Millionaire's Row Investment Fund (All plays posted inside)

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #71
    Play 26: Daniel Omielanczuk/Stefan Struve OVER 1.5 rounds (-150) $450 to win $300


    2 versions of why behind this pick

    1. Fatties gonna fatty
    2. Okay a little more in depth here, Omiel is a grinding type of HW who isn't a real finisher and has a decent chin. He has a little bit of power in his hands but usually the only way he wins is grinding guys out until they tire which works well at HW normally. Struve is a freakishly long Dutch style kickboxer who doesn't use his range well at all normally, but started working with the Blackzillians a few fights ago and has looked better keeping guys at range. Struve isn't a real powerhouse for a HW but he def has some power. I think he'll find it pretty easy to keep the fight at range and pick Omiel apart with body kicks. Omiel will probably find a way inside at some point and they'll clinch against the cage in really boring fashion to kill some time. I think there's a decent chance this fight goes the whole 3 rounds and I may add a little bit on that later but for now, this is the play.
    Comment
    • TPowell
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-21-08
      • 18842

      #72
      Play 27: Leg 1 of Parlay- Michael Bisping/Dan Henderson DOESN'T start round 5 (-289)
      Leg 2 of Parlay- Danny Roberts/Mike Perry DOESN'T start round 3 (-215)
      $400 to win $390



      Was unsure how I wanted to play some of these unders that I liked on the board. All you really need to know is Mike Perry hits really hard but has zero technique and gets hit very easily as well. Roberts has some solid power himself and is more technical but is also sloppy on the feet. Perry's ground game is a huge question mark and Roberts is a fantastic finisher on the ground with slick subs, especially for a Brit. This fight likely doesn't reach the second round but I def like it not getting to the 3rd round because even if these guys are a LITTLE gassed, their defense is so bad that it likely won't matter. If it makes it 3 rounds, they'll probably do nothing and it'll go to a decision anyway
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #73
        Play 28: Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort UNDER 1.5 rounds (-137) $350 to win $255


        Vitor's body looked awful at weigh-ins and he's just flat out done. I expect him to retire very soon. He's one of the best fighters in UFC history IMO if you overlook the fact that he QUITS when adversity strikes. Most of the time I'd call a Mousasi under 1.5 play dumb, but he should be able to pick Belfort apart and win this fight easily. There's an off chance that Belfort could come out very aggressive and land something crazy, but it HAS to be very early in the 1st round and we're covered there as well.
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #74
          Haven't had a good read on ODU and UMass this year but I think +11 has some value. Going to just let it play out though. May come in on a live bet if I like what I see early on
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #75
            Clemson not sleepwalking early on. Dominating the game up 7-3. Probably a bad play here boys
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #76
              Play 29: Stefan Struve ML (-165) $577 to win $350
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #77
                Play 30: Brad Pickett by decision (+217) $200 to win $434
                Play 31: Brad Pickett ML (+140) $350 to win $490



                Two guys very far from their prime here. One guy is a very smart fighter with very solid technical boxing skills and the other is a wild, enigmatic old guy with a terrible fight IQ. Pickett is at a disadvantage as far as power goes on the feet, but he should be able to fight smart and avoid the crazy rushes from Alcantara. If he survives the 1st round, Alcantara should gas and allow him to mix in his wrestling to win some points on the cards. It shouldn't take much from Pickett to win a decision in the UK. Even if only clearly wins 1 round, he'll probably get the benefit of the doubt in another to win a close decision.
                Comment
                • TPowell
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 18842

                  #78
                  Play 32: Davey Grant ML (-185) Leg 1 of Parlay
                  Vitor Belfort/Gegard Mousasi DON'T go the distance (-485) Leg 2 of Parlay
                  $400 to win $345
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #79
                    Play 33: Michael Bisping wins inside the distance (-121) $484 to win $400


                    Comment
                    • TPowell
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-21-08
                      • 18842

                      #80
                      That should do it for a little while MMA wise. May see me investing in some high value props or a few other plays here and there before fights start but basis of the card is finished. NFL wise, I've done my injury reports but haven't fully capped these games yet but I'll def have some on Houston this week. Thought about pulling trigger now on +7 (-125) but didn't
                      Comment
                      • jeffchitown
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-16
                        • 1853

                        #81
                        Honestly your bc pick has been the only one i was like i dont know about. Bc proved they really suck. Also you underestimated louisville. But i do think overall buddy you are fn hot on these picks! Following you on many
                        Comment
                        • jeffchitown
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-16
                          • 1853

                          #82
                          Powell.. I took a teaser tonight smu/tulsa over 62, boise state -13, purdue +16.5, iowa +7.5 $100 to win $300.. Im feeling good
                          Comment
                          • TPowell
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 18842

                            #83
                            yeah unreal how BC quit at half. Hopefully SMU holds on
                            Comment
                            • TPowell
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-21-08
                              • 18842

                              #84
                              3-1 $25,800 (+$800)
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #85
                                Clemson game was rough but I kind of think BC could have kept it a game if they would have cashed in on some of the chances they had in the first half like not scoring inside the 20 twice and fumbling at the 1 yard line. Probably should have put more on SMU because that was never in doubt but it happens. Huge day tomorrow. BOL
                                Comment
                                • Codyodom
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-04-16
                                  • 290

