RLM

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • matelionis
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-27-09
    • 214

    #1051
    Originally posted by BeBrave
    RLM has its positives no its not perfect
    LA Tech was +6.5, final was Houston 35 LA Tech 34
    Comment
    • bobbyk1133
      SBR MVP
      • 08-05-10
      • 2245

      #1052
      Originally posted by accountingbyday
      Bobby, Honest question - not flaming. You said there were 100 better ways to follow the sharp money. I realize that's an exaggeration (the 100 number), but obviously you believe there are better ways. Can you tell me one or two of what you believe to be the best ways to follow the sharps? I'd love to learn.
      The best way is to get to know a couple who live in Vegas via email/Twitter etc.

      If you don't want to go to that trouble you can follow prominent sharps on Twitter (very useful resource), read their articles/websites, listen to them on radio/podcasts. Start the season by finding out what teams the sharps are backing and which teams they are fading (season win totals is the obvious tip off for this). Once the season starts watch the early line moves and the late line moves. Learn how to read what the market is doing and more importantly why. If it isn't obvious why a line moved dig for more information.

      Check out prominent sharp plays in the Hilton contest...at least early in the year. The Hilton picks can be misleading for obvious reasons, but you'll get a general consensus what teams/games certain people like.

      There's a TON of free resources available to get more than enough info. But keep in mind that sharps disagree a lot among themselves and not all sharps are created equal. Not many can hit 55% on widely available lines long-term so you need to figure out who's opinion you respect and who's you don't. Often times you'll see a line move but it's not because "thats what the sharps are doing" but because the size of the action laid down--in reality the game could be seeing 2way action in terms of volume of bets among sharps.

      It also helps to know general tendencies of sharps and how they like to bet. But even that will vary because you have system guys vs fundamentalists, etc.

      I don't know how much that helps, but the info is out there...you just gotta find it.
      Comment
      • bobbyk1133
        SBR MVP
        • 08-05-10
        • 2245

        #1053
        Originally posted by QuantumLeap
        I agree bobbyk. In fact, I think this is the biggest problem with using RLM and I've been trying it for 3 or 4 years. The amount of money going on one team is not widely published and for good reason. The number of bets we see at the public consensus sites show the number of bets, not the money. This represents a lot of squares but not all square money moves lines. The lines move based upon money, not based upon how many squares bet on one side.
        Great point. Those sites don't differentiate between a 1$ bet and a 1000$ bet. Both are created equal in terms of tracking volume which can make it misleading. It doesn't mean they are useless, but take specific percentages with a grain of salt. The true volume of money just isn't available and probably never will be.
        Comment
        • Capybara
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-17-08
          • 11803

          #1054
          Utah fukkin rolling... this is one of the all-time RLM days! I'm already worried about it coming back to roost in NFL tomorrow...
          Comment
          • Aussiecapper101
            SBR MVP
            • 09-04-10
            • 2220

            #1055
            Unlv who would have thought!
            Comment
            • matelionis
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-27-09
              • 214

              #1056
              Originally posted by Capybara
              Utah fukkin rolling... this is one of the all-time RLM days! I'm already worried about it coming back to roost in NFL tomorrow...
              Skip tomorrow bro...we have a chance for 8-0 today.
              Comment
              • matelionis
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-27-09
                • 214

                #1057
                John Smith himself couldn't save this one for BYU boys!
                Comment
                • doublej95
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 14094

                  #1058
                  Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                  Unlv who would have thought!

                  RLM was good to me Saturday
                  Comment
                  • BeBrave
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-25-10
                    • 158

                    #1059
                    Yeah I was thinking ML as I had them in a Parlay when I posted they covered ATS with ease sorry for the confusion!
                    Comment
                    • Totolover1409
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-14-08
                      • 1400

                      #1060
                      Hope Jags and Bears hit!
                      Comment
                      • 8ArIvd5
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-24-10
                        • 3175

                        #1061
                        the bears were an rlm play? i'm seeing 45% on them.
                        Comment
                        • Totolover1409
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-14-08
                          • 1400

                          #1062
                          Both are a bust.

                          0-2.
                          Comment
                          • Totolover1409
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-14-08
                            • 1400

                            #1063
                            I got kinda greedy and since it was on a key point (7 or 3) i gave it a shot. Didnt have any plays last week so I thought i'd try it.

                            no worries.
                            Comment
                            • Full Time Hobo
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-16-10
                              • 2778

                              #1064
                              is twominutewarning not working for anyone else?
                              Comment
                              • 8ArIvd5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-24-10
                                • 3175

                                #1065
                                what's twominutewarning? i've been using thespread and it's not showing %s
                                Comment
                                • dodger33
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-14-09
                                  • 3962

                                  #1066
                                  Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                  is twominutewarning not working for anyone else?
                                  yea images are messed up
                                  Comment
                                  • matelionis
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-27-09
                                    • 214

                                    #1067
                                    It's up now. There is a shit-ton of RLM on NCAA tomorrow.

