Rams have a bunch of playboys on that team who probably partied in LA all season and still jogged to 13-3 with a lot of now healed injuries. Pats get blown out here. its going to be ugly
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Rams at +3 is a good play. That being said, anything can happen in one event. I'm on the math geeks side here.
Go Rams!Comment -
DSI at New England -3 -105Comment -
I’m in AC for the whole weekend and after I placed my last bet for this year’s SB at Ocean, I came back to the hotel I’m staying and started playing Pai Gow poker and I wasn’t losing or winning but breaking even. Then, this relief dealer comes and he is freaking hot as hell and he never had less than two pairs EVERY SINGLE HANDS.
He was beating me so bad that I started to bet $100 plus two hands getting up to $200 a hand playing two hands.
It was not a good idea as I lost $1,000 just like that. So, I buy another $1,000 and the regular dealer comes back and in the last hour she gave me back all my losses plus extra $50 and stupidly I was betting only $25 to $50 a hand and two hands.
What ticks me is that had I stuck with $200 a hand instead of dropping to $25/$50 when the regular dealer came back, then I cleared $4,000 in the last hour. Duhhhh, stupid me costing myself $3,000 winnings.Comment -
On the other hand, this Asian guy buys $1,000 and he’s betting $200 a hand and just like that he’s up $500 plus. Betting $200 a hand, it doesn’t take but a few wins to get that much of winnings and I was envious. Then that stupid ass relief dealer came and I warned the Asian guy how hot the relief dealer was but he did not heed my warning. The Asian guy’s spot got really cold and just like that he lost $500 winnings plus his own $500, so he is down to $500 and he goes all in.
I kept on telling the guy that he needed to move to a different spot and he wouldn’t listen and sure enough he lost his $1,000 buy-in and he cursed and left.
What’s really bad was that the relief dealer was getting really lousy hands like tiny pair of deuces or 3’a with no top, i.e. less than king something and the Asian guy could not win at all in 5 to 6 hands he lasted. Any tiny pair with King or Ace something would have won. So sad to watch that kind of crap unfold like that.Comment -
Coin toss final for me, just go for the underdog.Comment -
So, I was lucky I got Rams +3-110 for all my bets.
It would really suck if it goes up to +3.5 even with a higher juice, but what difference does it make since I expect the Rams to win SU.
Now that I have all my bets in, the Super Bowl Sunday cannot get here fast enough.Comment -
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Just finished playing Pai Gow for the last 8 hours.
Ended up making $100 and I was lucky since I was down $1,000+ and $500+ and both times I got them back.
I wish I wasn't down 1K and 500 before making a come back, which then I would be up $1,500.
After 30 years of casino gambling, I still suck at it; always betting less when winning and betting bigger when losing. Total opposite of what I should be doing.
Damn, I don't think I can wait a whole week for the Super Bowl...
I have to find a way to kill time fast and work ain't it.Comment -
Is it possible that books give back all they've won from us next Sunday?
Tweet from David Purdum.
Heading into the weekend, the betting action on the Super Bowl remained lopsided on the favored New England Patriots. At Caesars Palace sportsbooks, 86.1 percent of the money bet on the Super Bowl point spread was on the Patriots as of Friday night. William Hill's sportsbooks in Nevada, New Jersey, Mississippi and West Virginia moved the line to New England -3, with -110 juice, Friday night. The consensus line remains Patriots -2.5.Comment -
come to toronto ill give you +102 upto 15k.
u arent gonna get there online thats forsureComment -
i dont think these numbers are accuarate at all just my two centsComment -
It's interesting how BookMaker has lowered their odd to Pats -2-114. What the hell??? Are they begging more people to bet the Pats?
Or, do they really have more money on the Rams that they are trying to even the action?Comment -
Nobody knows for fact except the books themselves, but two betting clerks I asked both said everyone's betting the Pats.
Even on SBR, there is no doubt that there are more people on the Pats by far than the Rams and all just because they think it's the swan song for Brady and he's not going to fuk it up. Whatever.Comment -
2 is not a likely number so 2 and 2.5 aren’t big difference. Many books are juicing pats or moving to an unwanted number either -3 or -115/-120 to get people to STOP betting on patriots there. That way if people do bet the pats they have to risk more to win. The line will attract Rams bettors to help even out.
It’s actually reassuring that some books are doing this for money management.Comment -
Why would they not be, Purdum is to sports betting reporting what Woj is to NBA reporting, he has great accurate sources. And Sports Insights is the ONLY site I would trust for accurate betting percentages, they actually pay offshore books to provide them with bet % info. Their info is so exact down to the actual number of bets at specific books that it would not surprise me if they have direct access, at least to an extent.Comment -
90% was on the patriots spread when the line first open at 1.5Comment -
Tommy boy and billy boy will ride into the sunset after this super bowl winComment -
You mean when the Rams were favored by -1 before it crossed zero because so much money was on the Pats. The line did not open with Pats -1.5.
I can only hope everyone thinks just like you and keep on betting the Pats.
Then the fixes you have never seen in your life will be in. I just don't see the books taking a bath in this Super Bowl if the current betting pattern continues.Comment -
If you are that sure about the Pats, then why don't you bet the farm on the Pats?
I like the rams, but I'm not 100% certain about them like you are about the Pats. Still, I have 11K vested on the Rams.
Dang, if I'm that sure about the Pats, then I would unload at least 40K on the Pats like I did in 2005 when I was 99% certain that they would win the game at least and bet the ML on them.
Are you even betting the game at all with real cash or just all talk?Comment -
Hell, I still have 4K cash on me because I got lucky and didn't lose last night playing Pai Gow poker when I could have very easily lost 2K plus as everyone who came to the table I was playing lost badly. If I don't lose them in the casinos before next Sunday, then I may bet some more on the Rams.Comment -
I'm just wondering what kind of fix I have not seen before could occur for this Super Bowl. With NFL getting so much rap for bad reffing, I'm not sure if they would use the refs to fix the game.
The lights going out in the 49ers vs the Ravens game was a good one to get the 49ers to settle down as they would have been blown out far worse if that didn't happen.
Hmmm, who is the least paid O line player for the Pats?
He's getting paid not to block, so Brady runs for his life every down. That should do it. Easy peasy.
Maybe not blocking would be too obvious. He will just have to whiff a lot.Comment -
I believe saints would be favor over New England - but the nfl sent the wrong team 2 the super bowl-Comment -
Something else that's interesting is that at Pinnacle, their spread has always been Pats -2.5 but with the higher juice on the Pats.
Overnight last night, it flipped to Rams +2.5-108 and since they are 5 cents juice book, it's a higher juice on the Rams.
Is Pinnacle begging the bettors to bet more on the Pats? Or, are the bettors at Pinnacle wising up and betting more on the Rams?Comment
