Velcorr's picks

[velcorr]

Pun intended? Can't wait for Aldo and Lesnar to cash.

I'm large on Lesnar.

[gauchojake]

[JayLA]

Cash

[velcorr]

If Lesnar cashes for me, I can probably afford a pair of those sweet kicks!

[gauchojake]

GL pal! If not you can at least use it for an avatar

[velcorr]

I would seriously wear those.

GL pal! If not you can at least use it for an avatar

[mcfugly]

Not on it but hoping lesnar gets KTFO'd hard

[velcorr]

If I didn't have money on Lesnar I'd want nothing more. Hunt is a f*cking animal.

Not on it but hoping lesnar gets KTFO'd hard

[LetsgoJay]

How's the Aldo fight looking?

[velcorr]

Winner

3. Jose Aldo to beat Frankie Edgar 2 UNIT to win 2.2 UNITS
(Aldo already beat Edgar, Aldo is younger, more focused and let Connor get in his head. Except for one big mistake, Aldo is the best FW in MMA history. Aldo will win this, prob by UD, and we'll see him get his rematch against CM in 2017, where he will lose again.)

Official decision: Aldo by UD

3-2 tonight for 2.9 units.

[KingHawkins]

You're doing great. I hate that you're on Lesner though, I need Hunt to close out a 4-teamer. You have me wanting to hedge.

[velcorr]

Lesnar

Aldo looked incredible, his footwork was the best I've ever seen. Where was that vs CM @ UFC 194? He was wary to throw those nuclear leg kicks vs the wrestling of Edgar, which was smart. He just out boxed him. Against CM, he'll be able to kick. Can't wait to see the line for that, whenever the hell they finish this Diaz nonsense. CM will probably be -240 or something, making Aldo to reclaim the real FW belt a good time bet.

Even if Lesnar loses, I'll be up overall for the night but I'll go to the window depressed and probably blow the winnings on the many beautiful vices Vegas has to offer.

But.....

One pick left. Sticking by it. Lesnar to beat Hunt. I'm one of a handful of people on this site picking Lesnar. Not a big deal, I was one of the few who picked Aldo.

Bet with your brain, not your emotions.

Now, let's watch this match from the bizarro world. If Bisping can beat Rockhold, who the hell knows what a relaxed, IDGAF Spider might be able to pull off over a mental case DC. Funny, if this fight was five years ago, Silva would be -220.

BOL!

[velcorr]

Oh man, I'm in the same spot but on a 3-teamer. Seriously considering a hedge too but I've got so much on Lesnar straight up, I'll live or die by the sword. Let me know what you do.

You're doing great. I hate that you're on Lesner though, I need Hunt to close out a 4-teamer. You have me wanting to hedge.

[KingHawkins]

I gotta stay with Hunt and not hedge. Lesner was +167 about a week ago at the square book I am using tonight (SPortsbook.com), but now he is all the way down to EVEN. 5dimes has him +135 still on reduced juice.

My parlay does only pay 2.7 to 1, and I am only talking 100 for $270. Nice event for me regardless, and no action yet on the "finale" for me. But yeah, thanks for the picks. Please keep it going, despite the unsolicited negativity that people like to offer here.

[velcorr]

I got Lesnar at +170 which doesn't hurt my being so behind him. I knew it'd become close to a pickem by fight time. Ride it out. To me, it's a coin flip, if I had Hunt at +130 or more right now, I'd be content, but worried. I spent all day on fight pass watching every Hunt UFC fight and some of his Pride matches and as killer as he looks when he does the Hunt walk off, he's got his fair share or really weirdly terrible decisions and matches in his catalog. McCorlke and Melvin the MW come to mind. Lesnar got TKO'd by Uberreem who was on juice from aliens and Cain who at the time was one of the best PFP in the world. Dude was sincerly ill when he fought those guys. He can take a punch (Carwin almost killed him). We'll see, BOL to both of us.

