2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • DwightShrute
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-17-09
    • 102345

    #2276
    Originally posted by King Mayan
    John he’s a Canadian living in Costa Rica. He probably rubs one out to Putin’s poster in his bedroom.
    wrong.

    You rub one out to your brother's picture
    Comment
    • Judge Crater
      SBR MVP
      • 10-05-20
      • 2024

      #2277
      Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep
      Comment
      • Judge Crater
        SBR MVP
        • 10-05-20
        • 2024

        #2278
        Trump dropped 10 cents pretty quick


        +190 now
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #2279
          Originally posted by Judge Crater
          Trump dropped 10 cents pretty quick


          +190 now
          Running out of time for fake moves. This one needs to stick.
          Comment
          • Judge Crater
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-20
            • 2024

            #2280
            +188 The drop may have legs
            Comment
            • RoyBacon
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-21-05
              • 37074

              #2281
              Originally posted by Judge Crater
              +188 The drop may have legs

              Comment
              • DwightShrute
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-17-09
                • 102345

                #2282
                Trump 4 rallies today

                High energy
                Comment
                • dustyy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-08-17
                  • 2459

                  #2283
                  Originally posted by RoyBacon

                  +150 at Bovada
                  Comment
                  • vitterd
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-14-17
                    • 58460

                    #2284
                    Originally posted by DwightShrute
                    Trump 4 rallies today

                    High energy
                    He looked dead
                    Comment
                    • JohnGalt2341
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 9138

                      #2285
                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                      I can't get this to paste right but you can get Trump plus the Electoral Votes at Heritage.

                      Trump lines:

                      +81.5 -115
                      +63.5 +115
                      +48.5 +124
                      +100.5 -140



                      Biden

                      -81.5 -115
                      -63.5 -145
                      -48.5 -164
                      -100.5 +110
                      Judging from these prices it looks as if they are figuring around:

                      Biden 310 EV

                      Trump 228 EV

                      What do you think?
                      Comment
                      • asiagambler
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-23-17
                        • 6831

                        #2286
                        Lot of late money on Trump
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82485

                          #2287
                          Originally posted by dustyy
                          +150 at Bovada
                          +184 at pinny. You are getting robbed at Bovada.
                          Comment
                          • RoyBacon
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-21-05
                            • 37074

                            #2288
                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                            +184 at pinny. You are getting robbed at Bovada.
                            Nice move from +200. Did the same thing a couple of days ago went from +201 to +183 and then back to +200. So let's see what happens over the next 24hrs.
                            Comment
                            • dustyy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-08-17
                              • 2459

                              #2289
                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              +184 at pinny. You are getting robbed at Bovada.
                              +165 BAS. Dropping
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82485

                                #2290
                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                Nice move from +200. Did the same thing a couple of days ago went from +201 to +183 and then back to +200. So let's see what happens over the next 24hrs.
                                No I have been checking it everyday for the last 2 weeks. It was +170 yesterday.
                                Comment
                                • JohnGalt2341
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 9138

                                  #2291
                                  +172 at Heritage
                                  Comment
                                  • navyblue81
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-29-13
                                    • 4143

                                    #2292
                                    Find it funny how people are discounting Trafalgar Group polls as too “right biased”. I mean, they we’re the only poll to say Trump would win Pa and Mich in 2016 and Trump won Pa and Mich but hey, let’s discount them.
                                    Comment
                                    • jt315
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-12-11
                                      • 21698

                                      #2293
                                      Originally posted by navyblue81
                                      Find it funny how people are discounting Trafalgar Group polls as too “right biased”. I mean, they we’re the only poll to say Trump would win Pa and Mich in 2016 and Trump won Pa and Mich but hey, let’s discount them.

                                      Yet they believe the likes of the the A+ rated ABC WAPO poll showing Trump up 17 in Wisconsin .
                                      Comment
                                      • navyblue81
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-29-13
                                        • 4143

                                        #2294
                                        Originally posted by jt315
                                        Yet they believe the likes of the the A+ rated ABC WAPO poll showing Trump up 17 in Wisconsin .
                                        Well that same ABC poll has Trump up in Fla this morning. It’s tradition that whoever wins Fla, wins the WH. Been that way every year since 1960 in a two-way race. If Biden were to win Tuesday without Fla, that would break history.
                                        Comment
                                        • trytrytry
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-13-06
                                          • 23649

                                          #2295
                                          lots of SBR PROS wagering for pizza and dreams biden -185 trump +165 current and lots of states have action as well. geting close to election day madness.


                                          Comment
                                          • RoyBacon
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-21-05
                                            • 37074

                                            #2296
                                            Originally posted by trytrytry
                                            lots of SBR PROS wagering for pizza and dreams biden -185 trump +165 current and lots of states have action as well. geting close to election day madness.


                                            https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post29841986
                                            I took the bridge jumper special;

                                            2020 USA PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - DEMS. WINS BY 280 + ELECTORAL VOTES (ALL ACTION WHENEVER ELECTION TAKES PLACE)10/2923:00
                                            Yes +570
                                            No -730

                                            7300 to win 1000
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #2297
                                              Originally posted by navyblue81
                                              Find it funny how people are discounting Trafalgar Group polls as too “right biased”. I mean, they we’re the only poll to say Trump would win Pa and Mich in 2016 and Trump won Pa and Mich but hey, let’s discount them.
                                              Yeah I watched the Trafalgar guys interview on CNN.He knows his shite.He could be right again
                                              Comment
                                              • vitterd
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 09-14-17
                                                • 58460

                                                #2298
                                                Originally posted by beefcake
                                                Yeah I watched the Trafalgar guys interview on CNN.He knows his shite.He could be right again
                                                He’s a hack
                                                Comment
                                                • pokernight1991
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 04-11-07
                                                  • 124

                                                  #2299
                                                  Placed a small wager on the grifter to win. I figure I will either be happier or slightly richer. Go Biden. Vote Blue.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82485

                                                    #2300
                                                    Last election was decided by less than a 100,000 votes. So it may look like a landslide on electoral votes but the actual margin of votes to win states was small. With alsmost 100,000,000 ballots casted until today only 1/3 of the voters will be gong to the polls on Tuesday.