                                    Central Michigan +21.5 (2pt move)
                                    Bowling Green +3.5 (2.5pt move)
                                    Arkansas +11 (1.5pt move)
                                    California +1 (2pt move)
                                    Buffalo +9 (1pt move)
                                    Idaho +3 (3pt move)
                                    Nevada +16 (4pt move)
                                    Wyoming +21 (1.5pt move)
                                    Missouri +19.5 (1.5pt move)
                                    Tulsa +28 (4.5pt move)
                                    North Texas +6 (1.5pt move)
                                    Comment
                                    • matelionis
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-27-09
                                      • 214

                                      #1068
                                      2011 NCAA RLM Record - 10-5-0
                                      Comment
                                      • 8ArIvd5
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-24-10
                                        • 3175

                                        #1069
                                        i have a&m and clemson as rlm, also.

                                        what site are you using, mate?
                                        Comment
                                        • matelionis
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-27-09
                                          • 214

                                          #1070
                                          Sportsinsights. Also, I don't consider a .5 movement enough for RLM. But that's just me.
                                          Comment
                                          • dodger33
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-14-09
                                            • 3962

                                            #1071
                                            yessir
                                            Comment
                                            • Full Time Hobo
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-16-10
                                              • 2778

                                              #1072
                                              Thanks dodger.
                                              And good stuff matelionis
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #1073
                                                Originally posted by matelionis
                                                It's up now. There is a shit-ton of RLM on NCAA tomorrow.

                                                Central Michigan +21.5 (2pt move)
                                                Bowling Green +3.5 (2.5pt move)
                                                Arkansas +11 (1.5pt move)
                                                California +1 (2pt move)
                                                Buffalo +9 (1pt move)
                                                Idaho +3 (3pt move)
                                                Nevada +16 (4pt move)
                                                Wyoming +21 (1.5pt move)
                                                Missouri +19.5 (1.5pt move)
                                                Tulsa +28 (4.5pt move)
                                                North Texas +6 (1.5pt move)
                                                8ArIvd5 is right about Clemson and Texas A&M. Also not enough of a majority for Bowling Green, Arkansas or Buffalo.
                                                Comment
                                                • jolmscheid
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 02-20-10
                                                  • 3256

                                                  #1074
                                                  None of those games have 10,000+ bets on them....what is your guys' filter for the minimum number of bets placed?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jolmscheid
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-20-10
                                                    • 3256

                                                    #1075
                                                    BTW...the Buffalo Bills are an RLM play as of right now...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #1076
                                                      Originally posted by jolmscheid
                                                      BTW...the Buffalo Bills are an RLM play as of right now...
                                                      Keep an eye on Vikings, Raiders and Bucs, all are close. And Bills are a scary choice because with the game opening at 9, sharps may have pounded Bills early to set up basic strategy teasers on Pats in 7.5-8.5 range, and you don't see teasers in percentages.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jolmscheid
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-20-10
                                                        • 3256

                                                        #1077
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        Keep an eye on Vikings, Raiders and Bucs, all are close. And Bills are a scary choice because with the game opening at 9, sharps may have pounded Bills early to set up basic strategy teasers on Pats in 7.5-8.5 range, and you don't see teasers in percentages.
                                                        Very true LT...that is a good point...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Capybara
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-17-08
                                                          • 11803

                                                          #1078
                                                          As noted above, several attractive options today!

                                                          Just nervous because last Saturday everything went exactly as anticipated... So today don't want to unload on RLM because I'm all confident, and end up going like 3-8 or something!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jolmscheid
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-20-10
                                                            • 3256

                                                            #1079
                                                            Originally posted by Capybara
                                                            As noted above, several attractive options today!

                                                            Just nervous because last Saturday everything went exactly as anticipated... So today don't want to unload on RLM because I'm all confident, and end up going like 3-8 or something!
                                                            I only see 2 RLM plays...but I don't play unless there is at least 10,000 bets for football and 5,000 bets for other sports...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stickbit
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-09-08
                                                              • 265

                                                              #1080
                                                              great point Capy...there will be losing weeks playing like this....but have to stay the course and we should have a good season!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Totolover1409
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-14-08
                                                                • 1400

                                                                #1081
                                                                Bills +7.5
                                                                Vikings +3
                                                                Tampa Bay -1

                                                                Good luck everyone.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Totolover1409
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-14-08
                                                                  • 1400

                                                                  #1082
                                                                  Edited it cuz I got Tampa at -1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jolmscheid
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-20-10
                                                                    • 3256

                                                                    #1083
                                                                    Originally posted by Totolover1409
                                                                    Bills +7.5
                                                                    Vikings +3
                                                                    Tampa Bay -1

                                                                    Good luck everyone.
                                                                    I would look at the Raiders too...not a full point move but moved onto a key number..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Capybara
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-17-08
                                                                      • 11803

                                                                      #1084
                                                                      Looks like NCAA got buried this week. Anyone care to post their record with today's games?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sneakerhead
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 07-14-10
                                                                        • 7727

                                                                        #1085
                                                                        Like all three, BOL!
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...