Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

[xraygord]

2x Montreal ML +105
5x Mon/Win Under 49

Well I am on the opposite ML, but I like the under here also. Best of luck.

Can you believe they kept Mack on? I have no problem with Burke, but Mack is a goof.

[BetterBizness]

5x Esks +4
3x Esks/Tor Under 51

[BetterBizness]

3x Cal -6
2x Cal/Sask Under 51.5

[memo99]

Good luck BB should both be great games today

[xraygord]

Good luck to your Esks today Biz!

[BetterBizness]

LIVE Line (Mon up 10-3 2 END OF 1Q)

5x Mon -6.5
3x Under 57.5

[BetterBizness]

5x Cal +6.5
5x Cal/BC Over 51.5

[BetterBizness]

5x Cal +6.5
5x Cal/BC Over 51.5

\
I know this thread has gotten a little less energetic..

BUT

[BetterBizness]

Can't wait for Grey Cup!

No way Toronto Wins...

[Dharmonize]

Who would have thought BOTH home teams were gonna blow it as such favs... Anyway, very nice call on the Calgary game, BB, congrats!

[xraygord]

I nailed all 3 CFL plays I made today.

Grey Cup next week.

[BetterBizness]

I nailed all 3 CFL plays I made today.

Grey Cup next week.

[BetterBizness]

I can't bet Toronto.. Just can't.. No even personal - I like Rickey - But I think Calgary spoils it...

[Dharmonize]

It is almost like "all-in" on Calgary ML But then again, anything can happen...

[BetterBizness]

I just don't see how Toronto will beat Calgary 3x in a row this year - although almost every game they've played the past couple years has been close -

I don't see this one being that way

Big Play Grey Cup - NOT because it's the Grey Cup actually - I Legitimately think the Stamps are winning the Cup and I'd have made them no less than 6 pt favorites in my power rankings. The 8 "true" Toronto fans in the crowd will NOT give the home team the advantage, as the other 48,000 probably won't even show until half time when the games hopefully over.

25x Calgary -1.5
5x Cal/Tor Over 55.5

[Bluedragon]

good luck BB. heavy on the other side.

[Dharmonize]

Huge play on the Stamps, I see. BOL with that, BB! I like Calgary a lot myself, but still hesitating how big I should go. Anyhow, enjoy the Grey Cup and have fun, everyone!

[Scully]

BB can you expand a little bit as to why you give the Stamps the edge in the Grey Cup? The Argos have a few solid weapons of their own and if they can force Glenn to air it out by stopping Cornish, I don't see why Toronto can't win this one this afternoon at home. Realistically the majority of the crowd will be favoring the Argos and the East as well.

[playboy_1]

even tho argonauts won 2 game in season vs calgary i stay a way from the side betting. love the under here .b.o.l

[BetterBizness]

So far my plan is going exactly to plan - Calgary down 14-3 and Toronto Driving - I may make the 5x back on the over - But for those that know my style - Totals, no matter how small I bet them have always been stronger than my sides.. Unfortunately - the fact that I really, REALLY loved the Stamps here as I figured Toronto's edge in the East was VASTLY overrated is going to cost me a fking fortune...

[BetterBizness]

even tho argonauts won 2 game in season vs calgary i stay a way from the side betting. love the under here .b.o.l

a BIG reason WHY I took the Stamps here... VERY difficult to beat a team 3x in a year...

[BetterBizness]

LIVE

5x Calgary ML +300 (Bet365)

[Dharmonize]

Well, at least the over hit for you, BB... congrats, Toronto!

[Greekster]

Congrats on the over BB and overall on the season! I can only imagine what you were doing when Calgary lined up for 2 on that final TD, but happy it worked out for you lol!

Great posting and analysis as always. Looking forward to seeing you back next year.

BTW, thanks for Ray! sorry, couldnt resist lol

[xraygord]

I wonder if Biz will be back this season. Expected a bit of pre season chit chat.

[BetterBizness]

Hey Gordo - hey Everyone...

Ya the preseason is so dam short I've not really had a lot of thought...

I get get screwed on the Edm/Sask game however on the under with the miracle TD in the last 15 seconds... that was fun... nice start to the season unofficially...

[BetterBizness]

Ya we'll be back.. we got somethings lined up on a bigger platform this year too... go figure...

[Coach Potato]

how'd u do last year? any records?

[nbaprofosor]

b.o.l on coming season...

[cutchemist42]

The Bombers look terrible....

[xraygord]

The Bombers look terrible....

I know eh! Total garbage.

Looking forward to this year Biz!

[BetterBizness]

We're BACK baybee!

[BetterBizness]

Can a Mod please change this thread to 2013... Thanks!

[SBRAdmin3]

Can a Mod please change this thread to 2013... Thanks!

Done!

[BetterBizness]

Montreal -4 @ Winnipeg O/U 51 7 PM Local CST - TSN, NBC Sports Network

2012 Head to Head (2-2) - Win 30 @ Mon 41 (W2), Mon 36 @ Win 26 (W6), Win 27 @ Mon 22 (W15), Mon 11 @ Win 19 (W19)

We're not taking a LOT of stock in 2 pre-season games, BUT... 6 points in the first, and ZERO in the second can't be a good sign for this offense. 76 points in total allowed as well while we're at it. Montreal also lost both their games, but at least there were 2 teams on the field, losing by 7, and by 4. That's what pre-season games are for.

The Al's offense got a little older remaining mostly the same, but adding Arland Bruce III as another target for the 41 year old QB Anthony Calvillo. Coaching will obviously be a concern as Montreal has the only true rookie coach in the CFL with Dan Hawkins, once a coach of Boise State, and Colorado in the NCAA, who moved into the ESPN studios, now ends up as one of the strangest hires in sometime in the CFL. Then again, so did Marc Trestman, former Al's coach who now coaches the Chicago Bears.

Winnipeg will live and die behind, yet again, their QB Buck Pierce. The decade removed New Mexico state grad, will again attempt to stay healthy, after 2 of his 3 seasons with the Blue Bombers were cut short due to injury and the Bombers. The year Buck Pierce was healthy (2011) they went 10-8, won the division, and made the Grey Cup. The 2 years he wasn't (2010, 2012), they went 4-14, and 6-12, and weren't even close to the post season. Last year they were outscored in the season by 155 points, or almost 9 points a game (8.6).

So what do we know? We know that the season opens up in Winnipeg's new 200 Million dollar stadium, and that Pierce is playing. He barely played the pre-season, going 0-5 and keeping him safe from a complete disaster. However this is they key to it all, at what point will Pierce start taking shots, and now at 31, continue to get back up from them?

How bad does the situation look, when the odds for such a huge home opener, one that will be a packed house, are also in favour of the road team by 4 points?

There isn't a lot of information other than speculation at this point, but this is one of those games that Montreal's offense just looks like they will be dancing all over the place, particularly if Winnipeg starts slow. Winnipeg coach Tim Burke chose to rest his starter to get his backups chase a spot in the pre-season, and so now other then a couple of series, this is Pierce's pre-season against real competition. If Montreal gets out ahead they will be hard to stop.

The total took a big drop dipping a point and a half in one shot. It looks fishy, because this has the 35-21 potential, particularly if Montreal starts off scoring. So I'll take a small shot at the over as well.

2x Montreal -4
1x Montreal/Winnipeg Over 51