When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

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  • turboj
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-12-08
    • 83

    #806
    what the play for today's game in the nba? thanks
    Comment
    • FreeFall
      SBR MVP
      • 02-20-08
      • 3365

      #807
      Penn +9.5 -105 is a play now
      Comment
      • Capybara
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-17-08
        • 11803

        #808
        Originally posted by FreeFall
        the only full point RLM play I saw my friend was the rams. Not sure where you got the other data. I go by free bet tracker only too. In NCAA I only found Wichita St. but I dont check often and tend to miss NCAA plays.

        Sorry about the bad day.

        I'm flat out horrible in NHL though. After checking my SS where I keep my RLM plays

        Risked: 12.10u Won: 3.60u Lost: -7.00u Net: -3.40u Win Percentage 30.00% | 3-7

        flat out horrible. Maybe I'm doing it wrong and should be on the other side making me 7-3.

        Without NHL this is how I'm doing
        Risked: 34.56u Won: 14.00u Lost: -10.60u Net: 3.40u Win Percentage 58.33% | 14-10

        I'd like to learn how to do NHL as it's the same as MLB as those are right around the corner.
        No, the Broncos were a full two-point move, -9 to -7 for the Chargers. And over 60% on the Chargers. I believe there were at least one or two more. And I also use BetTracker.
        Comment
        • McRich
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-26-07
          • 961

          #809
          Earlier in this thread I posted 100 RLM plays. I said I would post an updated record after an additional 25 plays. I now have wagered another 25 RLM plays for a total of 125.

          I do not always have the chance to wager on every RLM scenario.
          Here are the updated stats.

          In my last 25 RLM plays - NBA 6-3, NCAABB 3-8, NFL 4-1. Total for the last 25 plays 13-12.

          Total record of my last 125 RLM plays.
          NFL 9-6
          NBA 27-16-1
          NCAABB 26-25-2
          NCAAF 7-5-1

          Overall total - 69-52-4
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #810
            McRich, thanks for the update! Have you been sticking to only full-point moves, and at least 60%? No close ones, like say 58%, and no half-point moves? I think I've done worse than you in my last 25, so maybe it's because some were stretches.

            Oh, and also sticking to minimum of 10,000 bets placed for NFL? (2,500 for NBA and NCAA?)

            Would you consider adding NHL to your test, saying 10- or 15-point move on the moneyline?
            Comment
            • McRich
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-26-07
              • 961

              #811
              Originally posted by Capybara
              McRich, thanks for the update! Have you been sticking to only full-point moves, and at least 60%? No close ones, like say 58%, and no half-point moves? I think I've done worse than you in my last 25, so maybe it's because some were stretches.

              Oh, and also sticking to minimum of 10,000 bets placed for NFL? (2,500 for NBA and NCAA?)

              Would you consider adding NHL to your test, saying 10- or 15-point move on the moneyline?
              Yes, full point, 60% min., 10,000 bets in NFL, 2500 in Bball. I have not started NHL, but I plan on starting.
              Comment
              • turboj
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-12-08
                • 83

                #812
                what the play for tom in the nba? thanks
                Comment
                • FreeFall
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-20-08
                  • 3365

                  #813
                  Chicago Blackhawks +130 (5dimes)
                  St. Louis Blues +130 (5dimes)

                  please tell me if I'm wrong.
                  Comment
                  • smitch124
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-08
                    • 12566

                    #814
                    Originally posted by FreeFall
                    Chicago Blackhawks +130 (5dimes)
                    St. Louis Blues +130 (5dimes)

                    please tell me if I'm wrong.
                    That's what I'm seeing
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #815
                      Hey, can those who've been playing RLM bets right along please confirm with me that it's been getting hurt a lot lately? Just want to make sure it's not just me -- Over the past week or so, seems like it's hitting definitely under its usual 60%. Concur? What have your experiences been? Thanks.
                      Comment
                      • maniac0201
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-16-08
                        • 537

                        #816
                        Am I mistaken or does the USC/Penn State game look like reverse line movement?
                        Comment
                        • McRich
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-26-07
                          • 961

                          #817
                          Originally posted by maniac0201
                          Am I mistaken or does the USC/Penn State game look like reverse line movement?
                          Yes, Penn. St. would be the bet for RLM.
                          Comment
                          • xyzky
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-23-07
                            • 1577

                            #818
                            I am in Vegas right now and know for a fact that there is heavy money on Penn St.!!
                            Comment
                            • smitch124
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-19-08
                              • 12566

                              #819
                              Denver Pioneers in College Hoops...
                              Comment
                              • FreeFall
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-20-08
                                • 3365

                                #820
                                Pitt +162 NHL 5dimes
                                Troy +12 NCAAB -107 5dimes
                                Denver +2.5 NCAAB -105 5 dimes
                                Comment
                                • Capybara
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 11803

