Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • xraygord
    SBR MVP
    • 09-18-09
    • 2599

    #1786
    Originally posted by BetterBizness
    2x Montreal ML +105
    5x Mon/Win Under 49
    Well I am on the opposite ML, but I like the under here also. Best of luck.

    Can you believe they kept Mack on? I have no problem with Burke, but Mack is a goof.
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #1787
      5x Esks +4
      3x Esks/Tor Under 51
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #1788
        3x Cal -6
        2x Cal/Sask Under 51.5
        Comment
        • memo99
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-10
          • 2368

          #1789
          Good luck BB should both be great games today
          Comment
          • xraygord
            SBR MVP
            • 09-18-09
            • 2599

            #1790
            Good luck to your Esks today Biz!
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #1791
              LIVE Line (Mon up 10-3 2 END OF 1Q)

              5x Mon -6.5
              3x Under 57.5
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #1792
                5x Cal +6.5
                5x Cal/BC Over 51.5
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #1793
                  Originally posted by BetterBizness
                  5x Cal +6.5
                  5x Cal/BC Over 51.5
                  \
                  I know this thread has gotten a little less energetic..

                  BUT
                  Comment
                  • BetterBizness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-20-06
                    • 5737

                    #1794
                    Can't wait for Grey Cup!

                    No way Toronto Wins...
                    Comment
                    • Dharmonize
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-10-10
                      • 1991

                      #1795
                      Who would have thought BOTH home teams were gonna blow it as such favs... Anyway, very nice call on the Calgary game, BB, congrats!
                      Comment
                      • xraygord
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-18-09
                        • 2599

                        #1796
                        I nailed all 3 CFL plays I made today.

                        Grey Cup next week.
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #1797
                          Originally posted by xraygord
                          I nailed all 3 CFL plays I made today.

                          Grey Cup next week.
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #1798
                            I can't bet Toronto.. Just can't.. No even personal - I like Rickey - But I think Calgary spoils it...
                            Comment
                            • Dharmonize
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-10-10
                              • 1991

                              #1799
                              It is almost like "all-in" on Calgary ML But then again, anything can happen...
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #1800
                                I just don't see how Toronto will beat Calgary 3x in a row this year - although almost every game they've played the past couple years has been close -

                                I don't see this one being that way

                                Big Play Grey Cup - NOT because it's the Grey Cup actually - I Legitimately think the Stamps are winning the Cup and I'd have made them no less than 6 pt favorites in my power rankings. The 8 "true" Toronto fans in the crowd will NOT give the home team the advantage, as the other 48,000 probably won't even show until half time when the games hopefully over.

                                25x Calgary -1.5
                                5x Cal/Tor Over 55.5
                                Comment
                                • Bluedragon
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-30-10
                                  • 3484

                                  #1801
                                  good luck BB. heavy on the other side.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dharmonize
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-10-10
                                    • 1991

                                    #1802
                                    Huge play on the Stamps, I see. BOL with that, BB! I like Calgary a lot myself, but still hesitating how big I should go. Anyhow, enjoy the Grey Cup and have fun, everyone!
                                    Comment
                                    • Scully
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-21-06
                                      • 1276

                                      #1803
                                      BB can you expand a little bit as to why you give the Stamps the edge in the Grey Cup? The Argos have a few solid weapons of their own and if they can force Glenn to air it out by stopping Cornish, I don't see why Toronto can't win this one this afternoon at home. Realistically the majority of the crowd will be favoring the Argos and the East as well.
                                      Comment
                                      • playboy_1
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-29-10
                                        • 1333

                                        #1804
                                        even tho argonauts won 2 game in season vs calgary i stay a way from the side betting. love the under here .b.o.l
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #1805
                                          So far my plan is going exactly to plan - Calgary down 14-3 and Toronto Driving - I may make the 5x back on the over - But for those that know my style - Totals, no matter how small I bet them have always been stronger than my sides.. Unfortunately - the fact that I really, REALLY loved the Stamps here as I figured Toronto's edge in the East was VASTLY overrated is going to cost me a fking fortune...
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #1806
                                            Originally posted by playboy_1
                                            even tho argonauts won 2 game in season vs calgary i stay a way from the side betting. love the under here .b.o.l
                                            a BIG reason WHY I took the Stamps here... VERY difficult to beat a team 3x in a year...
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #1807
                                              LIVE

                                              5x Calgary ML +300 (Bet365)
                                              Comment
                                              • Dharmonize
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-10-10
                                                • 1991

                                                #1808
                                                Well, at least the over hit for you, BB... congrats, Toronto!
                                                Comment
                                                • Greekster
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-12-11
                                                  • 2784

                                                  #1809
                                                  Congrats on the over BB and overall on the season! I can only imagine what you were doing when Calgary lined up for 2 on that final TD, but happy it worked out for you lol!

