NFL Trends

[kingdom]

Totals:

Broncos 2-15 o/u run
Bills 1-10 o/u on road
Bears 3-11 o/u
Patriots 4-15 o/u as fav
Bucs 7-2 o/u; 7 overs in a row.

[kingdom]

Bengals surprising 7-1 ats on road. Raiders 6-1 ats at home
Cardinals 6-2 ats as a dog
Bills 6-0 ats on road
Falcons 5-15 ats on road
Ravens 1-8 ats home fav; Texans 7-2 ats road.

[kingdom]

Titans are 11-23 ats off a win. they are 0-16 ats off a win facing an opponent that gave up over 370 yds their previous game.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=team+%3D+Titans+and+p%3AW+and+opo%3ATY+%3E+370+and+date+%3E%3D+20131000&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

Bears are struggling to score and teams avg less than 14 ppg are 1-28 ats as fav against bad road teams

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=%28p%3ALAD%20and%20HF%20and%20tA%28points%2CN%3D3%29%3C%3D14%20and%20%28o%3Astreak%3E-5%20or%20streak%3E-5%29%20and%20oS%28AW%29-oS%28AL%29%3C%3D-2%20and%20date%20%3E%3D%2020061126%29%20as%20%22Fade%20a%20home%20favorite%20the%20week%20following%20a%20loss%20as%20a%20road%20dog%20when%20they%20have%20averaged%2014%20ppg%20or%20less%20over%20their%20last%20three%20games%20and%20they%20are%20facing%20a%20team%20that%20is%20at%20least%20two%20games%20under%20500%20on%20the%20road%2C%20as%20long%20as%20both%20teams%20are%20not%20on%20five-plus%20game%20losing%20streaks%20%2820191124%2C%20%27Bears%27%29%22&plot_PL=1

[kingdom]

Pats are 37-5 and 30-11 ats last 5 seasons

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=team+%3D+Patriots+and+H+and+season+%3E%3D+2015&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

in cowboys favor they are 13-0 ats after a road win and they avg more than 5 conversions on 3rd down b2b games.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=%28team%3DCowboys%20and%20surface%3Dartificial%20and%20p%3AAW%20and%20p%3A3DM%3E%3D5%20and%20pp%3A3DM%3E%3D5%20and%20date%3E%3D20121216%29%20as%20%22DAL002%3A%20The%20Cowboys%20are%2012-0%20ATS%20%289.00%20ppg%29%20on%20turf%20off%20a%20road%20win%20when%20they%20converted%20at%20least%20five%20third%20downs%20in%20each%20of%20their%20last%20two%20games.%22&plot_PL=1

[kingdom]

against the lions, teams that gave up 300 yards passing and are fav next week are 2-12 ats this season

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=po%3APY+%3E%3D+300+and+p%3AL+and+season+%3E+2018+and+F&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

in steelers favor, away favs vs. winless team are 15-5 ats

[kingdom]

Totals:

Bears on an o/u run of 3-12
Pats 4-16 o/u as fav
Steelers 5-23 o/u as road fav
TB 17-4 o/u on road
Seattle 7-2 o/u on road
Titans 7-2 o/u home

[kingdom]

against the falcons, teams that lose time of possesion on season are 42-81 as home favs and o/u is 68-53

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=HF+and+line+%3E-4+and+o%3Arest+%3E3+and+tA%28TOP%2F60%29%3C30+and+tA%28o%3A3DM%29%3E%3D5.5+and+week%3C16+and+season+%3E%3D+2009+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[sunshine11]

Titans are 11-23 ats off a win. they are 0-16 ats off a win facing an opponent that gave up over 370 yds their previous game.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

So Jaguars are a lock?

[kingdom]

So Jaguars are a lock?

trends are never a lock. just trends. some win. some lose.

[jtoler]

Titans are 11-23 ats off a win. they are 0-16 ats off a win facing an opponent that gave up over 370 yds their previous game.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

they are 0-16 ats off a win and facing a team that gave up almost 400 yds the previous week seems weird doesnt it.

[kingdom]

i've heard a few times this wknd that the pack aren't very good on the road. it's somewhat true. they have won 4 of last 5 su and ats, but prior to that were 8-17 su and 9-16 ats on road since 16 season. they are also 21-9 o/u since then, but 6 of last 10 have gone under. the teams they have played under against in that stretch are pats, bears(2), rams, vikes, and chargers. so i guess the 9ers d can be considered in that same class.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

they are 0-16 ats off a win and facing a team that gave up almost 400 yds the previous week seems weird doesnt it.

for most teams yes. but the titans are notoriously bad after a win. usually over valued and inconsistent. even when you bring the parameter down to 300 yds off total off, they are still 5-22 ats coming into today. the jags were a high level of awful and they smoked them. here is the stat giving 300 yds of offense. and it goes thru different coaches and players. when you avg 17 pts situationally in the nfl, you aren't gonna beat or cover against many teams.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[2daBank]

Anything on this niners/pack game?

