SSK's NFL Thread

[SCRAGGS]

nice work kid.

[dooman14]

i wanna bet a bundle this weekend any locks?

[ssk13809]

i wanna bet a bundle this weekend any locks?

You already missed my lock this week.

I only average about 0.8 locks/week. So it's doubtful I'll have another one. However there is a good chance of a "near lock" ATS game. I'm 6-0-1 ATS overall this year so its not a bad bet either.


Besides, ML is my strength, so if you tail there you will do great as well. I'll have a couple ML plays for sure.

[turkstock]

Nice work, keep it up

[oh_lol]

Nice. WIll keep popping in

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Good work buddy

[ssk13809]

Thanks


Now let me speak a little bit on last night's game.




It was a quite a game. I was on the Falcons. They were winning most of the game, so it would've been unfortunate for them to lose at the very end. I mean, Ravens struck at the very end taking the lead for the 1st time. It would've been an ice cold loss, usually what it takes to beat a LOCK of mine.

However, the main reason I bet this game was because of Matt Ryan. With 1 minute left, I was confident he would go down the field and score since he is so good at home. And that's exactly what occurred. And I move on to 11-0 All-Time in LOCKs and 6-0 ATS for the year.

[ssk13809]

Picks for the rest of the week will be posted tonight

[ssk13809]

Okay here are all my leans for the week. I'm going to try and keep a record for this.

Falcons -1 (obviously)
Bengals +7
Texans +1.5
Titans -1
Vikkings -1
Bills -3
Browns +3
Buccaneers -7
Broncos +1
Rams +6
Seahawks +3
Giants -13.5
Patriots +4.5
Redskins +3

[ssk13809]

Official Plays:

ML
Texans +105
Risk 5 to win 5.3


ML
Rams +220
Risk 4 to win 8.8


ATS
Seahawks +3
Risk 5 to win 5

ATS
Buccaneers -6.5
Risk 5.5 to win 5




Those are all my game bets. Good reasons for all. But not going to post them. Ask and I will explain.


'
I will have some winning parlays tomorrow.

[ssk13809]

My Parlay Plays

ML
Seahawks +150
Bills -130
Risk 5 win 17.1


ML
Colts -325
Bucs -310
Giants -650
Risk 6 to Win 6











And just a small big gain parlays with various bets

ATS
Giants -13.5
Texans +1
Bills -1
Rams +6

Risk 2 to Win 25.1


Primetime

Patriots +5
Redskins ML +155

Risk 2 to Win 7.7

[ssk13809]

I also advise everyone to be very cautious if they are picking against any of my picks.

[ChileCheese]

Good Luck with your plays... Im sure people will be paying attention.
Just tone down your talk of " Im the best on here " chatter.

I really like your New England and St Louis picks.

[ssk13809]

Good Luck with your plays... Im sure people will be paying attention.
Just tone down your talk of " Im the best on here " chatter.

I really like your New England and St Louis picks.

I am the best on here. There is not 1 poster on SBR who can do better than me on a week-by-week basis.

[ChileCheese]

I am the best on here. There is not 1 poster on SBR who can do better than me on a week-by-week basis.

If you were the best, you would be a Pro Punter

[ssk13809]

If you were the best, you would be a Pro Punter

I would never choose to make this a career if that is what you're implying.

[ChileCheese]

You would be up more than $500. Anyhow, just stop referring to yourself as the best, otherwise people will continue to shit on you and show you no respect and your threads will just close each time. Learn what hubris is and think about it.
And you have to understand, gambling is not a class in university. Doing well on paper means nothing. Its all about $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. No one cares if you are 100-0 at the end of the NFL year if each bet was $1.00. Id rather be 60-40 and up $50,000.
Please find one person who will disagree with this and I will change my mind.

[ssk13809]

You would be up more than $500. Anyhow, just stop referring to yourself as the best, otherwise people will continue to shit on you and show you no respect and your threads will just close each time. Learn what hubris is and think about it.
And you have to understand, gambling is not a class in university. Doing well on paper means nothing. Its all about $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. No one cares if you are 100-0 at the end of the NFL year if each bet was $1.00. Id rather be 60-40 and up $50,000.
Please find one person who will disagree with this and I will change my mind.

lol? That was just stupid.

1. For this thread, I've assumed a 100 unit starting amount. Based on that, I am up 50+%. So whether I am up +$500 or +$1,000 would depend on my starting bankroll. Not just on my record or bets.

2. I'd FOLLOW the 100-0 guy over the 60-40 guy anyday any week, and so would anyone else. You're stupid if you think otherwise.

3. Once again, how much $$$ you make or lose, besides for bankroll, depends on your bankroll management. That is also dependent on the specific person.




Overall, I'm a winner, and I am going to pick winners. How much actual $$$ you make is dependent also on your bankroll management and starting bankroll, not just my winnings.

[ChileCheese]

What the hell is one unit for you?

