9/17 MLB- The bailout play for you if you had a bad weekend. Redsux -122

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    9/17 MLB- The bailout play for you if you had a bad weekend. Redsux -122
    If you need to get out of the trap after a bad weekend, I like this game today.

    Dumpster and the Redsux seems like solid gold.
    Did I say Dumpster is solid gold? Yeah, I said it.
    Feldman has the kind of stuff that the Redsox will pound for 6 or 7 runs. He's meatball central here.

    Dumpster has been great vs. Balt this year. One of the few teams he can say he's kept under control.
    Feldman pitched again the sux once and got bombed, I expect this again today.

    Redsox are still the surprise team of the year IMO. They keep pounding out the runs. Look for plenty of em in tonight's game, and the Redsux winning this possible HR derby battle.

    One of the best home teams in MLB vs. a meatballer at only -122?
    LOVE IT.
    GL today boys.


    REDSUX -122 DUMPSTER
  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #2
    stay hot bruh
    Comment
    • zooom
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-02-13
      • 345

      #3
      buttholes pitched good last night.
      Comment
      • joco
        SBR MVP
        • 04-24-11
        • 3242

        #4
        Already on the sox today. This makes me like the play even more ben
        Comment
        • bostonboss
          SBR MVP
          • 02-04-09
          • 3169

          #5
          sox are trying to rest the overworked bullpen. going to be a colder evening and windy in the 50s
          Comment
          • BennyBigNuts
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-16-12
            • 8700

            #6
            Originally posted by joco
            Already on the sox today. This makes me like the play even more ben
            Yezzzzzirrrrrr
            Cash money when Joco is on it as well. Let's go!
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              i dont know how you do it Benny ...

              to me MLB this time of year is like playing rush and roulette

              a risky proposition. However i know you do quite well picking spots

              hope to see ya get on a big winning streak thru the playoffs
              Comment
              • BennyBigNuts
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-16-12
                • 8700

                #8
                Line is still dropping. From -140 down to around -118 to -122 now. I'd hold off a little longer. Can we see -110 by gametime?
                Comment
                • iQon
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-08-10
                  • 1483

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                  i dont know how you do it Benny ...

                  to me MLB this time of year is like playing rush and roulette

                  a risky proposition. However i know you do quite well picking spots

                  hope to see ya get on a big winning streak thru the playoffs
                  It's not rock and science.
                  Comment
                  • Bet10Heinekens
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-10-13
                    • 10567

                    #10
                    Benny any thoughts on the Giants/Mets game

                    leaning with the Giants ml...no lie been struggling on the diamond a little bit, could use some help
                    Comment
                    • altieriflyers
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-23-12
                      • 777

                      #11
                      I`m pounding Baltimore tonight. After sweeping the yankess they are going to be in a more relaxed mode, not the urgency for a playoff spot like Baltimore.

                      Comment
                      • BennyBigNuts
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-16-12
                        • 8700

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
                        Benny any thoughts on the Giants/Mets game

                        leaning with the Giants ml...no lie been struggling on the diamond a little bit, could use some help
                        Honestly bro, the Mets are a SOLID price today.
                        Petit sucks trust me. Has no right to be laying road wood against Wheeler.
                        If I had to choose, I'd be on the home dog there.
                        Comment
                        • whtsox13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-02-12
                          • 1401

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                          i dont know how you do it Benny ...

                          to me MLB this time of year is like playing rush and roulette

                          a risky proposition. However i know you do quite well picking spots

                          hope to see ya get on a big winning streak thru the playoffs
                          High-paced roulette? What casinos offer it? Will play a bit on Boston if Nats win game 1 this afternoon.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            I am on Orioles +114. Dempster has not been that good vs. Baltimore, he faced them three times and went 5 and 5.1 innings in two of the starts, and the one time he went 7.2 innings, he issued five walks and labored through 122 pitches (in other words, typical Dempster). Feldman struggled his first six starts with Baltimore after coming back to the American League from the Cubs, but he has been insane in his six starts since then, 1.77 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 31 strikeouts vs. 12 walks. He is the reason the line is dropping.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                              Honestly bro, the Mets are a SOLID price today.
                              Petit sucks trust me. Has no right to be laying road wood against Wheeler.
                              If I had to choose, I'd be on the home dog there.
                              On THIS, we agree on. http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...s-tuesday.html
                              Comment
                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 19736

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                I am on Orioles +114. Dempster has not been that good vs. Baltimore, he faced them three times and went 5 and 5.1 innings in two of the starts, and the one time he went 7.2 innings, he issued five walks and labored through 122 pitches (in other words, typical Dempster). Feldman struggled his first six starts with Baltimore after coming back to the American League from the Cubs, but he has been insane in his six starts since then, 1.77 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 31 strikeouts vs. 12 walks. He is the reason the line is dropping.
                                "His club now faces Ryan Dempster, whose 2.01 lifetime ERA against the Orioles is easily his lowest against any AL opponent. He's 1-1 in three matchups this season with a 2.50 ERA."

                                i really liked boston last night but i'm passing.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by whtsox13
                                  High-paced roulette? What casinos offer it? Will play a bit on Boston if Nats win game 1 this afternoon.
                                  I prefer slow-paced roulette myself.

                                  As for this play, I don't like it. But whatever.
                                  Comment
                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-16-12
                                    • 8700

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                    "His club now faces Ryan Dempster, whose 2.01 lifetime ERA against the Orioles is easily his lowest against any AL opponent. He's 1-1 in three matchups this season with a 2.50 ERA."

