Millionaire's Row Investment Fund (All plays posted inside)

**TPowell** · 10-13-16, 12:14 AM

Houston -3 (-110) $385 to win $350

I know, I know, another short fave but I think if you look at it you'll see that Houston isn't a bad team when they can run the football some. That makes me think that Indy is the perfect team they can face after an embarrassing performance (I played them last week btw) last week on the road at Minnesota. They couldn't get the run game going last week and they kind of just quit to be honest. Indy is terrible on defense in general, so they should have their spirits lifted some. I know Houston is without Watt but the defense isn't terrible. The run defense without Watt has been okay against TEN and MIN (2 run first teams) but the pass defense has left a lot to be desired and Luck will exploit that for sure this week. The problem is Houston will gash the Indy defense and wear them down to the point where they'll be able to score pretty easily late in the game if things break right. On the other hand, Houston at home should be able to buckle down and potentially get some late stops. I just don't see how Lamar Miller and Houston don't embarrass this awful Indy run defense and keep them on the field for an eternity.

**Ri¢h Bank$** · 10-13-16, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

Initial Investment: $25,000
Current Stake: $26,202 (+$1202)

NCAAF: 17-10-2 $2,775
MMA: 5-11 $-1980
NFL: 7-6 $-392
Politics/Scalps: 2-2 +$799

Do you have any long term records from previous threads

**TPowell** · 10-13-16, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by Ri¢h Bank$

Do you have any long term records from previous threads

I didn't post plays here before much outside of a hot run for a few years in college hoops many years ago. I have spreadsheets of my plays for the last 2-3 years though

**TPowell** · 10-13-16, 12:28 PM

Florida State -21 (-110) $330 to win $300

Pretty simple one here, Wake is horrible (I don't care about their record) and FSU is primed and ready to take frustrations out after early struggles.

**TPowell** · 10-13-16, 04:49 PM

Carolina -2.5 (-110) $440 to win $400

**TPowell** · 10-13-16, 04:59 PM

Arizona State +13 (-110) $440 to win $400

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 10:49 AM

Plan on making a move on Arizona when I get home. Injury concerns have lessened some with Bruno, Wilson, and Poindexter all probable for this week. Zellers and the QB Dawkins being ? is tough but at +10 at home, I just think there's too much value there

**rwsmith8608** · 10-14-16, 11:04 AM

I agree, No difference in a play today and a play next week. Play the ones you like, dont the ones you dont. We are not limiting our lifetime volume of picks, so why limit our weekly picks. Nice point.

Originally posted by TPowell

I don't think so. I think if your scared about the juice, you should probably consider the fact that over your betting career it's already going to kill you anyway. Make the best plays you can

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 11:47 AM

New Mexico State +5 (-115) $345 to win $300

Really bleh game that should be a PK IMO and NMSU's OL should be improved this week. Wish I would have bought to 6 from 5.5 earlier this week and had +6 -120 instead of +5 -115 but it happens

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 09:28 PM

Starting to get a lot of pressure to abandon the NFL and basically anything not NCAA related..... can't say I blame them. Just don't understand how SD had the bodies and energy to play that hard on a short week. Oh well, easy Duke cover tonight at least

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 09:34 PM

Tennessee +14 (-115) $460 to win $400

I recommend waiting if you don't have access to the +14 yet. Should probably be able to buy it there at -120 tomorrow at some point I would think. On Tenny again, pretty simple game here. If Tenny isn't too banged up, they'll play with a TON of fire and should be able to hang tough. They can't afford to fall behind like normal though because Alabama will pound it down their throats and avoid a comeback from the Vols. Honestly, I'll be watching this game close because I feel like a live bet may be the more appropriate way to do this. If Tenny is in the game after a quarter or so (within 10 points), I think you take your chances and take the Tenny live line.

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 09:57 PM

Western Michigan -12 (-105) $263 to win $250

**TPowell** · 10-14-16, 10:10 PM

Michigan State/Northwestern UNDER 21 (-115) for 1H $230 to win $200

Gonna copy and paste my explanation from earlier. Will wish I put more on these 2 MSU first half plays afterwards I almost guarantee it.

One of my favorite plays of the week but I'm NOT a big 1H play guy so going lighter than my biggest plays. May add some more when 1Q lines are out. My reasoning is very simple. MSU hasn't given up over 13 points in any game this year. Look at the following below.

BYU game- 7-3 MSU at half, BYU wins 31-14
Indiana game- 7-0 MSU at half, Indy wins 24-21
Wisconsin game- 13-6 WIS at half, Wisconsin wins 30-6
Notre Dame game- 15-7 MSU at half, MSU wins 36-28
Furman game- 14-3 MSU at half, MSU wins 28-13

So my thoughts are simple, MSU's offense is just really bad and they lean so heavily on the defense that the defense can't play hard for the full game. In their 4 power 5 games, MSU has only given up a combined 23 points. They've been gutted in the second half defensively. I may consider an UNDER play in the 1H as well

**unde0087** · 10-15-16, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

Florida State -21 (-110) $330 to win $300

Pretty simple one here, Wake is horrible (I don't care about their record) and FSU is primed and ready to take frustrations out after early struggles.