                                                  Great posting and analysis as always. Looking forward to seeing you back next year.

                                                  BTW, thanks for Ray! sorry, couldnt resist lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • xraygord
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-18-09
                                                    • 2599

                                                    #1810
                                                    I wonder if Biz will be back this season. Expected a bit of pre season chit chat.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #1811
                                                      Hey Gordo - hey Everyone...

                                                      Ya the preseason is so dam short I've not really had a lot of thought...

                                                      I get get screwed on the Edm/Sask game however on the under with the miracle TD in the last 15 seconds... that was fun... nice start to the season unofficially...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #1812
                                                        Ya we'll be back.. we got somethings lined up on a bigger platform this year too... go figure...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Coach Potato
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-31-11
                                                          • 4303

                                                          #1813
                                                          how'd u do last year? any records?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nbaprofosor
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-10
                                                            • 3519

                                                            #1814
                                                            b.o.l on coming season...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cutchemist42
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-08-12
                                                              • 737

                                                              #1815
                                                              The Bombers look terrible....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • xraygord
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-18-09
                                                                • 2599

                                                                #1816
                                                                Originally posted by cutchemist42
                                                                The Bombers look terrible....
                                                                I know eh! Total garbage.

                                                                Looking forward to this year Biz!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  We're BACK baybee!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    Can a Mod please change this thread to 2013... Thanks!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SBRAdmin3
                                                                      SPURS for the Win
                                                                      • 01-10-13
                                                                      • 541

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                                      Can a Mod please change this thread to 2013... Thanks!

                                                                      Done!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        Montreal -4 @ Winnipeg O/U 51 7 PM Local CST - TSN, NBC Sports Network

                                                                        2012 Head to Head (2-2) - Win 30 @ Mon 41 (W2), Mon 36 @ Win 26 (W6), Win 27 @ Mon 22 (W15), Mon 11 @ Win 19 (W19)

                                                                        We're not taking a LOT of stock in 2 pre-season games, BUT... 6 points in the first, and ZERO in the second can't be a good sign for this offense. 76 points in total allowed as well while we're at it. Montreal also lost both their games, but at least there were 2 teams on the field, losing by 7, and by 4. That's what pre-season games are for.

                                                                        The Al's offense got a little older remaining mostly the same, but adding Arland Bruce III as another target for the 41 year old QB Anthony Calvillo. Coaching will obviously be a concern as Montreal has the only true rookie coach in the CFL with Dan Hawkins, once a coach of Boise State, and Colorado in the NCAA, who moved into the ESPN studios, now ends up as one of the strangest hires in sometime in the CFL. Then again, so did Marc Trestman, former Al's coach who now coaches the Chicago Bears.

                                                                        Winnipeg will live and die behind, yet again, their QB Buck Pierce. The decade removed New Mexico state grad, will again attempt to stay healthy, after 2 of his 3 seasons with the Blue Bombers were cut short due to injury and the Bombers. The year Buck Pierce was healthy (2011) they went 10-8, won the division, and made the Grey Cup. The 2 years he wasn't (2010, 2012), they went 4-14, and 6-12, and weren't even close to the post season. Last year they were outscored in the season by 155 points, or almost 9 points a game (8.6).

                                                                        So what do we know? We know that the season opens up in Winnipeg's new 200 Million dollar stadium, and that Pierce is playing. He barely played the pre-season, going 0-5 and keeping him safe from a complete disaster. However this is they key to it all, at what point will Pierce start taking shots, and now at 31, continue to get back up from them?

                                                                        How bad does the situation look, when the odds for such a huge home opener, one that will be a packed house, are also in favour of the road team by 4 points?

                                                                        There isn't a lot of information other than speculation at this point, but this is one of those games that Montreal's offense just looks like they will be dancing all over the place, particularly if Winnipeg starts slow. Winnipeg coach Tim Burke chose to rest his starter to get his backups chase a spot in the pre-season, and so now other then a couple of series, this is Pierce's pre-season against real competition. If Montreal gets out ahead they will be hard to stop.

                                                                        The total took a big drop dipping a point and a half in one shot. It looks fishy, because this has the 35-21 potential, particularly if Montreal starts off scoring. So I'll take a small shot at the over as well.

                                                                        2x Montreal -4
                                                                        1x Montreal/Winnipeg Over 51
                                                                        Comment
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