Velcorr's picks

[velcorr]

Portugal vs France

Can anyone point me to a good thread for the soccer football game today. I know MMA, Baseball and the NFL but I know nada about football. Would like to make a fun time bet. A thread or a good pick would be greatly appreciated. Is a play on over 2.5, btts or a draw any good? I'm in Vegas, I gotta bet something. Ronaldo to score?

Thanks

[BadLuckSanta]

After a big cash last night, I usually like to celebrate by playing aggressively the next day.

So far I'm up +4.5 units in 10 plays, all documented in this thread.

Today we head to the diamond for two RL's, an OVER, and a fun-times parlay.

AS ALWAYS, PICKS ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE.

PICK 1
1:35PM EST
LA Angels @ Baltimore RL -1.5 @ +106 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 2
2:10PM EST
Oakland @ Houston RL -1.5 @ -105 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 3
1:10PM EST
Washington @ NY METS OVER 8.5 @ +118 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 4
Fun-Times Parlay



Baltimore RL -1.5
Houston RL -1.5
NY Mets RL + OVER 7.5 Parlayed
+1350 .5 UNIT PLAY

BOL.

thanks for the UFC picks

what sportsbook allows you to parlay a total and runline of the same game? (mets rl and over)

[velcorr]

888Sport

thanks for the UFC picks

what sportsbook allows you to parlay a total and runline of the same game? (mets rl and over)

[Ty$]

All my heavy hitter contacts went down hard on Miesha too. I faded that from the day the fight was announced, thankfully. I had a 3 Unit play on Lesnar/Aldo/Cain all to win that seemed to be too easy. Wednesday should be profitable. Ferguson all day. I always know it's going to be a cashflow card when even the UFC site doesn't have pics for half their fighters.

Waiting for the props got my main plays already ...

[velcorr]

Same here.

Waiting for the props got my main plays already ...

[velcorr]

MLB

1-3 so far today for -1.5 units. Got Houston but not the RL. That's the ballbuster about RL's, the one run win. Got my top play, Baltimore 4-2. Totally botched the Mets Over, was highly confident that games was going to be in the double digits. Meh. Lost a half unit on my +1700 fun-time parlay. I'll nail that next Sunday, easy.

I bet MLB aggressively and am streaky, what goes down will come up. I haven't had a losing week betting MLB this season. I've been on this site for less than 48 hours and my baseball plays are now at -0.6 units. Overall I'm at +2.5 units and I'm just getting started.

Betting RL's with the home team is always a sweat.

I'm coming back strong with a night time pick.

San Fran RL -1.5 + the over vs. Arizona parlay: 1 UNIT to win 2.9 UNITS
The giants have their ace vs Archie Bradley, who is coming off giving up 5ER in 6IP to the Padres a week ago. His one start vs the Giants was in SF, where he gave up 7 hits, 5ER in 4.1 innings.

Bumgarner didn't give up an ER in his last start, and gave up 2ER in 7IP vs his only start vs Arizona this year. He's not playing the All Star Game and I expect him to pitch well tonight.

These RL/OU parlays are high risk, high reward. Bet with caution, especially with SF at home, meaning getting the 2 runs in a close game is sketchy at the end of the game. (See Oakland at Houston)

I'm thinking 7-3 SF, but after a week of obsessing on MMA, I might need a day or two to get locked back into MLB, where I've been on fire, mainly betting on the first 5 innings on Toronto in April, -2.5RL's on the Cubs in May, Overs vs Cincinnati in June, and still working out July. BOL.


click here if it's not showing up on how to do the RL/O parlay

[Altern8]

Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

[velcorr]

Well, I sure as hell know a lot more about MMA than MLB. I also lost on that stupid soccer game and missed my Over on the Mets. I really like the RL on the Giants tonight. Bradley is 23 and is going up against one of the best pitchers in the game. I would either pass, dog, or RL -1.5, -2.5, or do what I'm doing and forecasting a 7-3, 6-2 or even 7-1 win by the Giants. The RL -1.5 price is near even money. It's baseball, Bradley could be lights out and the game could end up 2-1 Arizona but getting +290 for the Giants to win by 2 and a total over 7.5 is my play. You only have to hit about 33% of these for neutral ROI. I hate baseball but yeah, the RL is the safe play, the -2.5 is aggressive and what I'm doing is what I do, bet baseball hard. I'm due for a slump but I've been saying that since the start of the season.

Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

[velcorr]

Another option is if you wanna fade SF, is take the +1.5 Arizona and UNDER parlay at +245, if you're thinking something low scoring and close.

Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

[velcorr]

Or, you could fade the game entirely, and wait till Wednesday where I will have 1 or 2 locks for the UFC card.

Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

[Altern8]

I need a win for the night. Andy Murray was the only one today out of 3.

[velcorr]

If you need a winner for tonight, take SF -1.5 @ -105 or soccer guru Funnyb25 has a MLS over play on his thread. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post25990126 He's cash money.

I need a win for the night. Andy Murray was the only one today out of 3.

[velcorr]

Getting the hell out of Vegas.

The Portugal supporters are freaking out. Did they fly here or something? The Vegas natives are terrified. LOL.

[Altern8]

...

[Altern8]

If you need a winner for tonight, take SF -1.5 @ -105 or soccer guru Funnyb25 has a MLS over play on his thread. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post25990126 He's cash money.

Messed up again. Took the Parlay instead of just the -1.5. On top of that i cant even cash out so even the bookmaker knows the over isn't happening

[readytowinem]

Man sucks to be this AZ pitcher. Actually has pitched a decent game and got out of a lot of jams. Unfortunately is pitching against a dialed in Bumgarner.