I can see Cook rushing for over 2 bills

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 10:37 AM

Finally bit on this one. Not a big play but not bad at +3

Texas Tech +3 (-110) $330 to win $300

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 10:40 AM

Arizona +11 (-110) $330 to win $300

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 10:43 AM

Michigan State -0.5 for 1Q (-115) $230 to win $200

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 11:21 AM

UMass +17 (+100) $250 to win $250

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 12:18 PM

Feel like such a moron for not doubling down on Minny when they got to +7 earlier in the week. Line closed at +3 after Hills (MD starting QB) was declared out. Have Minny +4.5 but this game is an absolute car wreck. 2 teams just trying to survive with backup QB's and the defenses are eating them up

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 01:00 PM

Miami Ohio +1 (-105) $262.5 to win $250

**unde0087** · 10-15-16, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Feel like such a moron for not doubling down on Minny when they got to +7 earlier in the week. Line closed at +3 after Hills (MD starting QB) was declared out. Have Minny +4.5 but this game is an absolute car wreck. 2 teams just trying to survive with backup QB's and the defenses are eating them up

Ml +220

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

Ml +220

Unreal, good call. Should have listened to my gut. I really liked the play but got scared off when the line went up with the injuries to MINN

**unde0087** · 10-15-16, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Unreal, good call. Should have listened to my gut. I really liked the play but got scared off when the line went up with the injuries to MINN

I just did it because ever since Maryland left the ACC they have just been aweful. Good matchup for Minnesota

**reigle9** · 10-15-16, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

I just did it because ever since Maryland left the ACC they have just been aweful. Good matchup for Minnesota

You're right. I need to settle down on tues/weds injury reports.

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

I just did it because ever since Maryland left the ACC they have just been aweful. Good matchup for Minnesota

Oh well, I'll take the +4.5 win. That last pick six KILLED my 2h under 21 though. Unreal

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 03:59 PM

14-0 MSU after 7 mins and they can't even win the first fugging half. Oh well, at least we had them in the 1Q too.

**trophybuck135** · 10-15-16, 04:04 PM

Thanks for the write ups.

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 04:50 PM

Notre Dame -3.5 (-110) $330 to win $300

Little value plus McAffrey is out for Stanford

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 05:45 PM

Just disgusting. A couple bad calls and a bunch of really dumb shit in the second half. Buffalo losing the 2H 24-0 and about to cost us a win

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 11:03 PM

Great close to the night with Arkansas, Arkansas State, and Wisconsin covering to make another profitable CFB week

Current Stake: $26,919 (+$1,919)

Week 1: $1202 (1202/25000)= 4.8% return
Week 2: $372

NCAAF: 28-21-2 $4,140
MMA: 5-11 $-1980
NFL: 7-7 $-840
Politics/Scalps: 2-3 +$599

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 11:05 PM

12-10 ATS this week total. Really wish I had relaxed and not included ASU, Arizona, Notre Dame, and UMass..... all late additions

**BRADYSBUNCH12** · 10-15-16, 11:24 PM

I tailed you on Texas Tech, Tenn, Arizona St, Florida St, New Mexico St,Arizona, and Western Michigan.

1W & 5Ls . Looks like I caught you on a bad day.

**TPowell** · 10-15-16, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by BRADYSBUNCH12

I tailed you on Texas Tech, Tenn, Arizona St, Florida St, New Mexico St,Arizona, and Western Michigan.

1W & 5Ls . Looks like I caught you on a bad day.

Ouch, yeah I went 11-10 today total and 12-10 for the week. The good news is that my biggest plays all won which really helped. Sorry bro, try to really pay attention to the dollar amounts on the bets. A lot of times, those 250-300 bets are feel plays or possibly leans that another respected capper liked.

**BRADYSBUNCH12** · 10-15-16, 11:37 PM

No problem. I will continue to follow. Keep it up.

**TPowell** · 10-16-16, 11:22 AM

Last week, I finally didn't profit on NFL teasers. Think that will go back to normal this week. Here's my semi round robin this week

All teasers are $385 to win $350

Jacksonville +8 Teaser (Leg 1) and Indy +9 Teaser (-110)
New England -1 Teaser (Leg 1) and Atlanta +13 Teaser (-110)
New England -1 Teaser (Leg 1) and Indy +9 Teaser (-110)
Jacksonville +8.5 Teaser (Leg 1) and Atlanta +13 Teaser (-110)