Rugby League World Cup 2013

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  • TurkishNBAFan
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-04-13
    • 6

    #176
    Guys sorry for my bad english, but i wanna ask a question.

    i got scotland -8,5 and -11,5 in my local bookie. i read the comment of sando, but i think i am missunderstood.

    is he recommending scotland -11,5 ?

    can someone help me?
    Comment
    • rohan22no
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-20-11
      • 365

      #177
      Sando, purely theoretical question. How would a team like USA or Scotland go against an average NRL side (say raiders). Who's the favourite and what would the line be?
      Comment
      • Mase of Base
        SBR MVP
        • 07-24-12
        • 3622

        #178
        Originally posted by TurkishNBAFan
        Guys sorry for my bad english, but i wanna ask a question.

        i got scotland -8,5 and -11,5 in my local bookie. i read the comment of sando, but i think i am missunderstood.

        is he recommending scotland -11,5 ?

        can someone help me?
        His pick was Scotland to win by a total of between 1 and 12 points. Basically Scotland can't lose/draw or win by 13 points or more.
        Comment
        • sando
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-12
          • 3723

          #179
          Originally posted by rohan22no
          Sando, purely theoretical question. How would a team like USA or Scotland go against an average NRL side (say raiders). Who's the favourite and what would the line be?
          The Raiders would destroy either team. Not sure how the books would go about setting the right line, however I personally would set it at around Canberra -24.5 and still expect the Raiders to cover.

          Firstly any club team always has an advantage over international teams due to familiarity and cohesion, which as you would know is surely more important in Rugby League than in just about any other sport.

          Think about the write up I just did, talking up Linnet and Douglas and Peter Wallace as stars. Lets not kid ourselves, Linnet is ok, an average NRL centre, Douglas is not bad, maybe slightly above average and Wallace is washed up, yet that just shows how valuable they become when you put them in this type of scenario and suddenly they are so so important to their teams.

          The NRL is so superior to the Super League and of course every other league in the world, and a tournament like this shows it. The speed we play the game at and the ability and raw strength of the players is like nothing most of these nations are used to.

          The only reason the NRL team doesn't win the world club challenge every year is because the Super League is very top heavy, so the teams at the top are loaded with stars. You take the bottom of the barrel, say the Parramatta Eels v. London Broncos and the Eels are winning by 18+

          It's quite bizarre how many Poms actually think the Super League is not only on par but a superior league to the NRL? So why does the best talent from the Super League often come to the NRL yet it is usually the older past their best NRL players that head to the super league.

          Just for the record even Parra or St. George would beat every nation at this current World Cup comfortably (bar the big 3 of course). Yes a team like Tonga is loaded with NRL stars, but you can't jus take a bunch of low IQ but physically gifted islanders and throw them in a team and expect miracles.
          Last edited by sando; 11-07-13, 03:44 PM.
          Comment
          • Rustyglobes
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-24-08
            • 549

            #180
            Don't like how the game is progressing so far boys, don't think it's our day today! Hope i'm proven wrong in the second half
            Comment
            • sando
              SBR MVP
              • 04-30-12
              • 3723

              #181
              Originally posted by Rustyglobes
              Don't like how the game is progressing so far boys, don't think it's our day today! Hope i'm proven wrong in the second half
              Well the good news is that as long as Scotland wins it will most definitely be within the 1-12 margin now haha. Plenty of time left, no need to stress yet...
              Comment
              • RedDevil89
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-03-13
                • 334

                #182
                The only concern now is if they win by more than 13 as per Sando's original post. Up 16-8 with 6 to go!! hopefully if they score another they dont convert!
                Comment
                • RedDevil89
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 05-03-13
                  • 334

                  #183
                  LUCKY....5min to go they almost scored under the post but they knocked on!
                  Comment
                  • RedDevil89
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-03-13
                    • 334

                    #184
                    penetrate they scored in last minute, kick to come from sideline!!! MISS it man come on
                    Comment
                    • RedDevil89
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-03-13
                      • 334

                      #185
                      Damn...22-8
                      Comment
                      • Ghenghis Kahn
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 19734

                        #186
                        hey sando, how much do the top nrl players make?

                        do they make anywhere close to nfl players?
                        Comment
                        • Rustyglobes
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-24-08
                          • 549

                          #187
                          Damn that's a sickening beat, i didn't have the guts to play the margin, so just took Scotland ml. That sucks how they coverted that last try from right on the sideline. Unlucky guys but definitely was the right play, you capped the game well Sando!
                          Comment
                          • sando
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 3723

                            #188
                            Screwed in the last minute... Arghhhh

                            Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                            hey sando, how much do the top nrl players make?

                            do they make anywhere close to nfl players?
                            The best NRL players are on around 1 mil per year, so I'm guessing that's less than a high draft pick rookie contract in NFL?
                            Comment
                            • Rustyglobes
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-24-08
                              • 549

                              #189
                              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                              hey sando, how much do the top nrl players make?

                              do they make anywhere close to nfl players?
                              Not even close mate, Billy Slater is probably the highest paid player in the NRL and he earns around the $900k mark while the minimum salary in the NFL is around the $350k region and the average is around the $4 million dollars
                              Comment
                              • Mase of Base
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-24-12
                                • 3622

                                #190
                                Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                hey sando, how much do the top nrl players make?

                                do they make anywhere close to nfl players?
                                Not even close! The salary cap for the entire team is about $5 million I believe which is slowly increasing in the future. The top guys earn around 400k-500k a year I'm pretty sure. The back up punters (I assume they exist!) would earn more than these guys!
                                Comment
                                • Ghenghis Kahn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 19734

                                  #191
                                  wow that's it?

                                  it would be fun to see US sending out some decent players that could keep up with NZ and AUS.

