Handicapping question: Does this logic work?

[fearless]

Houston was +13.5 at Indianapolis last week. Jacksonville is +9.5 at Indianapolis next week. Does that mean that the LVSC only considers Jacksonville to be 4 points better than Houston in the same situation?

If the LVSC considers Jacksonville to be that closely paired with Houston, should we take that into consideration when handicapping the Pittsburgh at Jacksonville game?

Could the LVSC be telling us that they don't think Jacksonville is as good as the public currently thinks?

This logic would have worked two weeks ago when before the Raiders-Chargers game, the LVSC put up the Raiders as an 11 point underdog at Baltimore. I looked at that the line and I thought, the Raiders must be terrible if that line's right (and the LVSC is almost never wrong about this stuff). Sure enough, everyone knows what's happened since.

What do you think? Does this logic work?

[moses millsap]

I would have to say no. Lots of other things factor into the line, one might be that Jacksonville will be playing on short rest. Another might be....

Well, that's for you to look at and decide what factors are key in this matchup.

[crackerjack]

Apples to oranges...

[jjgold]

You cannot compare lines from different games, like some have said here many other factors go into making the line.

[RickySteve]

Apples to oranges...

More like Granny Smiths to Red Delicious'.

[pags11]

wish I could help you on NFL capping, but I can't at this point...

[crackerjack]

pags, i like your style. You stick to what you are good at. you are a great college football capper so you stick to that. others cant cap college but are good at pros and they try to do both and it weakens one.

[pags11]

crackerjack,

thanks bud...gonna need your guys' help later this year with beat the prick, as the last two weeks are pretty much NFL only (with a few bowl games thrown in there)...