I gotta stay with Hunt and not hedge. Lesner was +167 about a week ago at the square book I am using tonight (SPortsbook.com), but now he is all the way down to EVEN. 5dimes has him +135 still on reduced juice.

My parlay does only pay 2.7 to 1, and I am only talking 100 for $270. Nice event for me regardless, and no action yet on the "finale" for me. But yeah, thanks for the picks. Please keep it going, despite the unsolicited negativity that people like to offer here.

[KingHawkins]

Looks like some late steam back to Hunt for whatever that is worth

[velcorr]

Prob high rollers getting in with the line squeezed. I know that general mood around here is Hunt will TKO Lesnar in brutal fashion.

Looks like some late steam back to Hunt for whatever that is worth

[velcorr]

Prob high rollers getting in with the line squeezed. I know that general mood around here is Hunt will TKO Lesnar in brutal fashion. I guess they didn't watch the McCorkle fight, when Hunt was a spry 36, or Lesnar's punching power vs Couture.

Looks like some late steam back to Hunt for whatever that is worth

[velcorr]

God

Even if I'm wrong about Lesnar, I know everyone whose got big tickets on Hunt have to be nervous as hell right now. I'm on the casino's money but if he's not juiced, I want his supplements.

[LetsgoJay]

How's the lesnar fight? I wish I can watch it!

[tony_come]

How's the lesnar fight? I wish I can watch it!

Leaner is a pissy. I would slap his ass around

[velcorr]

Loser

2. Brock Lesnar to finish Mark Hunt 2 UNITS to win 4.3 UNITS
(I can hear the laughter from here but the only people laughing will be those who pick Lesnar. I don't have time to do a write up on why Lesnar wins, but he wins and he finishes. If you want to play it safer, take Lesnar to win but again, if he wins, he finishes. I came close to taking Lesnar in the first round +300 but I'll play it safe. Lesnar in u2.5 is also a smart play but 2:30 is not worth the juice)

Official decision: Lesnar by UD

2-4 +0.9 UNITS TODAY
4-0 +3.6 UNITS YESTERDAY

Good weekend. Right about Lesnar, he had chances to finish, Hunt is tough. I lost my Lesnar bet but won my parlay and at least I got the winner right.

I'll be back to MLB and can't wait for more UFC.

Good times everyone! Hope everyone is going to the window a cranky winner like me.

[velcorr]

UFC FN Holm vs Shevchenko July 13

I've been scouting this all week. Will have 2 or 3 big plays, including another lock. These FN's are cash money, the handicappers focus more on the pseudo-unknown fighter's records than their competition and other factors. If I see any insane-o lines, I'll put them out there. I already have three strong leans but not ready to post.

UFC 201 and 202 will have a lot of +EV too.

I love the UFC. People bet emotionally and make the lines profitable for people who do a bit of work. Hunt didn't even come close to sleeping Lesnar. If Lesnar knew how to punch, he would have won 30-26 or finished easily. He punches like my girlfriend.

Glad I passed on Tate. Nunes is messing her up.

[velcorr]

Lesnar dominated position and the wrestling but punched like he was stuck in one of those weird dreams where you can't punch. His GNP was making me laugh and cry at the same time.

How's the lesnar fight? I wish I can watch it!

[intermission]

Thanks bro, I tailed with Lesnar, got a nice +140

[velcorr]

Nice, I got some of him two mins before the fight started to win at +130 to hedge my bet on propping him to finish, Late money went down on Hunt, thank God.

Thanks bro, I tailed with Lesnar, got a nice +140

[GoBlue77]

good card. i was torn on the lesnar pick but you persuaded me to pull the trigger there. well done my man

[Redman3693]

Congrats

Nice job on the pix Velcorr. I Especially liked Lesnar, made me some cake.