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by TPowell
                                  Play 9: North Carolina -2.5 (-110) $440 to win $400
                                  Nc state correct? Not N. Carolina
                                  Comment
                                  • TPowell
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-21-08
                                    • 18842

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Codyodom
                                    Nc state correct? Not N. Carolina

                                    No, I hit North Carolina too early and got a bad line
                                    Comment
                                    • jeffchitown
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-16
                                      • 1853

                                      #88
                                      Look at Syracuse and Georgia
                                      Comment
                                      • MikeyPicks1
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-15-16
                                        • 578

                                        #89
                                        Some pretty nice looking write-ups in here.
                                        Comment
                                        • TPowell
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-21-08
                                          • 18842

                                          #90
                                          Iowa just not finishing drives. Should be up by more than 3 at half. Penn State has looked really good outside of the one big TD play (60+ yards) they gave up early. UTSA game looks good but they've essentially hit the total before half. Luckily we'll have a 30+ point cushion going into the second half. Texas surviving but I'll be buying out at half if I can get Oklahoma -4.5 or so for the game
                                          Comment
                                          • TPowell
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-21-08
                                            • 18842

                                            #91
                                            Play 34: Oklahoma -3.5 LIVE (-130) $390 to win $300
                                            Comment
                                            • TPowell
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-21-08
                                              • 18842

                                              #92
                                              sweet, quick score from OU and we're covering both plays
                                              Comment
                                              • Jayvegas420
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-09-11
                                                • 28213

                                                #93
                                                Sooners may comeback and cover the opener.
                                                Comment
                                                • TPowell
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                  • 18842

                                                  #94
                                                  possibly but will still just lose juice
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #95
                                                    Should have put more on OU -3.5 (-130) but I thought the halftime line would be better than OU -6.5. That sucks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TPowell
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                      • 18842

                                                      #96
                                                      Unreal how bad my timing was this week. Iowa closed like +2 and I'm laying -1.5. That will probably be the difference in winning and losing. Took 1 with PSU and that got up to +3 before kick. I could have waited and got 3 with UNC right now instead of laying -2.5. Crazy stuff
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TPowell
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-21-08
                                                        • 18842

                                                        #97
                                                        Play 35: Virginia Tech/North Carolina UNDER 52 (-110) $220 to win $200
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TPowell
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-21-08
                                                          • 18842

                                                          #98
                                                          Play 36: North Carolina Central/Florida A&M UNDER 43.5 (-120) $180 to win $150
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TPowell
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-21-08
                                                            • 18842

                                                            #99
                                                            Looking very good right now. Here's a couple good prop plays

                                                            Play 37: Brad Pickett wins by TKO (+950) $40 to win $380
                                                            Play 38: Mirsad Bektic wins fastest SUB of night (+1000) $40 to win $400


                                                            Bektic fight should take place on the ground. I just don't see many subs tonight. I think the total on subs for the night is 2.5 and heavy juice on the under so I think you'll see 1 or 2 subs max. I'm a little worried that Mousasi could finish Vitor early with a sub or Roberts finishing Perry with one but at +1000, I'll take the most likely sub of the night
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TPowell
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-21-08
                                                              • 18842

                                                              #100
                                                              3-0 start in NCAAF today. We currently have the middle in the OU/TEX game that would put us 5-0. Hopefully that hangs on for the last 10 minutes or so.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TPowell
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-21-08
                                                                • 18842

                                                                #101
                                                                OU up 45-34 late with TEX driving and we have OU -3.5 and TEX +12.5. Will be OU 45-40 shortly and then our middle will be tested by the 2 point conversation. HOPEFULLY, they fail
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ATLIEN6
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-15-16
                                                                  • 1472

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by TPowell
                                                                  Play 11: Buffalo +1.5 (-110) $550 to win $500
                                                                  Play 12: Tennessee +7 (-110) $660 to win $600
                                                                  Play 13: Texas State +10.5 (-110) $330 to win $300
                                                                  Play 14: USC -4 (-120) $480 to win $400
                                                                  Play 15: San Jose State -3 (-110) $440 to win $400
                                                                  Play 16: Arkansas +14 (-110) $330 to win $300
                                                                  Play 17: Oregon State +13 (-110) $330 to win $300
                                                                  Play 18: San Diego State -14 (-110) $440 to win $400
                                                                  Play 19: Stanford -7 (-115) $345 to win $300
                                                                  Play 20: Arizona State +10 (-110) $550 to win $500
                                                                  Im assuming your 2 favorite plays are ASU and Tenny??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TPowell
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                                    • 18842

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by ATLIEN6
                                                                    Im assuming your 2 favorite plays are ASU and Tenny??
                                                                    that would be correct but I'm more of a volume guy
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TPowell
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                                      • 18842

                                                                      #104
                                                                      After first wave of games

                                                                      8-1 $27,800 (+$2,800)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ATLIEN6
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-15-16
                                                                        • 1472

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Very nice
                                                                        Comment
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