BUCKs playing , if pegs cover it means i got them all 4 weeks , pushin the envelope here
-
Comment -
BB I want to congratulate you on that sweet 3 in 1 you nailed last night in the CFL's only game. Nicely done!
Comment -
comeon Pegs, got u on game and 2h , cash itComment -
How freaking pathetic the Argos are?
Comment -
HAM did not look stellar that's for sure but they got to TOR. EDM +3 coming up baby. CheersComment -
Wow these Esk's are impressive!Comment -
Overs seem dead
Comment -
More great work BB. Thanks!Comment -
Was at a Wedding reception last night, and the speeches were literally on hold until the Eskimo Game was over.. About 30 guys were hovered around the TV in the Lobby watch the end...
Wow I keep laying off the Esks, but they keep defying all the odds quite honestly... THought the pace would be better as well, and quite honestly, again, the Esks did their job airing it out as they have in all 4 games... The Stamps just couldn't keep the early pace getting just 5 points in the first half...
THe one chance us with the overs had was late with that bum K Paredes for Calgary... A week after taking a leave on his job to replace their other kicker, he got Special Teams Player of the week... This week he missed 2, including the one that would have given us the best chance at OT ...
Anyhow... Glad we got the WInnipeg Game... Toronto is in a World of Hurt and play IN Edmonton next week...
I will preview the Sask game right away...Comment -
I am looking at an under 56Comment -
I really really want to bet Sask today, but I guess they stand no chance at all...
Those odds are temping as hell, though.
Comment -
I'm having a hard time with the writeup... I just see such a trashy game right now, I can't seem to find an angle other than temptation like Dharm said... Is there value in the Riders? Of course.. but it's so hard to throw money away even at +550 or whatever they're at...Comment -
Maybe Montreal has a let down after the big record TD win last week , cant get it UP all the time, not even with viagraComment -
I thought of that too.. It's as good as anything right now... Lots of people are seeing this incredible 11.5 and for a team that has been to the Grey Cup the past 2 years, and typically play Montreal tough, it's hard to resist them... But I've watched alot of Montreal this year, and it's just so hard to stop that offense... with that said, they can't hide how good they are any more... Coaching HAS to adjust at some point... Doesn't it?
Defensive Coordinator Richie Hall sure hasn't done much for the Riders defense this year, and it's not like, to my knowledge they've gone through THAT many changes in personel...
At some point Montreal has to play an under, don't they?Comment -
Sometimes the best plays are no plays. Maybe a revenge spot for Saskatchewan? Well we saw how that worked for Toronto. The only way mtl doesn't cover is if they come into this one sleeping against a fired up Saskatchewan team looking for their first winComment -
I agree Doc... I guess within the thread I've always made a play, regardless of the strength of the game, just because its such a small league with so few games. I think with that though, I will make a couple of small plays just for action... should be up in a bit... I've flip flopped enough...
In case it's not clear, this is probably a game to stay away from based on all that's been said on this page of posts... Montreal could play unbelievable, or could let down... Pace could be incredible.. or it could be a snails pace...
So we've basically covered all the angles I think... Maybe a bet on Mon -11.5 and Sask +11.5 is in order... Guaranteed win night!!!Comment -
Haha. My leans are mtl -11.5 and the over. May take the over small and cheer for some TDs or maybe a small degenerate parlay is in order hahaComment -
I kind of relied on the "revenge spot" for Sask 2 weeks ago. However, since they couldn´t beat them at home, they certainly gonna have a hard time winning in Montreal. As for the total of this game, I´m still slightly leaning towards the over here (but will Sask participate?). The spread, well, I thought it was a joke first time I saw + 11.5. Very tricky number, as it´s not very difficult to imagine Montreal winning by 13. Been striving whole afternoon to find the guts to take the team with such a spread on the ML
Comment -
I like Sask. Montreal won't show up tonight.Comment -
how about montreal 1st half -7 ????
im liking that the most !!!
Comment -
Sunday, July 24, 5 PM MST
Saskatchewan @ Montreal -11.5 O/U 56
Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Mon 39@Sask 25 - O56
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O56
Sask 3@Ham 33 – U56
Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 17@Mon 40 – O56
Mon 39@Sask 25 - O56
BC 26@Mon 30 - P56
Head to Head
2011 – Montreal 1-0, (W2@Sask) Mon 39-25
2010 – Montreal 2-1, (W1@Sask) Sask 54-51, (W6@Mon) Mon 30-26 … (Grey Cup) Mon 21-18.
I’m just way to confused at this line. In the end I’ve chosen just about every side and switched my thinking in the past 24 hours. Come press time, I am going to call for a Rider cover of 11.5 for a small bet. Where I think the value lies in this game though is going to be in a Hot and Humid over. I believe that with WR Richardson back for Montreal that the key to over-land will find itself in the sustaining of Drives.. NOT that Montreal has that problem much.
Since the last game against the Ti-Cat in which the Riders had just 25 minutes of possession, and 255 yards of total offense, that this is going to be a righting of the ship of sorts. I don’t believe Sask QB Durant can get worse than his 9-23-95 line that was last week. With that said, I believe the Riders will played some inspired football, because they are not as bad as they have shown themselves to be, unlike BC, which is just plain terrible. I think in the heat this is going to be a battle of nutrition and hydration, in which the Riders played in similar temps last week in Hamilton.
The last 3 of 4 games, except for the Grey cup have seen games in the 50’s and 60’s, with the opener of last year in the 100 point range. In fact, go back to 2009 where none of the 3 games were below 53, including the Grey Cup. These teams like to play offense versus each other, and having the line drop a point since opener is all the reason I need to try and take a modest bet into this total.
Going to just lay small on the Riders though, as it’s entirely possible to be down 10 with just minutes left, and still lose to a sustained Drive.
Thus
0.5x Saskatchewan +11.5
4x Mon/Sask Over 56Comment -
I like the UNDER 56 better than the dog +11
going to play my theory on a montreal mini let down, hell, just anything that gets 55 or less , they cant drink from the same well every week and bring an A+ game every week nor does a turd stink every week
I am thinking a 2nd half play will be my biggest move, if i have 1Comment -
Can't expect Saskatchewan to be suddenly competitive on the road. Expecting their first win to be at home.Comment -
Over 80% on the under from a reliable line service I subscribe too hence the 1pt drop. It should have really dropped 2-3 pts with the amount of action on the under. I am on the over and then a small parlay on mtl -11.5 and overComment -
Thanx for the write-up, BB! I´m gonna play it live, put just 0.5 unit on Sask ml now and kissed the money goodbye (although there´s a small theoretical chance to hedge). GL tonight, gentlemen!
Comment -
The over 1Q at 10.5 is juiced to -117 on Pinny.. I think a play is in order early in that game..
2x Mon/Sask O10.5Comment -
Nice discussion today in the thread Dharm, 2ways...Sniper.. Gord... Fern... Doc... Scully...
Let find some money now!Comment -
Over fer me.Comment -
Thanks for the points Dharm...appreciated...
I don't think at 5:1 it's a bad bet at all... if they were to play this game 5 times, you're telling me the Riders don't win 1?
Maybe not tonight, but the bet is a good one as far as I'm concerned...Comment