Cheers

[velcorr]

My pleasure. Got good picks coming for the FN card on the 13th. Some really live dogs. It's all easy money until UFC 202.

good card. i was torn on the lesnar pick but you persuaded me to pull the trigger there. well done my man

[velcorr]

Nice job on the pix Velcorr. I Especially liked Lesnar, made me some cake.

Cheers

[Ty$]

My pleasure. Got good picks coming for the FN card on the 23rd. Some really live dogs. It's all easy money until UFC 202.

I'll be there on Wednesday ... Already on McDonald.. Ferguson under... Nguyen .. ... I was also on Lesnar tonight and Cormier called the props by Dec too. But failed hard on Miesha.

[velcorr]

All my heavy hitter contacts went down hard on Miesha too. I faded that from the day the fight was announced, thankfully. I had a 3 Unit play on Lesnar/Aldo/Cain all to win that seemed to be too easy. Wednesday should be profitable. Ferguson all day. I always know it's going to be a cashflow card when even the UFC site doesn't have pics for half their fighters.

I'll be there on Wednesday ... Already on McDonald.. Ferguson under... Nguyen .. ... I was also on Lesnar tonight and Cormier called the props by Dec too. But failed hard on Miesha.

[velcorr]

Velcorr's Sunday Baseball Picks and Parlay Madness

After a big cash last night, I usually like to celebrate by playing aggressively the next day.

So far I'm up +4.5 units in 10 plays, all documented in this thread.

Today we head to the diamond for two RL's, an OVER, and a fun-times parlay.

AS ALWAYS, PICKS ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE.

PICK 1
1:35PM EST
LA Angels @ Baltimore RL -1.5 @ +106 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 2
2:10PM EST
Oakland @ Houston RL -1.5 @ -105 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 3
1:10PM EST
Washington @ NY METS OVER 8.5 @ +118 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 4
Fun-Times Parlay



Baltimore RL -1.5
Houston RL -1.5
NY Mets RL + OVER 7.5 Parlayed
+1781 .5 UNIT PLAY

BOL.

[vegaschulo]

After a big cash last night, I usually like to celebrate by playing aggressively the next day.

So far I'm up +4.5 units in 10 plays, all documented in this thread.

Today we head to the diamond for two RL's, an OVER, and a fun-times parlay.

AS ALWAYS, PICKS ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE.

PICK 1
1:35PM EST
LA Angels @ Baltimore RL -1.5 @ +106 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 2
2:10PM EST
Oakland @ Houston RL -1.5 @ -105 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 3
1:10PM EST
Washington @ NY METS OVER 8.5 @ +118 1 UNIT PLAY

PICK 4
Fun-Times Parlay



Baltimore RL -1.5
Houston RL -1.5
NY Mets RL + OVER 7.5 Parlayed
+1350 .5 UNIT PLAY

BOL.

Good morning Velcorr just wanna say thanks againg for the ufc picks lastnite I knew you was gonna hit by the way you was breaking out the details especially with Lesnar I had to run to the window got it at +130 love that plus money..many guys on here was fading you ..and like you said the ones who's gonna laugh is the ones that took Lesnar. I appreciate you for this thread coming to sbr I'm a big fan of making money and I'm not a paper hater. Im tailing your baseball picks aswell BOL brother . Cheers!!!

[velcorr]

Thanks mate. I only play runlines, dogs and O/U's in baseball. Baseball has been incredibly good to me so far this year, I know a regression is coming but I'm going to ride it till then and then through. Everyone today is making excuses about Lesnar being juiced or the UFC being rigged. Funny. I wish I could have bet on those excuses, I would have cashed hard.

Good morning Velcorr just wanna say thanks againg for the ufc picks lastnite I knew you was gonna hit by the way you was breaking out the details especially with Lesnar I had to run to the window got it at +130 love that plus money..many guys on here was fading you ..and like you said the ones who's gonna laugh is the ones that took Lesnar. I appreciate you for this thread coming to sbr I'm a big fan of making money and I'm not a paper hater. Im tailing your baseball picks aswell BOL brother . Cheers!!!