RLM

[Jowframs]

Its not RLM........Falcons opened 1....In the first place at Pinny......Bookies cant get enough Bears money....So they are sucking you in...LOL

[Totolover1409]

It's all good. Seems like there is RLM on the Bills but not enough percentage. Hopefully you guys arent getting too eager to bet as I think we'll see some good RLM in week 2

[Totolover1409]

I use thespread which is also free cuz im a cheap ass too.

[LucyTheApe]

BOL everyone

[Glitch]

Its not RLM........Falcons opened 1....In the first place at Pinny......Bookies cant get enough Bears money....So they are sucking you in...LOL

f*ck the opener. if the lines moving the wrong way with 80 percent on a side. its RLM

miss st. if brock wasnt on it.

[LT Profits]

All the games that were close in Week 1 won (Redskins, Vikings, Bills).

[LT Profits]

And Chicago was not RLM according to Sports Insights, although they won too.

[LT Profits]

Lots of potential in Week 2, it looks like Jacksonville would qualify right now.

[Full Time Hobo]

Lots of potential in Week 2, it looks like Jacksonville would qualify right now.

I don't know if I'm misinterpreting this whole RLM thing but..

Jacksonville went from +10 to +9 with ~60% on them... wouldn't it go to +11 or 10.5 if it were RLM?

[doublej95]

I don't know if I'm misinterpreting this whole RLM thing but..

Jacksonville went from +10 to +9 with ~60% on them... wouldn't it go to +11 or 10.5 if it were RLM?

Correct Jacksonville is not a RLM play.

[Glitch]

you guys are getting confined into rules instead of the spirit of the concept.

[LT Profits]

I don't know if I'm misinterpreting this whole RLM thing but..

Jacksonville went from +10 to +9 with ~60% on them... wouldn't it go to +11 or 10.5 if it were RLM?

No, 65% are on the Jets.

[LT Profits]

Correct Jacksonville is not a RLM play.

Yes they are, see my last post

[Full Time Hobo]

What site are you using LT? Im looking at sbrodds and it says 61% on Jacksonville

[LT Profits]

sbrodds is 5 Dimes only. I use Sports Insights

[doublej95]

Yes they are, see my last post

What site are you using LT? Im looking at sbrodds and it says 61% on Jacksonville

I was going off of SBR also.

[Full Time Hobo]

Gotcha - Thanks

[Tanko]

Yeah LT, you are correct on 65% for NYJ.

Another site I use for the public % is www.thespread.com. They must generate their data from the same place as www.sportsinsights.com because the %s and total number of bets is almost exactly the same.

[dvb02]

Yeah LT, you are correct on 65% for NYJ. Another site I use for the public % is www.thespread.com. They must generate their data from the same place as www.sportsinsights.com because the %s and total number of bets is almost exactly the same.

Where do you find the percentages on thespread.com?

[Full Time Hobo]

Where do you find the percentages on thespread.com?

Go to the sport you want and the drop down says "Public Bets"

[Takethebooki]

poop onur dick

[jolmscheid]

Lots of potential in Week 2, it looks like Jacksonville would qualify right now.

How long do you wait to jump on RLM LT? Do you wait until gameday to see where the lines settle? Or do you get on the RLM as soon as it qualifies to get the best number?

[dvb02]

Go to the sport you want and the drop down says "Public Bets"

Thanks Hobo for the info.

[LT Profits]

How long do you wait to jump on RLM LT? Do you wait until gameday to see where the lines settle? Or do you get on the RLM as soon as it qualifies to get the best number?

In NFL, I start respecting it as soon as I see 10.000 bets, and I bet it unless I like the “wrong” side of the RLM for other reasons. Since I otherwise had no opinion on this game, I am already locked in on Jags +9.5 -108.

[jolmscheid]

Thanks for the insight LT...

[Tanko]

For those of you new to RLM and would like to learn, there is an article and an old site with some notes/comments on filtering the RLM bets that I found educational a couple of years ago.

http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football/news/reverse-line-movements-can-lead-big-profits-a-9202/

http://www.nflindex.com/rlm.html

I was surprised to see the author of the 1st article is LT Profits Sports Group and was posted on SBR Forum all the way back in 2008. Could that be the same LT Profits we have in our forum? The picture with the article may indicate otherwise, but I could be wrong.

