MLB Playoff: Series Price on LAD & ATL ?

[frogsrangers]

I am going big on Braves here.

[wagerjunkie]

before Dodgers rotation was looking great.

now they are struggling looking for a number #3 which is really going to make this series interesting. Nolasco hit a hot stretch where he was absolutely on fire, then looked like had dead arm and got routed and couple starts in a row, same with Ryu.

line up struggling to against top pitching. think this thing comes down to the final game.

[ksnooksk]

Braves simply not build to be a playoff team, Questionable starting pitching, strikes out too much and simply not enough offense. anything better than -150 here and I will personally hammer the Dodgers.

You're right. Best team era, 4th in runs, and leading the NL in homeruns is meaningless.

Chipper says hello too.

[The Giant]

Dodges only 12-15 in September.

Hopefully they can rev up the engine again.

[pavyracer]

Braves will win this series. They own LA.

[Sam Odom]

Dodges only 12-15 in September.

Hopefully they can rev up the engine again.

didnt they lock-up 2 weeks ago tho

[Sam Odom]

Braves will win this series. They own LA.

[The Giant]

didnt they lock-up 2 weeks ago tho

They did, but it seems like most World Series winners are teams playing hot into the playoffs.

[wagerjunkie]

didnt they lock-up 2 weeks ago tho

yeh but like i said, Nolasco was holding up the back end of the rotation. after he fell apart they became mediocre.

after Kershaw and Greinke they are very suspect. hopefully with few days extra rest will help Nolasco, cause he has filthy stuff, just a matter of being effective.

[Sam Odom]

Sammy will start...


LAD -160

Sammy is pretty Sharp

[Sam Odom]

3% on LAD -153

[BennyBigNuts]

Dodgers will be -140 to -160

I always wanted to be a linesmaker.
I could make my own lines booking bets and be totally comfortable with it.

[No coincidences]

3% on LAD -153

You do love the chalk....

[Sam Odom]

Good stuff Benny

[daneblazer]

Dodgers -145 Thursday. Kershaw vs Medlen

[LT Profits]

I don't quite get how series price can be this low if Dodgers are -145 on the road in Game 1. That probably means there is value in either: 1) Dodgers series OR 2) Braves Game 1.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Dodgers -155 to win 4 bills

The Braves only win the series if they start jacking HRs, I don't see that happening with Kershaw and Grienke on the mound.

[BennyBigNuts]

I don't quite get how series price can be this low if Dodgers are -145 on the road in Game 1. That probably means there is value in either: 1) Dodgers series OR 2) Braves Game 1.

I'm gonna wait until gametime most likely here. I think the line settles in at about -135.
I'm gonna POUND Kershaw

[Big Bear]

Yes without a doubt Dodgers should win this series easy.

The Braves usually choke in the playoffs.

BUT can they really be an easy out every single year in the playoffs?

[jkernea]

Right now, Medlen is the better pitcher over Kershaw....Medlen coming off PotM accolade...he's on fire. Braves will get to Kershaw and/or the bullpen....expect a 4-2 type win for the Braves in Game 1.

[daneblazer]

6 of 33 ESPN "experts" pick the Braves over Dodger

http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/mark-bradley/2013/oct/01/six-33-espn-analysts-pick-braves-over-l/

[No coincidences]

6 of 33 ESPN "experts" pick the Braves over Dodger

http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/mark-brad...braves-over-l/

That's all you need to know. The "experts" and Skkkammy suckling the juice on this series with a big play = auto bet on the Braves.

[bondoc.co]

dodgers have better pitchers but both teams have inconsistent batters

[No coincidences]

I asked this over and over again during the NBA playoffs and the same question applies here:

If you like the Dodgers at -153 for the series, why not either take them....

A) -143 in Game 1 instead and get the bet over with, or
B) After they lose Game 1 at a much better series price.

[Seto]

I asked this over and over again during the NBA playoffs and the same question applies here:

If you like the Dodgers at -153 for the series, why not either take them....

A) -143 in Game 1 instead and get the bet over with, or
B) After they lose Game 1 at a much better series price.