                                  #821
                                  Hey, can u guys answer my last question please! ^^^ Thanks.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bluehorseshoe
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-13-06
                                    • 15009

                                    #822
                                    Originally posted by Capybara
                                    Hey, can u guys answer my last question please! ^^^ Thanks.
                                    Steam in general has been doing poorly.
                                    Comment
                                    • smitch124
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-19-08
                                      • 12566

                                      #823
                                      Originally posted by FreeFall
                                      Pitt +162 NHL 5dimes
                                      Troy +12 NCAAB -107 5dimes
                                      Denver +2.5 NCAAB -105 5 dimes
                                      Free Fall, what book do you use to look for the 10c move in the NHL lines?
                                      Comment
                                      • FreeFall
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-20-08
                                        • 3365

                                        #824
                                        Originally posted by smitch124
                                        Free Fall, what book do you use to look for the 10c move in the NHL lines?
                                        the free one that is posted.

                                        capy my SS has all my RLM plays. Look there. I'd also filter out hockey as I'm not convinced in that yet, but track it none the less.
                                        Comment
                                        • FreeFall
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-20-08
                                          • 3365

                                          #825
                                          South Florid +7.5 NCAAB
                                          Columbus +118 NHL
                                          Utah +10 NCAAF
                                          Miss +4.5 NCAAF
                                          Comment
                                          • turboj
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-12-08
                                            • 83

                                            #826
                                            in the nba, that the play? thanks
                                            Comment
                                            • smitch124
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-19-08
                                              • 12566

                                              #827
                                              4.5 point RLM on Harvard vs. Arizona today.....wow
                                              Comment
                                              • The Seer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-29-07
                                                • 10641

                                                #828
                                                Originally posted by smitch124
                                                4.5 point RLM on Harvard vs. Arizona today.....wow
                                                curious,what was the play?
                                                Comment
                                                • smitch124
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-19-08
                                                  • 12566

                                                  #829
                                                  would've been Harvard +2.5 if you were able to catch it at the point where it had moved 1 point.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • McRich
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-26-07
                                                    • 961

                                                    #830
                                                    Originally posted by smitch124
                                                    would've been Harvard +2.5 if you were able to catch it at the point where it had moved 1 point.
                                                    I jumped on the Harvard game early for +3.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CarlCee
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 10-23-08
                                                      • 23

                                                      #831
                                                      I see what the cat is saying check my ATLANTA FALCONS vs ARIZONA CARDINALS post. 75% of the bets are on Atlanta yet more BIG money was clearly bet on Arizona. (Was ATL -2.5 now ARZ+1 Indicating somebody may know something. Like inside trading....or fixed. However I never documented how often it works. Has anybody. I am a falcons fan who is concerned about this. Under the philosphy the rich get richer the Cardinals are the better bet. However throw caution too the wind sometimes Ive seen Angels appear and the Falcons win the game. Like the gentlemen says he loves the CArdinals. The Play is the Cardinals if you take the falcons or are a falcons fan......start praying for angels too appear.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Seer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                        • 10641

                                                        #832
                                                        i like AZ at home here myself
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CarlCee
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-23-08
                                                          • 23

                                                          #833
                                                          LT PROFITS I agree with you completely and I am a Falcons fan hoping angels appear tommorrow . How often does it work. I use that theory myself. I do notice its kept me above .500
                                                          Comment
                                                          • FreeFall
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-20-08
                                                            • 3365

                                                            #834
                                                            5-0 day today with Columbus +118
                                                            Comment
                                                            • turboj
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-12-08
                                                              • 83

                                                              #835
                                                              What's the play in the nba? Thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bluehorseshoe
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-13-06
                                                                • 15009

                                                                #836
                                                                I'd say the Warriors.

                                                                70% in favor of the Jazz and the line dropped a point.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • apk2k6
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-09-08
                                                                  • 494

                                                                  #837
                                                                  Originally posted by Bluehorseshoe
                                                                  I'd say the Warriors.

                                                                  70% in favor of the Jazz and the line dropped a point.
                                                                  How many bets were placed with you saw this? It ended up with only about 51% on the Jazz, but the Warriors did cover.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bluehorseshoe
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-13-06
                                                                    • 15009

                                                                    #838
                                                                    Originally posted by apk2k6
                                                                    How many bets were placed with you saw this? It ended up with only about 51% on the Jazz, but the Warriors did cover.
                                                                    You're using Sportsinsights??


                                                                    I use Sportsoptions and it went off at 68% in favor of Utah.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kid Twist
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 12-28-08
                                                                      • 9

                                                                      #839
                                                                      (deleted by Justin)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Seer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                                        • 10641

                                                                        #840
                                                                        What do u guys think about Tulsa tonight, rlm?
                                                                        Comment
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