RLM

[LT Profits]

This is where you're talking out of both sides of your mouth.

More of a case of me typing at first impulse without thinking it through first. You are right, if I respect the CRIS opener enough to make me leery enough of Dallas even before the teaser consideration, the best course is to just avoid this game altogether.

[LT Profits]

I should add that everything I say in this thread is RLM related, which is just one tool. That would not prevent me from betting this game just on conventional capping and/or opinion alone.

[bobbyk1133]

And how do you prove that sharks grabbed this +3? Just because you say so doesn't make it true. You don't have your finger on the pulse of all the sharps in the world, you just think you do.

If you spent as much time researching for yourself as you did writing this troll response you could have found the same info. There is more than enough free info available for all squares to find. The love sharps have for Detroit is all over Las Vegas radio, podcasts, articles, twitter, etc. A better question is to try and find ONE source that has sharps on Dallas.

Here's an excerpt from Nick Bogdanovich.

DETROIT AT DALLAS: The Cowboys opened at -3 with the general perception that the teams were even, and home field advantage is worth three points. Sharps really like Detroit this year, and immediately came in on the underdog. The line has moved all the way down to Dallas -1. Some of that is concern about the teaser window. Sharps like Detroit, and like playing six-point teasers that cross both the 3 and the 7…so you can imagine that sharps would be all over Detroit +7.5 of +8 in their two-teamers. Moving the line down to Dallas -1 discourages that…and encourages Dallas money to come in and even out the betting balance a bit more. I want to emphasize how much sharps love Detroit in general this year. They didn’t want for the public to bet a “public team” like Dallas. They were very happy at +3, and the money kept coming in after the move. It has stopped at the current line though, suggesting the percentage value is gone near pick-em. The total has dropped from 47 to 46.

The fact is you don't even need "proof" from anywhere to understand what was going on with this line. When a sharp book like Pinny opens at -1 instead of -3 it's a clear sign where the early $$ is going.

[bobbyk1133]

I hear you, but for pure record-keeping purposes, once you pick a source, you have to be consistent with it or the integrity of the numbers gets blown up. From a COMMON SENSE viewpoint, just don't bet Dallas regardless of how it is going to be recorded officially.

More of a case of me typing at first impulse without thinking it through first. You are right, if I respect the CRIS opener enough to make me leery enough of Dallas even before the teaser consideration, the best course is to just avoid this game altogether.

Yes! Common sense. Thank you.
Pinny is a sharp and good book to use, but ya gotta understand the market as a whole before you declare something as RLM (which obviously you understand). I think you should officially take over this thread so the people following don't stampede off a cliff.

[Totolover1409]

I encourage healthy discussions in this thread. Just don't make it bitchy and personal like other threads become. We're all on the same boat of making money. We all have our own ways. It's good that bobby has a different opinion but don't make it an annoying ass thread like so many other ones by insulting each other.

[bobbyk1133]

I encourage healthy discussions in this thread. Just don't make it bitchy and personal like other threads become. We're all on the same boat of making money. We all have our own ways. It's good that bobby has a different opinion but don't make it an annoying ass thread like so many other ones by insulting each other.

Is that why you rewarded the troll responses with points?

I'm done with this topic anyways.

[RustedVegas]

Is that why you rewarded the troll responses with points?

I'm done with this topic anyways.

[RustedVegas]

A better question is to try and find ONE source that has sharps on Dallas.

.

We have found a source that has sharps on DAL hence the RLM.

Nick Bogdanovich doesn't know shit. DET is a square team this year, not a sharp team. DET was a sharp team LAST YEAR!

[8ArIvd5]

i don't see how dal is rlm

i see most books at or around the opener.

[Totolover1409]

Is that why you rewarded the troll responses with points?

I'm done with this topic anyways.

BOL to you bobby

[Totolover1409]

Miami +7

[LT Profits]

Keep an eye on Cincinnati and Houston today. They are not quite there yet.

[GGPLAYER]

Keep an eye on Cincinnati and Houston today. They are not quite there yet.

I have been watching Hou all week. It's just off the key number of 3 at 3.5 right now. I know you guys look for that. I'm big on the 1 or more point movement but the public is fav Pitt. I like Hou here.

Others I see:
Dall
AZ
Mia
Den

Oh and I almost forgot about Buffalo...forget RLM. Huge let down spot here. Buffalo as the fav now and they give up over 30 points a game going on the road after the biggest win in like 10 years? I'm a Bills fan but I'm rolling with Cin here.
GL guys.