[kingdom]

Anything on this niners/pack game?

just post 49. sf data is irrelevant with jimmy g only having a few starts. they have been horrible as a home fav going 3-16 ats. but this season they are 2-3 ats so nothing significant with relatively new qb and coach. the pack hadn't been very good on the road for years as their defense has been giving up 28 ppg. but they are somewhat improved and i think that is reason they have won and covered 4 of 5. what i was saying earlier is the one thing i noticed is they have played under against solid defenses recently. and remember for rest of season, broncos, pats under; and bucs over. even tho they barely eeked that one out lol.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s....%22&plot_PL=1

[kingdom]

and this is the pack numbers.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[2daBank]

Yea I think pack have improved on the road for quantifiable reasons. Namely a run game and not great but a opportunistic defense. Those things travel more than just counting on qb,

I was under impression kittle wasn’t gonna play but appears he is. Kinda sucks I’m already on pack ml. Too stubborn to change mind. Little worried cause I do think kittle makes them much better even in the run game which has struggled lately. Pounding rock best way to attack packers d.

[kingdom]

Yea I think pack have improved on the road for quantifiable reasons. Namely a run game and not great but a opportunistic defense. Those things travel more than just counting on qb,

I was under impression kittle wasn’t gonna play but appears he is. Kinda sucks I’m already on pack ml. Too stubborn to change mind. Little worried cause I do think kittle makes them much better even in the run game which has struggled lately. Pounding rock best way to attack packers d.

gl. i'm going with the under. did you take any spread to back up ml? ml is a good number in toss up game like this one. true running game always matter. bears so silly having a 5'6 180 lb guy running the ball in chicago lol. they always call it a passing league, but the top 8 rushing teams are all playoff teams with winning records.

[kingdom]

Bucs are 18-4 o/u road and 9-0 o/u overall
Bengals are 3-10 o/u since dec '18 avg 15.6 ppg
Skins 1-7 o/u last 8 avg 10 ppg
Pats 5-17 o/u since oct 18
Steelers 5-18 o/u as dog since '15 season
Broncos 5-20 o/u since sept 18

[kingdom]

Rams 9-3 ats as fav last 12
Rams 3-9 o/u road since oct 18
Giants 6-15 ats last 21 home
Steelers 21-10 ats as dog since '13
Bucs 8-20 ats as favs

[kingdom]

Titans are 11-23 ats off a win. they are 0-16 ats off a win facing an opponent that gave up over 370 yds their previous game.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

now 1-23 ats since '09

[kingdom]

against the lions, teams that gave up 300 yards passing and are fav next week are 2-12 ats this season

against panthers this weekhttps://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

panthers

[kingdom]

Ravens are 16-5 ats away run
Bengals 8-1 ats away
Lions 0-7 ats since oct
Seahawks 6-0 su/5-0-1 ats on road

[kingdom]

Bills 4-11 o/u run
Bengals 3-11
Skins 2-7 o/u
Broncos 4-15 o/u dog
Chargers 3-11 o/u fav
Steelers 8-33 o/u road
Pats 5-17 o/u fav
Chiefs 18-6 o/u road
Bucs 9-1 o/u last 10

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Chiefs 18 overs on road?

[mdunlap3]

Chargers 18-5(79%) ATS in the Philip Rivers era(2004+) when they are playing on the road and they lost their last two road games.

[kingdom]

big favs of -10 or more 72-47 ats. 42-79 o/u

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...9%22&plot_PL=1

[kingdom]

Dolphins 7-2 ats run
Broncos 7-2 ats
Rams 10-3 ats as fav
Seahawks 8-2 ats road

[kingdom]

Bengals 3-9 ats home
Browns 0-4 su/ats road
Chargers 3-9 ats home dog
Giants 3-11 ats home
Saints 2-8 ats home fav

[kingdom]

Patriots 11-27 o/u road fav
Chargers 2-10 o/u home dog
Rams 2-9 o/u road fav
Bills 3-13 o/u road
Packers 4-8 o/u
Skins 2-8 o/u
Panthers 10-4 o/u
Bucs 18-5 o/u road

[asiagambler]

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

Posted this in another thread

Patriots off a loss in recent history has heavy bias towards under

Under 13-1 last 14 times including last week against Chiefs

[kingdom]

Panthers: teams after week 13 off a game with less than 21 pts and 4+ turnovers are 6-23 ats. usually means you really suck or quit on season. Panthers also giving up 31 ppg since oct 6.

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...9%22&plot_PL=1

[kingdom]

big favs of -10 or more 72-47 ats. 42-79 o/u

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...9%22&plot_PL=1

Pats and Niners this week.