It Looks Like the Packers Will Be Favored by Kick-off

[Fishhead]

ATLANTA has never won a SUPERBOWL..............GREEN BAY is not called Titletown for nothing.

[pavyracer]

Packers are getting healthy and hitting their potential at just the right time.Pack/Steelers should make a great SB.

And Falcons have been getting hurt while sitting in hot tubs for two weeks. Every team should not have a bye at home because they would get more injuries by doing nothing and getting healed.

[pavyracer]

Packers are the most dangerous team in the nfl the last 3 years, they are knocking on the door and Rogers is a stud.

Packers are the play, they have way to much for Atl to handle

Pack win this game and you might be looking at superbowl champs

Thanks JJ. Now I know you endorsed the Packers there is no way in hell the Falcons lose. Pay attention guys. This is a significant barometer to swing your play now.

[Snowball]

Falcons by 10+

very confident they win this game.

GB is spent. do not waste your money on them.

Michael Turner.

[crustyme]

rest is overrated.

just ask the 2000 ravens, 2005 steelers and 2007 giants.... all 4-0 on the road in the post season.

[Starion]

rest is overrated.

just ask the 2000 ravens, 2005 steelers and 2007 giants.... all 4-0 on the road in the post season.

3 examples out of how many years??? It's a rare team that can pull it off.

[pavyracer]

3 examples out of how many years??? It's a rare team that can pull it off.

11 years x 4 teams who have bye's = 44

So his theory hits at a 3 times every 44 it occurs 7%.

[Prop Bet Master]

rest is overrated.

just ask the 2000 ravens, 2005 steelers and 2007 giants.... all 4-0 on the road in the post season.

Actually Baltimore played one home game in the playoffs that season. One thing all of those teams had in common was a great road record. Baltimore was 6-2 on the road, Pittsburgh was 6-2, and New York was 7-1. Green Bay was only 3-5 on the road during the regular season. I'm not sure if they can pull it off.

[slacker00]

Yes, injuries to the Packers.........

Check out the injury report, nothing has changed. They are STILL battling through their injuries.

[wcb231]

Holding steady at -1.5 where I'm at, I might have to get on Atlanta, maybe even tease them with New England. Too much value

[dwang0725]

Will be a tight game no doubt. I think ML is the way to go.

[Prop Bet Master]

Holding steady at -1.5 where I'm at, I might have to get on Atlanta, maybe even tease them with New England. Too much value

No value teasing from -1.5 to +4.5 or +5.5. You're giving up 1.5 points of value by crossing the 0 and the only key number you crossed it the 3. You basically need Atlanta to win straight up anyway, so the only added protection is if they lose by 4 points or less.

[crustyme]

since 2000, 16 teams have won on the road in the opening round. 7 of them went on to win in the 2nd round also on the road. so its basically 50/50 meaning no significant advantage for the host.

these guys are doing full contact drills by day 3 so its not like they are in hospices recovering all week. b2b games on the road for nba teams is tougher.

if packers lose it wont be due to lack of rest.

[firedawg]

ATLANTA has never won a SUPERBOWL..............GREEN BAY is not called Titletown for nothing.

stupid post.... what does a GB super bowl team from years ago have too do with these two teams? nothing

[slacker00]

since 2000, 16 teams have won on the road in the opening round. 7 of them went on to win in the 2nd round also on the road. so its basically 50/50 meaning no significant advantage for the host.

these guys are doing full contact drills by day 3 so its not like they are in hospices recovering all week. b2b games on the road for nba teams is tougher.

if packers lose it wont be due to lack of rest.

Well, if this trend is really true, there's much better value in betting the Ravens & Jets on the ML. No value in GB.

[brxbmbers42]

Packers are the most dangerous team in the nfl the last 3 years, they are knocking on the door and Rogers is a stud.

Packers are the play, they have way to much for Atl to handle

Pack win this game and you might be looking at superbowl champs

agree about the rodgers part. 2nd best qb in the league. but it doesnt mean this is green bay's game. i dont see them winning in this spot. atlanta takes it. all the fukkin squares betting green bay. be ready for a bloodbath.

[brxbmbers42]

How the f*ck is someone betting on a #6 seed road team in the divisional round of the playoffs a f*ckin square? Especially when you consider the fact that the ATS money is essentially equal and the Packers are dogs? Please explain this to me.

are you kidding me. GB is by FAR the square play in this game. get a fukkin clue pal

[daneblazer]

Public scrambling to back the media. This is just like Dallas/Minnesota last year. Atlanta is 13-3, at home, off a bye, against a team they already beat. This one will ruin some weekends.

[nli07]

I have Green Bay at -3 on a neutral field so pick em at Atlanta. But if Atlanta becomes a dog, then theres no more value with GB.

[Prop Bet Master]

No value teasing from -1.5 to +4.5 or +5.5. You're giving up 1.5 points of value by crossing the 0 and the only key number you crossed it the 3. You basically need Atlanta to win straight up anyway, so the only added protection is if they lose by 4 points or less.

Actually, you're really only giving up 1 point of value, but it's bad value is what I'm saying.

[smitch124]

I still can't get past the fact that if Clements just goes down after his INT the 9ers beat the Falcons in Atlanta.