[stickbit]

GG agree with your plays!! Let's cash today!

Any of you guys think Jax is a play today? Seems everyone loading up on New Orleans and the line has moved down? Or am I mistaken? Please tell me I'm mistaken because I don't think I can bet the Jags. help!

[GGPLAYER]

I would only do Jax in a teaser

[stickbit]

yea line is swinging back up from 7 to 8.5 and 9 now. im staying away from that.

[Totolover1409]

I have NO at -9 now. so no RLM there. I know LT does, but I'm not taking Houston because there's only a half point movement, although on a key number.

Adding: Denver +12

[chimp]

Rlm 0-4

[ebbearsfb1]

dolphins = epic fail their fg kicker should be the best paid guy on their team

[Totolover1409]

Yep, I'll admit it. I got buried 0-4 this weekend.

Overall 3-6

[Ras1112]

Epic fail but we have one of those weeks ones in a while, just put it together and I'm sure this week will be much better.
GL!

[Tanko]

Come on Total... Shake it off.... Take a deep breathe... Focus... Lets get it together baby. We got another weekend coming up in just 4 short days.

Yep, I'll admit it. I got buried 0-4 this weekend.

Overall 3-6

[GGPLAYER]

Yep, I'll admit it. I got buried 0-4 this weekend.

Overall 3-6

Dallas or should I say Romo basically gave that game away. Pissed me off because I had Dallas -2.5 and Det +9 in a teaser with the over. So basically if they could have held on I would have won on both sides. I do have C. Johnson on my FF team so it was a weird spot for me to be in as I watched the game.

I rolled with Hou since they fell of the key # of 3 and as I mentioned jumped on Cinn so it was not a total disaster for me Sunday. Really disappointed in the Dallas and AZ game. Hard to know what would have happened with Miami if Henne does not go down. Can't cap those things. I still feel RLM is a valuable tool and I'll continue to monitor it.

[Tanko]

You were absolutely right about Romo. Detroits best offense occurred when Romo had the ball.

Dallas or should I say Romo basically gave that game away. Pissed me off because I had Dallas -2.5 and Det +9 in a teaser with the over. So basically if they could have held on I would have won on both sides. I do have C. Johnson on my FF team so it was a weird spot for me to be in as I watched the game.

I rolled with Hou since they fell of the key # of 3 and as I mentioned jumped on Cinn so it was not a total disaster for me Sunday. Really disappointed in the Dallas and AZ game. Hard to know what would have happened with Miami if Henne does not go down. Can't cap those things. I still feel RLM is a valuable tool and I'll continue to monitor it.

[Totolover1409]

Thanks for those who've been supportive. Let's make it happen this weekend!

[dodger33]

Good weekend for a bounce back!

[LT Profits]

Watch Oakland, Denver, Chicago

[dodger33]

NCAA has 4 or 5 potentials as well. Penn State and Wake Forest leading the way.

[DeluxeLiner]

Whats up with the Denver line this week? Why has it moved two points? Injuries or some other factor?

[PAULYPOKER]

Carolina Panthers +6.5 = WINNER

[GGPLAYER]

I'm seeing RLM up and down the board. As someone mentioned the Denver line is screaming RLM. The action is all over SD and yet the line has come down 2 points. I'm also watching....

AZ - yeah I know they screwed us last week but the line has fallen off the key # of 3.
Buf - Line move from 3 to 2
Oak - Again off the key number of #7. Full point RLM here and I like Oakland in this spot anyways
Car - Yet again movement off the key number of 7.
Sea- Very small move but one to watch
SF - Right now the it's heavy on TB but the line is improving for them.
Chi - Det is the "public darling" right now and the books will cash in on them soon enough.

Interesting to see where these all end up on Sun/Mon.

[DarkNite]

NCAA has 4 or 5 potentials as well. Penn State and Wake Forest leading the way.

Akron
Indiana
Rutgers

[Totolover1409]

As of now, I'm see Denver that satisfies the criteria for RLM and the Bears.

All other plays mentioned by GGPLAYER are looking pretty good. We'll just have to wait and see.

[GGPLAYER]

Whats up with the Denver line this week? Why has it moved two points? Injuries or some other factor?

Ok this one is out of hand. It's down to 3.5 now?? I think I may jump on it now before it moves anymore!

[Capybara]

Ok this one is out of hand. It's down to 3.5 now?? I think I may jump on it now before it moves anymore!

Yeah, think value may be gone. Big-ass move.