Apologies if this info is already somewhere in 1000+ posts this forum contains.

[Totolover1409]

Thank you all for contributing and thanks LT for taking care while I was busy. Generally I like to see a one point movement. For many people, if they see even a .5 point movement on key lines like -7 or -3, they pull the trigger.

My Official Picks:

Jags +9. 65% on Jets with ~12000 bets placed. Line moved from +10 to +9.

Bears +6.5 Half point movement but from key number. Will try this bet and will put it in record.

Games to keep an eye on:

Cincinatti +3.5. Waiting for more bets to be placed.

[LT Profits]

For those of you new to RLM and would like to learn, there is an article and an old site with some notes/comments on filtering the RLM bets that I found educational a couple of years ago.

http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football/news/reverse-line-movements-can-lead-big-profits-a-9202/

http://www.nflindex.com/rlm.html

I was surprised to see the author of the 1st article is LT Profits Sports Group and was posted on SBR Forum all the way back in 2008. Could that be the same LT Profits we have in our forum? The picture with the article may indicate otherwise, but I could be wrong.

Apologies if this info is already somewhere in 1000+ posts this forum contains.

Yep, dat be me.

[bobbyk1133]

Thank you all for contributing and thanks LT for taking care while I was busy. Generally I like to see a one point movement. For many people, if they see even a .5 point movement on key lines like -7 or -3, they pull the trigger. My Official Picks: Jags +9. 65% on Jets with ~12000 bets placed. Line moved from +10 to +9. Bears +6.5 Half point movement but from key number. Will try this bet and will put it in record. Games to keep an eye on: Cincinatti +3.5. Waiting for more bets to be placed.

Sharps already jumped on NO -6.5 and JAX +10 on the opening line. I still have no idea what this thread is about since no one here has the first clue how to interpret line movement. Many sharps take positions early in the week knowing/anticipating where the line will move and then buy back later in the week. Yet you guys think that counts as "RLM" and actually let it influence your bets?

Contrarian betting is outdated and dead just like this thread should be

[RustedVegas]

Sharps already jumped on NO -6.5 and JAX +10 on the opening line. I still have no idea what this thread is about since no one here has the first clue how to interpret line movement. Many sharps take positions early in the week knowing/anticipating where the line will move and then buy back later in the week. Yet you guys think that counts as "RLM" and actually let it influence your bets?

Contrarian betting is outdated and dead just like this thread should be

No idea, no clue, but cash money hitting 69%.

[face]

dallas game is a huge rlm event. wouldn't be surprised if 49ers somehow cover. i have a small bet on dallas though b/c i just don't see the 49er's as a very good team except for their defense.

[Capybara]

Guys, I don't follow college football much, but looks like two major RLM plays today with Temple and Army! I'll probably jump onboard.

[jolmscheid]

Sharps already jumped on NO -6.5 and JAX +10 on the opening line. I still have no idea what this thread is about since no one here has the first clue how to interpret line movement. Many sharps take positions early in the week knowing/anticipating where the line will move and then buy back later in the week. Yet you guys think that counts as "RLM" and actually let it influence your bets?

Contrarian betting is outdated and dead just like this thread should be

Maybe waiting until gameday would alleviate this problem of the sharps buying back? I mean, if on gameday the line is still showing RLM, then pull the trigger...I don't know...I think LT says to wait until gameday unless you have a reason to pull the trigger earlier...

[jolmscheid]

Guys, I don't follow college football much, but looks like two major RLM plays today with Temple and Army! I'll probably jump onboard.

I would be careful with Army as that line has moved 4+ points...so the value is probably totally gone...Temple has moved 3 points, but at least they are still on the +7.....

[LT Profits]

Maybe waiting until gameday would alleviate this problem of the sharps buying back? I mean, if on gameday the line is still showing RLM, then pull the trigger...I don't know...I think LT says to wait until gameday unless you have a reason to pull the trigger earlier...

No I never said that, I said start paying attention when the amount of bets hits 10,000, which is often during the the week, then follow the RLM ASAP unless you like the other side for other reasons. I would NOT wait until game day if at all possible because then all the value can be sucked out of the line.

(and as a sidebar, I am on Army +7.5. I posted +5.5 in my CFB thread because I only post lines available at time of post)