                                  but if there's no money in the sport, doubt that'll ever happen.
                                  Comment
                                  • sando
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-30-12
                                    • 3723

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by Mase of Base
                                    Not even close! The salary cap for the entire team is about $5 million I believe which is slowly increasing in the future. The top guys earn around 400k-500k a year I'm pretty sure. The back up punters (I assume they exist!) would earn more than these guys!
                                    Your right on the salary cap mate, but individually guys like JT and Inglis are getting paid. (JT on 1M next season).
                                    Comment
                                    • sando
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-30-12
                                      • 3723

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                      wow that's it?

                                      it would be fun to see US sending out some decent players that could keep up with NZ and AUS.

                                      but if there's no money in the sport, doubt that'll ever happen.
                                      I know you guys (USA) don't care about Rugby League but you should be happy to know that the Tomahawk's have been amazingly good this World Cup, after never having previously won a match in World Cup history they have now barged their way into the quarter finals against Australia...

                                      (I'm actually half Australian half American, which is why I'm obsessed with both Aus and US sports)
                                      Comment
                                      • Mase of Base
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-24-12
                                        • 3622

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by sando
                                        Your right on the salary cap mate, but individually guys like JT and Inglis are getting paid. (JT on 1M next season).
                                        Ah cheers you guys had already answered by time most post showed, was way off!
                                        Comment
                                        • sando
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-30-12
                                          • 3723

                                          #195
                                          NZ v Papua New Guinea

                                          1.5* Under 63.5 (-110/$1.90 Sportsbet)
                                          Comment
                                          • plekz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-28-13
                                            • 1491

                                            #196
                                            Best i can get is under/over 60.5 or under/over 66.5, what would you recommend?
                                            Comment
                                            • ohdecas
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 06-12-13
                                              • 539

                                              #197
                                              Taling with what I found in my book: U62 @1.909

                                              Let's get this!!
                                              Comment
                                              • RedDevil89
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-03-13
                                                • 334

                                                #198
                                                It's moved to 65.5 on sportsbet!
                                                Comment
                                                • Dr.Gonzo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-09
                                                  • 4660

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by sando
                                                  NZ v Papua New Guinea

                                                  1.5* Under 63.5 (-110/$1.90 Sportsbet)
                                                  I took U64.5 with the same mob, don't know why they eased it when everyone else firmed it
                                                  Comment
                                                  • horja1
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-13-11
                                                    • 5646

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by RedDevil89
                                                    It's moved to 65.5 on sportsbet!
                                                    62.5 Bet365
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Rustyglobes
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-24-08
                                                      • 549

                                                      #201
                                                      centrebet doesn't even offer a total for this game, ridiculous!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • plekz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-28-13
                                                        • 1491

                                                        #202
                                                        I can get tot u68.5 for 1.50x and i was thinking of throwing this in a parlay with another 1.55 (that i feel confident in) i just wanted to check in with the people here who know ALOT more about Rugby then i do, as far as i can tell there hasn't been a single game so far this tournament that has reached these kinda numbers, in fact only one game has gone above 60

                                                        So how 'safe' would you say this bet is that this one stays under 66.5?
                                                        Last edited by plekz; 11-08-13, 12:59 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • odog11
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-14-11
                                                          • 3874

                                                          #203
                                                          Only have 62 as an option.

                                                          Sando, et al what are the key total numbers in RL? Imagine they are not quite as strong as in NFL?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grunch
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 05-21-13
                                                            • 51

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by odog11
                                                            Only have 62 as an option.

                                                            Sando, et al what are the key total numbers in RL? Imagine they are not quite as strong as in NFL?
                                                            Even numbers are key. 1 point plays are basically only made as tie breakers when teams think the game could end in a tie. All other scoring is 2 and 4 points so this game will not have a 63 point total unless someone kicks a field goal for shits and giggles.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mase of Base
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-24-12
                                                              • 3622

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by odog11
                                                              Only have 62 as an option.

                                                              Sando, et al what are the key total numbers in RL? Imagine they are not quite as strong as in NFL?
                                                              There are definitely key numbers at the lower end of totals with how good goal kickers are now days imo. But a total this high it's impossible to know how many conversions are going to be missed and as has previously been stated odd numbers aren't anything to worry about in this one, 63.5 & 62.5 will be exactly the same bet.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • plekz
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-28-13
                                                                • 1491

                                                                #206
                                                                So what kind of game do you anticipate Mase of Base?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mase of Base
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-24-12
                                                                  • 3622

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by plekz
                                                                  So what kind of game do you anticipate Mase of Base?
                                                                  Still thinking about it to be honest. Coverage here starts soon so going to check how the field is, had a look on BBC weather sounds fine but might be a bit wet.

                                                                  PNG have committed far to many errors this tournament if they cut them out the under could come in with room to breathe I think. If they drop balls in their own half like they did against Samoa they're going to get burned. They gave up 28 in the first half against Samoa and from memory and maybe about 22 of those were from giving the ball up in horrible positions on the pitch. They shouldn't score more than ten (should be 0 but can see a consolation try maybe two).

                                                                  So for the under it's got a lot to do with PNG completing sets, scrums are good clock killers so they can drop the ball just not inside their own 20!

                                                                  I like the play.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Donkey
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 05-22-12
                                                                    • 151

                                                                    #208
                                                                    nz look fantastic in this opening period
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mase of Base
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-24-12
                                                                      • 3622

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Looks like PNG making errors is going to have nothing to with it...... they can't get the ball.

                                                                      That SBW try was a good laugh so close to going dead again, even the ref had a chuckle!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • reddZor
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 10-10-13
                                                                        • 313

                                                                        #210
                                                                        fkn png score a try with a minute remaining wtf.
                                                                        Comment
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