A lot of strong trends this week. some i found quite surprising and others that make a lot of sense.
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Ok.Comment -
Two of the biggest surprises are the Vikings and Titans. vikes are a super strong 32-11 ats as a fav since 2015.
Just as surprising is the titans are 19-43 ats (30.6%) after a win.
they are also 2-24 ats off a win facing a team that gave up over 350 yds the previous week.
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what is your purpose?Originally posted by juicernameComment -
I'm leery of Titans trends now they don't have Mariotta at QB. The offense should open up a little more now.Comment -
In the classic run vs. pass matchup, strongest trends favor ravens. ravens are 14-0 ats as a dog against teams passing for 13 or more 1st downs per game over past 5 seasons. Ravens also 18-3 ats as a dog against teams throwing over an avg of 23 passes per game.
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for the pats they are on a serious under run on the road since '15 as bill is becoming more conservative
10-24 o/u. also winning teams off a game as fav are 4-19 ats against strong rushing teams avg over 7 first downs rushing since 2016
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whats not surprising is the bucs being 2-13 ats against teams with a positive t/o margin since 2015. obviously jameis and fitz have given the ball away tons. what is good about that is the bucs are 16-4 o/u last 20 on road as they give up more than 31 ppg and are typically behind and flinging it.
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Raiders fit trend of last years losing teams on losing streaks the following season. this trend was 0-20 ats until cowboys laid an egg against the jets.
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Chargers are a good road dog, but not so much at home. doesnt happen often, but over last few years they are 2-9 ats and 2-9 under. they are also a team that plays under more often to not going 40-58 ats (40%) since 2013.
Packers usually are 11-2 over as road fav as defense hadn't been very good and most games were shootouts giving up more than 27ppg. with the packs improved D and chargers not being a shootout team this year, be interesting to see if it stays under.
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Broncos, raiders, and giants are also losing teams from last year on a losing streak. teams are 31-55 ats including 2-7 ats this season.
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Home favs with small lines of less than 4 that are losing T.O.P battle and giving up 6 or more 3rd down conversions are 34-17 o/u (66.7%) since '15. carolina qualifies. teams are also 26-29 su and 20-33 ats so could be a toss up with titans.
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Other totals:
Broncos under every week. they are 1-15 o/u last 16
Skins are 0-5 o/u last 5 scoring avg of 7 ppg and giving up 20 ppg including 9ers with only 9 and vikes with only 19
Colts are 3-14 o/u as a dog.Comment -
its odd the struggle has persevered thru multiple coaches and qb's. very surprising.Originally posted by RockBottomComment -
Well, the OP was weak but good stuff here 👍.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
but your mom's head game is strong. tell her hello and i miss her. tia.Originally posted by juicernameComment -
Chiefs are 14-1 ats on road after avg 24 ppg in last 3
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Falcons have been best fade off b2b losses going 3-14 ats. they are also 4-15 ats on road last 2 seasons.
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Ravens are a play fading big home dogs of 8+ (18-33 ats) 35% cover and the o/u is 9-43. def want to play under.
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Cards are a play as away dogs off giving up over 24 at home are 55-31 ats for 64%
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lions are improved but over last ten seasons they are 3-16 ats after a good offensive game on 3rd down.
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For totals:
bears are 3-10 o/u avg 18ppg in last 13
bengals are 1-8 o/u avg 14.8 ppg
bills are 1-9 o/u on road
bucs are 13-8 over
chiefs are 17-6 over on road.Comment -
Good thread, kingdom, good luck with your actionComment -
Lol such a troll sometimesOriginally posted by kingdomComment -
Trends mean nothing pal
Good to talk about onlyComment -
don't look now, but the fish have won 4 straight ats to move to 4-4 ats on season. fitzmagic.
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apparently you didn't scroll up lol. just a response my friend. gl to u as well.Comment -
says people that are against winning....jjComment -
steelers are 20-9-1 as a dog last 30
the o/u is 5-16 as a dog last 5 seasons.
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seahawks have only been a division dog 7 times last 7 seasons. they are 7-0 ats. they are also 15-0 ats in division against teams with low t/o margin.
hawks are also 7-2 o/u as a dog since last season.Comment -
vikings are 1-6-1 as a dog last 2 seasons since acquiring cousins only avg. 16.6 ppg. tt is 23 tonight. close call on tt as cowboys have shootouts at times. cowboys are 8-3 ats since last season at home giving up 18ppg. teams that are off games as away favorites are 22-7 o/u in following game on turf.
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Panthers are 16-3 ats as a dog vs teams giving up over 325 ypg. the over is 12-6
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So I guess it bad I’m all over Packers ats and money line? Lol. Nfl sucks. How you doing today pal? I won with cardinals and pushed with bills. Pretty pissed they let Faker go down and score to beat them.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
21-9 now and under 5-17Originally posted by kingdomsteelers are 20-9-1 as a dog last 30
the o/u is 5-16 as a dog last 5 seasons.
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s....%22&plot_PL=1Comment -
sorry man, just saw this. good call. one of best games of day.Originally posted by 2daBankComment