                                                    The election may have already been decided by early voting and mail in ballots.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                      • 102345

                                                      #2301
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      Last election was decided by less than a 100,000 votes. So it may look like a landslide on electoral votes but the actual margin of votes to win states was small. With alsmost 100,000,000 ballots casted until today only 1/3 of the voters will be gong to the polls on Tuesday.

                                                      The election may have already been decided by early voting and mail in ballots.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoyBacon
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-21-05
                                                        • 37074

                                                        #2302
                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                        Last election was decided by less than a 100,000 votes. So it may look like a landslide on electoral votes but the actual margin of votes to win states was small. With alsmost 100,000,000 ballots casted until today only 1/3 of the voters will be gong to the polls on Tuesday.

                                                        The election may have already been decided by early voting and mail in ballots.
                                                        Could be. It may be over.

                                                        But the undecided's always wait until election day.

                                                        Will they break even for both candidates? Or like in '16 will they break mostly for 1 candidate?

                                                        A point or two swing in places like AZ, PA, WI, MI and MN could be the deciding factor.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • navyblue81
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-29-13
                                                          • 4143

                                                          #2303
                                                          For the record, I do think Biden wins but there could be some strange things happening, like a candidate winning Florida and losing the election, Trump winning Minnesota, and Biden winning Arizona and Georgia. These are things that are extremely unusual over the last 50 years but it’s 2020. Anything goes.

                                                          Trump’s best shot without Pa. is to pick off two of the three in the MW (Minny, Wis, Mich) along with Fla. and holding other red states from 2016.

                                                          For Biden, taking Arizona, Pa. and then one more red state like NC or Fla should seal the deal. Then he can afford a slight stumble in MW.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dustyy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-08-17
                                                            • 2459

                                                            #2304
                                                            Biden had a bad day yesterday, stumbling and fumbling.

                                                            Pittsburgh Gazette endorsed Trump, first time endorsing a R since 1972.

                                                            Well informed D's are very nervous, despite what you are hearing in here. Heavy $ coming in on Trump at the offshore books.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • vitterd
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-14-17
                                                              • 58460

                                                              #2305
                                                              Originally posted by dustyy
                                                              Biden had a bad day yesterday, stumbling and fumbling.

                                                              Pittsburgh Gazette endorsed Trump, first time endorsing a R since 1972.

                                                              Well informed D's are very nervous, despite what you are hearing in here. Heavy $ coming in on Trump at the offshore books.
                                                              I think that makes 4 total newspaper endorsements for Trump. Donnie was out of energy yesterday. Where is this heavy money on Trump? It’s only dumb money.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoyBacon
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 09-21-05
                                                                • 37074

                                                                #2306
                                                                Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                                For the record, I do think Biden wins but there could be some strange things happening, like a candidate winning Florida and losing the election, Trump winning Minnesota, and Biden winning Arizona and Georgia. These are things that are extremely unusual over the last 50 years but it’s 2020. Anything goes.

                                                                Trump’s best shot without Pa. is to pick off two of the three in the MW (Minny, Wis, Mich) along with Fla. and holding other red states from 2016.

                                                                For Biden, taking Arizona, Pa. and then one more red state like NC or Fla should seal the deal. Then he can afford a slight stumble in MW.
                                                                Bite your fugging tongue! LOL

                                                                I have been leaning Biden but as of today I'm leaning Trump and your post explains why.

                                                                Yes, GA, NC and AZ are tight but Trump will win those. FL, TX and OH are not close despite what the media says.

                                                                So that means Joe has to run the table in the Midwest. And that I put at 50/50 but starting to think Trump could win either WI, MI or PA.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jt315
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-12-11
                                                                  • 21698

                                                                  #2307
                                                                  Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                                  Well that same ABC poll has Trump up in Fla this morning. It’s tradition that whoever wins Fla, wins the WH. Been that way every year since 1960 in a two-way race. If Biden were to win Tuesday without Fla, that would break history.

                                                                  Trump isn’t losing Fla.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • vitterd
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-14-17
                                                                    • 58460

                                                                    #2308
                                                                    Originally posted by jt315
                                                                    Trump isn’t losing Fla.
                                                                    You are 0-fer your life at every site.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vitterd
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-14-17
                                                                      • 58460

                                                                      #2309
                                                                      Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                      Bite your fugging tongue! LOL

                                                                      I have been leaning Biden but as of today I'm leaning Trump and your post explains why.

                                                                      Yes, GA, NC and AZ are tight but Trump will win those. FL, TX and OH are not close despite what the media says.

                                                                      So that means Joe has to run the table in the Midwest. And that I put at 50/50 but starting to think Trump could win either WI, MI or PA.
                                                                      YES!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jt315
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-12-11
                                                                        • 21698

                                                                        #2310
                                                                        Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                        You are 0-fer your life at every site.
                                                                        Fla is a lock since you mushed the retard in Fla. short timer . We need your Pa. is a lock for Biden prediction next . Lmao !
                                                                        Comment
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