9/17 MLB- The bailout play for you if you had a bad weekend. Redsux -122

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  • Mike Huntertz
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-19-09
    • 11240

    #36
    Originally posted by bostonboss
    sox are trying to rest the overworked bullpen. going to be a colder evening and windy in the 50s
    Don't see any wind on weather channel...........you live there?
    Update would be appreciated.
    Comment
    • Jikos
      SBR MVP
      • 04-28-13
      • 1663

      #37
      Originally posted by grease lightnin
      So when people say "87% of public money is on..."--that info can't be accurate.
      It could be 87% of the bets at that particular book is on one side but you won't know how much or how big a volume of bettors it is.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by grease lightnin
        So when people say "87% of public money is on..."--that info can't be accurate.
        Yes it can. RLM happens when the squares and the sharps are on opposite sides. So if you see RLM with 80% of the bets on Team A, it means that the big money bet by the 20% (sharps) on Team B outweighs the smaller bets of the 80%.
        Comment
        • Jago2008
          SBR MVP
          • 05-18-11
          • 3047

          #39
          Interesting there is some RLM on the total.

          Total has now dropped to 8.5 with the majority of bets being made on the 'over'. This is total is absolutely a no play for me now, if anything towards the under, but I will live-bet this if I notice any control issues.
          Comment
          • grease lightnin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-01-12
            • 16096

            #40
            Orioles now +105. Put half a unit on it. Lol
            Comment
            • Luckycharms2012
              SBR MVP
              • 10-07-12
              • 2422

              #41
              On Boston for 60.6% of my bankroll. This is how i get into trouble....
              Comment
              • BIGDAY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 02-17-10
                • 48247

                #42
                Baltimore looks like the play.
                Comment
                • Jago2008
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-18-11
                  • 3047

                  #43
                  Going to live-be this game...

                  Play ball!!
                  Comment
                  • Luckycharms2012
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-07-12
                    • 2422

                    #44
                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                    Baltimore looks like the play.
                    Comment
                    • grease lightnin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-01-12
                      • 16096

                      #45
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Yes it can. RLM happens when the squares and the sharps are on opposite sides. So if you see RLM with 80% of the bets on Team A, it means that the big money bet by the 20% (sharps) on Team B outweighs the smaller bets of the 80%.


                      Ahh. Where can I read more about this? I have Wong's book, is it in there?
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Originally posted by grease lightnin
                        Ahh. Where can I read more about this? I have Wong's book, is it in there?
                        You could search articles on Sports Insights, not sure what they have that is free. But really I think I summed up the concept in my two sentences above. Si may have results based on various percentage levels per sport.
                        Comment
                        • Jago2008
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-18-11
                          • 3047

                          #47
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Yes it can. RLM happens when the squares and the sharps are on opposite sides. So if you see RLM with 80% of the bets on Team A, it means that the big money bet by the 20% (sharps) on Team B outweighs the smaller bets of the 80%.
                          With what LT said, this is really all you need to know, rest is from experience. You just need an accurate judge of %'s there are plenty of sites that offer this.
                          Comment
                          • BennyBigNuts
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-16-12
                            • 8700

                            #48
                            Got Jerry Seinfeld broadcasting the Mets game today for you Jerry fans like myself.
                            Gotta flick back n forth between them n the Redsux lol.
                            Comment
                            • grease lightnin
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-01-12
                              • 16096

                              #49
                              You know...I get it now. A light came on guys, thanks. But something tells me if I start paying too much attention to this and putting too much emphasis on where the sharps are betting in my decision making, I might start losing.
                              Comment
                              • GoBlue77
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-20-11
                                • 9166

                                #50
                                feldman loves walking dudes. boston not a team u want to do that to..
                                Comment
                                • grease lightnin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-01-12
                                  • 16096

                                  #51
                                  Whew
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388208

                                    #52
                                    Boston needs to get a 4-0 cushion

                                    A lot of guys tailed Big Ben here

                                    He has to be fukkin nervous
                                    Comment
                                    • grease lightnin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-01-12
                                      • 16096

                                      #53
                                      Rangers are pounding the Rays presently
                                      Comment
                                      • BennyBigNuts
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-16-12
                                        • 8700

                                        #54
                                        6 walks and they could only muster 2 runs vs. this loser.
                                        Comment
                                        • Luckycharms2012
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-12
                                          • 2422

                                          #55
                                          Comment
                                          • Jago2008
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-18-11
                                            • 3047

                                            #56
                                            Grabbed this line after the Pedroia HR in the bottom of the 1st...