I think you lay the series price if you think that over the course of a 5/7 game series (depending on the sport), that team is better and will prevail. You give yourself more room for error than just taking them for one game. As for waiting to see if they lose game 1, that's not a risk you want to take generally if you think that team will win the series, especially if they're faves for game 1.

[Sam Odom]

Seto is correct.. It is a statistical thing. The better team/player (forget LAD/Atl) will prevail the larger the sample. With an one game sample anything can happen

[No coincidences]

Seto is correct.. It is a statistical thing. The better team/player (forget LAD/Atl) will prevail the larger the sample. With an one game sample anything can happen

Do you honestly think if the Dodgers don't win Game 1 with Kershaw pitching that they're going to win the series?

[Seto]

You could also take it from this angle: why bet a ML winner in tennis when you can either take them for the first set or wait to see if they lose the first set to get a better number live? Because you think that they will prevail over the course of 3/5 sets.

Now if you think game 1 has that much importance in the series considering the pitching matchup or for other reasons then that's another story and you should do what you suggested.

[Sam Odom]

Do you honestly think if the Dodgers don't win Game 1 with Kershaw pitching that they're going to win the series?

that is a good question for this specific example...

Remember Sammy said (forget LAD/Atl)

However... LAD have a better chance of winning a 5 gm series beginning 0-1 than they would winning a 1 gm bet going 0-1.

[No coincidences]

However... LAD have a better chance of winning a 5 gm series beginning 0-1 than they would winning a 1 gm bet going 0-1.

You're out of your mind.

If the Dodgers don't win Game 1, they ain't winnin' this series. You're already relying on a head case like Greinke, a rookie in Ryu and a guy who's never pitched in the postseason in Nolasco.

[Sam Odom]

You're out of your mind.

relax...

think about it strictly from a statistical point of view

[BennyBigNuts]

You're out of your mind.

If the Dodgers don't win Game 1, they ain't winnin' this series. You're already relying on a head case like Greinke, a rookie in Ryu and a guy who's never pitched in the postseason in Nolasco.

Grenke will be the best bet of this series.
What have you been watching this year?
Dude coulda made a run at Cy Young if he hadn't missed those 6 weeks.

Braves played the what 70 games vs. the Mets, MArlins, and NAts?
They are highly overrated.
Probly the 2nd best bullpen in MLB but other than that they don't have much. Bunch of hackers on that squad, not built for playoff baseball.

[No coincidences]

Grenke will be the best bet of this series.
What have you been watching this year?
Dude coulda made a run at Cy Young if he hadn't missed those 6 weeks.

Braves played the what 70 games vs. the Mets, MArlins, and NAts?
They are highly overrated.
Probly the 2nd best bullpen in MLB but other than that they don't have much. Bunch of hackers on that squad, not built for playoff baseball.

We'll see how Greinke does in a tense, postseason environment.

Dodgers aren't exactly "built for playoff baseball" either. Unproven rotation beyond the top two -- and specifically unproven when it comes to the playoffs -- a loose cannon as their "star," a shaky bullpen and a hamburger manager.

[BennyBigNuts]

We'll see how Greinke does in a tense, postseason environment.

Dodgers aren't exactly "built for playoff baseball" either. Unproven rotation beyond the top two -- and specifically unproven when it comes to the playoffs -- a loose cannon as their "star," a shaky bullpen and a hamburger manager.

Definitely the worst manager in MLB, he will cost them a game for sure because he's clueless.
In the playoffs, you're "Top 2" is everything.
Dodgers do have a similar offense to the Braves but still way better even without Kemp.
And they don't have one star, they have a bunch.

Dodgers SHOULD sweep the Braves if both teams have their best efforts.
But in MLB playoffs, crazy things happen.

I was gonna hammer the shit out of whoever the Braves played the first round, because they are the worst team in the playoffs easily, but this price isn't that great, so I'm just hammering game 1 and going accordingly after that.
I really wanted them to play anyone but the Dodgers so I could attack.

[pavyracer]

Braves have the best home record. Braves are build for post season. There are no weaknesses in the roster. Better starting pitching, better bullpen, better clutch hitters. LA should not show up for this series because the Braves are ready to win.