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Arkansas's first drive ends in a.... you guessed it... TURNOVER. Wow, think that has happened in 5 games today that I've hadComment -
3-1 on those 2:30 games. 5-3 for the day so far. Very fortunate I didn't actually PLAY or POST Iowa. I'm not sure why I thought I had Iowa +4 for a small play. I looked through all 3 of my books and then on here and didn't see anything about it.Comment -
Texas Tech +17 (-118) $236 to win $200
Late post but this line got way too crazy. Think MAYBE TT may have been looking ahead to this game last week for some reason potentially and I've only got this line at +10 but I'm not very high on this TT team. I'll make a very small play on them at +17 though.Comment -
Nevada +7 (+105) $200 to win $210
Adding more on Nevada. Worried about their stud LB potentially not being 100% but I just don't understand this line going up to a full TD with Nevada at home.Comment -
Another easy TD for the other team against me. MSU throws a pick and sets Maryland up at the 4....Comment -
Tennessee -3 (-115) $345 to win $300Comment -
Looks like MSU and Cincy both going to blow their games. Unfucking real how stupid and undisciplined these morons are across the sport.Comment -
Up 720 this week with 2 games pending. Nevada down 7-0 early and starting QB just left for the locker room. I'm done for the night. Awful dayComment -
Alright guys up $920 for Week 3 with Nevada +4.5/+7 pending for a total of $550. That means we're assured of a third straight winning week in college football which is amazing to me because this week has seemed like a total disaster. I wanted to buy out of Iowa at halftime and could have done so with only a $15-20 loss but didn't which cost myself $257. I could have scalped that MSU ticket with Maryland at +150 or so before the game when I figured out Hills was playing but I didn't. That cost me $472 plus the profit from the scalp. That comes out to over $700 in lost profit. Really upset about thatComment -
Missed FG is the difference between nearly splitting on that game and losing over $500....Comment -
Initial Investment: $25,000
Current Stake: $28,678 (+$3,678)
Week 1: $1202 (1202/25000)= 4.8% return
Week 2: $2077 (2077/26202)= 7.9% return
Week 3: $390
NCAAF: 38-28-2 $4,469
MMA: 5-11 $-1980
NFL: 12-8-1 $520
Politics/Scalps: 4-4 +$669Comment -
I cut and paste onto a word document and organize them by start times. Makes it easierComment -
New Orleans +12.5 and Miami +8.5 TEASER $330 to win $300
New Orleans +12.5 and Atlanta +1 TEASER $330 to win $300
Miami +8.5 and Atlanta +1 TEASER $330 to win $300
Not seeing much out there. Wanted to include WASH at +7 but the line flipped overnightComment -
Jacksonville -2 (-107) $267 to win $250Comment -
Blake Bortles is such a fagging joke. Oakland's pass defense is so horrible and he can't do anything (4 YPA at the half)Comment -
New York Jets -0.5 (-120) for 2H $240 to win $200Comment -
It was like 1 AM when I posted this, I thought I had Iowa for a long time yesterday, up until after the game. I WAS going to play Wisconsin in the 2H and buy out of it but I DIDN'T. I seem to have forgot that last night when I was barely awake for the end of the Wyoming game. GTFOComment -
Horrible on NFL sides. 0-2. Luckily Jets 2H hit very easily and I just need Atlanta +1 to cash all 3 teasers (1 already hit)Comment -
Brutal loss on Atlanta.... creates our first losing week
Initial Investment: $25,000
Current Stake: $27,906 (+$2,906)
Week 1: $1202 (1202/25000)= 4.8% return
Week 2: $2077 (2077/26202)= 7.9% return
Week 3: -$382
NCAAF: 38-28-2 $4,469
MMA: 5-11 $-1980
NFL: 14-12-1 -$252
Politics/Scalps: 4-4 +$669Comment -
I don't follow if his numbers are 100% correct but i do think he is really betting. The way he talks is how someone betting actual money would talk. I don't think its air betting. Also, if you don't like his thread then get off it. He is offering his view on games and i appreciate it and so do others.Comment -
He's really betting.
That's why the trolls emerge.
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Doing some evaluating for this week and going back to do some reviews on lost plays from last week and I'm a little surprised/not really. Out of 7 losers, I was only really unhappy with 3 of them. If the ball bounces a little different, MSU wins and if Nevada's QB plays the whole game, they probably cover and we hit all 3 big plays for the week (instead of 1-2) and its an extra $2K in our pockets. This isn't science though. Bad things happen as well as good. You have to at least THINK you'll get payed off down the line on games you have no business being on to cover those bad things. I'm really enjoying posting this. Good to do my breakdown and post about it to clear my thoughts and get ready for the next week.
UConn- Mostly unlucky
TCU- Not a great play but unlucky with turnover margin and 3rd down % (wasn't near as bad a play as I had thought afterwards)
Arkansas- LOL, no other words
Boston College- Awful play, not sure if Cuse is improving or if BC is just HORRIBLE, lean BC horrible
Michigan State- Meh, VERY close game that could have went either way, -135 was wrong I suppose but not by much
Nevada- Hard to say it was bad after losing the starting QB in the first half and still being very close to covering
FIU- Coin flip game, went the wrong way. Tough to swallow that late kickoff return TD that cost me the coverComment -
Think I'm going to break down my winners now and see what I findComment -
Texas- Solid play, game was very tight and exactly what you want with +3.5
Illinois- Lets be real, this was a play on Illini JUST doing enough and Michigan showing humanity. Premise was right at least
Eastern Michigan- Very good call, one of my best calls of the week
Tulsa- Good call but not a great one, little lucky in spots but def the right side
Cincinnati- Best call of the week, game shouldn't have been as close as it was. Glad I had my money there
Texas Tech- Hard to gauge, yards per play looks awful but mostly because OU was so quick strike, not a bad play IMO
South Alabama- Meh, game played pretty close to line but alot of that had to do with a ton of late points/yards by Troy
Cal- Coin flip game, glad it won but thought Oregon would lay down and die from the press I read during the week. SurprisingComment -
Thoughts on tonight's game? Keep up the great work, had some bad beats this week.Comment -
no thoughts really, well one thought. Houston just isn't very good. They have been out-yarded or tied per play with EVERY team they've faced this year outside of their home game vs Tennessee. They were thoroughly beaten by New England on the road with Brissett at QB which is embarrassing. They got Indy and KC at home and played them pretty even but then you look at Denver. I was very comfortable with Denver against SD last Thurs. night even though they were on the road because I thought SD was the shallower team and would be more fatigued but I was dead wrong. San Diego just went into Atlanta and won so I'm not sure I'd call that a terrible loss on the road and a loss to Atlanta is certainly not bad. They dominated TB and Cincy on the road and Indy at home but my concern is those were all earlier in the year. I'll have to check out whether Okung and Stephenson are playing but maybe a teaser if I can get Denver down to -1Comment
I guess I didn't think of it that way. Its just crazy for me with my A.D.D. how everything's all over the place. I have to be organized.