[velcorr]

LOL, the game isn't over yet.

Messed up again. Took the Parlay instead of just the -1.5. On top of that i cant even cash out so even the bookmaker knows the over isn't happening

[velcorr]

Yeah, he's got some good stuff. Score could be easily 8-0 right now. Nothing worse than having the over and they get runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and leave them on. Need some runs. I put a unit on the RL and a unit on the RL/O parlay. I need insurance runs for the RL bet. Or how about SF just has a 10 run inning.

Man sucks to be this AZ pitcher. Actually has pitched a decent game and got out of a lot of jams. Unfortunately is pitching against a dialed in Bumgarner.

[Altern8]

LOL, the game isn't over yet.

Feels like it. I predict the score to be like 2-1 or 3-1. Saw more goals in a football/soccer match.

[velcorr]

Bumgarner is putting on a clinic.

[Altern8]

Bumgarner is putting on a clinic.

Sucks so much i never took the -1.5 on it's own, feel like kicking myself. Thanks for the picks. Biggest part of gambling is learning when to quit something i was never good at should of took my winnings from UFC and been happy, oh well.

[velcorr]

Yeah, I think it was a good play, SF left a lot of guys on base and had countless RISP situations but that's baseball. I took the RL and the RL/O as an aggressive hedge. The best thing to do is take your bankroll, divide it by 100, that's your unit size, and don't deviate. If not, you'll play with scared money or chase huge runs and that is no different than hitting the BJ tables or roulette. I learned the hard way about bankroll management, I think anyone who makes a profit has, a few times. BOL

Sucks so much i never took the -1.5 on it's own, feel like kicking myself. Thanks for the picks. Biggest part of gambling is learning when to quit something i was never good at should of took my winnings from UFC and been happy, oh well.

[Altern8]

All my heavy hitter contacts went down hard on Miesha too. I faded that from the day the fight was announced, thankfully. I had a 3 Unit play on Lesnar/Aldo/Cain all to win that seemed to be too easy. Wednesday should be profitable. Ferguson all day. I always know it's going to be a cashflow card when even the UFC site doesn't have pics for half their fighters.

Fergusons odds are rubbish 2/13. I'm down on my ass so was thinking of using my general living money for the week but for odds that small i don't think its really worth it considering what happened with Tate which also cost me $$$. My bookmaker only has 2 fights on for Wednesday?

For me Brock Lesnar was the only bet I've ever placed where i kinda knew he was going to win and the odds were incredible people must of made silly money. The bookmakers sure made it all back though on the Euro Final its like they knew a goal was going to be scored in extra time and by Portugal as the odds were just to unrealistic and the way France were attacking they was bound to win if somone was to score.

I'm thinking McGregor and Ronda Rousey to win their next fights as i don't see anything before hand. Sucks boxing odds are low as there's a few fights on Saturday apart from that i don't see anything good to bet on for weeks/months that i like. What do you think of a Ferguson/McDonald/Detonay Wilder parlay. All the best with the future people like you make places like this profitable and worth visiting

[Altern8]

Well, I sure as hell know a lot more about MMA than MLB. I also lost on that stupid soccer game and missed my Over on the Mets. I really like the RL on the Giants tonight. Bradley is 23 and is going up against one of the best pitchers in the game. I would either pass, dog, or RL -1.5, -2.5, or do what I'm doing and forecasting a 7-3, 6-2 or even 7-1 win by the Giants. The RL -1.5 price is near even money. It's baseball, Bradley could be lights out and the game could end up 2-1 Arizona but getting +290 for the Giants to win by 2 and a total over 7.5 is my play. You only have to hit about 33% of these for neutral ROI. I hate baseball but yeah, the RL is the safe play, the -2.5 is aggressive and what I'm doing is what I do, bet baseball hard. I'm due for a slump but I've been saying that since the start of the season.

Should of just stuck with the -1.5 and I'd be fine Lesson 2) Never be greedy

[velcorr]

MMA Only

Focusing 100% on MMA until the NFL or maybe permanently. I have a myriad of tools for making profitable MMA picks. I know a lot of people in the game, camps, fighters, managers. MMA sports wagering has been good to me and unlike stick and ball sports, there is so much value to be found, especially in the undercards. This Wednesday is a gold mine.

I've only been on SBR for a few days but for baseball insight, I suggest this great thread, he's up 40+ units.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/2841322-winneers-p58.html

And for soccer, Funny25 seems to be a bit of a savant.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3281716-funnyb25-thread-all-sports.html

I'm spending ALL my free time watching video, talking to camps, trying to find out the stuff the handicappers don't know and will have a new MMA only thread today or tomorrow, with my UFN 91 recommendations coming as soon as I'm ready. This card has +EV written all over it. I will be reducing my MLB bet sizes in preparation of some multi unit bets on UFC 91, UFC on Fox 20 and UFC 201, all of which have juicy undercards and even some good main card picks and props galore.

The link for my MMA thread will be posted here.

Bank some units on vegasreaper's and funnny25's picks and get ready for a summer of cash money betting MMA smart and dirty.

[velcorr]

My new thread!

MMA Only

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3284356-velcorrs-mma-money-machine.html

[Igor_1965]

is this joshknows?

[velcorr]

No, I just found out about and joined this site a few days ago. I'm velcorr, but most people here are apparently dyslexic and call me velcro.

is this joshknows?