou]

Doesn't appear there will be any upsets in round 1. I think the T'Wolves will give the Nuggets a good series, partly because they're a beast but also because the Nuggets coasted the final two weeks of the season -difficult to get that edge back!

[SBR Andy]

FanDuel odds boost tonight, max bet $50:



Embiid's O/U is sitting at 32.5 and Curry's is 29.5 - 30.5 depending on the book. Don't need both to go over, but a big night from at least one.

[SBR Andy]

Two odds boost from FanDuel for tonight, max bet $50:



One super boost from DraftKings, max bet $25:



Which one do you like best?

[Optional]

The Draftkings one sure looks "easier" to cash.

[SBR Andy]

A couple more NBA boosts available for Friday night's action:

FanDuel - max bet $50:



DraftKings - max bet $25:



Leaning towards the DK one here despite the lower payout.