[dngf]

so let me get this straight , LT...cus its confusing me.... you think that a GB team, who lost on the road to chicago, washington, atlanta, detroit and new england should be favored...on the road, again...against the best home team in the nfc...who already beat them at home once??? put the bottle down Fishhead... you are reading way too much into this line movement also... the books have had an entire week to juggle the line around at 1 and 2 ... Pay more attention to what happened to the line the first hour it opened as opposed to what happened throughout an entire week ... how long you been doing this stuff?

Because you are paying #1 seed prices. If GB was getting 4 or 5 points, then they'd be the "sharp" play here, shrewdly taking the value play. But, with GB only getting 1 point, now, there's no value at all, unless you really believe that GB should be the #1 seed and Atlanta should really be the #6 seed. If that's the case, we'd all really like to know why GB is so great and Atlanta is so bad. Maybe I haven't been watching enough ESPN. On paper, Atlanta is every bit as good as GB in every category, if not much better in some key areas such as running game and special teams. There's a reason why Atlanta finished the season 13-3 versus GB's 10-6. Most notable is their head to head game.

Of GB 6 losses, two in OT, two when Rodgers was concussed. GB has played their way into the playoffs as a result. Atlanta has played one tough game in the last month at home and they lost to New Orleans. Their other three games, Seattle, and Carolina twice. Packers been playing playoff football for weeks to get in, Atlanta coasting. Green Bay with continued momentum, has Atlanta lost theirs given the week off and they haven't played anyone of consequence in three weeks. And Rodgers still gets the edge over Matt Ryan. Falcons are a good home team, but New Orleans proved you can beat them, and I think GB plays better defense than New Orleans.

I loved the Packers today, right up to when I saw above the Coach was on them.

[mmike032]

All the sheep are led to slaughter. I'm loving it!!

[falconticket]

Of GB 6 losses, two in OT, two when Rodgers was concussed. GB has played their way into the playoffs as a result. Atlanta has played one tough game in the last month at home and they lost to New Orleans. Their other three games, Seattle, and Carolina twice. Packers been playing playoff football for weeks to get in, Atlanta coasting. Green Bay with continued momentum, has Atlanta lost theirs given the week off and they haven't played anyone of consequence in three weeks. And Rodgers still gets the edge over Matt Ryan. Falcons are a good home team, but New Orleans proved you can beat them, and I think GB plays better defense than New Orleans.

I loved the Packers today, right up to when I saw above the Coach was on them.

If you think the game against nawleans had any meaning you need to get out of gambling asap.

[aman86]

thinking pack gets it done here as well

[pavyracer]

People don't understand that once Atlanta clinched a playoff birth in Seattle they have been disguising their plays the last two weeks and have been resting the big guns like Turner, Gonzalez and White. Then all of a sudden tonight they switch from second to fifth gear and people will be shocked on the team they will witness.

[Sunde91]

Thanks JJ. Now I know you endorsed the Packers there is no way in hell the Falcons lose. Pay attention guys. This is a significant barometer to swing your play now.

Wrong, JJ's publicly endorsed, isolated plays hit 75%.

He nailed GB last week, cowboys over colts, bears over philly, and others this season.

[slacker00]

Of GB 6 losses, two in OT, two when Rodgers was concussed. GB has played their way into the playoffs as a result. Atlanta has played one tough game in the last month at home and they lost to New Orleans. Their other three games, Seattle, and Carolina twice. Packers been playing playoff football for weeks to get in, Atlanta coasting. Green Bay with continued momentum, has Atlanta lost theirs given the week off and they haven't played anyone of consequence in three weeks. And Rodgers still gets the edge over Matt Ryan. Falcons are a good home team, but New Orleans proved you can beat them, and I think GB plays better defense than New Orleans.

I loved the Packers today, right up to when I saw above the Coach was on them.

Excuses, excuses. What if today goes to OT? What if Rodgers gets another concussion? This is part of the game!

Atlanta went to Seattle and destroyed them. This was one week before Seattle won their way into the postseason past the Rams, which was the latest darling to tumble, and then beating the Saints last week. Atlanta going into Seattle and smacking them is looking better and better as Seattle keeps winning. As for the Saints beating the Falcons, nobody should hang their heads if they got caught by the champs, the Saints are a quality team even though their defense got punked last week.

I don't bye the momentum hype. The vast majority of #1 & #2 seeds hold serve in the divisional round.

[raydog]

Of GB 6 losses, two in OT, two when Rodgers was concussed. GB has played their way into the playoffs as a result. Atlanta has played one tough game in the last month at home and they lost to New Orleans. Their other three games, Seattle, and Carolina twice. Packers been playing playoff football for weeks to get in, Atlanta coasting. Green Bay with continued momentum, has Atlanta lost theirs given the week off and they haven't played anyone of consequence in three weeks. And Rodgers still gets the edge over Matt Ryan. Falcons are a good home team, but New Orleans proved you can beat them, and I think GB plays better defense than New Orleans.

I loved the Packers today, right up to when I saw above the Coach was on them.

read my post and please try to understand what im saying before quoting me next time...i never said gb has no chance of winning ... i simply explained to lt why atlanta was favored and would stay favored until tip... i truly hope you dont have a hard time understanding that too...

[mojomaker11]

Falcons will pull this one off.

[wrongturn]

Guys, don't sweat on the last play, because that is going to happen on these two games. Take the teaser on GB and BALT and relax.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Falcons going to win

[mlb]

falcons going to win

packers!!!!!!

[crustyme]

not often does jj look smarter than 99% of posters in the entire thread. lol

[The Seer]

This game is a joke.