Model for estimating MLB run totals. Now time to beta test.

[ghislaine]

Where as CHW/KC u8.5 -120 is now under 7.5 with me just missing the line writing that post above God damn it
So that was already beat congrats, but I guess I have to watch it now, see if I can still get it at Your price...

[ghislaine]

Oh, just realized You already made comments about this bet. Seems You took it anyway at under 7.5.
It was back up at under 8.5 just a while ago at bet365. Going to take it too at under 7.5 then.

[matthew919]

Nah, the CHW/KC u8.5 -120 was the overnight from yesterday, with Santiago pitching for the Sox. He got moved up in the rotation so Axelrod is starting today's game.

But the original 8.5 overnight was still a completely silly number; I'm bummed it was scratched, since I think it dropped about 25 cents immediately.

If it was up at 8.5 again today you missed a hell of a bargain.

[matthew919]

Also, I think Joey makes a good point. I'm going to shut this down now, but it was fun while it lasted.
Here are the stats through 5/2:

UNDER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 36-13-3
Avg movement: -7.44c

OVER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 14-6-1
Avg movement: +11.38c



Any like-minded individuals who are interested in collaboration, please feel free to message me.

[Brebos]

What does this record mean:
Through 5/2:
UNDER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 36-13-3
Avg movement: -7.44c

OVER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 14-6-1
Avg movement: +11.38c
It's not the win - lose record right? because you won 1 out of 2 unders yesterday and lost the over on the boston game. The Tampa game was postponed. I figured it's the record of how many times you beat the closing line, am I correct? My next question is why do you keep track of this and not your win/lose record?

Or maybe it is your win/lose record, I don't know

[Hanamichi23]

^ read the thread

[19th Hole]

Matt-Good Luck!!

[fitguy67]

Also, I think Joey makes a good point. I'm going to shut this down now, but it was fun while it lasted.
Here are the stats through 5/2:

UNDER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 36-13-3
Avg movement: -7.44c

OVER WAGERS
Line movement accordance: 14-6-1
Avg movement: +11.38c



Any like-minded individuals who are interested in collaboration, please feel free to message me.

novel long-term-yield focused record-keeping approach...

looks like u BTCL on avg by 7.44 ticks on the 42 under plays your system generated...

and BTCL on average by 11.38 ticks on the 21 over plays your system generated...

is this correct?

___________

when u have time, could you calculate and report (as promised earlier in the thread) the corresponding "W-L-P, units" record

...appreciate the effort, matt

[matthew919]

No problem. You're correct in the interpretation of my reported BTCL numbers.
And here's the overall win/loss record for the 73 plays I posted through 5/2:

W/L: 33-35-5
Profit/Loss: -3.18u
Risked: 71.62u
ROI: -0.044

Til next time. Stay calm, and BTCL.

[ShogunRua]

this guy went tout already?