                                    i really liked boston last night but i'm passing.

                                    Doesn't make sense how they are pounding against him. I LOVE that.
                                    Comment
                                    • konck
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-17-06
                                      • 12554

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                      Honestly bro, the Mets are a SOLID price today.
                                      Petit sucks trust me. Has no right to be laying road wood against Wheeler.
                                      If I had to choose, I'd be on the home dog there.
                                      Ummm wrong
                                      Comment
                                      • kuhnersooner
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 08-23-13
                                        • 36

                                        #20
                                        17-4 in their last 21....go with the hot team

                                        Who gives a shit who is pitching....Ortiz, Napoli, Salty, & Drew have all gone yard on Feldman tho
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by konck
                                          Ummm wrong
                                          Agree.

                                          Don't do it re: the Mets.
                                          Comment
                                          • etothep
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-14-07
                                            • 1299

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by iQon
                                            It's not rock and science.
                                            1 liners like that are a diamond dozen
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                              "His club now faces Ryan Dempster, whose 2.01 lifetime ERA against the Orioles is easily his lowest against any AL opponent. He's 1-1 in three matchups this season with a 2.50 ERA."

                                              i really liked boston last night but i'm passing.
                                              But as I said, that ERA doesn't mean anything because of the limited innings. The nine walks in 18 innings that caused those outings to be cut short are probably more relevant.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                Agree.

                                                Don't do it re: the Mets.
                                                Disagree, Mets have better pitcher as underdogs at home, sounds solid to me.
                                                Comment
                                                • bubblebuttluv
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-13-12
                                                  • 5179

                                                  #25
                                                  I like the play Benny.

                                                  Your good at baseball, for real.

                                                  I took this forum too seriously in the past and started stupid fights.

                                                  You're a good capper, I plan on tailing this.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fernburn74
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-28-10
                                                    • 1643

                                                    #26
                                                    Nuts the line is moving from -140 to -123 at Vegas insider
                                                    with more bets on Boston.

                                                    I still love Boston but why the line move not in our favour but again it's baseball and ill take the hotter bats and the dumpster that owns Balt.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • whtsox13
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-02-12
                                                      • 1401

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by etothep
                                                      1 liners like that are a diamond dozen
                                                      Somebody gets it...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • grease lightnin
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-01-12
                                                        • 16096

                                                        #28
                                                        I am a Baltimore homer and I won't bet against my team...I was laying off this game but the line movement makes me want to lay a little on the O's...I won't but it makes me want to. Any chance they move the lines for this effect--kind of like reverse psychology?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jago2008
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-18-11
                                                          • 3047

                                                          #29
                                                          I got burned on that MNF 'Over' last night, apparently Roethlisberger forgot how to play the QB position, thought they would respond after that dismal week 1 performance... NAAAWWWWT. There was no amount of capping to make up for that shit-fest last night.

                                                          With that said - against Baltimore Dempster has a solid WHIP and lower ERA but he has not lasted more than 5.1 innings and his previous outing IN Boston the game easily went over the total of 9, but that was in September.

                                                          In Feldman's only start against Boston he surrendered 6 hits for 4 ER in just 4 innings, in a 7-3 loss.

                                                          Boston has averaged 6.4 runs in their last 5 games.

                                                          I am leaning 'Over' in this game.

                                                          But I'll most likely be a spectator in this game, still pissed off.

                                                          GL on Boston.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jikos
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-28-13
                                                            • 1663

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                            I am a Baltimore homer and I won't bet against my team...I was laying off this game but the line movement makes me want to lay a little on the O's...I won't but it makes me want to. Any chance they move the lines for this effect--kind of like reverse psychology?
                                                            Nah they move the lines because someone has big money on Baltimore. Benny I like it but something's not right.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • grease lightnin
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-01-12
                                                              • 16096

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Jikos
                                                              Nah they move the lines because someone has big money on Baltimore. Benny I like it but something's not right.
                                                              I know that's the way lines are supposed to work, but people have said the money is on Boston, and the money was supposed to be on MD against UConn, but the line moved opposite. MD covered and I really don't see the angle on a large bet on the Orioles here unless somebody thinks that because tonight is when they will be locked out of a division win that they'll wake up and start scoring tonight after half-stepping since the allstar break. Just doesn't make sense.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jikos
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-28-13
                                                                • 1663

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                                I know that's the way lines are supposed to work, but people have said the money is on Boston, and the money was supposed to be on MD against UConn, but the line moved opposite. MD covered and I really don't see the angle on a large bet on the Orioles here unless somebody thinks that because tonight is when they will be locked ojt of a division win that they'll wake up and start scoring tonight after half-stepping since the allstar break. Just doesn't make sense.
                                                                Lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jikos
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-28-13
                                                                  • 1663

                                                                  #33
                                                                  That is literally the way line movement works. Stop over thinking it. Bookies don't waste their time trying to play mind games with their customers. If you feel that way, there might be something wrong with you. We don't know who is going to win and neither do the books.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • grease lightnin
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-01-12
                                                                    • 16096

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Jikos
                                                                    That is literally the way line movement works. Stop over thinking it. Bookies don't waste their time trying to play mind games with their customers. If you feel that way, there might be something wrong with you. We don't know who is going to win and neither do the books.
                                                                    Yeah. I am prone to conspiracy theories at times. Haha
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • grease lightnin
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-01-12
                                                                      • 16096

                                                                      #35
                                                                      So when people say "87% of public money is on..."--that info can't be accurate.
                                                                      Comment
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