                                            196729288-1 9/17/13 7:32pm $200.00 $190.47 Pending 9/17/13 7:10pm Live In-Play Baseball 9969 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox Under 8½ -105* (Fixed Price)
                                            Comment
                                            • McCarthyFam
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-06-11
                                              • 1700

                                              #57
                                              That was huge! Way to get out of a jam Boston backers!
                                              Comment
                                              • face
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-31-11
                                                • 14740

                                                #58
                                                craig breslow
                                                Comment
                                                • ebelisle22
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 4726

                                                  #59
                                                  dont fukking believe this bullshit.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Luckycharms2012
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-07-12
                                                    • 2422

                                                    #60
                                                    Fukked over as always.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • crustyme
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-29-10
                                                      • 16896

                                                      #61
                                                      nice bailout play.

                                                      how many pts did you lose on this?


                                                      Transfer #8975257

                                                      Amount 1325
                                                      Withdraw Account BennyBigNuts
                                                      Deposit Account Sports Book Review
                                                      Date 9/13/2013 10:49:50 AM
                                                      Type Sportsbook Withdraw
                                                      Notes Points transfer to sportsbook.
                                                      Transfer #8971407

                                                      Amount 500
                                                      Withdraw Account BennyBigNuts
                                                      Deposit Account Sports Book Review
                                                      Date 9/12/2013 2:29:45 PM
                                                      Type Sportsbook Withdraw
                                                      Notes Points transfer to sportsbook.
                                                      a brokedik pts bettor posting bailout plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • grease lightnin
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-01-12
                                                        • 16096

                                                        #62
                                                        Hey. That worked out. Nice. Go O's, get that wildcard.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheMetsSuck
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-14-12
                                                          • 6147

                                                          #63
                                                          red sox killed me. cost me a huge parlay. ofcourse uehara ends his streak when i need it most
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyBigNuts
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-16-12
                                                            • 8700

                                                            #64
                                                            What an awful game to watch.
                                                            Bet you that's the only game this season Redsux only had 2 hits.
                                                            Can't capitalize off a scrub who walked 6 batters today an had absolutely ZERO stuff.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388208

                                                              #65
                                                              Boston should of won this game

                                                              No idea if game means anything to them

                                                              Orioles been kind of hot lately
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Luckycharms2012
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-07-12
                                                                • 2422

                                                                #66
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheMetsSuck
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-14-12
                                                                  • 6147

                                                                  #67
                                                                  victorino not catching a ball he normally gets to was the nail in the coffin....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-16-12
                                                                    • 8700

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I'm on rage tilt after this one.
                                                                    Had such a good weekend betting NFL and MLB, I wanted to stay hot.

                                                                    Gonna snap off a tournament tonight on Ultimate poker.
                                                                    Fukkkkkkkkk this.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • crustyme
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-29-10
                                                                      • 16896

                                                                      #69
                                                                      uh oh, look out sbr free casino.

                                                                      lol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bubblebuttluv
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 11-13-12
                                                                        • 5179

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Once again baseball is a complete toss up, and you may as well flip a coin.

                                                                        There are nine factors to a team winning a baseball game: how well your team hits, how good your starting pitcher is, how good your relief pitching is, how good your closer is, how good your fielding is (do you commit any errors and if so, how many?), how good your baserunning is, how good the opposing pitching is, how good the opposing fielding is, and how good the opposing baserunning is.
                                                                        All of these things have to go right for your team to win.

                                                                        Tonight apparently according to Benny (I didn't see the game, but I believe him) the opposing pitcher gave up a lot of walks, but the Red Sox couldn't hit. So when you can't hit, you don't win.

                                                                        Nash and Benny are good baseball cappers, but baseball is always a toss up.
                                                                        Comment
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