[ChileCheese]

And you seem to be missing my point.
Im not here to make fun of you because you bet $10 dollars a game. You will get a lot of respect and be considering good or great.
However, to be considered THE BEST... you have to make lots of money.
Consider this example. If Warren Buffet Makes a 5% ROI for his company but its worth 20 billions dollars, he is considered better than some trader getting 20% ROI but only making $1,000.
Consider this example. The best poker players in the world who play High Stakes ($1,000 games and more ) have ROIs of 1-3%. Does that mean that giuys who play $10 stakes, but have ROIs of 15% are better players? Think about that. You want to win 57% of the time playing $2,000 Heads up? or win 80% of the time playing $2.00 Heads up?

[ssk13809]

1 unit is not related to anything in real life. It's assuming I had 100 units of some Bankroll amount, this is how I would do it. So if it was 100k, 1 unit would be 1k, and so on.

And you seem to be missing my point.
Im not here to make fun of you because you bet $10 dollars a game. You will get a lot of respect and be considering good or great.
However, to be considered THE BEST... you have to make lots of money.
Consider this example. If Warren Buffet Makes a 5% ROI for his company but its worth 20 billions dollars, he is considered better than some trader getting 20% ROI but only making $1,000.
Consider this example. The best poker players in the world who play High Stakes ($1,000 games and more ) have ROIs of 1-3%. Does that mean that giuys who play $10 stakes, but have ROIs of 15% are better players? Think about that. You want to win 57% of the time playing $2,000 Heads up? or win 80% of the time playing $2.00 Heads up?

Buffett and those poker players you are talking about started small and had extremely high ROI to get to where they are. They did it by winning very often. That is why they are the best. Because their winnings and ROI at 1 point were very very high. And because of that they have cemented their places at the top. The small investor or $10 stake poker player are not as good as Buffett or the Poker Pros because they have not gotten that "very high" ROI yet.

So ultimately, the most important thing is how much you win overall. Buffett and those poker players ROIs were off the roofs at some point, and thats why they are the best. Their overall ROIs >>>> other people's overall ROIs.



Nonethless, Bankroll Starting Amount and Money Management are also factors. Give even Buffett $10 and some okay investor 1million, and I guarantee you Buffet loses on money made. Does that make him a worse investor? No. Same goes with the poker example.





Overall, let me put it this way, I'll do more "winning money" than anyone else GIVEN equal bankrolls. Thats the best way to put it. And thus, I am the best.

[TheSportsBaron]

SSK, I like the Rams as well and am leaning towards betting their ML...Why are you confident in it?

[ssk13809]

SSK, I like the Rams as well and am leaning towards betting their ML...Why are you confident in it?

Why not? Its a really a value play. +220 on the Rams is good value. Do I honestly think the Rams will win? No, I'd say 45% they win. But that 45% is good enough considering the +220 ML.

Bottom-line, 49ers suck.

[MIGHTY COMMISH]

The Rams won't win because they do nothing special on offense and when a team has two weeks to prepare for a predictable offense they will not be surprised by anything they see. Couple this with the Rams poor road record and the West coast trip, the 49'ers cover this 6 point spread with relative ease.

FYI 49ers are 14-0 when Frank Gore rushes 24 times or more.

[ssk13809]

The Rams won't win because they do nothing special on offense and when a team has two weeks to prepare for a predictable offense they will not be surprised by anything they see. Couple this with the Rams poor road record and the West coast trip, the 49'ers cover this 6 point spread with relative ease.

FYI 49ers are 14-0 when Frank Gore rushes 24 times or more.

49ers covering a spread with ease? Which 49ers team have you been watching this year?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Good luck buddy this weekend. I agree, you have to settle down with the "I'm the best on here" because theres a list ahead of you. Your just on a little run you'll eventually fade away.

[ssk13809]

Good luck buddy this weekend. I agree, you have to settle down with the "I'm the best on here" because theres a list ahead of you. Your just on a little run you'll eventually fade away.

[BetterBizness]

SSK is the best there is.. the best there was.. the best capper there every will be... and if I say anything to the contrary willie Bee will ban me from sbr as I've already got two warnings for doubting ssk in the least...

so ya.. BOL to all of you who follow this young phenom...

[udlock4life]

bol man

[franklt]

I'll follow all your card.gl

[Joe Sharp]

Good Luck today SSK.... Just post winners. Forget the rest!!

[Full Time Hobo]

Good luck -

The sooner you realize that you're getting so much hating in your own thread is because of your ego the better.
But i agree units don't matter. Those who follow you like to know how much you are putting on games as consolation for themselves...
"oh that was a bad beat for $20... but at least i didn't lose 2k like so and so" .... whatever

Good luck again I'll most likely be checking in here to see how you're doing with your plays and with all the interesting conversations going on

[ssk13809]

Good luck -

The sooner you realize that you're getting so much hating in your own thread is because of your ego the better.
But i agree units don't matter. Those who follow you like to know how much you are putting on games as consolation for themselves...
"oh that was a bad beat for $20... but at least i didn't lose 2k like so and so" .... whatever

Good luck again I'll most likely be checking in here to see how you're doing with your plays and with all the interesting conversations going on

Lets hope this weekend is also normal.



BOL to all. Especially those who need it more than me.

[ChileCheese]

Lots of time left in all the game... but right now, What do you make of all ur 1pm plays losing expect BUF?

[ssk13809]

WHAT a bad beat in Jacksonville


wow



Usually what it takes to make plays of mine lose. Oh well.